South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#229
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#185
Pace63.7#299
Improvement+0.7#105

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#242
First Shot-3.9#301
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#62
Layup/Dunks-2.9#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#208
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#89
Freethrows-2.9#351
Improvement+0.9#49

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#219
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#102
Layups/Dunks-2.6#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#208
Freethrows+2.6#25
Improvement-0.2#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 88.0% 71.6% 89.7%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Home) - 9.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 8
Quad 21 - 72 - 14
Quad 32 - 64 - 21
Quad 45 - 19 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2022 355   South Carolina St. W 80-77 89%     1 - 0 -14.1 -4.8 -9.3
  Nov 11, 2022 60   Clemson W 60-58 18%     2 - 0 +8.1 -8.7 +16.9
  Nov 17, 2022 113   Colorado St. L 53-85 26%     2 - 1 -28.6 -21.2 -6.8
  Nov 18, 2022 123   Davidson L 60-69 28%     2 - 2 -6.4 -9.0 +2.3
  Nov 20, 2022 87   Furman L 60-79 19%     2 - 3 -13.2 -10.2 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2022 306   South Carolina Upstate W 68-53 76%     3 - 3 +4.3 +3.7 +3.3
  Nov 30, 2022 191   @ George Washington L 55-79 32%     3 - 4 -22.4 -15.8 -8.4
  Dec 03, 2022 186   @ Georgetown W 74-71 OT 31%     4 - 4 +4.8 +2.5 +2.4
  Dec 11, 2022 330   Presbyterian W 68-57 81%     5 - 4 -1.7 +5.9 -4.9
  Dec 14, 2022 71   @ UAB L 70-84 10%     5 - 5 -3.5 +2.0 -5.6
  Dec 17, 2022 205   East Carolina L 56-64 44%     5 - 6 -9.7 -6.9 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2022 163   Western Kentucky W 65-58 46%     6 - 6 +4.6 -8.9 +13.5
  Dec 30, 2022 302   Eastern Michigan W 74-64 75%     7 - 6 -0.5 +0.8 -0.3
  Jan 03, 2023 97   @ Vanderbilt L 79-84 OT 15%     7 - 7 0 - 1 +2.6 +2.0 +1.0
  Jan 07, 2023 3   Tennessee L 42-85 5%     7 - 8 0 - 2 -27.0 -17.2 -11.9
  Jan 10, 2023 32   @ Kentucky W 71-68 5%     8 - 8 1 - 2 +18.0 +19.8 -1.1
  Jan 14, 2023 42   Texas A&M L 53-94 15%     8 - 9 1 - 3 -33.1 -10.9 -26.6
  Jan 17, 2023 95   Mississippi L 58-70 29%     8 - 10 1 - 4 -9.7 -11.6 +1.7
  Jan 21, 2023 27   Auburn L 66-81 11%     8 - 11 1 - 5 -4.9 -1.0 -3.9
  Jan 25, 2023 40   @ Florida L 60-81 6%     8 - 12 1 - 6 -7.0 -3.9 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2023 103   @ Georgia L 78-81 OT 17%     8 - 13 1 - 7 +4.0 +3.4 +0.8
  Jan 31, 2023 55   Mississippi St. L 51-66 17%     8 - 14 1 - 8 -8.2 -8.6 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2023 18   Arkansas L 60-75 9%    
  Feb 07, 2023 46   @ Missouri L 67-83 6%    
  Feb 11, 2023 95   @ Mississippi L 59-70 14%    
  Feb 14, 2023 97   Vanderbilt L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 18, 2023 106   @ LSU L 60-70 17%    
  Feb 22, 2023 2   Alabama L 62-82 3%    
  Feb 25, 2023 3   @ Tennessee L 51-76 1%    
  Feb 28, 2023 55   @ Mississippi St. L 53-69 7%    
  Mar 04, 2023 103   Georgia L 65-70 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.5 3.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 4.6 11.1 4.0 0.1 19.8 13th
14th 26.8 33.5 11.6 0.8 0.0 72.7 14th
Total 26.8 38.1 24.1 8.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 24.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.1
2-16 38.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 38.1
1-17 26.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.8
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 26.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0