Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.5 135
Expected Predictive Rating -2.1 201
Pace 65.8 258
Improvement +1.9 109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 245 C- C- B- D D+
Defense B 62 B+ B+ D+ B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 322 C- 57% 205 -3.6 306
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 185 B 43% 53 +2.2 66
Three Pointers 43% 134 D+ 31% 290 -0.5 198
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 285 C- -1.1 214
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 232
Second Chance C 30.1% 191 C- 1.00 218 C- 0.30 200
Turnovers B- 15.3% 82
Freethrows C- 0.29 234 F 65% 357 D 0.19 308
Total Offense C- -2.7 245

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 192 C 11.2% 191
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 263 B- 3.4% 70
Three Pointers D+ 79% 289 C- 1.2% 256
Total D+ 51% 283 B- 5.0% 107

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 163 B 53% 69 -1.4 127
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 80 B- 35% 88 +0.5 226
Three Pointers 37% 284 B+ 30% 33 -4.1 31
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 112 B+ -4.6 37
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.92 40
Second Chance B 27.1% 70 B+ 0.91 36 B+ 0.25 37
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 260
Freethrows C+ 0.29 153 A+ 66% 4 B- 0.19 69
Total Defense B +4.2 62

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 B 15.0% 54
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 88 B- 7.1% 65
Three Pointers C+ 83% 133 C+ 1.1% 119
Total B 49% 48 B+ 8.0% 40

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 229 17.5 227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 283 0.14 83
Improvement +3.4 #40 -1.4 #269

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 160 136 117
Conference Record 2 - 16 3 - 15 5 - 13
Conference Finish 18 17 15
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 57% 21% 59%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 21 - 71 - 15
Quad 33 - 45 - 20
Quad 46 - 210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 118 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 83 OT 33% -2  22% 0 - 1 C +1 D+ -3 D A+ C- B +5 C+ A+ D
 Thu, Nov 6 342 The Citadel W 76 - 47 93% +11  73% 1 - 1 B+ +14 C- -2 F C A+ A+ +18 A+ A- C
 Tue, Nov 11 292 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 60 87% +4  88% 1 - 2 D- -11 F -19 F F+ D A- +8 C A B-
 Sat, Nov 15 152 @Temple W 76 - 71 44% +5  89% 2 - 2 B +8 C+ +2 D B A- B+ +6 A+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 257 Hampton W 63 - 52 83% +12  97% 3 - 2 C+ +3 F+ -9 F C+ C+ A+ +13 A C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 112 Davidson L 49 - 59 43% -3  13% 3 - 3 D+ -7 F -14 D- D+ F B+ +5 B+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 163 Tulane L 90 - 93 OT 57% -1  31% 3 - 4 C- -3 B- +5 C- C A D- -8 C F F
 Wed, Nov 26 164 Harvard W 73 - 60 68% +9  98% 4 - 4 B +10 C+ +3 B+ F A+ A- +8 A+ C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 54 LSU L 69 - 78 OT 29% -4  13% 4 - 5 C- -2 F -10 D+ D+ D- A +9 A+ A- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 325 New Haven W 67 - 63 91% -3  21% 5 - 5 D -10 D+ -3 A- F F D -6 C C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 10 182 Massachusetts L 74 - 76 61% -3  20% 5 - 6 C- -3 D+ -3 F C- A C +0 A+ F B
