Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +14.0 35
Results Rating +13.6 40
Consistency 0.20 353
Pace 76.1 22
Improvement -7.8 363

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 43 A C+ C C A
Defense B+ 35 A- A- C- C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 15 B 64% 63 +7.1 12
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 363 B- 42% 67 -5.3 363
Three Pointers 47% 51 A+ 41% 1 +8.7 8
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.4 2 A +7.6 9
1st FG Attempt A 1.23 1
Second Chance C+ 32.1% 121 C+ 1.05 140 C+ 0.34 118
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 237
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 114
Turnovers C 16.6% 173
Freethrows C 0.30 197 C+ 73% 165 C 0.22 185
Total Offense B+ +7.6 43

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 194 B- 9.5% 106
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 174 D- 8.2% 334
Three Pointers B 89% 60 C+ 0.7% 136
Total B 62% 54 C+ 5.3% 150


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 270 A- 49% 16 -4.9 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 87 C+ 37% 151 +0.9 260
Three Pointers 41% 179 B+ 31% 41 -2.1 96
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 84 A- -5.5 20
1st FG Attempt A- 0.90 25
Second Chance B+ 26.0% 37 A- 0.88 14 A- 0.23 18
Turnovers from Steals C 9.8% 163
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 315
Turnovers C- 16.0% 222
Freethrows C 0.31 194 C- 74% 252 C 0.23 208
Total Defense B+ +6.4 35

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 122 C 10.8% 182
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 194 C- 3.8% 237
Three Pointers C+ 82% 117 B- 1.4% 68
Total C+ 53% 120 C 5.3% 189

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.7 5 18.3 315
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 7 0.16 136
Consistency 0.15 350 0.15 323
Improvement -2.8 316 -5.0 350

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Likely In
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 39 36 30
Results Rating Rank 45 41 32
Conference Record 15 - 3 15 - 3 15 - 3
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 95% 93%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91% 90% 93%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 10.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four17% 12% 35%
First Round88% 91% 79%
Second Round41% 42% 35%
Sweet Sixteen9% 9% 8%
Elite Eight3% 3% 3%
Final Four1% 1% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 1
Quad 25 - 37 - 4
Quad 39 - 116 - 5
Quad 411 - 028 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 232 Southeast Missouri St. W 92 - 67 97% +10  75% 1 - 0 A- +18 B+ +8 A- C+ D A- +8 A A+ F
 Thu, Nov 6 347 Chicago St. W 108 - 86 99% +13  90% 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 A F B- C- -3 C- B- B-
 Mon, Nov 10 271 Lindenwood W 109 - 66 97% +22  98% 3 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +17 A+ A+ F A +11 C- B- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 59 Grand Canyon W 78 - 64 76% +11  93% 4 - 0 A +21 B- +5 A+ C F A+ +15 A+ A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 261 Purdue Fort Wayne W 91 - 60 97% +19  97% 5 - 0 A +23 A- +11 A+ C F+ A+ +11 A+ C C+
