South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#118
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#100
Pace80.3#13
Improvement-2.9#331

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#207
First Shot-7.8#342
After Offensive Rebound+6.8#1
Layup/Dunks-2.0#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#300
Freethrows-2.4#303
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#56
First Shot+4.8#45
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#203
Layups/Dunks+6.1#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#150
Freethrows-2.9#313
Improvement-2.9#348
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 7.3% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% 7.1% 2.2%
Average Seed 9.9 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 27.4% 45.6% 21.6%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 14.2% 8.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 16.1% 22.0%
First Four1.1% 2.1% 0.8%
First Round2.9% 6.1% 1.9%
Second Round1.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Neutral) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 45 - 14
Quad 34 - 39 - 17
Quad 45 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 335   South Carolina Upstate W 78-60 95%     1 - 0 +2.3 -14.2 +14.1
  Nov 12, 2021 152   Princeton L 62-66 60%     1 - 1 -3.0 -10.5 +7.3
  Nov 14, 2021 130   Western Kentucky W 75-64 54%     2 - 1 +13.4 -3.5 +15.9
  Nov 18, 2021 46   UAB W 66-63 38%     3 - 1 +9.7 -6.5 +16.1
  Nov 23, 2021 124   Wofford W 85-74 63%     4 - 1 +11.0 +7.8 +2.8
  Nov 28, 2021 298   Rider W 65-58 90%     5 - 1 -3.6 -7.9 +4.7
  Dec 01, 2021 173   @ Coastal Carolina L 56-80 53%     5 - 2 -21.2 -17.2 -3.1
  Dec 05, 2021 147   Georgetown W 80-67 69%     6 - 2 +11.5 -0.1 +10.7
  Dec 12, 2021 38   Florida St. L 69-76 24%    
  Dec 18, 2021 56   @ Clemson L 66-74 23%    
  Dec 22, 2021 265   Army W 80-68 87%    
  Dec 29, 2021 352   South Carolina St. W 89-66 98%    
  Jan 04, 2022 16   Auburn L 72-80 22%    
  Jan 08, 2022 86   @ Vanderbilt L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 11, 2022 13   @ Tennessee L 65-80 8%    
  Jan 15, 2022 30   Florida L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 18, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 72-85 12%    
  Jan 22, 2022 150   Georgia W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 26, 2022 86   Vanderbilt W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 76   @ Texas A&M L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 01, 2022 48   @ Mississippi St. L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 05, 2022 13   Tennessee L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 08, 2022 15   Kentucky L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 150   @ Georgia L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 15, 2022 61   @ Mississippi L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 19, 2022 11   LSU L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 23, 2022 48   Mississippi St. L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 26, 2022 10   @ Alabama L 72-88 7%    
  Mar 01, 2022 158   Missouri W 73-67 69%    
  Mar 05, 2022 16   @ Auburn L 69-83 10%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.6 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.0 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 5.3 4.6 0.9 0.0 12.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.7 6.3 6.2 1.7 0.1 16.1 11th
12th 0.2 2.4 7.2 7.1 2.2 0.1 19.1 12th
13th 0.3 2.8 6.5 5.9 1.5 0.2 17.1 13th
14th 0.7 2.7 4.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 11.7 14th
Total 0.7 3.0 7.3 12.0 15.7 16.5 15.1 11.8 8.1 5.2 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 53.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 96.7% 3.3% 93.3% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.6%
13-5 0.2% 97.7% 3.4% 94.3% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
12-6 0.6% 84.5% 2.4% 82.1% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 84.1%
11-7 1.2% 62.1% 1.6% 60.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 61.4%
10-8 2.6% 36.8% 0.7% 36.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 36.4%
9-9 5.2% 13.9% 0.3% 13.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.5 13.6%
8-10 8.1% 2.9% 0.2% 2.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.8 2.7%
7-11 11.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.4%
6-12 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 16.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.5
4-14 15.7% 15.7
3-15 12.0% 12.0
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 3.5% 0.1% 3.4% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.5 3.4%