 Mon, Dec 22 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72 - 61 92% -2  32% 6 - 6 C- -3 C+ +2 C A- A- C- -3 C B+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 296 Le Moyne W 72 - 64 87% +2  72% 7 - 6 C- -3 F -11 C F C- A- +8 A- B C+
 Sat, Jan 3 141 @Georgia Tech L 53 - 65 40% -2  26% 7 - 7 0 - 1 D+ -8 F -20 F D B- A+ +12 B A+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 24 North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 14% -7  3% 7 - 8 0 - 2 B- +5 A +11 A+ A- F D- -8 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 12 @Louisville L 62 - 75 4% +1  65% 7 - 9 0 - 3 B +9 D+ -4 C+ F A+ A+ +13 B- A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 13 38 @Clemson L 50 - 74 9% -11  17% 7 - 10 0 - 4 D+ -7 F -12 B+ D- F B- +3 B D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 70 Syracuse W 81 - 73 OT 36% -2  13% 8 - 10 1 - 4 B+ +13 C +0 C+ D A+ A+ +12 B A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 101 Pittsburgh W 65 - 62 48% +1  54% 9 - 10 2 - 4 B- +5 D+ -3 C C+ B+ A +9 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 24 84 @Notre Dame L 64 - 68 21% +4  71% 9 - 11 2 - 5 B- +6 C- -1 D- A+ B- B+ +7 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 22 Virginia L 66 - 73 12% +1  55% 9 - 12 2 - 6 B- +7 C+ +3 B+ B- B B +4 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 2 @Duke L 49 - 67 2% -14  0% 9 - 13 2 - 7 B +9 D -6 C+ D C+ A+ +12 A A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 40 Miami (FL) L 68 - 74 21% -4  2% 9 - 14 2 - 8 C+ +4 D+ -2 D- B- A+ B+ +7 C A+ B
 Wed, Feb 11 75 Stanford L 64 - 70 38% -4  14% 9 - 15 2 - 9 C -1 D- -7 C- D+ B- B+ +6 C+ A C+
 Sat, Feb 14 71 California L 75 - 86 37% -11  0% 9 - 16 2 - 10 D+ -6 B+ +8 C+ A+ D F -14 F B D
 Tue, Feb 17 86 @Florida St. L 72 - 80 22% +7  77% 9 - 17 2 - 11 C+ +2 B- +4 B+ F+ A+ C- -3 C+ C+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 32 @SMU L 67 - 83 6%
 Tue, Feb 24 61 Wake Forest L 69 - 74 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 40 @Miami (FL) L 63 - 78 8%
 Tue, Mar 3 59 @Virginia Tech L 64 - 75 16%
 Sat, Mar 7 84 Notre Dame L 67 - 69 41%
Totals 10 - 21 3 - 15 +2 C- -3 A- C- D+ B +4 D+ F D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- B D+ C- 33% 37% 43% D+ C- C C- C- B- C- F D B B B- B+ B+ 39% 24% 37% C+ B+ B B+ B+ D+ C+ A+ B-
1.05 57% 43% 31% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 15% .29 65% .19 1.03 53% 35% 30% -5 0 0.92 27% 0.9 .25 16% .29 66% .19
Nov
3		 Florida Atlantic D+ F F B F+ 47% 9% 44% B+ D B+ A+ A+ C- B+ F D B A A+ F B 54% 11% 34% F C+ A+ A A+ D F+ A+ B-
0.97 42% 0% 38% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.4 .44 17% .36 50% .18 1.04 45% 14% 48% -2 +2 1.02 19% 0.9 .17 15% .37 52% .19
Nov
6		 The Citadel C- B+ A+ F F 33% 16% 51% D+ F C+ C- C A+ A+ F A A+ A A+ A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% F A+ A B- A- C F A+ C
1.15 71% 63% 19% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 6% .45 61% .27 0.71 42% 0% 21% -20 +1 0.65 20% 0.9 .17 18% .37 50% .19
Nov
11		 Central Connecticut St. F D- B F F 33% 16% 51% D F C+ F F+ D F A F A- A D D- C+ 31% 33% 37% C C F+ A+ A B- A- A+ A+