 Thu, Nov 27 45 Santa Clara W 71 - 70 55% -3  11% 6 - 0 B+ +14 C- -2 B- D- A A+ +16 A+ A+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 62 Stanford L 77 - 78 67% +6  77% 6 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 F+ A A- B+ +6 A A- C-
 Tue, Dec 2 165 @Loyola Marymount W 91 - 70 85% +12  94% 7 - 1 A+ +24 A- +11 A A+ F A+ +11 A B- C+
 Sun, Dec 7 269 Central Michigan W 107 - 65 97% +23  96% 8 - 1 A+ +33 A+ +28 A A+ A+ B+ +6 C+ A- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 116 San Francisco W 85 - 75 90% +1  50% 9 - 1 B +10 B+ +8 A D+ C+ B- +2 B+ B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 239 Bethune-Cookman W 112 - 53 97% +31  94% 10 - 1 A+ +51 A+ +24 A+ A+ D+ A+ +22 A+ A C-
 Sun, Dec 21 349 New Hampshire W 93 - 79 99% +3  65% 11 - 1 C- -3 B +6 C+ C- A- F -10 F A F
 Wed, Dec 31 110 Saint Joseph's W 102 - 79 89% +12  86% 12 - 1 1 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +38 A+ C A F -12 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 48 @Virginia Commonwealth W 71 - 62 49% +6  97% 13 - 1 2 - 0 A+ +23 D -5 C F B- A+ +28 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 210 @La Salle W 84 - 72 90% +12  99% 14 - 1 3 - 0 B+ +12 A +13 A+ D F+ C -0 B B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 157 Fordham W 78 - 56 93% +12  89% 15 - 1 4 - 0 A +19 A+ +16 A+ B+ A+ B+ +7 A A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 136 Richmond W 88 - 63 92% +19  97% 16 - 1 5 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 A D+ A A+ +12 A+ D C
 Tue, Jan 20 127 @Duquesne W 81 - 77 80% +5  80% 17 - 1 6 - 0 B +9 C +1 B- B+ D- A- +8 A+ D- C+
 Fri, Jan 23 139 @St. Bonaventure W 97 - 62 83% +25  98% 18 - 1 7 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +21 A+ B- B A+ +18 A+ A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 84 George Washington W 79 - 76 83% -5  11% 19 - 1 8 - 0 B- +7 D+ -3 C+ C C- A +10 A- A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 30 77 Dayton W 102 - 71 82% +18  99% 20 - 1 9 - 0 A+ +35 A+ +27 A+ A+ A- A- +7 C+ A B+
 Tue, Feb 3 109 @Davidson W 91 - 82 76% -1  39% 21 - 1 10 - 0 A- +16 A+ +21 A- A+ A- D -5 A- F F
 Sat, Feb 7 210 La Salle W 82 - 58 96% +7  82% 22 - 1 11 - 0 A +18 B- +4 A+ F B- A+ +14 A A+ B
 Fri, Feb 13 266 @Loyola Chicago W 86 - 59 93% +12  96% 23 - 1 12 - 0 A+ +24 B +7 A+ C F A+ +16 B+ A+ F+
 Tue, Feb 17 133 @Rhode Island L 76 - 81 81% -4  5% 23 - 2 12 - 1 C -0 C+ +2 B- D D- C- -2 D- A+ C-
 Fri, Feb 20 48 Virginia Commonwealth W 88 - 75 71% -4  24% 24 - 2 13 - 1 A +21 B +7 A+ B- F+ A+ +13 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 77 @Dayton L 62 - 77 64% -14  1% 24 - 3 13 - 2 C- -5 D -5 C- F C C+ +1 B D+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 127 Duquesne W 91 - 76 91% +1  50% 25 - 3 14 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +22 A+ B B+ D -6 C+ D+ D
 Wed, Mar 4 266 Loyola Chicago W 79 - 65 97% +8  85% 26 - 3 15 - 2 B- +5 A +14 A+ F B- D- -7 F A+ C+
