California
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +8.3 78 70%
INCC Stats Results Rating +9.9 66 80%
Consistency 0.14 83
Pace 69.7 138
Improvement -2.7 283

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 89 B C- B B D+
Defense B- 72 B+ B- C B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 308 B- 62% 82 -1.2 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 209 C+ 40% 121 +1.2 117
Three Pointers 43% 133 B+ 38% 20 +4.0 55
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 271 B+ +4.5 46
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 72
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 260 C+ 1.05 135 C- 0.29 221
Opponents' Steals A- 7.2% 12
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 212
Turnovers B 14.6% 57
Freethrows B- 0.33 109 B+ 77% 24 B 0.25 57
Total Offense B- +4.0 89

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 57 C 10.8% 174
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 298 C+ 4.3% 135
Three Pointers D+ 79% 285 D+ 1.2% 281
Total C+ 57% 148 C+ 5.2% 138


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 B 53% 58 -2.1 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 214 B- 36% 106 -0.8 123
Three Pointers 42% 128 A- 30% 20 -1.9 99
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 196 B+ -4.8 27
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.92 37
Second Chance B- 27.4% 78 C+ 1.00 136 B- 0.27 80
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 221
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 82
Turnovers C 16.8% 167
Freethrows C 0.30 187 A+ 65% 2 B- 0.20 97
Total Defense B- +4.4 72

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 179 C+ 11.8% 134
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 225 C- 3.8% 243
Three Pointers F 93% 362 C- 0.7% 206
Total D+ 59% 262 C 5.5% 177

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 82 17.9 269
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 147 0.12 47
Consistency 0.12 148 0.12 131
Improvement -1.4 265 -1.3 258



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 331 Cal St. Bakersfield W 87 - 60 97% +14  99% 1 - 0 B+ +12 B- +0 A- C D A+ +11 B A+ A
Thu, Nov 6 140 Wright St. W 77 - 67 83% +6  88% 2 - 0 B- +8 C- -0 C+ F B A +9 A+ C+ F
Mon, Nov 10 176 Cal St. Fullerton W 93 - 65 87% +16  98% 3 - 0 A +24 B +7 D C+ A+ A+ +14 A A- B+
Thu, Nov 13 97 Kansas St. L 96 - 99 48% -14  4% 3 - 1 B- +6 A+ +15 A+ B+ D- D- -9 F F A
Tue, Nov 18 269 Presbyterian W 67 - 57 94% +3  77% 4 - 1 C +1 C +2 B+ C F+ C+ +1 A+ F C
Fri, Nov 21 272 Sacramento St. W 91 - 67 94% +18  94% 5 - 1 B+ +15 B- +4 A+ F C+ A- +9 A+ D+ C-
Tue, Nov 25 27 UCLA W 80 - 72 24% +2  52% 6 - 1 A +24 A- +10 A F A+ A+ +14 A+ C+ B
Tue, Dec 2 108 Utah W 79 - 72 75% +1  64% 7 - 1 B- +8 B- +4 B- B- C B +5 B+ B- D+
