Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#101
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#106
Pace71.2#121
Improvement+0.6#145

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#134
First Shot+2.0#124
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#208
Layup/Dunks+1.8#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#107
Freethrows+1.7#88
Improvement+0.2#163

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#86
First Shot+4.8#50
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#273
Layups/Dunks-0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows+1.8#76
Improvement+0.4#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.8% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.5 11.3 11.7
.500 or above 88.4% 93.2% 79.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.2% 87.0% 68.0%
Conference Champion 12.2% 16.0% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round7.3% 8.6% 5.1%
Second Round1.8% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Neutral) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 38 - 512 - 11
Quad 48 - 220 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   Navy W 70-63 92%     1 - 0 -3.4 -10.0 +6.4
  Nov 08, 2024 240   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 87%     1 - 1 -13.3 -5.4 -8.0
  Nov 12, 2024 56   Villanova W 83-76 44%     2 - 1 +13.6 +5.8 +7.3
  Nov 15, 2024 279   @ Penn W 86-69 78%     3 - 1 +13.6 +14.4 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2024 24   Texas Tech W 78-77 20%     4 - 1 +15.0 +10.5 +4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 34   Texas L 58-67 23%     4 - 2 +3.6 -5.8 +9.2
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 83-54 99%     5 - 2 +6.2 +4.5 +2.6
  Dec 03, 2024 108   Princeton L 69-77 65%     5 - 3 -7.1 -6.9 -0.1
  Dec 07, 2024 143   La Salle W 78-74 64%    
  Dec 10, 2024 127   College of Charleston W 79-73 72%    
  Dec 18, 2024 236   American W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 129   Virginia Tech W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 28, 2024 348   Delaware St. W 82-62 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 171   Massachusetts W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 03, 2025 137   @ Saint Louis W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 08, 2025 208   @ Duquesne W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 86   Loyola Chicago W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 17, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 21, 2025 134   @ Davidson W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 24, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 29, 2025 208   Duquesne W 73-63 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 86   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 07, 2025 137   Saint Louis W 80-73 72%    
  Feb 12, 2025 143   La Salle W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 151   @ George Washington W 76-75 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 186   Richmond W 74-65 79%    
  Feb 26, 2025 88   St. Bonaventure W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 201   @ Fordham W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 05, 2025 91   Rhode Island W 78-76 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 143   @ La Salle W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.6 2.7 1.3 0.4 12.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 4.2 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.6 2.3 0.2 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.4 2.0 1.6 0.1 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 0.3 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.4 7.9 10.7 12.4 13.6 13.3 11.1 8.7 5.6 3.0 1.4 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-1 98.5% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 88.9% 2.7    2.0 0.6 0.0
15-3 63.9% 3.6    1.9 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 33.8% 3.0    0.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.1% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.1% 12.1 6.6 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 55.2% 17.5% 37.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 45.6%
17-1 1.4% 39.8% 26.3% 13.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 18.4%
16-2 3.0% 22.1% 18.4% 3.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.4 4.5%
15-3 5.6% 19.0% 18.0% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 4.5 1.3%
14-4 8.7% 13.8% 13.7% 0.1% 11.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 7.5 0.1%
13-5 11.1% 10.9% 10.9% 11.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 9.9
12-6 13.3% 8.2% 8.2% 11.9 0.2 0.8 0.1 12.2
11-7 13.6% 4.8% 4.8% 12.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 12.9
10-8 12.4% 3.3% 3.3% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.0
9-9 10.7% 1.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.5
8-10 7.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
7-11 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
6-12 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 3.2
5-13 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.4% 6.9% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 2.7 3.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 92.6 0.5%