 Sat, Mar 7 97 @George Mason L 57 - 86 70% -13  16% 26 - 4 15 - 3 F -20 F+ -8 F B F+ F -15 F F C
Totals 26 - 4 15 - 3 +14 B+ +8 A+ A A B+ +6 A+ C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B B- A+ A 46% 13% 47% A A C+ C+ C+ C C C+ C B+ A- C+ B+ A- 36% 23% 41% B- A- B+ A- A- C- C C- C
1.20 64% 42% 41% +8 +2 1.23 32% 1.1 .34 17% .30 73% .22 0.99 49% 37% 31% -5 -1 0.90 26% 0.9 .23 16% .31 74% .22
Nov
3		 Southeast Missouri St. B+ A+ D- D B 49% 5% 46% A A- A F C+ D F+ A- D A- B- B A B 25% 42% 32% A+ A A+ A+ A+ F F+ C D-
1.19 71% 33% 31% +4 +3 1.16 39% 0.9 .33 19% .34 81% .27 0.87 53% 32% 26% -7 -4 0.80 15% 0.7 .11 12% .38 69% .26
Nov
6		 Chicago St. B- A+ F A+ A 45% 4% 51% A- A F F F B- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F C C- 32% 38% 30% B- C- C B+ B- B- F D- F
1.26 76% 0% 43% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.6 .14 18% .47 91% .42 1.00 37% 48% 33% -3 -3 0.90 28% 0.8 .23 18% .50 80% .40
Nov
10		 Lindenwood A+ A+ F A+ A+ 58% 2% 40% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C A+ A D+ B- A- D+ 42% 27% 31% B C- B C B- A+ F A+ D-
1.35 76% 0% 50% +19 +4 1.48 48% 1.7 .83 25% .51 71% .36 0.81 60% 31% 27% -5 -1 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 30% .46 54% .25
Nov
15		 Grand Canyon B- B- F A+ A 46% 6% 48% A+ A+ B F+ C F C- A+ B- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 20% 44% B- A+ B- A+ A+ C- D+ F F+
1.04 58% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 24% .30 82% .25 0.86 50% 9% 25% -15 0 0.73 30% 0.5 .14 16% .35 86% .30
Nov
21		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- A A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 59% B- A+ A+ F C F+ B A+ A+ A+ A D- A+ A+ 28% 17% 56% B+ A+ B F C C+ C+ F C-
1.29 72% 67% 43% +15 +2 1.35 48% 0.7 .35 23% .31 94% .29 0.85 47% 44% 20% -14 0 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 16% .24 79% .19
Nov
27		 Santa Clara C- C A+ D C+ 45% 6% 49% A- B- C- F D- A C- F D A+ A A+ A+ A+ 53% 8% 39% F A+ A A- A+ B- F F F
1.00 59% 67% 29% -1 +2 1.04 29% 0.8 .23 16% .32 63% .20 0.99 48% 25% 25% -12 +3 0.84 31% 1.0 .31 17% .37 82% .31
Nov
28		 Stanford C+ F F F F 53% 10% 37% A+ F+ B+ A- A A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ 47% 7% 45% D+ A B+ A- A- C- F+ B- D
1.06 44% 20% 26% -13 +2 0.80 34% 1.2 .42 15% .46 93% .42 1.08 31% 0% 48% -6 +2 0.95 30% 0.8 .26 14% .38 71% .27
Dec
2		 Loyola Marymount A- A A+ D+ A- 52% 4% 45% A+ A A+ B- A+ F D A- C- A+ B D- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% F+ A B C+ B- C+ C D+ C
1.18 66% 50% 32% +3 +3 1.14 49% 1.1 .54 23% .25 80% .20 0.91 55% 45% 23% -7 0 0.89 23% 1.0 .23 18% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Central Michigan A+ A- B+ A 55% 0% 45% A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ C B- C+ B+ A+ F D C+ 30% 30% 40% B+ C+ B A A- C+ F C- F
1.55 69% 38% +9 +4 1.28 43% 1.5 .63 6% .34 73% .25 0.94 36% 50% 37% -1 -2 0.96 25% 0.9 .22 19% .41 70% .28
Dec
13		 San Francisco B+ A D D+ B+ 52% 12% 37% A+ A A- F D+ C+ A+ C- A+ B- B- F A+ B 17% 19% 64% A B+ A C- B+ D- C C C
1.21 70% 33% 32% +4 +2 1.15 36% 0.7 .25 13% .41 72% .29 1.06 56% 70% 26% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 13% .34 71% .24