Sat, Dec 6 114 Pacific W 67 - 61 78% +9  99% 8 - 1 B- +6 C +3 B C+ C B +4 A C+ C
Sat, Dec 13 277 Northwestern St. W 79 - 70 95% +1  50% 9 - 1 C -1 C +4 D+ A C- C- -4 F+ C- A-
Fri, Dec 19 351 Morgan St. W 97 - 50 98% +22  96% 10 - 1 A+ +29 A +13 A A B- A+ +17 A- B B
Sun, Dec 21 202 Columbia W 74 - 56 89% +11  96% 11 - 1 B+ +13 C -1 C D A A+ +14 B- A+ B-
Tue, Dec 30 20 Louisville L 70 - 90 26% -16  0% 11 - 2 0 - 1 C- -5 C- -0 D- C- A+ D+ -4 C+ C D
Fri, Jan 2 91 Notre Dame W 72 - 71 69% -2  34% 12 - 2 1 - 1 C+ +4 B+ +5 C+ D+ A+ C- -0 B+ A+ F
Wed, Jan 7 18 Virginia L 60 - 84 12% -12  3% 12 - 3 1 - 2 C- -3 D -4 D- F+ A- C +0 C+ D+ C+
Sat, Jan 10 57 Virginia Tech L 75 - 78 31% +2  61% 12 - 4 1 - 3 B +10 A- +9 B A D+ C +1 B+ B- C
Wed, Jan 14 3 Duke L 56 - 71 10% -3  37% 12 - 5 1 - 4 B- +8 D- -4 C F+ B- A- +10 A+ A- C
Sat, Jan 17 31 North Carolina W 84 - 78 36% +11  98% 13 - 5 2 - 4 A- +18 A +13 A- A+ F+ B+ +5 B A- B+
Sat, Jan 24 61 Stanford W 78 - 66 34% +1  57% 14 - 5 3 - 4 A+ +25 B +7 B C- A A+ +18 A+ A+ F
Wed, Jan 28 66 Florida St. L 61 - 63 35% -5  14% 14 - 6 3 - 5 B +10 F -8 F C A- A+ +19 A A+ F+
Sat, Jan 31 32 Miami (FL) W 86 - 85 18% -2  36% 15 - 6 4 - 5 A +19 A+ +22 B+ C+ A+ D+ -3 B- F+ F
Wed, Feb 4 143 Georgia Tech W 90 - 85 84% +6  87% 16 - 6 5 - 5 C+ +3 B+ +7 A+ F D D+ -4 C+ C- F
Sat, Feb 7 41 Clemson L 55 - 77 41% -13  17% 16 - 7 5 - 6 D -11 F+ -9 C F D- D+ -4 F+ D B
Wed, Feb 11 84 Syracuse L 100 - 107 2OT 43% +0  48% 16 - 8 5 - 7 C+ +3 B+ +7 B- A C+ C -2 D+ B- D
Sat, Feb 14 136 Boston College W 86 - 75 64% +11  99% 17 - 8 6 - 7 A- +16 A+ +25 A+ C B+ D- -8 C+ F A-
Sat, Feb 21 61 Stanford W 72 - 66 56% +8  97% 18 - 8 7 - 7 B+ +13 C -0 D+ C- A A+ +13 A+ C- C
Wed, Feb 25 45 SMU W 73 - 69 45% +3  83% 19 - 8 8 - 7 B+ +14 C -1 C F A+ A+ +14 A+ D+ A+
Sat, Feb 28 93 Pittsburgh L 56 - 72 70% -6  0% 19 - 9 8 - 8 D- -13 F -16 D C- F B +2 B D B+
Wed, Mar 4 143 Georgia Tech W 76 - 65 67% -1  42% 20 - 9 9 - 8 B+ +15 C -1 D+ B- A A+ +15 A A+ A
Sat, Mar 7 71 Wake Forest L 73 - 80 37% +3  66% 20 - 10 9 - 9 C+ +5 C -1 D F A+ B +7 A+ D- B-
Wed, Mar 11 66 Florida St. L 89 - 95 46% -11  16% 20 - 11 C+ +3 A +17 A+ B B F -13 F A+ F
Wed, Mar 18 110 Illinois-Chicago W 91 - 73 76% +2  54% 21 - 11 A +19 A+ +16 A+ F D C+ +3 D B- B
Sun, Mar 22 107 Saint Joseph's L 75 - 76 74% +5  66% 21 - 12 C +1 C+ +6 C B+ B+ D- -5 C D F+
Totals 21 - 12 9 - 9 +8 B- +4 C B+ D+ B- +4 B+ B+ B


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C+ B+ B+ 34% 36% 43% D+ B D+ C+ C- B B- B+ B B- B B- A- B+ 38% 20% 42% C B+ B- C+ B- C C A+ B-
1.13 62% 40% 38% +5 -1 1.10 28% 1.1 .29 15% .33 77% .25 1.04 53% 36% 30% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .30 65% .21
Nov
3		 Bakersfield B- A+ A+ F A- 47% 14% 39% B+ A- B- D+ C D A- C B+ A+ A B- B+ A- 51% 33% 16% D- B C A+ A+ A F A+ F
