California
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#121
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#158
Pace62.8#324
Improvement+3.8#11

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#199
First Shot+0.3#173
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#234
Layup/Dunks-3.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#126
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement+1.2#78

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#74
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#58
Layups/Dunks+1.2#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#208
Freethrows+0.3#171
Improvement+2.6#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 13.6
.500 or above 16.5% 17.4% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 12.9% 13.4% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 16.3% 23.8%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 10
Quad 22 - 53 - 14
Quad 36 - 48 - 18
Quad 45 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 198   UC San Diego L 67-80 76%     0 - 1 -17.3 -10.0 -7.0
  Nov 13, 2021 168   @ UNLV L 52-55 50%     0 - 2 +0.1 -12.3 +12.0
  Nov 15, 2021 178   San Diego W 75-70 74%     1 - 2 +1.5 +5.7 -4.1
  Nov 18, 2021 133   Southern Utah W 75-68 2OT 64%     2 - 2 +6.3 -8.7 +14.1
  Nov 22, 2021 30   Florida L 60-80 20%     2 - 3 -7.9 -5.3 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2021 26   Seton Hall L 59-62 17%     2 - 4 +10.4 -2.5 +12.6
  Nov 28, 2021 112   Fresno St. W 65-57 59%     3 - 4 +8.7 +0.0 +9.5
  Dec 02, 2021 149   Oregon St. W 73-61 67%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +10.4 +6.2 +5.4
  Dec 05, 2021 66   @ Utah L 58-66 24%     4 - 5 1 - 1 +2.5 -6.0 +7.9
  Dec 08, 2021 322   Idaho St. W 69-53 93%    
  Dec 11, 2021 83   Santa Clara L 68-69 49%    
  Dec 19, 2021 250   Dartmouth W 67-56 84%    
  Dec 22, 2021 217   Pacific W 66-58 78%    
  Jan 02, 2022 95   @ Stanford L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 06, 2022 14   USC L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 08, 2022 9   UCLA L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 12, 2022 148   @ Washington L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 15, 2022 49   @ Washington St. L 59-68 20%    
  Jan 19, 2022 105   Arizona St. W 65-63 56%    
  Jan 23, 2022 5   Arizona L 63-76 13%    
  Jan 27, 2022 9   @ UCLA L 58-75 6%    
  Jan 29, 2022 14   @ USC L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 03, 2022 148   Washington W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 05, 2022 49   Washington St. L 62-65 39%    
  Feb 09, 2022 149   @ Oregon St. L 63-64 45%    
  Feb 12, 2022 53   @ Oregon L 60-69 22%    
  Feb 17, 2022 81   Colorado L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 19, 2022 66   Utah L 65-66 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 95   Stanford W 66-65 52%    
  Mar 03, 2022 105   @ Arizona St. L 62-66 35%    
  Mar 05, 2022 5   @ Arizona L 60-79 5%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 3.8 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.2 3.7 0.8 0.1 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 6.3 5.0 1.0 0.1 14.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 6.6 5.6 1.3 0.1 15.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.4 6.0 1.5 0.1 16.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.4 4.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.9 11th
12th 0.5 2.0 3.5 2.6 0.7 0.1 9.4 12th
Total 0.5 2.4 5.8 10.1 13.9 16.0 15.6 13.2 9.7 6.4 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 13.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 73.7% 5.3% 68.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.2%
14-6 0.3% 44.9% 3.6% 41.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 42.9%
13-7 0.8% 19.1% 2.6% 16.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 16.9%
12-8 1.9% 10.1% 1.6% 8.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7 8.6%
11-9 3.5% 3.0% 1.2% 1.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 1.8%
10-10 6.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3 0.2%
9-11 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7
8-12 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-13 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 15.6
6-14 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 16.0
5-15 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.8
4-16 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-17 5.8% 5.8
2-18 2.4% 2.4
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.5%