Dec
17		 Bethune-Cookman A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 3% 48% A- A+ C+ A+ A+ D+ B F+ C A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 29% 31% B+ A+ A B+ A C- D C- D
1.45 64% 50% 57% +20 +3 1.48 34% 1.7 .59 17% .36 65% .23 0.68 45% 19% 12% -21 -1 0.58 21% 0.9 .19 18% .36 70% .25
Dec
21		 New Hampshire B C- F A+ C+ 40% 11% 49% B C+ B F C- A- A+ C- A+ F B F F F 31% 20% 49% A- F A+ D- A F C- B+ C+
1.25 57% 17% 42% +3 +1 1.11 34% 0.9 .29 11% .47 74% .35 1.07 50% 50% 41% +5 -1 1.12 11% 1.0 .11 12% .28 61% .17
Dec
31		 Saint Joseph's A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 7% 54% A+ A+ C- C+ C A D+ F+ D F B A+ D- B- 37% 21% 42% B+ B- D F F F F C F
1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12 1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30
Jan
7		 Virginia Commonwealth D D+ C+ F D 59% 8% 32% A+ C F F+ F B- D D+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% D A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ F D
0.92 51% 40% 26% -8 +3 0.93 15% 0.8 .13 16% .25 69% .17 0.81 39% 0% 27% -17 +2 0.71 20% 0.3 .07 16% .37 83% .31
Jan
10		 La Salle A A- A+ A+ A+ 56% 4% 40% A+ A+ B- F D F+ A+ B+ A+ C F D- A+ B- 36% 36% 29% A B C+ A B+ F F A- F
1.24 68% 50% 50% +16 +3 1.40 32% 0.9 .28 21% .41 73% .30 1.07 69% 44% 8% -6 -2 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 10% .64 67% .43
Jan
14		 Fordham A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% A A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C B C B+ A A- A A 35% 18% 47% C A D+ A+ A+ F C D- C-
1.28 75% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.24 28% 1.4 .38 10% .25 71% .18 0.92 47% 33% 26% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.4 .16 13% .25 77% .19
Jan
17		 Richmond A A+ A+ C- A 33% 15% 52% B+ A B F D+ A A A- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 17% 48% 35% A+ A+ B F D C D+ D- D-
1.27 78% 50% 32% +7 0 1.17 35% 0.8 .29 13% .38 78% .30 0.91 56% 27% 26% -10 -5 0.72 21% 1.4 .30 14% .35 81% .29
Jan
20		 Duquesne C F+ B A+ C+ 55% 14% 31% A B- C- A+ B+ D- A F B- A- A- A+ A+ A+ 39% 14% 46% B A+ F+ C- D- C+ F C- F
1.05 48% 43% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.4 .38 21% .41 64% .26 1.00 50% 25% 23% -13 +1 0.79 37% 1.1 .39 18% .49 74% .37
Jan
23		 St. Bonaventure A+ B- F A+ A+ 46% 2% 52% A+ A+ C A- B- B F F F A+ B C+ A+ A+ 32% 34% 34% A A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F
1.38 62% 0% 59% +20 +3 1.48 29% 1.2 .35 14% .15 44% .07 0.88 53% 39% 22% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.5 .14 16% .40 67% .27
Jan
27		 George Washington D+ D C- B- C 46% 6% 48% A C+ C+ D+ C C- A- F D+ A C F A+ A 43% 7% 50% C A- A A+ A+ C+ D+ A- C
1.04 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 50% .18 1.00 61% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 29% 0.8 .22 18% .34 67% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Dayton A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A- A D- B+ A- A F C C+ 47% 18% 35% C+ C+ A C+ A B+ A+ F A