1.19 75% 86% 25% +9 +2 1.24 40% 1.0 .40 19% .42 72% .30 0.82 43% 33% 29% -10 -1 0.80 31% 0.5 .14 23% .54 63% .34
Nov
6		 Wright St. C- A A+ F C+ 36% 23% 41% C- C+ C- F F B A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 31% 17% 52% C A+ A- F C+ F B- A+ A
1.11 69% 60% 22% +2 0 1.05 29% 0.5 .15 14% .52 84% .44 0.96 35% 67% 21% -12 0 0.78 25% 1.4 .34 11% .29 56% .16
Nov
10		 CS Fullerton B F+ F B+ D 36% 15% 49% C+ D C B- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- C+ A+ A 38% 23% 39% C+ A D+ A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 52% 22% 38% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.1 .31 10% .43 87% .38 0.84 61% 36% 21% -7 0 0.87 27% 0.6 .16 18% .17 45% .08
Nov
13		 Kansas St. A+ B C+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C A+ C A+ B+ D- D- A D+ D- F+ B- F F 62% 5% 33% F F A- F F A F+ B+ D
1.23 61% 40% 54% +16 0 1.33 32% 1.4 .46 22% .23 79% .18 1.26 71% 33% 50% +15 +4 1.40 26% 2.0 .52 22% .34 67% .23
Nov
18		 Presbyterian C B A+ C+ A- 43% 25% 32% D B+ A- F C F+ B F C- C+ A+ C B A+ 32% 30% 39% B+ A+ F C- F C A- C+ A-
1.16 63% 55% 36% +7 0 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 19% .34 56% .19 0.99 29% 38% 29% -12 -2 0.75 46% 1.1 .49 19% .26 67% .17
Nov
21		 Sac St. B- B+ A+ A A+ 32% 11% 58% C- A+ D F F C+ C- F F A- A+ A+ A A+ 35% 24% 41% C- A+ F A D+ C- F D+ F
1.21 67% 83% 39% +12 +1 1.28 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 53% .16 0.89 26% 23% 27% -19 -1 0.63 36% 0.9 .32 15% .47 80% .37
Nov
25		 UCLA A- F D A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% C+ A F F F A+ A B+ A A+ B A A+ A+ 33% 29% 38% C+ A+ C B- C+ B F+ A+ B-
1.13 45% 33% 55% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .35 77% .27 1.02 56% 31% 29% -6 -1 0.87 33% 1.1 .36 16% .39 57% .22
Dec
2		 Utah B- C A B- B 38% 28% 34% D B- C- A+ B- C A+ A+ A+ B C B+ A- A 41% 11% 48% D- B+ B+ C- B- D+ D+ C+ C-
1.16 58% 50% 35% +4 -1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 15% .41 92% .38 1.06 59% 33% 31% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 15% .33 74% .24
Dec
6		 Pacific C B+ C A+ A- 25% 36% 39% D- B C+ C- C+ C A+ F B- B A+ A+ F+ A+ 45% 23% 32% C A F A+ C+ C A- D- B+
1.10 64% 38% 41% +5 -3 1.07 27% 1.0 .27 15% .44 57% .25 1.00 43% 27% 40% -6 0 0.89 45% 0.7 .33 20% .20 80% .16
Dec
13		 NW St. C D+ F A+ D+ 38% 15% 48% C+ D+ C- A+ A C- B+ A+ A C- D+ A- F F 26% 28% 46% B F+ A F C- A- B- F D+
1.18 56% 0% 43% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.6 .50 18% .38 81% .31 1.04 58% 31% 43% +4 -2 1.07 17% 1.6 .28 21% .28 87% .25
Dec
19		 Morgan St. A B+ F A+ A+ 50% 14% 36% C A F A+ A B- D A+ A A+ D D- A+ A 35% 29% 35% C+ A- A+ F B B C- A+ A-
1.40 68% 29% 50% +12 +2 1.30 22% 2.6 .57 13% .38 96% .36 0.72 59% 43% 6% -13 -1 0.73 16% 1.2 .19 20% .34 58% .20
