IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.1	#116
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.0	#87

Pace	69.5	#149
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#125

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.9	#110

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	5.8%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.1%	1.3%	0.3%
Average Seed	10.7	10.7	11.3

.500 or above	64.4%	69.6%	41.3%
.500 or above in Conference	52.6%	56.0%	37.7%
Conference Champion	5.3%	5.9%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	7.3%	6.0%	12.7%

First Four	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
First Round	4.8%	5.4%	2.2%
Second Round	1.3%	1.5%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 3	6 - 4	8 - 12
Quad 4	8 - 1	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	291	Lafayette	W	85-76	89%	1 - 0			-1.0	+7.1	-8.2
Nov 08, 2025	221	Drexel	W	70-60	82%
Nov 12, 2025	71	@ Virginia Tech	L	69-77	24%
Nov 19, 2025	278	@ Penn	W	76-70	71%
Nov 20, 2025	96	@ UNLV	L	67-72	32%
Nov 30, 2025	176	Princeton	W	72-68	65%
Dec 09, 2025	363	Coppin St.	W	80-58	97%
Dec 11, 2025	58	@ Syracuse	L	69-78	20%
Dec 18, 2025	339	Delaware St.	W	82-66	92%
Dec 22, 2025	282	Coastal Carolina	W	77-65	86%
Dec 31, 2025	70	@ Saint Louis	L	69-77	26%
Jan 03, 2026	140	Davidson	W	73-68	68%
Jan 07, 2026	110	Duquesne	W	69-67	59%
Jan 11, 2026	129	@ Richmond	L	67-69	44%
Jan 14, 2026	115	St. Bonaventure	W	69-66	60%
Jan 19, 2026	57	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	67-76	21%
Jan 24, 2026	59	Dayton	L	68-71	40%
Jan 27, 2026	108	@ Loyola Chicago	L	70-74	37%
Jan 31, 2026	193	@ La Salle	W	74-72	57%
Feb 04, 2026	79	George Washington	L	71-72	48%
Feb 07, 2026	89	@ George Mason	L	64-70	32%
Feb 10, 2026	170	Fordham	W	78-71	72%
Feb 18, 2026	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	66-69	40%
Feb 21, 2026	108	Loyola Chicago	W	73-71	57%
Feb 25, 2026	89	George Mason	W	67-66	52%
Feb 28, 2026	128	@ Rhode Island	L	74-76	44%
Mar 04, 2026	140	@ Davidson	L	70-71	47%
Mar 07, 2026	193	La Salle	W	77-69	75%
Projected Record						15 - 13	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.2	0.7	1.6	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1		5.3	1st
2nd												0.2	1.4	2.5	1.8	0.6	0.1				6.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.7	3.3	2.0	0.4	0.0					7.5	3rd
4th										0.1	1.3	3.5	2.3	0.4							7.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	3.7	2.9	0.6	0.0							8.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	3.0	4.0	1.0	0.0								8.4	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.1	4.4	1.8	0.1									8.4	7th
8th							0.0	1.2	4.5	2.5	0.2										8.4	8th
9th						0.0	0.7	3.5	3.7	0.5	0.0										8.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	2.6	3.9	1.1	0.0											8.1	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.8	3.4	1.7	0.1												7.2	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.3	3.0	1.8	0.3													6.5	12th
13th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.2	1.4	0.2	0.0													5.5	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0														4.0	14th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.0	4.4	6.8	8.8	10.8	11.8	11.3	11.2	9.3	7.9	5.6	3.8	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	91.7%	0.9		0.8	0.2	0.0
15-3	68.5%	1.4		0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-4	41.0%	1.6		0.6	0.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	13.0%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.3%	5.3		2.7	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0						0.0
17-1	0.3%		67.7%	41.5%	26.2%	7.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.1		44.7%
16-2	1.0%		56.9%	30.4%	26.5%	9.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0					0.4		38.0%
15-3	2.1%		33.6%	20.9%	12.8%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0					1.4		16.2%
14-4	3.8%		23.1%	17.4%	5.7%	10.8									0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.1	0.0				2.9		6.9%
13-5	5.6%		13.6%	11.2%	2.4%	11.0										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	0.0				4.9		2.7%
12-6	7.9%		9.5%	9.0%	0.5%	11.3											0.0	0.5	0.2	0.0				7.1		0.6%
11-7	9.3%		5.1%	4.9%	0.2%	11.5											0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0				8.9		0.2%
10-8	11.2%		3.3%	3.3%		11.8												0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			10.8
9-9	11.3%		1.8%	1.8%		12.2												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			11.1
8-10	11.8%		0.7%	0.7%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0			11.7
7-11	10.8%		0.3%	0.3%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			10.7
6-12	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		8.7
5-13	6.8%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		6.8
4-14	4.4%																							4.4
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.1%	4.1%	1.1%	10.7		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0		94.9		1.1%