Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.8 130
Expected Predictive Rating +3.3 108
Pace 69.5 151
Improvement +6.9 6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 244 D+ C+ C- C- B-
Defense B 60 B C D+ A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 222 C 58% 163 -0.7 206
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 322 D- 32% 336 -3.5 338
Three Pointers 49% 27 D 30% 315 +1.6 122
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 78 D+ -3.2 295
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 262
Second Chance B- 32.9% 107 C- 0.99 229 C+ 0.33 138
Turnovers C- 17.8% 246
Freethrows D+ 0.28 276 B- 75% 109 C- 0.21 238
Total Offense C- -2.7 244

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 62% 20 C- 11.9% 235
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 223 D 7.4% 312
Three Pointers C 84% 197 F 2.2% 356
Total B+ 66% 24 D+ 6.5% 278

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 307 B- 54% 75 -4.2 51
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 36 B- 35% 76 +1.4 295
Three Pointers 40% 222 C+ 33% 140 -1.0 140
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 34 B- -2.7 73
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 54
Second Chance C 30.8% 201 C 1.02 170 C 0.31 192
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 271
Freethrows A 0.22 9 B 70% 64 A 0.15 8
Total Defense B +4.5 60

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 83 B 15.5% 46
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 273 C- 4.0% 229
Three Pointers C- 86% 253 B+ 1.9% 42
Total C 55% 157 B- 7.1% 71

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 182 17.3 182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 143 0.16 131
Improvement +0.8 #142 +6.1 #6

