George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.3 79
Expected Predictive Rating +2.2 127
Pace 72.4 78
Improvement -3.1 309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 53 B+ B+ C- C+ A
Defense C+ 142 C C+ C+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 B- 62% 86 +4.4 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 362 A- 47% 14 -4.7 359
Three Pointers 50% 24 C+ 35% 131 +5.5 30
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.1 7 B- +2.9 82
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.12 44
Second Chance B+ 37.0% 28 B- 1.09 90 B+ 0.40 33
Turnovers C- 17.6% 234
Freethrows C 0.31 159 C+ 74% 128 C+ 0.23 138
Total Offense B +6.3 53

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 184 D+ 61% 265 +1.2 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 168 B+ 32% 18 -1.1 108
Three Pointers 41% 195 C 34% 169 -0.3 164
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 162 C -0.1 184
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 177
Second Chance C+ 29.0% 114 C 1.03 183 C+ 0.30 141
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 124
Freethrows B- 0.27 82 B- 71% 90 B- 0.19 76
Total Defense C+ +1.0 142

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 42 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.18 202
Improvement -2.8 #319 -0.4 #221

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.6 11.3 11.8
.500 or above 99% 100% 98%
.500 or above in Conference 81% 97% 76%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round4% 6% 4%
Second Round1% 1% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 25.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 38 - 410 - 12
Quad 49 - 219 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 345 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  89% 1 - 0 C+ +4 F+ -9 D B+ F A+ +14 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 8 61 South Florida W 99 - 95 44% +1  53% 2 - 0 B+ +13 A- +10 A+ B- F B- +2 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 258 American W 107 - 67 92% +20  97% 3 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- A- +9 C A- A-
 Sat, Nov 15 241 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 91% +11  79% 4 - 0 A- +16 A +13 B- A A+ C+ +2 B- D+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 238 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 91% +24  97% 5 - 0 A+ +30 B+ +8 A+ F+ D A+ +21 A+ B A-
 Sun, Nov 23 83 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 52% -6  19% 5 - 1 C +1 A- +9 C+ A+ F D- -8 C F D
 Mon, Nov 24 168 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 77% +10  95% 6 - 1 B+ +13 A +14 A+ D- B+ C -2 C F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 119 Murray St. L 95 - 96 66% -1  30% 6 - 2 C+ +2 A+ +15 A- C+ A+ F -13 D- F D
 Tue, Dec 2 342 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  82% 7 - 2 C+ +5 B +6 D- A+ D+ C -1 F A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 133 William & Mary W 99 - 86 79% +4  72% 8 - 2 B+ +12 A +12 A- A A C- -2 C D C-
 Wed, Dec 10 263 Delaware L 58 - 70 92% -6  0% 8 - 3 F -21 F -20 F F F+ C -1 F+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 4 Florida L 70 - 80 8% -8  6% 8 - 4 B+ +13 B- +5 B+ A- C A- +9 D+ A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 131 @Richmond W 99 - 85 59% +10  96% 9 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 A+ +32 A+ A+ B- F -12 F C D-
 Sat, Jan 3 220 La Salle W 77 - 55 89% +6  86% 10 - 4 2 - 0 A- +16 B +6 C+ A+ C A +12 B+ A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 90 @Dayton L 72 - 79 45% +1  57% 10 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 A- A F C- -2 A F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 283 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 94% +20  98% 11 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +25 A +12 A C- B A +10 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 111 Davidson L 79 - 84 75% -9  11% 11 - 6 3 - 2 C- -5 B+ +8 D+ B+ A+ F -13 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 99 @George Mason L 64 - 69 47% -1  35% 11 - 7 3 - 3 C+ +3 D -5 C- C D+ B+ +7 D+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 131 Richmond W 85 - 69 79% +16  99% 12 - 7 4 - 3 A- +15 A +12 A- A+ C B- +4 B B- B-
