St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.0 143
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 147
Pace 66.4 242
Improvement -3.6 311

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 103 B- C+ C- C- D+
Defense C- 223 C- C C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 123 C 59% 149 +1.5 117
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 56 A- 46% 25 +3.9 31
Three Pointers 33% 326 B- 36% 94 -2.7 271
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.5 261 B +3.3 76
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 91
Second Chance B 35.3% 53 D+ 0.97 263 C+ 0.34 103
Turnovers C- 17.4% 214
Freethrows D 0.27 291 B 76% 53 C- 0.21 235
Total Offense C+ +2.6 103

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 59% 38 C 11.0% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 52 B+ 2.1% 20
Three Pointers B- 89% 76 C- 1.2% 262
Total B- 61% 78 C+ 5.4% 159

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 C 59% 196 +0.9 210
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 183 C 39% 205 +0.0 188
Three Pointers 40% 218 D+ 36% 285 +0.9 234
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 189 C- +1.7 252
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 240
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 130 C- 1.05 219 C 0.31 164
Turnovers C 17.1% 166
Freethrows C+ 0.28 119 F+ 77% 353 C 0.22 178
Total Defense C- -1.6 223

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 289 B+ 16.2% 34
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 239 C 5.1% 153
Three Pointers D 88% 299 C 0.9% 152
Total D+ 60% 286 B+ 7.9% 41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 142 17.8 268
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 47 0.17 193
Improvement -0.6 #221 -2.9 #317

