Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#162
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#174
Pace71.7#93
Improvement+1.9#13

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#188
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#247
Layup/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#26
Freethrows-0.9#252
Improvement+0.6#76

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#151
First Shot+1.7#123
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#276
Layups/Dunks+3.3#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement+1.2#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.6% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.7
.500 or above 57.0% 65.7% 32.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.0% 65.7% 32.0%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.2% 2.6%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.0%
First Round2.2% 2.4% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Home) - 74.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 94 - 13
Quad 410 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 1   Houston L 55-81 5%     0 - 1 -6.5 -6.5 -0.5
  Nov 14, 2022 261   Lafayette W 63-59 79%     1 - 1 -4.1 -4.6 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2022 336   Albany W 99-79 89%     2 - 1 +6.6 +9.6 -4.8
  Nov 21, 2022 103   Georgia L 53-66 35%     2 - 2 -8.8 -17.2 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2022 129   South Florida L 62-75 42%     2 - 3 -10.7 -5.1 -6.5
  Nov 30, 2022 148   @ Penn W 85-80 OT 37%     3 - 3 +8.8 +2.1 +6.1
  Dec 03, 2022 307   Fairleigh Dickinson L 80-97 85%     3 - 4 -27.7 -4.5 -22.8
  Dec 06, 2022 98   @ Temple L 60-70 24%     3 - 5 -2.4 -6.2 +3.5
  Dec 10, 2022 263   St. Peter's W 73-57 79%     4 - 5 +7.8 +0.5 +7.7
  Dec 17, 2022 62   Villanova L 64-71 30%     4 - 6 -1.3 -3.9 +2.2
  Dec 19, 2022 323   Sacred Heart W 77-59 87%     5 - 6 +6.1 -8.2 +12.9
  Dec 22, 2022 329   Central Connecticut St. W 83-66 88%     6 - 6 +4.3 +8.0 -2.9
  Dec 31, 2022 79   Saint Louis L 78-83 36%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -1.1 -0.7 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2023 68   @ Dayton L 56-76 16%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -9.1 -1.9 -10.0
  Jan 07, 2023 132   @ Fordham L 54-66 34%     6 - 9 0 - 3 -7.3 -12.0 +4.3
  Jan 11, 2023 126   Duquesne L 80-92 53%     6 - 10 0 - 4 -12.4 +1.7 -13.5
  Jan 14, 2023 220   Loyola Chicago W 86-55 70%     7 - 10 1 - 4 +25.7 +7.2 +17.4
  Jan 16, 2023 230   @ La Salle W 71-59 54%     8 - 10 2 - 4 +11.2 -2.1 +13.1
  Jan 21, 2023 143   Massachusetts W 74-68 56%     9 - 10 3 - 4 +4.9 +4.1 +1.0
  Jan 25, 2023 191   @ George Washington L 91-92 OT 45%     9 - 11 3 - 5 +0.6 +3.7 -3.0
  Jan 29, 2023 122   @ George Mason W 79-76 31%     10 - 11 4 - 5 +8.4 +8.9 -0.5
  Feb 01, 2023 198   Rhode Island W 64-50 67%     11 - 11 5 - 5 +9.8 -8.7 +18.6
  Feb 05, 2023 230   La Salle W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 08, 2023 220   @ Loyola Chicago W 70-69 49%    
  Feb 11, 2023 191   George Washington W 78-74 66%    
  Feb 15, 2023 126   @ Duquesne L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 18, 2023 123   @ Davidson L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 21, 2023 74   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 26, 2023 147   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 01, 2023 125   Richmond W 69-68 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.2 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.7 1.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 3.8 4.1 0.3 8.3 4th
5th 1.7 8.4 1.7 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.1 7.2 5.3 0.2 12.7 6th
7th 1.4 10.5 1.1 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 6.0 5.4 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.7 9.3 1.1 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 3.3 5.7 0.1 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 5.5 1.3 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.7 3.6 0.1 5.4 12th
13th 0.2 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.9 13th
14th 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
Total 0.7 4.8 13.7 23.9 26.1 19.1 9.0 2.5 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 40.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 2.5% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 9.0% 4.2% 4.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.6
10-8 19.1% 2.9% 2.9% 15.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 18.5
9-9 26.1% 2.4% 2.4% 15.6 0.2 0.4 25.4
8-10 23.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 23.4
7-11 13.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.5
6-12 4.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 97.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 3.8% 13.3 2.5 1.3
Lose Out 0.7% 0.3% 16.0 0.3