Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#188
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#205
Pace69.7#179
Improvement+1.3#104

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#270
First Shot-3.3#271
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#203
Layup/Dunks-1.4#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
Freethrows+1.6#90
Improvement-1.7#305

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#114
First Shot+2.6#95
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#255
Layups/Dunks-1.3#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#99
Freethrows+2.2#50
Improvement+2.9#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 21.3% 46.4% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 20.6% 45.6% 19.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 2.9% 12.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 48 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 321 Lafayette W 85-76 84%     1 - 0 -3.5 +5.3 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 8 274 Drexel W 76-65 75%     2 - 0 +2.0 -2.4 +4.1
  Wed, Nov 12 74 @Virginia Tech L 59-94 12%     2 - 1 -24.3 -12.5 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 17 240 @Penn L 74-83 49%     2 - 2 -10.6 -5.4 -4.6
  Thu, Nov 20 133 @UNLV L 85-99 26%     2 - 3 -9.3 +3.6 -11.2
  Sun, Nov 30 248 Princeton W 60-58 62%     3 - 3 -3.0 -5.6 +2.9
  Sat, Dec 6 151 Temple W 70-69 41%     4 - 3 +1.5 +1.5 +0.2
  Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87-65 96%     5 - 3 -0.2 +7.2 -6.6
  Thu, Dec 11 75 @Syracuse L 63-71 13%     5 - 4 +2.6 -4.2 +6.7
  Thu, Dec 18 346 Delaware St. W 67-51 89%     6 - 4 +0.9 -7.2 +8.7
  Mon, Dec 22 230 Coastal Carolina L 62-68 70%     6 - 5 -13.2 -12.5 -0.7
  Wed, Dec 31 37 @Saint Louis L 67-85 5%    
  Sat, Jan 3 140 Davidson L 68-69 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 121 Duquesne L 76-77 45%    
  Sun, Jan 11 104 @Richmond L 67-76 19%    
  Wed, Jan 14 116 St. Bonaventure L 69-71 42%    
  Mon, Jan 19 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Jan 24 68 Dayton L 67-74 26%    
  Tue, Jan 27 270 @Loyola Chicago W 72-71 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 233 @La Salle L 67-68 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 77 George Washington L 74-80 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 88 @George Mason L 63-74 16%    
  Tue, Feb 10 193 Fordham W 68-65 62%    
  Wed, Feb 18 116 @St. Bonaventure L 66-74 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 270 Loyola Chicago W 75-68 74%    
  Wed, Feb 25 88 George Mason L 66-71 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 119 @Rhode Island L 66-74 23%    
  Wed, Mar 4 140 @Davidson L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 233 La Salle W 71-65 69%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 3.6 1.2 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.2 2.4 0.1 9.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.5 4.3 0.5 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.7 6.1 1.3 0.0 14.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.8 2.2 0.1 15.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.3 6.0 2.3 0.2 13.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.2 1.7 0.1 10.2 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 2.2 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.3 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.9 6.5 10.5 13.8 16.2 15.5 13.0 9.1 5.8 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 69.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 3.6% 3.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 1.5
11-7 3.3% 1.4% 1.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
10-8 5.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 5.8
9-9 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 9.1
8-10 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0
7-11 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 15.5
6-12 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 16.2
5-13 13.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.8
4-14 10.5% 10.5
3-15 6.5% 6.5
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%