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 158 132 110
Conference Record 9 - 9 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 12.9
.500 or above 99% 100% 93%
.500 or above in Conference 99% 100% 93%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 86.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 322 Lafayette W 85 - 76 91% +6  93% 1 - 0 C- -4 C+ +3 F+ A+ A D- -8 C F F+
 Sat, Nov 8 222 Drexel W 76 - 65 78% +1  44% 2 - 0 C+ +5 C- -1 D D- B- B+ +6 A+ F D-
 Wed, Nov 12 59 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 16% -20  1% 2 - 1 F -23 F -14 F C+ F D- -7 D D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 172 @Penn L 74 - 83 48% -1  30% 2 - 2 D+ -7 D -4 C F D+ C- -2 F+ A- B-
 Thu, Nov 20 125 @UNLV L 85 - 99 36% -4  17% 2 - 3 D -8 C- -0 D+ F B+ D -6 C+ D- D+
 Sun, Nov 30 250 Princeton W 60 - 58 74% +1  65% 3 - 3 C- -3 F -11 F A+ F A- +8 C- D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 152 Temple W 70 - 69 56% +2  55% 4 - 3 C +1 C +1 D- A- F+ C+ +0 C- B- A-
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 98% +14  87% 5 - 3 C +0 B +6 C+ C- B- D -5 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 70 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 19% -2  24% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ D+ D+ A +10 B+ A- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 361 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 97% +12  99% 6 - 4 C- -4 F -11 F B- D A- +8 A D- C+
 Mon, Dec 22 238 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 80% -2  30% 6 - 5 D- -13 F -16 F D- D- B- +2 B- D- C-
 Wed, Dec 31 23 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 6% -12  7% 6 - 6 0 - 1 C- -4 A+ +19 B- A+ A+ F -24 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 112 Davidson L 56 - 62 56% +5  84% 6 - 7 0 - 2 D+ -6 F -11 F+ C C B +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 110 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 54% -0  36% 7 - 7 1 - 2 B- +8 A- +10 A C+ A C- -3 C- D- C
 Sun, Jan 11 129 @Richmond W 67 - 65 38% +8  99% 8 - 7 2 - 2 B- +7 D- -6 C- D C+ A+ +13 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 143 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 64% +4  72% 9 - 7 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -6 D+ F+ D A +9 A+ B- D
 Mon, Jan 19 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 12% -0  37% 9 - 8 3 - 3 B- +7 C- -0 A D F A- +8 B+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 24 88 Dayton W 81 - 74 44% +3  54% 10 - 8 4 - 3 B +10 B- +4 C C+ A+ B+ +6 A- D B+
 Tue, Jan 27 277 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 70% +20  99% 11 - 8 5 - 3 A- +17 A +13 A- A+ C+ B+ +5 B B- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 212 @La Salle W 67 - 58 57% +7  89% 12 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C- -2 B- D+ F A+ +11 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 80 George Washington W 76 - 73 41% +4  73% 13 - 8 7 - 3 B- +7 C -0 A- D- F+ A- +7 A C- B
 Sat, Feb 7 105 @George Mason L 52 - 60 29% +0  43% 13 - 9 7 - 4 C -1 F -12 F A+ F A +10 A+ C+ D-
 Tue, Feb 10 158 Fordham L 64 - 68 68% +3  65% 13 - 10 7 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -3 B- C D- D+ -5 B D- F
 Wed, Feb 18 143 @St. Bonaventure W 71 - 65 41% +2  66% 14 - 10 8 - 5 B +10 D+ -4 F+ C A A+ +14 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 277 Loyola Chicago W 76 - 64 87%
 Wed, Feb 25 105 George Mason W 69 - 68 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 113 @Rhode Island L 65 - 70 33%
 Wed, Mar 4 112 @Davidson L 64 - 69 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 212 La Salle W 71 - 63 76%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 +2 C- -3 F D+ B- B +4 D B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D- D D+ 37% 24% 49% B- D+ B- C- C+ C- D+ B- C- B B- B- C+ B- 34% 26% 40% B+ B C C C D+ A B A
1.05 58% 32% 30% -3 +1 0.97 33% 1.0 .33 18% .28 75% .21 1.02 54% 35% 33% -3 -1 0.94 31% 1.0 .31 15% .22 70% .19
Nov
3		 Lafayette C+ D+ B+ F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F+ A- A+ A+ A B+ A+ A+ D- C+ D B C- 44% 19% 37% C C D- F F F+ F A+ C
1.20 56% 44% 23% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.4 .54 10% .35 86% .30 1.08 54% 40% 30% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 13% .37 52% .19
Nov
8		 Drexel C- C F C D 44% 25% 31% C+ D C- F D- B- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ 39% 23% 39% C+ A+ F F F D- B- B- B-
1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42 0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15
Nov
12		 Virginia Tech F F B+ F F 34% 20% 46% C+ F B- C- C+ F F A F D- F A+ D+ D 44% 20% 36% D+ D C D- D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07 1.27 78% 25% 36% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10
Nov
17		 Penn D B C- D+ C 36% 14% 50% C+ C B F F D+ C- C+ C C- C C+ F D- 47% 22% 31% F F+ D+ A+ A- B- D- F F
0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16 1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31
Nov
20		 UNLV C- D F B- D+ 37% 19% 44% C D+ C- F F B+ A+ C- A+ D C- A F+ B- 55% 25% 20% C- C+ F A- D- D+ F B- F
1.07 52% 27% 36% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.7 .20 15% .50 71% .35 1.24 61% 31% 40% +1 +1 1.06 51% 0.7 .37 15% .72 67% .49
Nov
30		 Princeton F B D- F F 40% 14% 47% C+ F B- A+ A+ F D A- C- A- A+ F D+ D 18% 27% 56% A+ C- A F D+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20 0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06
Dec
6		 Temple C D- A F F 41% 9% 50% B+ D- A+ F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D F B+ D+ 35% 22% 43% C+ C- F A+ B- A- F C F
