South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#69
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#109
Pace66.3#256
Improvement+1.4#89

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#85
First Shot+1.6#134
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#82
Layup/Dunks-0.4#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#129
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement+0.7#123

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#55
First Shot+4.0#66
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#113
Layups/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#109
Freethrows-0.5#226
Improvement+0.7#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.7% 3.1% 0.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.2% 17.7% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.0% 17.5% 7.3%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.0
.500 or above 38.5% 42.1% 17.8%
.500 or above in Conference 13.6% 14.5% 7.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 29.3% 27.7% 38.7%
First Four3.2% 3.5% 1.8%
First Round14.6% 16.0% 6.4%
Second Round7.6% 8.4% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen2.4% 2.6% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Home) - 85.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 13
Quad 23 - 37 - 16
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 45 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 182   North Florida L 71-74 88%     0 - 1 -7.1 -6.6 -0.6
  Nov 08, 2024 303   South Carolina St. W 86-64 95%     1 - 1 +11.6 +7.0 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2024 147   Towson W 80-54 84%     2 - 1 +23.8 +9.4 +14.7
  Nov 16, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 71-87 27%     2 - 2 -1.2 +3.2 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2024 232   Mercer W 84-72 92%     3 - 2 +5.2 +8.4 -3.0
  Nov 25, 2024 68   Xavier L 66-75 50%     3 - 3 -0.5 -3.9 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2024 129   Virginia Tech W 70-60 74%     4 - 3 +11.7 +6.6 +6.1
  Dec 03, 2024 145   @ Boston College W 73-51 67%     5 - 3 +25.9 +7.7 +19.5
  Dec 07, 2024 159   East Carolina W 72-61 85%    
  Dec 14, 2024 343   South Carolina Upstate W 87-64 98%    
  Dec 17, 2024 28   Clemson L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 22, 2024 189   Radford W 74-61 88%    
  Dec 30, 2024 248   Presbyterian W 77-61 93%    
  Jan 04, 2025 15   @ Mississippi St. L 67-77 18%    
  Jan 08, 2025 5   Alabama L 75-82 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 3   Auburn L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 15, 2025 67   @ Vanderbilt L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 41   @ Oklahoma L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 22, 2025 10   Florida L 72-78 29%    
  Jan 25, 2025 15   Mississippi St. L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 28, 2025 38   @ Georgia L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 30   Texas A&M L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 9   @ Kentucky L 70-82 14%    
  Feb 12, 2025 26   Mississippi L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 10   @ Florida L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 18, 2025 47   @ LSU L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 34   Texas L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 25, 2025 63   @ Missouri L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 33   Arkansas L 71-72 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 38   Georgia L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 4   @ Tennessee L 60-75 9%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.4 2.1 0.9 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.2 0.9 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.0 2.5 0.2 6.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 4.5 1.0 0.0 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.8 0.2 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.3 5.1 0.8 0.0 11.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.1 1.9 0.1 12.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.2 4.5 6.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.7 15th
16th 0.9 2.9 5.9 5.8 2.5 0.4 0.0 18.4 16th
Total 0.9 3.0 7.1 11.2 13.9 15.1 14.3 12.1 8.9 6.1 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 65.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 6.5% 93.5% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 100.0% 5.1% 94.9% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.0% 99.0% 2.0% 97.0% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.0%
11-7 2.0% 98.3% 1.4% 97.0% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.3%
10-8 3.7% 91.8% 0.7% 91.1% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.3 91.7%
9-9 6.1% 73.1% 0.7% 72.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.0 1.6 72.9%
8-10 8.9% 36.2% 0.4% 35.7% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.2 5.7 35.9%
7-11 12.1% 10.2% 0.2% 10.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 10.9 10.0%
6-12 14.3% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.1 1.0%
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 15.1 0.0%
4-14 13.9% 13.9
3-15 11.2% 11.2
2-16 7.1% 7.1
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 16.2% 0.2% 15.9% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.8 2.6 2.6 3.0 0.4 83.8 16.0%