1.40 55% 100% 59% +21 +3 1.49 26% 2.2 .57 18% .38 65% .25 0.98 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 20% 1.2 .23 21% .28 88% .24
Feb
3		 Davidson A+ B- D- A B+ 44% 12% 44% A A- A- A+ A+ A- A+ B+ A+ D C+ A+ B A 34% 19% 47% C A- B+ F F F D F F
1.31 61% 33% 39% +4 +2 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 14% .44 73% .32 1.18 56% 30% 32% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.7 .44 10% .34 76% .26
Feb
7		 La Salle B- A F A+ A+ 32% 10% 58% B- A+ F B F B- A B A A+ A- B A+ A+ 51% 22% 27% D- A C+ A+ A+ B B- C+ B-
1.16 69% 20% 45% +11 +1 1.26 14% 1.3 .18 16% .35 71% .25 0.82 46% 33% 20% -13 +1 0.78 33% 0.3 .11 20% .32 72% .23
Feb
13		 Loyola Chicago B D+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% A+ A+ C+ D+ C F F C- F A+ A F B+ B 21% 15% 64% A B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ A
1.18 52% 67% 50% +11 +2 1.29 31% 1.0 .31 19% .14 75% .10 0.81 45% 50% 29% -5 -1 0.91 15% 0.3 .05 15% .29 50% .15
Feb
17		 Rhode Island C+ F+ A+ A- C 54% 4% 42% A+ B- D+ D- D D- A+ A- A+ C- A+ F F F+ 36% 12% 52% C- D- A A+ A+ C- F F F
1.02 46% 50% 40% -2 +3 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 24% .46 77% .35 1.09 33% 67% 46% +4 +1 1.12 24% 0.4 .11 19% .45 85% .38
Feb
20		 Virginia Commonwealth B A- A+ A A+ 58% 7% 35% A+ A+ B+ D+ B- F+ B- F D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ 43% 4% 53% F+ A+ D- C+ D+ A+ F C- F
1.13 64% 50% 40% +7 +3 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 21% .31 53% .16 0.97 30% 0% 29% -18 +3 0.72 38% 1.1 .40 21% .52 75% .39
Feb
24		 Dayton D A- F F D+ 42% 19% 40% B+ C- D F F C C A+ B C+ C A+ C B 43% 19% 38% B B A+ F D+ D- F+ C+ D-
0.89 65% 22% 26% -5 0 0.94 24% 0.5 .12 22% .29 81% .24 1.11 60% 22% 33% -3 0 0.98 16% 2.4 .38 14% .47 75% .35
Feb
28		 Duquesne A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 36% 7% 58% A A+ C- A+ B B+ A+ A+ A+ D B+ F B- C+ 50% 12% 38% C- C+ D+ D+ D+ D F+ B- D
1.39 50% 67% 58% +20 +2 1.44 26% 1.3 .35 15% .43 88% .38 1.16 52% 67% 32% -1 +2 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 15% .41 70% .29
Mar
4		 Loyola Chicago A A A+ A+ A+ 58% 2% 40% A+ A+ D- F F B- B+ F C+ D- A F F F 42% 8% 50% D+ F A A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+
1.33 68% 100% 53% +18 +4 1.47 23% 0.8 .18 12% .34 67% .23 1.09 45% 50% 50% +8 +2 1.21 22% 0.3 .07 20% .15 71% .11
Mar
7		 George Mason F+ C D+ F F 45% 12% 43% A F B- B+ B F+ C F D F F F F F 36% 34% 30% A F F B- F C A+ F A-
0.91 59% 33% 14% -13 +2 0.80 30% 1.1 .33 19% .24 58% .14 1.37 82% 50% 50% +20 -2 1.38 48% 0.9 .44 16% .25 85% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 94.9% 43.0% 52.0% 9.7 0.0 0.5 2.1 9.0 23.5 42.2 17.5 0.2 5.1 91.1%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.9% 43.0% 52.0% 9.7 5.1 91.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 43.0% 100.0% 9.2 0.0 1.2 4.2 16.4 33.9 35.7 8.4 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 19.3% 88.4% 9.9 0.8 4.6 19.0 43.4 20.5 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.7% 91.8% 10.0 0.2 0.4 2.9 14.9 48.7 24.4 0.3
Lose Out 20.1% 93.1% 10.1 0.1 2.4 13.0 49.3 28.1 0.2