0.90 50% 44% 21% -11 0 0.80 34% 0.6 .20 15% .16 89% .14 0.92 47% 44% 39% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.4 .14 18% .19 60% .11
Nov
15		 Temple C+ F A+ D- D- 40% 11% 49% B D B- B B A- D+ F F+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 52% 19% 30% F+ A+ F+ B C- F D- C+ D
1.11 41% 83% 30% -5 +1 0.95 33% 1.2 .38 12% .26 63% .16 1.03 43% 30% 25% -13 +1 0.78 35% 0.9 .30 7% .42 74% .31
Nov
18		 Hampton F+ F+ A+ F F 31% 20% 49% D+ F B- C- C+ C+ D+ A- C A+ D A- A+ A 27% 29% 44% B- A D+ C+ C B+ A- A+ A+
0.97 53% 60% 17% -10 -1 0.82 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .26 0.80 62% 29% 19% -12 -2 0.75 36% 0.9 .31 22% .28 43% .12
Nov
21		 Davidson F C+ A F D 26% 32% 42% D- D- A- F D+ F B- F C- B+ B- F A+ B 25% 30% 45% A B+ A+ B- A+ F D- D D-
0.85 60% 50% 19% -5 -2 0.87 38% 0.7 .25 24% .32 57% .18 1.02 55% 62% 25% 0 -2 0.98 17% 1.0 .17 12% .33 71% .24
Nov
23		 Tulane B- F+ B B- C- 33% 24% 43% D+ C- F+ A+ C A A+ A A+ D- F+ B+ A+ C 48% 24% 28% C C C+ F F F F B+ F
1.15 47% 43% 36% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.3 .34 13% .52 78% .41 1.18 69% 31% 20% -2 0 0.98 21% 2.1 .45 10% .51 72% .37
Nov
26		 Harvard C+ B C A A- 31% 15% 54% C- B+ F F F A+ F A+ D- A- A+ F A+ A 41% 33% 26% A A+ A- F+ C+ D- A+ D+ A+
1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16 0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09
Dec
3		 LSU F C- F C+ D+ 31% 27% 42% D D+ D+ D D+ D- B C B- A B- B- A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% A+ A+ C+ A+ A- C- B+ F C+
0.91 53% 27% 35% -4 -1 0.91 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 67% .23 1.03 57% 37% 19% -7 -1 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 13% .30 85% .26
Dec
6		 New Haven D+ C- A- A+ A+ 18% 28% 55% F A- B F F F A+ C- A+ D B+ F A- D+ 23% 34% 43% A+ C F+ A+ C+ D- F F F
1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36 1.01 50% 53% 26% -2 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38
Dec
10		 Massachusetts D+ C F F F 56% 4% 40% A+ F B+ F C- A A+ B+ A+ C A+ D A+ A+ 43% 33% 24% B+ A+ F F+ F B F A+ C-
1.05 60% 0% 11% -14 +3 0.80 35% 0.8 .28 13% .57 77% .44 1.08 43% 44% 25% -8 -1 0.84 44% 1.4 .59 21% .43 54% .23
Dec
22		 Fairleigh Dickinson C+ A- A+ D- C 23% 16% 60% D+ C A C+ A- A- A+ F C+ C- A+ C- D+ C 26% 20% 54% B- C C A B+ F A C- A
1.19 70% 71% 31% +5 -1 1.12 38% 1.0 .38 12% .47 56% .26 1.01 38% 40% 33% -5 -1 0.90 32% 0.7 .22 10% .18 70% .13
Dec
28		 Le Moyne F D+ D- A+ C+ 33% 27% 40% D- C D F F C- A- F C+ A- B- A+ B A 44% 15% 42% D+ A- D A+ B C+ C A+ B+
0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24 0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19
Jan
3		 Georgia Tech F F F F F 28% 23% 49% C- F C- D- D B- B F+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ B 44% 31% 24% B- B D A+ A+ B F C+ F
0.75 33% 25% 15% -24 -1 0.53 27% 0.9 .25 14% .33 65% .21 0.92 70% 21% 27% -2 -1 0.96 35% 0.4 .13 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
6		 North Carolina St. A A- D+ A+ A+ 45% 16% 39% B- A+ A+ D+ A- F A+ B+ A+ D- A+ D+ F B- 42% 20% 38% B- B- D F F F A+ A+ A+
1.17 65% 33% 53% +14 +1 1.32 40% 0.9 .36 26% .49 73% .36 1.30 33% 40% 58% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.5 .51 7% .21 50% .11
Jan
10		 Louisville D+ D B- C B 17% 36% 47% F C+ F+ F F A+ D+ F F A+ F C A C+ 39% 15% 46% B+ B- A+ A+ A+ B+ F C+ F