Dec
21		 Columbia C A F C+ C+ 33% 29% 38% F+ C D D D A A A- A+ A+ B- F A+ A- 64% 6% 30% F B- A+ A+ A+ B- B- A+ A
1.10 71% 27% 35% +1 -1 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 9% .39 79% .31 0.84 53% 67% 27% -5 +4 1.00 24% 0.1 .03 22% .23 50% .12
Dec
30		 Louisville C- F F+ C- F+ 31% 21% 48% B D- D B+ C- A+ A+ A- A+ D+ B+ D- F B- 43% 3% 53% D C+ D- B C D A F B+
0.98 31% 27% 32% -12 -1 0.77 19% 1.1 .21 11% .43 78% .33 1.26 56% 50% 42% +6 +3 1.19 39% 0.9 .37 14% .23 86% .20
Jan
2		 Notre Dame B+ A+ A+ F C+ 20% 18% 62% C- C+ C- D D+ A+ F C F C- A+ F C- A- 25% 17% 58% C B+ C+ A+ A+ F F A F+
1.14 73% 60% 26% 0 -1 1.00 22% 0.9 .20 5% .20 75% .15 1.13 42% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 32% 0.6 .19 11% .46 62% .29
Jan
7		 Virginia D A- D+ F D 27% 37% 37% F+ D- F F+ F+ A- A+ A+ A+ C D F A C+ 39% 12% 49% C C+ C D D+ C+ F A+ D-
0.88 62% 33% 17% -10 -3 0.76 16% 0.7 .11 13% .37 86% .32 1.23 65% 83% 28% +4 +1 1.12 39% 1.2 .48 16% .40 65% .26
Jan
10		 VA Tech A- B C+ C- B 40% 21% 40% C+ B A+ B- A D+ A+ A+ A+ C F+ A+ A+ A 44% 11% 44% F B+ D A B- C F F F
1.12 63% 40% 32% +1 0 1.04 41% 1.1 .45 19% .39 90% .35 1.17 70% 20% 25% -3 +2 1.00 37% 0.9 .33 15% .55 87% .47
Jan
14		 Duke D- F A+ F C+ 24% 33% 43% D- C D F F+ B- A+ A- A+ A- C F A+ A+ 39% 4% 57% C A+ C+ A A- C B A+ A+
0.87 33% 56% 24% -7 -3 0.84 18% 0.3 .06 17% .32 76% .24 1.10 63% 100% 21% -6 +2 0.94 40% 1.1 .43 15% .31 47% .15
Jan
17		 UNC A D- C+ A+ A 25% 31% 43% D A- C A+ A+ F+ A B+ A B+ F A B- B 31% 20% 49% B+ B A- B+ A- B+ F A F+
1.19 46% 38% 45% +4 -2 1.06 25% 2.3 .56 18% .28 75% .21 1.11 73% 30% 33% +3 -1 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .47 61% .29
Jan
24		 Stanford B C+ F A+ B+ 24% 29% 47% D- B D+ C+ C- A A B A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 6% 50% D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F F D F
1.09 58% 21% 43% +2 -2 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 14% .41 80% .33 0.93 39% 0% 23% -19 +2 0.69 33% 0.5 .17 10% .48 77% .37
Jan
28		 FL St. F D- F D F 19% 31% 50% F F F A+ C A- C- B- C A+ D B- A+ A- 27% 29% 44% A+ A A- A+ A+ F+ D A+ B+
0.90 50% 25% 31% -8 -3 0.81 21% 1.3 .26 16% .26 73% .19 0.93 67% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.91 27% 0.3 .07 10% .34 52% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Miami FL A+ A+ F A A 26% 30% 44% D- B+ C- B+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ D+ F B- A+ C 44% 31% 24% A B- A+ F F+ F F C F
1.28 77% 27% 41% +6 -2 1.10 22% 1.1 .25 10% .53 75% .40 1.26 75% 36% 27% +4 -1 1.09 25% 2.1 .54 10% .55 70% .38
Feb
4		 GA Tech B+ C- B- A+ A+ 23% 32% 45% F+ A+ D- F F D A+ C A+ D+ C+ F A- B+ 48% 10% 43% F C+ A F C- F A+ A+ A+
1.17 55% 40% 57% +15 -3 1.28 22% 0.5 .11 18% .62 72% .44 1.10 57% 50% 30% -2 +2 1.02 24% 1.6 .38 10% .20 50% .10
