North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +14.0 39
INCC Stats Results Rating +12.1 46
Consistency 0.21 361
Pace 72.0 85
Improvement -5.5 347

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 25 B+ B A B B
Defense B+ 76 C+ B B+ C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 106 B- 62% 78 +3.4 63
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 284 C- 36% 239 -2.6 302
Three Pointers 44% 120 A- 39% 13 +5.1 31
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 62 B+ +4.8 42
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 32
Second Chance C 31.0% 161 A 1.24 10 B 0.38 46
Opponents' Steals A 6.7% 8
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 28
Turnovers A 12.5% 7
Freethrows B- 0.33 93 B 76% 41 B 0.25 59
Total Offense A- +10.0 25

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 152 B+ 8.0% 32
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 224 B+ 2.4% 23
Three Pointers B- 87% 110 B- 0.6% 113
Total B- 60% 83 B+ 3.9% 23


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 254 B- 54% 68 -2.7 86
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 309 B- 36% 92 -2.0 33
Three Pointers 47% 29 C 34% 174 +3.0 312
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 B- -1.9 102
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.99 123
Second Chance B 26.5% 52 B- 0.96 81 B 0.26 45
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.3% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 130
Turnovers B+ 19.8% 30
Freethrows C 0.30 180 B+ 69% 34 C+ 0.21 140
Total Defense B+ +4.0 76

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 22 B- 14.1% 57
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 119 B 7.7% 45
Three Pointers B+ 78% 36 C- 0.7% 196
Total B- 51% 96 B- 6.8% 83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 30 18.5 323
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 83 0.17 192
Consistency 0.15 328 0.16 356
Improvement -0.9 238 -4.6 346



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 348 NC Central W 114 - 65 99% +28  99% 1 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +24 A+ A+ A+ B+ +5 C- B- A+
Fri, Nov 7 124 UAB W 94 - 70 90% +11  85% 2 - 0 A +24 A +13 A+ A+ D- A +9 A- C A+
Wed, Nov 12 300 UNC Greensboro W 110 - 64 98% +15  90% 3 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +19 B A+ A+ A+ +12 A+ B A+
Mon, Nov 17 49 VCU W 85 - 79 68% +4  93% 4 - 0 B+ +15 B+ +9 B- A+ F B+ +6 B B- B-
Mon, Nov 24 52 Seton Hall L 74 - 85 58% -8  3% 4 - 1 C +1 B- +5 B D A+ D+ -4 D F+ B+
Tue, Nov 25 60 Boise St. W 81 - 70 65% +5  82% 5 - 1 A +21 A- +9 A+ F+ C+ A- +12 B- A+ A+
Wed, Nov 26 28 Texas L 97 - 102 45% -4  14% 5 - 2 B +10 A+ +23 A+ A+ A+ F -12 F C- F
Wed, Dec 3 38 Auburn L 73 - 83 38% -5  14% 5 - 3 B- +7 C+ +1 C F A+ B+ +6 F A+ A+
Sat, Dec 6 237 UNC Asheville W 75 - 63 97% +3  66% 6 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 D+ A+ D A- +6 A- B- A-
Wed, Dec 10 126 Liberty W 85 - 45 91% +25  97% 7 - 3 A+ +40 A +8 A F A+ A+ +33 A+ A+ A+
