Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#221
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#221
Pace77.1#35
Improvement+0.4#139

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#166
First Shot-3.2#273
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#22
Layup/Dunks-4.2#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#86
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement+0.0#178

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#270
First Shot-4.5#310
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#78
Layups/Dunks-3.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#214
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#274
Freethrows+1.3#105
Improvement+0.4#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.6 15.5
.500 or above 15.3% 17.6% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 13.9% 15.2% 8.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.4% 17.0% 24.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 81.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 33 - 54 - 15
Quad 48 - 413 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-67 92%     1 - 0 -16.6 -12.6 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2021 293   Mount St. Mary's W 80-60 77%     2 - 0 +9.8 +6.1 +4.1
  Nov 17, 2021 168   Drexel L 75-78 52%     2 - 1 -6.1 -1.3 -4.8
  Nov 20, 2021 132   Monmouth L 75-87 43%     2 - 2 -12.7 -2.1 -10.1
  Nov 25, 2021 17   USC L 55-70 6%     2 - 3 +0.0 -7.6 +7.1
  Nov 26, 2021 134   Georgetown W 77-74 32%     3 - 3 +5.2 +3.4 +1.7
  Dec 01, 2021 322   Binghamton W 79-69 82%    
  Dec 04, 2021 8   @ Villanova L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 08, 2021 192   Penn W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 11, 2021 148   Temple L 75-76 47%    
  Dec 18, 2021 212   @ Bradley L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 22, 2021 342   Holy Cross W 84-70 90%    
  Dec 30, 2021 80   @ Richmond L 73-85 13%    
  Jan 02, 2022 266   George Washington W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 05, 2022 84   Davidson L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 08, 2022 115   @ George Mason L 72-81 21%    
  Jan 12, 2022 73   @ Rhode Island L 69-81 14%    
  Jan 17, 2022 243   La Salle W 77-72 65%    
  Jan 22, 2022 81   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 26, 2022 194   Duquesne W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 40   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-80 8%    
  Feb 05, 2022 248   Fordham W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 09, 2022 84   @ Davidson L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 117   @ Massachusetts L 81-90 21%    
  Feb 16, 2022 115   George Mason L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 111   Dayton L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 62   @ Saint Louis L 71-84 13%    
  Feb 26, 2022 40   St. Bonaventure L 67-77 19%    
  Mar 02, 2022 243   @ La Salle L 74-75 45%    
  Mar 05, 2022 73   Rhode Island L 72-78 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.2 3.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 2.6 0.9 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.0 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.5 3.3 0.4 9.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 5.6 5.3 1.2 0.0 13.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 6.0 6.7 1.8 0.1 16.2 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 5.9 6.1 1.9 0.2 15.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 5.4 5.4 1.9 0.2 14.8 13th
14th 0.4 2.1 3.4 2.9 1.1 0.1 9.9 14th
Total 0.4 2.3 5.2 10.1 13.9 15.7 15.7 13.3 9.6 6.7 3.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 38.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 18.2% 18.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 13.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
10-8 3.8% 2.1% 2.1% 13.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 6.7% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-10 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 13.3
6-12 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
5-13 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.7
4-14 13.9% 13.9
3-15 10.1% 10.1
2-16 5.2% 5.2
1-17 2.3% 2.3
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%