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 174 144 120
Conference Record 3 - 15 5 - 13 7 - 11
Conference Finish 13 12 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.3 14.0
.500 or above 52% 76% 40%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 7% 1% 11%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 35.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 36 - 78 - 13
Quad 48 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 120 Bradley W 69 - 63 43% +4  82% 1 - 0 B +9 C- -1 D C- C- A +10 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 343 Canisius W 89 - 70 93% +10  87% 2 - 0 C+ +4 A+ +17 C- A+ B+ F -12 F B- D
 Wed, Nov 12 192 Siena W 75 - 66 72% +3  63% 3 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +3 C A+ D C+ +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 196 Youngstown St. W 84 - 80 72% +1  54% 4 - 0 C -1 B +6 A+ B- D- D- -7 C+ F C-
 Thu, Nov 20 177 Robert Morris W 75 - 61 69% +7  97% 5 - 0 B +10 C- -2 C+ C F A+ +12 A+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 25 30 North Carolina L 70 - 85 11% -8  1% 5 - 1 C -0 C- -1 C+ B- B C+ +1 C- D A
 Thu, Nov 27 242 East Carolina W 67 - 58 70% +3  90% 6 - 1 C+ +5 F -10 F D+ D- A+ +15 A+ A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 118 @Florida Atlantic W 70 - 65 32% +4  87% 7 - 1 B +11 B- +4 A+ F+ D+ A- +7 A D B
 Sat, Dec 6 213 @Buffalo W 77 - 69 54% +7  98% 8 - 1 B +8 C+ +2 C+ A- F B+ +6 D F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 237 Colgate W 85 - 77 78% -3  32% 9 - 1 C +1 B +6 C+ B- D D -5 B F F
 Sat, Dec 13 208 Ohio L 83 - 88 OT 65% -2  16% 9 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ C D D -5 F+ F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 296 Le Moyne W 92 - 81 86% +2  68% 10 - 2 C +0 A+ +15 A B+ B+ F -14 C F F+
 Wed, Dec 31 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 82 - 89 11% -0  43% 10 - 3 0 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A- B+ B D- -8 D+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 7 129 Richmond L 80 - 89 58% -7  2% 10 - 4 0 - 2 D -10 B- +4 D+ A+ A+ F -14 D+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 158 Fordham L 77 - 81 65% -2  26% 10 - 5 0 - 3 D+ -7 B +7 B+ A+ C- F -14 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 130 @Saint Joseph's L 64 - 68 36% -4  21% 10 - 6 0 - 4 C +1 C- -2 F+ C- C B- +2 C- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 212 @La Salle L 74 - 78 54% -2  19% 10 - 7 0 - 5 C- -4 B+ +8 A+ F C F -13 F F A+
 Tue, Jan 20 277 Loyola Chicago W 84 - 70 84% -3  28% 11 - 7 1 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 D+ D+ A+ C -1 F A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 23 Saint Louis L 62 - 97 13% -25  0% 11 - 8 1 - 6 F -22 D- -7 C- D- C F -15 F C D
 Wed, Jan 28 110 @Duquesne W 87 - 79 29% -2  29% 12 - 8 2 - 6 A- +15 A+ +15 A+ D+ A+ C -1 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 105 George Mason L 73 - 77 48% +8  96% 12 - 9 2 - 7 C- -3 D+ -2 A+ D F+ C -0 D- C- A+
 Tue, Feb 3 88 @Dayton L 70 - 72 21% -3  16% 12 - 10 2 - 8 B- +7 B+ +8 B+ B- B- C -0 B B- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 158 @Fordham W 70 - 67 43% -0  43% 13 - 10 3 - 8 B- +6 B+ +8 A+ B F C- -2 F+ A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 110 Duquesne L 73 - 78 51% -7  5% 13 - 11 3 - 9 C- -4 C- -1 C- B D D+ -4 C+ A- F
 Wed, Feb 18 130 Saint Joseph's L 65 - 71 59% -2  29% 13 - 12 3 - 10 D+ -7 D- -7 F+ D+ C- C -0 B- C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 129 @Richmond L 74 - 78 35%
 Wed, Feb 25 113 Rhode Island W 72 - 71 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 105 @George Mason L 69 - 75 28%
 Wed, Mar 4 80 @George Washington L 75 - 84 20%
 Sat, Mar 7 112 Davidson W 71 - 70 53%
Totals 15 - 15 5 - 13 +1 C+ +3 C- B D+ C- -2 B- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C A- B- B 41% 49% 33% D+ B- B D+ C+ C- D B C- C- C C D+ C- 40% 20% 40% C C- C+ C- C C C+ F+ C
1.12 59% 46% 36% +3 -1 1.08 35% 1.0 .34 17% .27 76% .21 1.11 59% 39% 36% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.0 .31 17% .28 77% .21
Nov
3		 Bradley C- F A- C+ D 30% 30% 40% C- D A- F C- C- C- B C A F F A D+ 33% 25% 41% B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A B+ A+
1.04 40% 47% 35% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.7 .28 20% .32 76% .24 0.95 71% 46% 29% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.0 .00 14% .23 69% .16
Nov
8		 Canisius A+ C B+ C C 33% 24% 43% D C- A+ B- A+ B+ C+ A- B- F F F F F 29% 31% 40% A- F B- C+ B- D D C- D
1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25 1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23
Nov
12		 Siena C+ F A+ B C 51% 32% 17% C- C A A+ A+ D C D- C- C+ A+ F A A+ 34% 39% 27% A A+ F F F A F C F
1.17 46% 60% 38% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .57 19% .29 67% .19 1.03 27% 53% 25% -9 -3 0.80 45% 1.2 .55 22% .48 75% .36
Nov
15		 Youngstown St. B A- A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C A+ A- D B- D- C+ D- C D- D A+ B C+ 40% 8% 52% D- C+ C- F F C- D B+ D+
1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25 1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21
Nov
20		 Robert Morris C- B F D C 56% 10% 33% A C+ A+ F C F F+ A- D A+ A+ D A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A+ B B B A- C F F
1.09 63% 20% 31% 0 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26 0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22
Nov
25		 North Carolina C- F C A C 43% 28% 28% B- C+ C+ B B- B F+ F F+ C+ C+ B+ F D+ 43% 20% 37% C C- C+ F D A F F F
0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08 1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36
Nov