Sat, Dec 13 21 Kansas L 76 - 77 OT 48% -1  35% 7 - 4 B+ +14 C+ +6 B C- A+ A +8 B- A+ D-
Wed, Dec 17 316 Texas Southern W 108 - 72 99% +24  98% 8 - 4 A +23 A+ +25 A A+ A+ D+ -3 A- F C+
Sun, Dec 21 64 Mississippi W 76 - 62 67% +15  93% 9 - 4 A +24 B- +7 A+ B+ F A+ +17 B A+ A+
Wed, Dec 31 71 Wake Forest W 70 - 57 78% +7  73% 10 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 D+ -6 C+ F D A+ +25 A+ A+ A+
Sat, Jan 3 18 Virginia L 61 - 76 45% -13  0% 10 - 5 1 - 1 C +0 D+ -2 D C+ C+ C+ +1 D+ D A+
Tue, Jan 6 136 Boston College W 79 - 71 81% +7  93% 11 - 5 2 - 1 B+ +13 A+ +23 A A+ A+ F+ -9 F D A+
Sat, Jan 10 66 Florida St. W 113 - 69 56% +24  99% 12 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +56 A+ +31 A+ A+ A+ A+ +21 A+ C B+
Sat, Jan 17 143 Georgia Tech L 74 - 78 93% -1  39% 12 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- F+ A C -1 F B- A
Tue, Jan 20 41 Clemson W 80 - 76 OT 40% +3  65% 13 - 6 4 - 2 A +21 A +13 A- F+ A+ A +8 B- C- A
Sat, Jan 24 93 Pittsburgh W 81 - 72 69% -1  32% 14 - 6 5 - 2 A- +18 A +12 B- C A+ A- +6 A+ F A
Tue, Jan 27 84 Syracuse W 88 - 68 82% +7  100% 15 - 6 6 - 2 A +24 A+ +14 A+ A- B+ A+ +10 A+ D C
Sat, Jan 31 71 Wake Forest W 96 - 78 58% +11  93% 16 - 6 7 - 2 A+ +30 A+ +25 A+ B+ A+ B- +5 B- B D+
Tue, Feb 3 45 SMU W 84 - 83 44% -1  37% 17 - 6 8 - 2 A- +17 A+ +13 A C+ A+ B +4 D+ A+ C
Sat, Feb 7 57 Virginia Tech W 82 - 73 74% +8  94% 18 - 6 9 - 2 A- +16 B +7 A D- B+ A- +9 A+ F+ A+
Mon, Feb 9 20 Louisville L 77 - 118 25% -21  0% 18 - 7 9 - 3 F -20 C- +1 D+ C- A+ F -16 F A+ F+
Sat, Feb 14 32 Miami (FL) L 76 - 77 58% +1  54% 18 - 8 9 - 4 B +11 A +12 A- A A- C -1 A+ F+ D+
Tue, Feb 17 31 North Carolina W 82 - 58 57% +13  95% 19 - 8 10 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ A+ +19 A+ A- A+
Tue, Feb 24 18 Virginia L 61 - 90 24% -12  0% 19 - 9 10 - 5 D+ -8 D -5 C- D- B D+ -3 D D+ B
Sat, Feb 28 91 Notre Dame L 90 - 96 OT 68% +4  86% 19 - 10 10 - 6 C+ +3 A+ +16 B A A+ F -13 F C+ C+
Mon, Mar 2 3 Duke L 64 - 93 20% -15  10% 19 - 11 10 - 7 D+ -6 C+ +5 C A+ A+ F -14 D F+ F
Sat, Mar 7 61 Stanford L 84 - 85 76% -2  19% 19 - 12 10 - 8 B- +6 A +13 C+ A+ B- F+ -7 D- C D-
Wed, Mar 11 93 Pittsburgh W 98 - 88 78% +3  63% 20 - 12 A- +16 A+ +31 A+ A A+ F -15 F B+ C
Thu, Mar 12 18 Virginia L 74 - 81 34% -2  36% 20 - 13 B +11 B+ +9 B- C+ B B- +2 C- A+ C-
Tue, Mar 17 28 Texas L 66 - 68 45% -4  11% 20 - 14 B+ +13 D+ -3 D- C+ A A+ +17 A+ A A-
Totals 20 - 14 10 - 8 +14 A- +10 C B+ B B+ +4 A- B B


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- C- A- B+ 41% 29% 44% B B+ C A B A B- B B B+ B- B- C B- 36% 17% 47% C- C+ B B- B B+ C B+ C+
1.22 62% 36% 39% +5 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .38 12% .33 76% .25 0.99 54% 36% 34% -2 0 0.99 27% 1.0 .26 20% .30 69% .23
Nov
3		 NC Central A+ A+ F A+ A+ 26% 9% 64% C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ D- C+ A- C- 37% 21% 42% C- C- A F B- A+ F A+ F