0.89 50% 38% 33% -2 -4 0.91 16% 0.4 .07 9% .25 44% .11 1.08 83% 43% 29% +7 +1 1.17 20% 0.7 .13 19% .44 76% .33
Jan
13		 Clemson F B D+ A- A- 38% 30% 33% C- B+ D+ F D- F C F F B- A+ D+ F B 38% 23% 40% A B C D- D+ C+ F+ B D
0.76 60% 33% 38% +2 -1 1.03 19% 0.7 .13 29% .28 38% .11 1.13 44% 45% 42% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.2 .35 15% .41 70% .29
Jan
17		 Syracuse C D+ F A+ B- 35% 32% 33% F+ C+ D- B- D A+ A+ C A+ A+ D- A+ F B 48% 21% 31% C B A A+ A+ A+ D C+ C-
1.06 50% 22% 42% -4 -2 0.91 24% 1.2 .29 10% .42 72% .31 0.95 68% 0% 44% +1 +1 1.06 24% 0.4 .11 23% .38 64% .24
Jan
21		 Pittsburgh D+ D- A+ C- B- 25% 31% 44% F C D- A+ C+ B+ D F F A A A+ B+ A+ 45% 16% 39% D+ A+ B- D- C- F C- A+ A
1.02 50% 53% 33% +2 -2 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 14% .24 62% .15 0.97 48% 13% 30% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.1 .38 11% .30 41% .12
Jan
24		 Notre Dame C- B- C- F D- 26% 22% 52% C- D- B- A+ A+ B- D+ F D- B+ C- D+ A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% B+ A+ C F D- F+ F A- D
1.00 62% 36% 23% -8 -1 0.84 28% 1.7 .47 14% .25 64% .16 1.06 64% 43% 19% -6 -2 0.86 34% 1.2 .39 12% .39 64% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Virginia C+ A+ A- F A 33% 39% 28% D- B+ C- A B- B A+ F A B D- F+ A+ A- 46% 15% 38% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ F C C- C
1.01 67% 44% 23% +1 -3 0.98 24% 1.1 .27 15% .47 58% .27 1.12 67% 50% 20% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.6 .23 11% .31 72% .22
Feb
3		 Duke D C A F C+ 33% 24% 43% C+ C+ D+ F+ D C+ C- F F+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 55% 9% 36% D+ A A+ B A+ C- D B- D+
0.80 53% 45% 25% -6 -1 0.89 20% 0.6 .11 20% .18 44% .08 1.09 71% 0% 25% -1 +3 1.05 23% 1.1 .26 15% .38 70% .27
Feb
7		 Miami (FL) D+ C- D- D- D 25% 29% 46% D D- D- A+ B- A+ F B- F+ B+ C- B+ D+ C+ 58% 13% 29% F+ C A+ A+ A+ B F A+ C+
0.97 53% 29% 30% -7 -2 0.85 18% 1.7 .30 10% .16 70% .11 1.06 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.15 27% 0.8 .21 19% .44 52% .23
Feb
11		 Stanford D- D+ B+ F C- 38% 33% 29% D C- F+ A D+ B- F C- F B+ F A+ B+ C+ 40% 11% 49% B- C+ A+ F A C+ A+ C A+
0.93 52% 44% 25% -4 -2 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 18% .14 75% .11 1.02 71% 17% 31% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.4 .23 16% .19 73% .14
Feb
14		 California B+ D+ B D+ B- 34% 32% 34% F C+ A+ A+ A+ D C+ F D+ F F C+ F F 29% 16% 55% D+ F A D B D B+ B- A-
1.16 53% 44% 29% -2 -2 0.94 43% 1.5 .63 19% .30 56% .17 1.33 73% 38% 50% +18 0 1.37 20% 1.2 .24 12% .28 75% .21
Feb
17		 Florida St. B- D- B+ A+ A 25% 36% 38% F B+ F D+ F+ A+ D- F F C- A- F C C 31% 16% 53% B+ C+ C+ C+ C+ D+ F D F
1.08 50% 45% 48% +8 -3 1.13 20% 0.9 .18 10% .22 23% .05 1.20 50% 57% 33% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 12% .59 77% .46



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.4 0.3 0.7 14th
15th 0.5 6.3 3.6 0.1 10.6 15th
16th 1.0 13.9 13.3 1.0 29.2 16th
17th 11.5 22.5 2.9 0.0 37.0 17th
18th 17.3 4.9 0.1 22.3 18th
Total 29.8 41.9 22.6 5.1 0.6 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 5.1% 5.1
4-14 22.6% 22.6
3-15 41.9% 41.9
2-16 29.8% 29.8
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 29.8%