Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#156
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#234
Pace65.7#281
Improvement-1.8#292

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#233
First Shot-5.4#331
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#30
Layup/Dunks-4.2#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#208
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement+1.9#54

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#96
First Shot+4.4#52
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#305
Layups/Dunks+1.6#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#38
Freethrows+1.3#93
Improvement-3.7#352
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.9% 2.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 1.9% 0.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.8% 45.6% 54.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 8
Quad 22 - 73 - 15
Quad 32 - 45 - 19
Quad 46 - 211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 114 @Florida Atlantic L 78-83 OT 28%     0 - 1 +1.4 -3.1 +5.1
  Thu, Nov 6 355 The Citadel W 76-47 93%     1 - 1 +12.3 -2.1 +16.1
  Tue, Nov 11 278 Central Connecticut St. L 59-60 82%     1 - 2 -10.3 -13.2 +2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 151 @Temple W 76-71 38%     2 - 2 +8.5 +2.9 +5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 238 Hampton W 63-52 77%     3 - 2 +3.4 -8.4 +12.7
  Fri, Nov 21 140 Davidson L 49-59 46%     3 - 3 -8.6 -12.6 +1.9
  Sun, Nov 23 194 Tulane L 90-93 OT 59%     3 - 4 -5.2 +5.0 -9.8
  Wed, Nov 26 192 Harvard W 73-60 70%     4 - 4 +7.9 +4.0 +5.0
  Wed, Dec 3 39 LSU L 69-78 OT 20%     4 - 5 +0.4 -6.0 +7.1
  Sat, Dec 6 340 New Haven W 67-63 91%     5 - 5 -10.4 -1.6 -8.3
  Wed, Dec 10 164 Massachusetts L 74-76 53%     5 - 6 -2.4 +2.6 -5.0
  Mon, Dec 22 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72-61 94%     6 - 6 -6.5 +0.8 -5.6
  Sun, Dec 28 312 Le Moyne W 79-67 87%    
  Sat, Jan 3 129 @Georgia Tech L 67-72 33%    
  Tue, Jan 6 28 North Carolina St. L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 13 @Louisville L 64-85 3%    
  Tue, Jan 13 40 @Clemson L 58-73 8%    
  Sat, Jan 17 75 Syracuse L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Jan 21 84 Pittsburgh L 66-69 38%    
  Sat, Jan 24 64 @Notre Dame L 61-72 15%    
  Sat, Jan 31 26 Virginia L 64-76 14%    
  Tue, Feb 3 4 @Duke L 57-82 1%    
  Sat, Feb 7 35 Miami (FL) L 66-76 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 81 Stanford L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Feb 14 65 California L 66-71 32%    
  Tue, Feb 17 113 @Florida St. L 72-78 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 42 @SMU L 65-80 9%    
  Tue, Feb 24 61 Wake Forest L 68-74 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 35 @Miami (FL) L 63-79 7%    
  Tue, Mar 3 74 @Virginia Tech L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Mar 7 64 Notre Dame L 64-69 32%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.8 0.0 2.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 1.9 0.2 3.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.2 0.0 4.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.1 0.3 7.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.4 1.4 0.1 10.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.4 3.5 0.3 0.0 15.0 16th
17th 0.6 4.7 9.5 5.9 0.9 0.0 21.6 17th
18th 3.5 8.9 11.7 6.3 1.2 0.0 31.6 18th
Total 3.5 9.5 16.8 19.6 18.1 13.9 9.2 5.3 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.1% 2.7% 2.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 2.7%
10-8 0.4% 0.4
9-9 1.2% 1.2
8-10 2.6% 2.6
7-11 5.3% 5.3
6-12 9.2% 9.2
5-13 13.9% 13.9
4-14 18.1% 18.1
3-15 19.6% 19.6
2-16 16.8% 16.8
1-17 9.5% 9.5
0-18 3.5% 3.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%