1.11 50% 50% 27% -7 +2 0.91 49% 0.8 .41 19% .41 86% .35 1.09 63% 50% 30% +2 0 1.04 45% 0.5 .24 17% .46 75% .34
Dec
9		 Coppin St. B A A+ C+ C+ 23% 6% 70% C C+ F A+ C- B- B+ A+ A+ D F F A F 27% 43% 29% A+ F A+ A+ A+ F A F B-
1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36 0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19
Dec
11		 Syracuse D- A+ F F F 36% 20% 44% C- F+ C+ F D+ D+ A+ F+ A+ A C+ A+ F B+ 43% 29% 27% A- B+ A+ F A- C- F A+ D
0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32 1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25
Dec
18		 Delaware St. F C- F D F 38% 15% 48% C- F A F B- D C F D A- A+ A- A- A+ 37% 35% 29% C- A F+ D D- C+ A B+ A
0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21 0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13
Dec
22		 Coastal Carolina F D+ B+ F F 33% 20% 47% B+ F D F D- D- F+ A D B- D F A+ C+ 25% 42% 34% A+ B- B- F D- C- D+ C+ C-
0.87 50% 45% 19% -12 0 0.78 23% 0.8 .19 15% .23 79% .18 0.95 62% 50% 17% -3 -4 0.89 23% 1.4 .31 15% .28 71% .20
Dec
31		 Saint Louis A+ C F B+ B- 37% 21% 42% C+ B- A A+ A+ A+ A C+ A F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% B F B+ B- B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30 1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12
Jan
3		 Davidson F B- B+ F F 31% 26% 43% C- F+ C C C C A+ A- A+ B A+ C- B A+ 28% 23% 49% B A+ F F F A+ D- F F
0.92 62% 45% 17% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.0 .31 18% .42 71% .30 1.02 36% 44% 32% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.4 .54 23% .34 81% .28
Jan
7		 Duquesne A- B- A+ B- A 41% 14% 45% B+ A A- D- C+ A A B A C- C- F B- D 35% 18% 47% A C- F C D- C A+ F A-
1.21 61% 75% 36% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.8 .31 14% .42 76% .32 1.12 62% 64% 32% +5 0 1.12 37% 1.0 .37 17% .23 87% .20
Jan
11		 Richmond D- A F F D+ 36% 18% 46% B+ C- D- B- D C+ F F F A+ A+ A D+ A 9% 49% 42% A+ A+ A- C B+ F A- A A
0.96 70% 20% 27% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 16% .10 50% .05 0.93 40% 29% 38% -4 -6 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 St. Bonaventure D- D+ D C- D 45% 12% 43% B+ D+ C- F F+ D C+ A+ B+ A A+ A- C+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B+ A+ D- A B- D B+ C+ B+
1.03 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26 0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16
Jan
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C- D A+ A+ A 55% 9% 36% A+ A D D D F B+ F C+ A- A A+ D+ A- 40% 9% 51% C- B+ A F C D+ A- B A-
0.99 50% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 25% 0.9 .22 25% .35 63% .22 1.09 48% 20% 37% -3 +2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 14% .32 70% .22
Jan
24		 Dayton B- B- B- D C- 33% 10% 57% A- C C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D F+ A 53% 15% 33% D+ A- C F D B+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 59% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 16% .41 81% .33 0.99 41% 38% 39% -6 +2 0.93 28% 1.4 .38 20% .25 60% .15
Jan
27		 Loyola Chicago A A+ F B A- 44% 18% 38% B A- B- A+ A+ C+ F F F B+ D+ C B C+ 19% 25% 57% A+ B D A B- F+ A+ D- A
1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05 0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14
Jan
31		 La Salle C- D+ F A+ B 29% 11% 60% C+ B- D C+ D+ F C- A C+ A+ C- B- A+ B+ 44% 25% 31% C- B+ B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.03 54% 0% 44% +4 +1 1.11 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 75% .18 0.89 58% 36% 18% -8 0 0.85 30% 0.6 .18 12% .14 38% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 George Washington C B+ A B A- 35% 18% 47% C+ A- C F D- F+ D A+ C A- A+ F+ B- A 25% 7% 67% A- A F B+ C- B B+ B- B+
1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20 1.04 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
7		 George Mason F C+ F F F 21% 19% 60% C- F A+ A- A+ F F F F A A+ D- A A 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ C+ C C+ D- A+ F A+
0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04 1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19
Feb
10		 Fordham D+ F+ B- B+ C+ 34% 11% 55% A B- B D- C D- A+ F B+ D+ F A+ A- C+ 18% 36% 46% A+ B A- F D- F F F+ F
1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23 1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28
Feb
18		 St. Bonaventure D+ F A+ F F 42% 7% 51% A- F+ C+ C- C A F+ F F A+ A A+ C+ A+ 29% 36% 36% A+ A+ A- B- B+ D+ A+ F A+
1.02 43% 75% 29% -8 +2 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 13% .21 69% .15 0.94 47% 24% 33% -9 -3 0.80 30% 0.9 .27 16% .10 100% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.5 0.7 2nd
3rd 1.7 23.2 20.0 3.9 48.9 3rd
4th 0.0 8.1 11.5 0.6 20.2 4th
5th 0.5 12.0 1.5 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 2.5 5.8 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 3.9 0.8 4.8 7th
8th 0.3 1.9 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.5 0.3 0.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.9 9.2 28.4 36.3 20.8 4.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 4.5% 2.5% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4
12-6 20.8% 1.5% 1.5% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 20.5
11-7 36.3% 1.1% 1.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 35.9
10-8 28.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 28.2
9-9 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 9.1
8-10 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.6 99.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.1 11.8 64.7 20.6 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5%
Lose Out 0.6%