27		 East Carolina F C D+ F+ D- 23% 38% 40% F F D B- D+ D- C- A+ C+ A+ A+ B C- A+ 40% 27% 33% C A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.95 58% 35% 29% -4 -3 0.87 25% 1.2 .31 20% .25 86% .21 0.82 22% 33% 33% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.6 .19 24% .47 84% .39
Nov
30		 Florida Atlantic B- C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 14% 30% B+ A+ F C F+ D+ A+ F B+ A- A+ F A A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A D C- D B B- A- B+
1.08 54% 67% 46% +7 +2 1.21 15% 1.0 .15 18% .41 64% .26 1.00 41% 57% 27% -8 +1 0.87 36% 1.1 .41 20% .27 64% .17
Dec
6		 Buffalo C+ B+ C- B B- 36% 18% 47% D+ C+ A+ D- A- F C+ A+ B+ B+ F B+ C D 43% 13% 43% D D A- F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.15 69% 38% 38% +7 0 1.16 52% 0.8 .42 25% .28 86% .24 1.03 70% 33% 35% +5 +1 1.15 21% 1.8 .38 25% .22 64% .14
Dec
10		 Colgate B A+ B F B 38% 33% 29% F+ C+ A+ F B- D A A A+ D D C A+ B 37% 30% 33% B- B F F+ F F D A+ B
1.22 75% 41% 27% +4 -2 1.08 43% 0.8 .35 17% .42 79% .33 1.10 62% 41% 26% -1 -1 0.96 37% 1.1 .41 9% .30 53% .16
Dec
13		 Ohio C- C- B- F+ C- 43% 33% 24% D- D+ B+ F+ C D C- A+ B D D+ F C+ F 33% 33% 35% A- F+ B F F D+ A+ F A-
1.08 56% 42% 29% -2 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27 1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17
Dec
20		 Le Moyne A+ F+ F A+ A 40% 12% 49% B A B+ B B+ B+ A+ B A+ F C- B- B- C+ 39% 12% 49% D+ C F F F F+ F F F
1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45 1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33
Dec
31		 Virginia Commonwealth A+ B+ D A+ A 49% 34% 17% D A- A- C+ B+ B D+ A+ B D- F A- A+ C- 48% 13% 40% D+ D+ A+ F C- F F F F
1.21 62% 33% 56% +6 -1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 15% .26 93% .24 1.31 78% 33% 26% +5 +2 1.15 20% 2.0 .40 10% .46 93% .43
Jan
7		 Richmond B- F A+ F D- 41% 17% 41% A- D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F F F C+ C D 35% 29% 35% C- D+ F+ F F C F C F
1.15 46% 60% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.6 .53 10% .21 62% .13 1.28 76% 36% 35% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 14% .50 77% .39
Jan
10		 Fordham B B+ D+ A A- 27% 24% 49% C B+ B A+ A+ C- F A+ D+ F D A+ F F 51% 16% 33% F F A- A+ A+ F F F F
1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16 1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
14		 Saint Joseph's C- F D+ C F+ 39% 33% 28% D+ F+ A- F C- C C B+ C+ B- B- C+ C- C- 45% 12% 43% D C- B+ A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16 1.03 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 La Salle B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- F F C F F F F F A- F F 33% 33% 33% A F D- F F A+ F F F
1.17 64% 64% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.5 .19 17% .17 56% .10 1.23 85% 31% 54% +16 -2 1.31 39% 1.3 .50 27% .43 100% .43
Jan
20		 Loyola Chicago B- C F B+ D+ 32% 27% 41% D D+ F+ A- D+ A+ C+ A+ A C D- A+ F F 35% 13% 52% C+ F B A+ A+ A- B- D- C
1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29 1.02 65% 17% 44% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21
Jan
23		 Saint Louis D- C C+ F C 32% 34% 34% F+ C- B- F D- C A F+ B F C A+ F F 46% 2% 52% D+ F B F+ C D A+ A+ A+
0.88 53% 39% 22% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.5 .14 16% .40 67% .27 1.38 62% 0% 59% +20 +3 1.48 29% 1.2 .35 14% .15 44% .07
Jan
28		 Duquesne A+ D A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% C- A+ F A+ D+ A+ A A A+ C A+ F F F+ 40% 12% 48% C+ D- C A+ A+ D- C- A+ A-
1.24 52% 64% 50% +12 -1 1.24 16% 1.5 .24 11% .42 81% .34 1.13 45% 67% 46% +7 +1 1.18 30% 0.5 .14 14% .37 55% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 George Mason D+ C- A+ A+ A+ 47% 29% 24% C+ A+ F+ B- D F+ A+ F A C F F A+ D 50% 12% 38% F D- C- C C- A+ A+ B+ A+
1.04 57% 62% 45% +11 0 1.22 19% 1.0 .19 20% .44 56% .25 1.09 73% 67% 25% +6 +2 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 23% .28 67% .18
Feb
3		 Dayton B+ A+ A+ F A- 32% 30% 38% D B+ A- D+ B- B- B- A+ A- C F+ A+ B- B 40% 16% 44% B- B B- C+ B- D+ F F F
1.10 87% 50% 22% +6 -2 1.11 37% 0.9 .33 20% .33 82% .28 1.13 71% 0% 32% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .61 85% .52
Feb
7		 Fordham B+ A A+ A+ A+ 30% 48% 23% F A+ A+ F+ B F F B- F C- D A- F F+ 35% 20% 46% C F+ C A+ A B- D C- D
1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11 1.08 63% 33% 38% +3 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20
Feb
14		 Duquesne C- C+ B+ F C+ 41% 43% 16% F C- B- B B D B+ C+ B+ D+ C A D+ C+ 39% 12% 49% B- C+ A+ C A- F A+ B- A
1.06 60% 43% 25% +1 -3 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 20% .40 73% .29 1.13 59% 29% 36% +1 +1 1.05 21% 1.0 .21 9% .25 69% .17
Feb
18		 Saint Joseph's D- F+ F C D- 29% 36% 36% D- F+ C- D D+ C- F A+ D- C A+ F B+ B+ 42% 7% 51% D- B- B- C C+ F B+ B+ A-
0.94 47% 24% 33% -9 -3 0.80 30% 0.9 .27 16% .10 100% .10 1.02 43% 75% 29% -8 +2 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 13% .21 69% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 0.4 1.2 9th
10th 2.3 3.4 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.3 7.5 13.7 2.2 0.0 23.6 11th
12th 1.4 14.4 21.7 4.7 0.0 42.2 12th
13th 7.6 13.4 4.7 0.2 25.9 13th
14th 0.8 0.1 0.9 14th
Total 9.8 28.2 33.9 20.9 6.4 0.9 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.9
7-11 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
6-12 20.9% 0.4% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.8
5-13 33.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.8
4-14 28.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 28.1
3-15 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 9.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 13.7 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.7%