George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.0 #70
Expected Predictive Rating +3.5 #111
Pace 73.5 #67
Improvement -2.4 #295

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #39 A- A C B- A+
Defense #152 C C C+ B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #79 1.25 #90 +4.3 #49
2 Pt. Jumpers 8% #360 0.99 #9 -3.9 #343
Three Pointers 50% #31 1.07 #110 +5.8 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #34 +6.2 #34
Freethrows 19.4 #93 72% #211 14.0 #103
Second Chance 36.7% #31 1.15 #61 0.42 #34
Turnovers 16.3% #165
Total Offense +7.7 #39

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #171 1.24 #279 -1.9 #246
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #206 0.63 #29 +1.6 #72
Three Pointers 41% #172 0.98 #140 +0.5 #159
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #173 +0.2 #172
Freethrows 15.2 #74 72% #147 11.0 #71
Second Chance 28.9% #115 1.13 #288 0.33 #193
Turnovers 17.5% #113
Total Defense +0.3 #152

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.8% #11 0.4% #200
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.0% #63 -0.7% #172
Possession Length 15.8 #48 17.7 #245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #91 0.18 #219
Improvement -0.4 #206 -2.0 #301

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 11.9% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.3
.500 or above 98.9% 99.8% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 93.7% 97.8% 90.5%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round9.2% 11.6% 7.4%
Second Round2.1% 2.8% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Away) - 43.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 34 - 8
Quad 37 - 311 - 10
Quad 410 - 121 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 334 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +6 -5 D+ A- F +12 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 83 South Florida W 99 - 95 54% +1  2 - 0 +11 +12 A+ B+ F -1 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 12 233 American W 107 - 67 91% +20  3 - 0 +33 +23 A+ A+ C +7 B D A
 Sat, Nov 15 239 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 92% +11  4 - 0 +16 +15 B A A+ -1 B- D A+
 Wed, Nov 19 283 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 94% +24  5 - 0 +27 +9 A+ F D +18 A+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 23 90 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 56% -6  5 - 1 +0 +11 C+ A+ F -10 C+ F D
 Mon, Nov 24 130 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 72% +10  6 - 1 +15 +19 A+ F A -5 C F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 93 Murray St. L 95 - 96 58% -1  6 - 2 +5 +20 A+ C+ A+ -14 D- F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 341 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  7 - 2 +6 +8 F A+ F -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 147 William & Mary W 99 - 86 83% +4  8 - 2 +11 +16 A+ A+ A+ -7 C D- C-
 Wed, Dec 10 294 Delaware L 58 - 70 95% -6  8 - 3 -23 -18 F F F -5 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 9 Florida L 70 - 80 13% -8  8 - 4 +10 +5 B A C- +5 D- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 115 @Richmond W 99 - 85 58% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +20 +35 A+ A+ B- -14 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 214 La Salle W 77 - 55 90% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +7 C+ A+ C +10 A- A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 6 66 @Dayton L 72 - 79 37% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +8 A+ A+ F -4 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 270 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 93% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +26 +14 A+ D+ B +9 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 136 Davidson L 79 - 84 82% -9  11 - 6 3 - 2 -7 +11 D+ A+ A+ -17 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 86 @George Mason L 77 - 79 43%
 Sat, Jan 24 115 Richmond W 85 - 77 78%
 Tue, Jan 27 26 @Saint Louis L 80 - 90 18%
 Sat, Jan 31 196 Fordham W 81 - 68 89%
 Wed, Feb 4 163 @Saint Joseph's W 81 - 75 69%
 Sat, Feb 7 126 @Duquesne W 86 - 83 60%
 Tue, Feb 10 125 Rhode Island W 81 - 72 79%
 Fri, Feb 13 86 George Mason W 80 - 76 66%
 Tue, Feb 17 52 @Virginia Commonwealth L 81 - 87 29%
 Tue, Feb 24 214 @La Salle W 81 - 73 78%
 Fri, Feb 27 66 Dayton W 79 - 76 60%
 Wed, Mar 4 141 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 75 82%
 Sat, Mar 7 270 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 74 84%
Totals 19 - 11 11 - 7 +8 +8 A- A C +0 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 5.6 5.7 1.5 0.0 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 8.1 8.2 1.5 0.0 19.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 8.7 9.4 1.9 0.0 21.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 7.3 8.8 2.6 0.0 20.1 5th
6th 0.4 3.4 5.2 1.5 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.2 0.9 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.4 1.6 0.8 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.1 8.9 15.1 20.7 21.6 16.1 8.2 2.7 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 91.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 42.5% 1.1    0.4 0.7 0.1
14-4 12.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 0.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.4% 62.9% 31.4% 31.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 45.8%
15-3 2.7% 28.9% 21.8% 7.1% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.9 9.1%
14-4 8.2% 18.2% 16.5% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.1 6.7 2.0%
13-5 16.1% 15.0% 14.5% 0.4% 11.1 0.1 2.0 0.4 13.7 0.5%
12-6 21.6% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 11.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 19.5 0.1%
11-7 20.7% 6.6% 6.6% 11.5 0.7 0.7 19.3
10-8 15.1% 4.0% 4.0% 11.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 14.5
9-9 8.9% 2.4% 2.4% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.7
8-10 4.1% 2.0% 2.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.0
7-11 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 1.6
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 8.8% 0.5% 11.1 90.6 0.6%