 Tue, Jan 27 22 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 12% +5  83% 12 - 8 4 - 4 A- +17 B- +5 B+ C D- A +12 A B B
 Sat, Jan 31 151 Fordham L 65 - 79 83% -4  15% 12 - 9 4 - 5 F+ -17 D- -7 D B- D- F+ -10 D F C
 Wed, Feb 4 136 @Saint Joseph's L 73 - 76 61% -4  17% 12 - 10 4 - 6 C +1 C+ +3 C A- F C- -2 F A B+
 Sat, Feb 7 104 @Duquesne L 86 - 88 50% +0  38% 12 - 11 4 - 7 B- +5 A+ +16 A A F F+ -11 D+ C+ F
 Tue, Feb 10 124 Rhode Island W 75 - 70 77% +7  95% 13 - 11 5 - 7 C+ +5 C+ +3 A C C- C+ +1 C+ B- C
 Fri, Feb 13 99 George Mason W 72 - 53 69% +7  93% 14 - 11 6 - 7 A +21 A +12 A B C+ A+ +13 A A- B
 Tue, Feb 17 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79 - 86 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 220 @La Salle W 79 - 71 76%
 Fri, Feb 27 90 Dayton W 80 - 75 67%
 Wed, Mar 4 135 St. Bonaventure W 84 - 75 80%
 Sat, Mar 7 283 @Loyola Chicago W 83 - 72 85%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +7 B +6 A- B- A C+ +1 C+ C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- A- C+ B- 43% 14% 50% A B+ B+ B- B+ C- C C+ C+ C+ D+ B+ C C 39% 21% 41% C C C+ C C+ C+ B- B- B-
1.18 62% 47% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 1.1 .40 18% .31 74% .23 1.07 61% 32% 34% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .30 18% .27 71% .22
Nov
3		 Maine F+ A D F F+ 54% 7% 39% A+ D A C- B+ F C+ D- C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 38% 17% 46% D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A F C+
1.00 72% 33% 11% -6 +3 0.96 47% 1.0 .47 24% .33 65% .22 0.70 33% 50% 23% -15 0 0.73 14% 0.4 .06 22% .23 83% .19
Nov
8		 South Florida A- B A+ B+ A 53% 4% 43% A+ A+ B C B- F A+ B A+ B- D B- A+ A+ 46% 5% 49% C- A+ B- F F D+ F C F
1.16 62% 100% 38% +7 +3 1.22 34% 1.0 .34 25% .64 73% .47 1.12 62% 33% 14% -13 +2 0.81 36% 1.6 .57 14% .51 73% .37
Nov
12		 American A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 46% 6% 48% A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+ A- F C+ A+ C- 34% 19% 47% B C A+ D A- A- A+ A+ A+
1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41 0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07
Nov
15		 Old Dominion A B- A+ F C+ 51% 10% 39% A B- B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A F B 35% 24% 41% C- B- F A+ D+ A F B F+
1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41 0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26
Nov
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. B+ B+ F A+ A+ 47% 7% 47% A A+ D+ F F+ D D D+ D+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% D+ A+ A- C B A- D A+ C+
1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13 0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19
Nov
23		 McNeese St. A- D- A+ D- C 29% 7% 64% B C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ D- D- A+ D+ C- 49% 25% 25% C+ C D- F F D F F+ F
1.17 50% 100% 30% -2 +1 1.00 55% 1.4 .79 33% .60 80% .48 1.25 67% 21% 36% +1 0 1.04 39% 1.2 .47 11% .43 82% .35
Nov
24		 Middle Tennessee A A- F A+ A+ 51% 8% 42% A A+ F A- D- B+ B+ B A- C F+ B C+ C 40% 24% 36% C- C A+ F F B+ F F F
1.28 67% 25% 50% +13 +3 1.34 15% 1.3 .19 13% .38 79% .30 1.10 70% 33% 33% +3 0 1.08 19% 2.2 .41 20% .40 78% .31
Nov
25		 Murray St. A+ B- C+ B+ B 56% 10% 35% A+ A- D+ A- C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F C F D- F 37% 27% 36% A- D- F B- F D B- C+ B-
1.31 59% 40% 39% +3 +3 1.13 29% 1.2 .35 10% .50 79% .40 1.33 59% 63% 38% +9 -1 1.19 44% 1.1 .47 14% .30 74% .22
Dec
2		 Army B C F D- F+ 28% 9% 63% B- D- B- A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C C+ A- F F 25% 8% 68% B- F A+ D+ A D+ A+ B A+
1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48 1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07
Dec
6		 William & Mary A A A+ F B+ 56% 3% 41% A+ A- A B+ A A A- A A+ C- D A+ B C 52% 9% 40% D- C C F+ D C- B D C+
1.27 73% 100% 25% +5 +3 1.19 40% 1.1 .46 14% .36 79% .28 1.11 67% 20% 30% +1 +3 1.09 27% 1.3 .36 17% .29 79% .23
Dec
10		 Delaware F F F F+ F 37% 14% 49% B+ F B+ F F F+ A+ F B C B F F F 40% 17% 43% D F+ C+ F F A+ D+ F D
0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25 1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22
Dec
13		 Florida B- B F+ C B 35% 20% 44% B+ B+ A A- A- C B+ F F A- F F A+ D- 35% 12% 53% B+ D+ A A+ A+ B+ F A+ F
0.97 58% 27% 33% -3 0 0.96 30% 0.8 .25 17% .32 37% .12 1.11 94% 67% 23% +7 +1 1.18 35% 0.8 .26 18% .56 61% .34
