Duke
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +23.5 1 92%
INCC Stats Results Rating +6.8 77 0%
Consistency 0.19 334
Pace 75.2 53
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A 3 B+ A+ C- A- A+
Defense A+ 1 A- A+ B+ B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 1 B+ 66% 27 +10.5 2
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 360 D+ 32% 270 -5.0 361
Three Pointers 44% 132 C 33% 177 +1.2 143
Selection / Accuracy A+ +2.6 3 B +3.8 65
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 25
Second Chance A+ 43.5% 3 B+ 1.16 36 A+ 0.50 3
Opponents' Steals C- 10.6% 262
Other Turnovers C 7.8% 176
Turnovers C- 18.4% 237
Freethrows A- 0.39 15 C+ 71% 140 A- 0.28 17
Total Offense A +12.1 3

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 62% 29 C- 11.9% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 123 F 13.2% 362
Three Pointers A- 96% 19 C+ 0.8% 174
Total A 71% 13 D 7.1% 315


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 317 A- 49% 22 -5.8 26
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 69 C+ 35% 155 +1.2 271
Three Pointers 44% 136 B+ 28% 30 -2.3 82
Selection / Accuracy B -0.9 50 A- -6.2 16
1st FG Attempt A- 0.86 16
Second Chance A 22.9% 6 A+ 0.68 1 A+ 0.16 2
Turnovers from Steals A- 13.0% 24
Other Turnovers C+ 8.2% 141
Turnovers B+ 21.1% 30
Freethrows B+ 0.25 32 C 70% 203 B 0.17 43
Total Defense A+ +11.4 1

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 171 B+ 17.2% 32
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 215 B 8.6% 50
Three Pointers A 73% 13 A- 2.2% 32
Total B- 52% 89 A- 8.6% 26

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.7 16 19.1 363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 12 0.13 54
Consistency 0.11 295 0.09 241

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (99%)
Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Previous Game Day Change - Tuesday, Nov 10
Projected Overall Record 27 - 8 → 26 - 9 ▼ 1
Predictive Rating Rank 1 → 1 –
Results Rating Rank 155 → 77 ▲ 78
Projected Conference Record 13 - 5 → 13 - 5 –
Projected Conference Finish 2 → 3 ▼ 1
Conference Champion 47% → 42% ▼ 6%
At-Large Chance 100% → 99% ▼ 1%
Opening Round Bye 99% → 98% ▼ 1%
Projected Seed 1 → 2 ▼ 1
At-Large Status Lock → Likely In
L, 73 - 79 vs 6 Michigan St.

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4% 4% 0%
#1 Seed 20% 20% 14%
Top 2 Seed 44% 44% 43%
Top 4 Seed 75% 75% 57%
Top 6 Seed 89% 89% 57%
Opening Round Bye 98% 98% 100%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99% 99% 100%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Lock
At-Large Bid 99% 99% 100%
Average Seed 3.4 3.4 4.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conf 99% 99% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 42% 43%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round2% 2% 0%
First Round99% 99% 100%
Second Round87% 87% 86%
Sweet Sixteen57% 57% 57%
Elite Eight34% 34% 43%
Final Four20% 20% 29%
Championship Game11% 11% 14%
National Champion6% 6% 14%
Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 100% chance of victory

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 21 - 13 26 - 8 30 - 5
Predictive Rating Rank 19 6 1
Results Rating Rank 37 11 1
Conference Record 10 - 8 14 - 4 16 - 2
Conference Finish 7 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 8 3 1
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round Sweet 16 Champion

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 1 32 - 0 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
33 - 2 31 - 1 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
32 - 3 30 - 2 1% 100% 100% 1 Lock
31 - 4 29 - 3 2% 99% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 5 28 - 4 5% 97% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 6 27 - 5 7% 92% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 7 26 - 6 10% 85% 100% 2 Lock
27 - 7 25 - 6 13% 75% 100% 2 Lock
26 - 8 24 - 7 13% 62% 100% 3 Lock
25 - 9 23 - 8 13% 49% 100% 3 Lock
24 - 10 22 - 9 12% 35% 100% 4 Lock
23 - 11 21 - 10 9% 23% 100% 5 Lock
22 - 12 20 - 11 6% 15% 100% 6 Lock
21 - 13 19 - 12 4% 9% 99% 7 Likely In
20 - 14 18 - 13 2% 5% 98% 9 Likely In
19 - 14 17 - 13 1% 2% 89% 10 Likely In
18 - 15 16 - 14 1% 1% 82% 11 Likely In
17 - 16 15 - 15 0% 0% 34% 11 Bubble - Out
16 - 17 14 - 16 0% 0% 3% 11 Likely Out
15 - 18 13 - 17 0% 0% Negligible
14 - 18 12 - 17 0% 0% Negligible
13 - 19 11 - 18 0% 0% Negligible
12 - 20 10 - 19 0% 0% Negligible
11 - 21 9 - 20 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 29 - 7
Quad 28 - 116 - 9
Quad 34 - 020 - 9
Quad 45 - 026 - 9