1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33 0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33
Nov
7		 UAB A A+ A+ C+ A+ 38% 12% 50% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A B F A+ A 45% 19% 36% D A- F A C A+ A A+ A+
1.26 80% 50% 35% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 19% .36 82% .30 0.94 54% 55% 14% -9 +1 0.84 39% 0.8 .32 19% .23 57% .13
Nov
12		 UNCG A+ B D A+ B 38% 15% 48% B B D A+ A+ A+ A- A- A A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 21% 54% C+ A+ A D B A+ F A- F
1.48 65% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.23 26% 2.0 .53 5% .33 78% .26 0.86 40% 38% 24% -13 -1 0.74 19% 1.1 .21 22% .70 63% .45
Nov
17		 VCU B+ F A+ B+ B 36% 22% 42% D+ B- A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ C+ B 23% 7% 70% B- B B+ D+ B- B- A- A A
1.15 44% 50% 37% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 23% .58 82% .48 1.07 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .33 16% .29 67% .19
Nov
24		 Seton Hall B- F+ A+ C B 40% 13% 46% B- B D- C D A+ C+ B- B- D+ D D- B D+ 45% 14% 41% D- D A+ F F+ B+ F+ F F
1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26 1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33
Nov
25		 Boise St. A- B A A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B A+ C+ F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ F D+ B- 24% 9% 67% B- B- B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.16 63% 50% 45% +11 0 1.24 23% 0.6 .13 14% .38 78% .30 1.00 45% 50% 37% +1 +1 1.04 33% 0.5 .16 21% .58 66% .38
Nov
26		 Texas A+ A+ F A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- A F D F F F 26% 11% 64% C F A+ F C- F F F F
1.35 71% 21% 47% +7 0 1.16 24% 1.8 .42 8% .42 71% .30 1.42 67% 60% 47% +17 0 1.36 23% 2.0 .46 10% .51 85% .43
Dec
3		 Auburn C+ B+ D D+ C 34% 16% 50% B- C D- F F A+ F+ A+ D+ B+ F A+ F F 40% 10% 50% D+ F A+ B+ A+ A+ D- F F
1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18 1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38
Dec
6		 NC Asheville C- A F+ F D 48% 12% 40% B D+ D+ A+ A+ D D- A+ C A- A+ A- F B 13% 46% 42% A+ A- A- D- B- A- C+ F C-
1.11 71% 33% 20% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.7 .47 18% .27 80% .22 0.93 33% 32% 40% -2 -5 0.88 24% 1.1 .26 21% .32 76% .24
Dec
10		 Liberty A A F A A- 46% 13% 41% B+ A D F F A+ A F+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ 43% 0% 57% D+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+
1.26 68% 29% 41% +8 +2 1.20 26% 0.9 .24 12% .32 68% .22 0.67 52% 21% -13 +3 0.82 15% 0.3 .05 25% .20 30% .06
Dec
13		 Kansas C+ B D F B- 37% 15% 48% A- B C- C- C- A+ C B+ C+ A C+ A D+ B 33% 18% 49% D+ B- A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
1.01 58% 30% 26% -7 +1 0.89 23% 0.8 .19 9% .22 73% .16 1.03 60% 27% 37% +1 0 1.03 23% 0.8 .19 11% .15 60% .09
Dec
17		 TX Southern A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 11% 58% C- A A+ A- A+ A+ A- A+ A+ D+ B- C A+ A 43% 15% 43% F A- F D F C+ D- D F+