Feb
7		 Clemson F+ C- C C B- 37% 37% 26% D- C F F F D- C+ A+ B+ D+ D F F F 33% 15% 52% B- F+ A+ F D B C A+ A-
0.85 53% 35% 33% -3 -2 0.91 14% 0.0 .00 22% .30 87% .26 1.19 67% 57% 42% +12 0 1.26 15% 2.3 .33 15% .35 58% .20
Feb
11		 Syracuse B+ C D+ B- B 36% 24% 39% D+ B- C+ A+ A C+ B+ B B+ C F D A D+ 51% 15% 34% F+ D+ C- A- B- D F A F
1.11 54% 31% 35% -3 -1 0.95 32% 1.6 .50 18% .34 76% .26 1.18 74% 44% 29% +6 +2 1.18 33% 0.9 .30 13% .54 60% .32
Feb
14		 Boston Col A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 29% 16% 55% C+ A+ D- A+ C B+ C- A B- D- B- D B C 34% 32% 34% B+ C+ F F F A- C- A+ B-
1.33 73% 38% 50% +18 0 1.37 20% 1.2 .24 12% .28 75% .21 1.16 53% 44% 29% -2 -2 0.94 43% 1.5 .63 19% .30 56% .17
Feb
21		 Stanford C F D- B- C- 26% 30% 43% F+ D+ A F C- A B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ A A+ 41% 8% 51% C A+ B F C- C F A+ F
1.04 43% 31% 35% -6 -2 0.87 37% 0.7 .27 14% .39 83% .32 0.95 35% 0% 28% -17 +2 0.71 31% 1.2 .38 14% .49 62% .30
Feb
25		 SMU C D+ A D C+ 23% 26% 51% D C D- F F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ D- A+ 30% 26% 43% B A+ B- F D+ A+ F A+ C+
1.05 54% 47% 31% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.7 .15 11% .24 80% .19 0.99 50% 25% 40% -2 -1 0.96 35% 1.2 .43 20% .47 42% .20
Feb
28		 Pitt F A D F D 35% 25% 40% D D D+ B C- F F D- F B A- F C+ B 38% 17% 45% C B A- F D B+ C- F D-
0.84 71% 33% 21% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 24% .14 71% .10 1.08 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 19% .30 81% .24
Mar
4		 GA Tech C A F F D- 48% 16% 36% A D+ F A+ B- A B- C B- A+ B B- A+ A+ 38% 18% 44% D+ A A+ B+ A+ A F F F
1.01 68% 22% 14% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.8 .36 12% .32 71% .23 0.86 53% 33% 27% -7 0 0.88 11% 1.0 .11 23% .41 79% .33
Mar
7		 Wake Forest C F B- D C- 20% 31% 49% F D F F F A+ A+ A A+ B B- A+ A A+ 38% 19% 44% C+ A+ C- F D- B- F C F
1.00 45% 41% 30% -5 -3 0.87 17% 0.3 .05 10% .42 82% .35 1.10 56% 22% 29% -7 0 0.88 33% 1.4 .45 16% .57 77% .44
Mar
11		 FL St. A A A+ A+ A+ 33% 20% 47% C+ A+ A+ D+ B B A+ D A+ F D+ F F F 31% 22% 47% A F A+ A- A+ F C+ A+ B
1.28 69% 50% 43% +13 0 1.27 43% 0.8 .34 17% .42 67% .28 1.36 65% 67% 50% +20 -1 1.40 21% 1.0 .21 9% .30 63% .19
Mar
18		 IL-Chicago A+ B A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 47% C+ A+ D- F F D F A+ C C+ F+ A+ C D 54% 22% 24% D- D A F B- B B B B+
1.28 63% 56% 60% +23 0 1.49 28% 0.0 .00 22% .22 100% .22 1.03 67% 27% 33% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.3 .34 20% .28 69% .19
Mar
22		 St. Joseph's C+ C- D B- C+ 27% 27% 46% D+ C C A+ B+ B+ D+ F D- D- A A+ F C+ 49% 11% 40% D C D- C D F+ B+ A+ A+
1.10 53% 33% 35% -2 -2 0.95 29% 1.3 .37 12% .20 58% .12 1.12 46% 17% 43% -3 +2 1.00 37% 1.0 .37 13% .22 54% .12