Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#113
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#126
Pace63.9#307
Improvement+0.9#109

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#127
First Shot+1.3#139
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks+4.6#47
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#255
Freethrows+0.8#130
Improvement+0.4#145

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#106
First Shot-4.3#306
After Offensive Rebounds+6.5#1
Layups/Dunks+1.2#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#287
Freethrows+0.3#170
Improvement+0.6#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 4.8% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% 4.0% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.2 9.9 10.5
.500 or above 31.1% 48.8% 25.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.4% 30.2% 21.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 8.5% 13.6%
First Four0.7% 1.3% 0.5%
First Round1.9% 3.9% 1.2%
Second Round0.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 25.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 8
Quad 23 - 64 - 15
Quad 33 - 28 - 17
Quad 46 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 250   Dartmouth W 73-57 85%     1 - 0 +8.4 +5.9 +4.0
  Nov 12, 2021 346   Holy Cross W 85-55 96%     2 - 0 +13.2 +4.2 +9.6
  Nov 14, 2021 210   Fairfield W 72-64 79%     3 - 0 +3.1 -2.4 +5.8
  Nov 17, 2021 77   @ Rhode Island L 49-57 28%     3 - 1 +1.7 -11.1 +11.7
  Nov 20, 2021 66   Utah L 61-68 36%     3 - 2 +0.5 -5.8 +5.9
  Nov 21, 2021 77   Rhode Island L 65-71 39%     3 - 3 +0.7 +5.5 -5.7
  Nov 26, 2021 339   Columbia W 73-60 96%     4 - 3 -3.1 -3.2 +1.1
  Nov 29, 2021 247   South Florida W 64-49 85%     5 - 3 +7.6 +3.7 +6.6
  Dec 03, 2021 84   Notre Dame W 73-57 52%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +19.2 +7.0 +13.8
  Dec 11, 2021 65   @ Saint Louis L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 13, 2021 300   Albany W 72-57 91%    
  Dec 22, 2021 51   @ Wake Forest L 65-73 22%    
  Dec 29, 2021 38   Florida St. L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 01, 2022 24   North Carolina L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 179   @ Pittsburgh W 64-63 55%    
  Jan 12, 2022 99   Georgia Tech W 68-66 56%    
  Jan 15, 2022 56   @ Clemson L 61-69 24%    
  Jan 19, 2022 37   @ Louisville L 60-71 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 36   Virginia Tech L 61-66 33%    
  Jan 26, 2022 24   @ North Carolina L 67-80 13%    
  Jan 29, 2022 179   Pittsburgh W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 01, 2022 44   @ Virginia L 53-62 21%    
  Feb 08, 2022 59   Syracuse L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 8   Duke L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 16, 2022 84   @ Notre Dame L 65-71 31%    
  Feb 19, 2022 59   @ Syracuse L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 23, 2022 74   @ North Carolina St. L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 56   Clemson L 64-66 44%    
  Mar 02, 2022 100   Miami (FL) W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 99   @ Georgia Tech L 65-69 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.0 0.3 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 5.3 2.5 0.2 10.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 5.1 4.4 0.5 0.0 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.5 5.2 1.3 0.1 12.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 4.1 5.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 3.5 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.4 14th
15th 0.2 1.1 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.8 15th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.6 6.8 10.5 13.4 14.7 14.4 11.8 9.4 6.2 3.9 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 71.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 52.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 96.9% 6.3% 90.6% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
16-4 0.2% 95.1% 7.3% 87.8% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.7%
15-5 0.5% 65.4% 4.7% 60.6% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 63.6%
14-6 1.1% 47.8% 6.3% 41.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 44.2%
13-7 2.0% 24.5% 4.0% 20.5% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 21.3%
12-8 3.9% 9.7% 2.0% 7.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.5 7.8%
11-9 6.2% 3.0% 1.2% 1.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.0 1.9%
10-10 9.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.3%
9-11 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7 0.0%
8-12 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-13 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 14.7
6-14 13.4% 0.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-15 10.5% 10.5
4-16 6.8% 6.8
3-17 3.6% 3.6
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 0.5% 1.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.7 1.8%