1.52 56% 67% 45% +13 +1 1.28 49% 1.2 .60 10% .42 85% .36 1.01 52% 38% 22% -10 +1 0.83 35% 1.1 .40 18% .34 75% .26
Dec
21		 Ole Miss B- A+ F C+ A+ 29% 14% 57% B A+ D A+ B+ F F F F A+ F B- B+ B+ 19% 23% 57% D B A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C+
1.09 87% 14% 34% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 23% .24 54% .13 0.89 78% 36% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 21% .33 67% .22
Dec
31		 Wake Forest D+ A- F F C 46% 15% 38% B C+ C- F F D C A B A+ A+ F+ A A+ 37% 8% 55% D- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A A+
0.98 67% 25% 25% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.6 .17 21% .30 82% .25 0.80 42% 50% 29% -9 +2 0.86 25% 0.4 .10 22% .23 69% .16
Jan
3		 Virginia D+ B F F D 32% 30% 39% C- D D A+ C+ C+ A+ B A+ C+ C+ F C- D 27% 9% 64% B- D+ B+ F D A+ C C+ C
0.95 57% 23% 24% -11 -2 0.77 21% 1.1 .24 16% .46 80% .37 1.18 58% 100% 36% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.4 .50 22% .30 73% .22
Jan
6		 Boston Col A+ F B- A+ A 42% 20% 38% B- A A- A+ A+ A+ F F F F+ D- B+ F F 45% 16% 39% F F F B+ D A+ F F F
1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11 1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36
Jan
10		 FL St. A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 22% 29% 49% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 8% 45% D- A+ A+ F C B+ F B F
1.46 77% 35% 55% +19 -2 1.36 37% 1.8 .67 12% .34 78% .26 0.89 54% 0% 22% -13 +2 0.80 15% 2.5 .38 17% .45 69% .31
Jan
17		 GA Tech D D- F B D+ 39% 11% 50% A C- F D+ F+ A A+ F B C B- F F F 43% 15% 43% F+ F A F B- A F A+ D
1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25 1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25
Jan
20		 Clemson A B+ F B B+ 40% 17% 42% B+ A- D- F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A D+ A+ C B 36% 9% 55% D+ B- B- D- C- A F+ A+ C
1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34 1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26
Jan
24		 Pitt A B F B B- 42% 21% 37% C B- C- B C A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 20% 43% B- A+ F B F A F A+ C-
1.19 64% 27% 37% +2 0 1.06 24% 1.0 .24 12% .45 81% .37 1.06 42% 20% 32% -11 0 0.80 53% 0.9 .49 21% .46 44% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Syracuse A+ A+ A+ D A+ 50% 12% 38% A A+ A+ D- A- B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 18% 36% D+ A+ C- F+ D C B+ A+ A
1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25 0.97 46% 20% 25% -14 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15
Jan
31		 Wake Forest A+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% B A+ D- A+ B+ A+ C B C+ B- A- F C- B- 37% 22% 41% B B- A+ F B D+ F F F
1.38 43% 57% 56% +13 +1 1.29 24% 1.6 .38 12% .29 78% .23 1.12 50% 55% 35% +1 0 1.04 18% 1.8 .32 13% .40 88% .35
Feb
3		 SMU A+ D- D+ A+ A- 29% 11% 60% B+ A D- A+ C+ A+ B+ F C B B+ A F C- 48% 16% 36% F D+ A- A+ A+ C A A+ A+
