George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#191
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#200
Pace71.9#89
Improvement-0.4#243

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#106
First Shot+3.1#79
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks+0.2#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
Freethrows+1.6#61
Improvement-1.0#318

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#284
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#261
Layups/Dunks-2.4#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#211
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+0.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 30.9% 45.4% 17.6%
.500 or above in Conference 54.8% 71.1% 39.9%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 32 - 3
Quad 34 - 95 - 13
Quad 49 - 414 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 269   Howard W 85-75 75%     1 - 0 +1.7 +8.9 -7.1
  Nov 14, 2022 107   @ Hofstra L 80-85 23%     1 - 1 +1.5 +11.3 -10.0
  Nov 18, 2022 292   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-64 79%     2 - 1 -4.7 -8.7 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2022 262   UC San Diego L 70-75 75%     2 - 2 -13.1 -3.7 -9.6
  Nov 26, 2022 272   New Hampshire W 75-54 76%     3 - 2 +12.5 +11.1 +4.7
  Nov 30, 2022 229   South Carolina W 79-55 68%     4 - 2 +17.9 +9.6 +10.1
  Dec 04, 2022 178   @ Radford L 76-86 36%     4 - 3 -7.5 +6.0 -13.6
  Dec 10, 2022 236   American L 64-69 70%     4 - 4 -11.5 -7.4 -4.5
  Dec 13, 2022 345   Coppin St. W 83-71 89%     5 - 4 -2.7 +2.4 -5.1
  Dec 22, 2022 63   Washington St. L 64-66 18%     5 - 5 +6.4 -0.5 +6.8
  Dec 23, 2022 190   Pepperdine L 70-81 50%     5 - 6 -12.1 -9.5 -1.8
  Dec 25, 2022 142   Seattle L 67-85 39%     5 - 7 -16.4 -5.7 -9.9
  Dec 31, 2022 220   @ Loyola Chicago W 97-87 45%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +10.2 +23.3 -13.2
  Jan 04, 2023 125   @ Richmond L 63-73 27%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -4.9 -2.1 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2023 143   Massachusetts W 81-73 50%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +6.9 +4.5 +2.0
  Jan 14, 2023 79   Saint Louis L 74-81 31%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -3.1 -0.4 -2.6
  Jan 16, 2023 122   @ George Mason W 78-75 26%     8 - 9 3 - 2 +8.4 +5.9 +2.4
  Jan 21, 2023 68   Dayton W 76-69 26%     9 - 9 4 - 2 +12.5 +7.2 +5.2
  Jan 25, 2023 162   Saint Joseph's W 92-91 OT 55%     10 - 9 5 - 2 -1.4 +6.2 -7.7
  Jan 28, 2023 132   @ Fordham L 70-85 29%     10 - 10 5 - 3 -10.3 -3.8 -5.2
  Feb 01, 2023 230   @ La Salle L 64-75 49%     10 - 11 5 - 4 -11.8 -8.0 -3.9
  Feb 04, 2023 126   Duquesne L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 08, 2023 125   Richmond L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 11, 2023 162   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-78 34%    
  Feb 15, 2023 122   George Mason L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 19, 2023 147   @ St. Bonaventure L 69-74 31%    
  Feb 22, 2023 198   @ Rhode Island L 72-74 40%    
  Feb 25, 2023 230   La Salle W 77-72 69%    
  Mar 01, 2023 123   @ Davidson L 69-76 26%    
  Mar 04, 2023 74   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-76 31%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.0 1.7 0.1 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.7 4.3 0.4 8.6 4th
5th 1.7 7.6 1.5 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 6.5 4.7 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 1.3 9.6 0.9 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 5.6 4.9 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.6 9.0 1.1 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 3.1 5.8 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.4 6.0 1.5 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 2.0 4.2 0.1 6.3 12th
13th 0.3 2.7 0.9 0.0 3.8 13th
14th 0.7 0.9 0.0 1.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
Total 1.0 6.0 14.8 23.4 23.9 17.5 9.2 3.3 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 35.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 7.1% 7.1% 13.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.8% 4.5% 4.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 3.3% 2.9% 2.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.2
11-7 9.2% 2.4% 2.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.0
10-8 17.5% 1.4% 1.4% 15.6 0.1 0.1 17.2
9-9 23.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 23.6
8-10 23.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 23.1
7-11 14.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.7
6-12 6.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-13 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 7.1% 13.0 7.1
Lose Out 1.0% 0.8% 16.0 0.8