George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#162
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#97
Pace79.6#11
Improvement-3.1#341

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot+4.8#56
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#353
Layup/Dunks+4.1#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#74
Freethrows+0.2#161
Improvement+0.7#119

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#183
First Shot-1.7#228
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#88
Layups/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#320
Freethrows+2.9#35
Improvement-3.8#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.2% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 79.2% 82.9% 59.7%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 34.9% 23.0%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 12.8% 19.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.0% 2.2% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 84.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 58 - 12
Quad 49 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 358   Stonehill W 89-44 94%     1 - 0 +27.6 +0.4 +23.6
  Nov 11, 2023 315   William & Mary W 95-89 86%     2 - 0 -5.5 +0.6 -6.9
  Nov 14, 2023 100   Hofstra W 71-60 44%     3 - 0 +12.7 -8.2 +20.0
  Nov 18, 2023 235   New Hampshire W 79-67 74%     4 - 0 +5.5 -2.4 +7.0
  Nov 24, 2023 129   Ohio W 99-94 2OT 41%     5 - 0 +7.4 -3.0 +9.0
  Nov 25, 2023 137   Illinois-Chicago L 79-89 43%     5 - 1 -8.2 +2.1 -9.4
  Nov 26, 2023 156   Delaware W 81-71 49%     6 - 1 +10.3 +3.0 +6.7
  Dec 01, 2023 73   @ South Carolina L 67-89 17%     6 - 2 -11.7 +5.9 -20.0
  Dec 05, 2023 298   Navy W 75-64 84%    
  Dec 09, 2023 356   Coppin St. W 81-64 95%    
  Dec 21, 2023 296   Alcorn St. W 85-75 83%    
  Dec 30, 2023 345   Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-68 92%    
  Jan 03, 2024 170   Fordham W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 06, 2024 93   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 13, 2024 123   Davidson W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 15, 2024 98   George Mason L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 20, 2024 133   @ Massachusetts L 78-83 33%    
  Jan 24, 2024 90   @ Richmond L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 27, 2024 200   La Salle W 83-78 66%    
  Jan 30, 2024 60   @ Dayton L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 06, 2024 173   Rhode Island W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 10, 2024 119   Loyola Chicago W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 13, 2024 98   @ George Mason L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 17, 2024 90   Richmond L 74-76 41%    
  Feb 21, 2024 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-81 24%    
  Feb 24, 2024 188   @ Saint Louis L 81-83 44%    
  Feb 27, 2024 133   Massachusetts W 81-80 54%    
  Mar 02, 2024 200   @ La Salle L 80-81 45%    
  Mar 06, 2024 99   St. Bonaventure L 73-75 45%    
  Mar 09, 2024 85   @ Duquesne L 75-84 22%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 3.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 3.2 0.5 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.5 1.5 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.3 3.3 3.6 0.3 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 5.0 1.2 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.8 3.2 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 1.8 0.1 10.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.9 0.4 9.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.5 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 7.7 15th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.2 7.5 11.5 13.5 14.0 13.3 11.9 8.5 5.9 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 73.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 62.4% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 11.9% 1.7% 10.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3%
15-3 0.3% 17.3% 14.2% 3.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.6%
14-4 0.9% 5.7% 5.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 1.8% 3.9% 3.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
12-6 3.4% 8.5% 8.5% 12.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.1
11-7 5.9% 4.4% 4.4% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.7
10-8 8.5% 2.2% 2.2% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.3
9-9 11.9% 2.7% 2.7% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.6
8-10 13.3% 2.2% 2.2% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.0
7-11 14.0% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 13.7
6-12 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-13 11.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-14 7.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.4
3-15 4.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 97.9 0.0%