Dec
31		 Richmond A+ B A+ A+ A+ 34% 8% 58% A+ A+ B A+ A+ B- C- A+ B+ F D- C+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F F A C D- D+ D D
1.51 65% 100% 48% +20 +1 1.44 36% 1.9 .68 15% .27 93% .25 1.30 69% 36% 48% +13 -1 1.26 33% 0.8 .27 12% .36 81% .30
Jan
3		 La Salle B D+ A+ C+ C 45% 6% 49% A C+ A+ A A+ C D+ C- D+ A B- A+ B A- 46% 20% 34% D- B+ A+ B A+ D B+ A+ A+
1.19 52% 67% 36% +1 +2 1.08 41% 1.4 .56 17% .22 67% .15 0.85 52% 20% 29% -9 +1 0.86 18% 0.9 .16 15% .27 53% .15
Jan
6		 Dayton B- A+ F+ B- A 24% 24% 52% D+ A- A+ D+ A F A+ F B C- F A+ A- A- 36% 26% 38% A+ A F+ F F D+ F F F
1.04 90% 30% 36% +8 -1 1.14 45% 0.9 .42 32% .42 60% .25 1.14 76% 0% 28% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.4 .47 16% .51 90% .46
Jan
10		 Loyola Chicago A B- A+ A- A- 40% 5% 55% A A B F C- B C A+ B+ A F B A D 32% 11% 57% C+ D+ C A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26 0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11
Jan
14		 Davidson B+ D+ A F D- 46% 11% 43% A+ D+ A C- B+ A+ B F C F B+ A+ F F 48% 10% 43% F F F D F C F A+ F
1.19 54% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.93 41% 0.9 .39 8% .34 57% .20 1.27 50% 0% 67% +14 +2 1.33 39% 1.2 .45 17% .49 52% .25
Jan
19		 George Mason D D F D D- 50% 4% 46% A+ C- D- A+ C D+ D- C D B+ D+ F C D+ 37% 17% 46% C- D+ A+ F C B+ C+ A- B
0.95 52% 0% 30% -7 +3 0.94 20% 1.3 .26 18% .20 73% .14 1.02 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 14% 2.3 .31 19% .37 65% .24
Jan
24		 Richmond A C+ F A B 37% 7% 56% A+ A- B- A+ A+ C D+ A+ C+ B- A- C+ D- B+ 41% 26% 33% D- B F+ A+ B- B- A F C
1.27 60% 0% 40% +3 +2 1.11 34% 1.5 .53 16% .27 80% .21 1.03 50% 36% 39% -1 -1 0.98 32% 0.7 .22 16% .25 100% .25
Jan
27		 Saint Louis B- B+ A+ F B 43% 7% 50% A+ B+ B D C D- B- F+ C A B+ B C A+ 46% 6% 48% C A B- B- B B D- A+ B+
1.00 61% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 29% 0.8 .22 18% .34 67% .23 1.04 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 50% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Fordham D- F+ D- D F+ 32% 19% 49% B D C- A B- D- D F F+ F+ F A+ B+ D- 38% 25% 38% B- D F D- F C F D- F
0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13 1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23
Feb
4		 Saint Joseph's C+ F A+ C- D+ 25% 7% 67% A- C A+ D+ A- F B- B- B- C- D- F F+ F 35% 18% 47% B- F B A+ A B+ B F C+
1.04 43% 50% 32% -4 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18 1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20
Feb
7		 Duquesne A+ A- F A A 37% 8% 55% A A A+ F A F C+ A+ A F+ D B- D D 51% 18% 31% C+ D+ D A C+ F F D- F
1.26 67% 25% 41% +8 +1 1.20 54% 0.8 .43 23% .36 89% .33 1.29 65% 33% 38% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 6% .47 77% .36
Feb
10		 Rhode Island C+ A+ F C- A 43% 9% 48% B+ A A+ F C C- B- C B- C+ F B B+ C- 27% 29% 44% A+ C+ C B B- C B A+ A
1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27 1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18
Feb
13		 George Mason A C+ A+ C+ A 43% 7% 50% A+ A B- B- B C+ B- A+ A- A+ B+ A+ C A 33% 15% 52% C- A A+ C A- B A+ B+ A+
1.23 60% 100% 35% +6 +2 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 15% .28 86% .24 0.90 53% 14% 33% -6 0 0.91 23% 1.0 .23 19% .13 67% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 1.3 4.2 5.5 3rd
4th 0.4 10.7 5.1 16.1 4th
5th 0.0 3.8 16.5 0.9 21.2 5th
6th 0.3 12.9 7.1 0.0 20.4 6th
7th 0.0 3.2 12.7 1.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.4 7.5 4.4 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 3.9 0.2 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 0.2 1.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.3 3.3 15.2 34.5 36.6 10.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 10.1% 7.3% 7.2% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.6 0.1 9.4 0.2%
10-8 36.6% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 11.5 0.9 1.1 0.0 34.6 0.0%
9-9 34.5% 3.3% 3.3% 11.8 0.3 0.8 0.0 33.3
8-10 15.2% 2.3% 2.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.9
7-11 3.3% 2.4% 2.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 11.6 95.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 11.1 2.1 84.1 13.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9% 1.7% 11.0 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.5%