1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19 1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12
Feb
7		 VA Tech B A- F A+ A+ 41% 18% 41% B A F A D- B+ A+ D+ A+ A- A- D+ A+ A+ 50% 10% 40% F A+ C+ F F+ A+ B+ D- B-
1.13 67% 22% 43% +6 +1 1.16 18% 1.2 .21 15% .39 71% .28 1.01 52% 40% 25% -8 +2 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 21% .26 80% .21
Feb
9		 Louisville C- A+ F F D+ 38% 30% 32% C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ C A+ B+ F D D- F F 44% 7% 49% D+ F A A+ A+ F+ F+ D- F
0.96 75% 21% 15% -8 -1 0.84 15% 1.5 .23 12% .27 89% .24 1.47 69% 50% 62% +26 +2 1.59 27% 0.3 .07 12% .38 81% .31
Feb
14		 Miami FL A C+ A- A- A- 35% 18% 47% B A- B+ A+ A A- B- A+ A- C B- B+ A+ A+ 61% 18% 22% D- A+ F C+ F+ D+ D+ A+ A-
1.17 59% 44% 39% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .36 15% .27 87% .24 1.19 58% 33% 18% -6 +2 0.94 49% 1.1 .54 14% .36 50% .18
Feb
17		 UNC A+ F A+ A+ B- 49% 18% 33% A+ B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- C- B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 9% 59% D+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ F+ D+ F+
1.28 41% 50% 44% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.4 .49 6% .27 69% .18 0.90 60% 0% 19% -16 +1 0.72 40% 0.7 .28 19% .40 71% .29
Feb
24		 Virginia D D F D D- 39% 9% 53% A+ C- B+ F D- B C- B C D+ D+ F D- D- 42% 13% 44% C D A+ F D+ B C- F F+
0.87 45% 0% 30% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.4 .12 14% .25 80% .20 1.28 64% 57% 39% +8 +1 1.21 26% 1.9 .48 17% .31 89% .27
Feb
28		 Notre Dame A+ A A+ F+ B- 33% 11% 56% A- B B+ A+ A A+ B A- A- F F B F F 29% 29% 41% A- F F+ A C+ C+ F F F
1.26 68% 67% 28% +2 +1 1.07 31% 1.3 .38 8% .34 82% .28 1.35 87% 33% 48% +15 -2 1.29 39% 0.8 .30 17% .47 79% .37
Mar
2		 Duke C+ D+ F F+ D+ 37% 15% 48% A- C A+ A A+ A+ A F+ B+ F F D+ D 49% 0% 51% F+ D D+ F+ F+ F F A- F+
0.99 50% 25% 27% -10 +1 0.83 33% 1.0 .33 9% .29 65% .19 1.44 75% 36% +10 +3 1.29 43% 1.4 .60 11% .47 67% .31
Mar
7		 Stanford A D- B- B C 51% 11% 38% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A+ F+ D A+ F D- 49% 7% 44% D D- F+ B+ C D- A+ C A+
1.22 48% 40% 35% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 17% .60 74% .44 1.24 63% 25% 42% +6 +2 1.20 41% 0.9 .35 12% .18 73% .13
Mar
11		 Pitt A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% C A+ D- A+ A A+ A+ A A+ F F F F F 25% 18% 57% A- F A+ F+ B+ C F F F
1.49 76% 25% 57% +21 0 1.44 19% 2.0 .38 9% .45 85% .38 1.34 91% 50% 44% +19 -1 1.39 25% 1.2 .29 17% .46 80% .36
Mar
12		 Virginia B+ F C A+ B- 42% 23% 35% B+ B- B- C- C+ B A+ A+ A+ B- A+ F+ F D+ 38% 19% 43% B+ C- A+ B+ A+ C- A- D- B
1.08 25% 36% 53% -4 0 0.94 29% 0.8 .23 15% .41 88% .36 1.18 45% 50% 48% +6 0 1.15 28% 1.0 .28 15% .24 79% .19
Mar
17		 Texas D+ F+ D- D D- 47% 29% 24% C+ D- D A+ C+ A D+ B+ C A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 33% C+ A+ C+ A+ A A- F B- F
0.98 46% 31% 31% -9 0 0.84 19% 1.3 .24 10% .30 78% .23 1.00 45% 40% 27% -9 0 0.84 37% 0.9 .32 18% .52 72% .38