Stat Type Preseason Nov 8 Current
Predictive Rank 1 1 1
Results Rank 159 77
Projected Overall Record 26 - 8 27 - 7 26 - 9
Projected Conference Record 14 - 4 14 - 4 13 - 5
Conference Champion 43% 48% 42%
Conference Finish 2 2 3
NCAA Tournament Seed 1 1 2
Opening Round Bye 99% 99% 98%
At-Large Tourney Chance 98% 100% 99%
At Large Status Likely In Lock Likely In



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 343 Army W 84 - 50 100% +18  100% 1 - 0 A +20 C+ +2 D+ A+ D- A+ +17 B+ C+ A+
Thu, Nov 5 267 Coastal Carolina W 113 - 52 99% +36  97% 2 - 0 A+ +52 A+ +20 A+ A F A+ +24 A+ A+ B+
Tue, Nov 10 6 Michigan St. L 73 - 79 60% -8  0% 2 - 1 A- +15 B +5 C A C+ A+ +10 B- A+ C+
Fri, Nov 13 274 SIU Edwardsville W 87 - 54 100%
Tue, Nov 17 3 Illinois W 89 - 84 65%
Sat, Nov 21 150 Washington St. W 86 - 62 98%
Wed, Nov 25 7 Connecticut W 75 - 72 53%
Tue, Dec 1 2 Florida L 78 - 81 40%
Fri, Dec 4 132 Harvard W 81 - 56 99%
Tue, Dec 8 59 Georgia W 90 - 77 84%
Tue, Dec 15 276 Campbell W 94 - 61 100%
Thu, Dec 17 314 Grambling St. W 93 - 57 100%
Mon, Dec 21 12 Texas Tech W 78 - 73 63%
Wed, Dec 30 110 Georgia Tech W 89 - 73 87% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 96 California W 87 - 66 94% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 63 Syracuse W 81 - 71 73% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 71 Pittsburgh W 85 - 67 89% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 74 Stanford W 84 - 66 88% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 97 Boston College W 79 - 64 81% ✓
Wed, Jan 20 94 Wake Forest W 83 - 68 79% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 67 Notre Dame W 86 - 69 86% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 65 Clemson W 79 - 68 69% ✓
Mon, Feb 1 21 Miami (FL) W 81 - 71 74% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 8 Virginia W 78 - 77 41% ✓
Tue, Feb 9 60 SMU W 86 - 76 67% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 41 North Carolina W 83 - 69 77% ✓
Tue, Feb 16 56 Florida St. W 88 - 72 84% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 9 Gonzaga W 81 - 77 58%
Wed, Feb 24 14 Louisville W 80 - 77 47% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 49 North Carolina St. W 87 - 72 81% ✓
Mon, Mar 1 8 Virginia W 81 - 74 63% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 41 North Carolina W 80 - 72 57% ✓
Totals 26 - 9 13 - 5 +23 A +12 C B A+ A+ +11 C C+ A-
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ
NCAA
Seed
Conf
Finish
Preseason 1 26 - 8 14 - 4 99% 43% 1 2 Likely In 98%
Mon, Nov 2 343 Army W 84 - 50 1 268 26 - 8 14 - 4 99% 47% 1 2 Likely In 99%
Thu, Nov 5 267 Coastal Carolina W 113 - 52 1 130 27 - 7 14 - 4 100% 55% 1 1 Lock 100%
Tue, Nov 10 6 Michigan St. L 73 - 79 1 82 26 - 9 13 - 5 98% 41% 2 3 Likely In 99%
Current 1 77 26 - 9 13 - 5 98% 42% 2 3 Likely In 99%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 1 32 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
33 - 2 31 - 1 0% 100% 100% 98% 100% 1 Lock 0
32 - 3 30 - 2 1% 100% 100% 88% 100% 1 Lock 1
31 - 4 29 - 3 2% 99% 100% 79% 100% 1 Lock 2
30 - 5 28 - 4 5% 97% 100% 68% 100% 1 Lock 4
29 - 6 27 - 5 7% 92% 100% 58% 100% 1 Lock 5 1
28 - 7 26 - 6 10% 85% 100% 45% 100% 2 Lock 4 4 1
27 - 7 25 - 6 13% 75% 100% 35% 100% 2 Lock 2 7 3 1
26 - 8 24 - 7 13% 62% 100% 25% 100% 3 Lock 6 5 2
25 - 9 23 - 8 13% 49% 100% 15% 100% 3 Lock 4 5 3 1
24 - 10 22 - 9 12% 35% 100% 7% 100% 4 Lock 2 3 3 2 1
23 - 11 21 - 10 9% 23% 100% 4% 100% 5 Lock 1 2 2 2 1
22 - 12 20 - 11 6% 15% 100% 1% 100% 6 Lock 1 1 1 1 1
21 - 13 19 - 12 4% 9% 99% 1% 99% 7 Likely In 0 1 1 1 0 0
20 - 14 18 - 13 2% 5% 98% 98% 9 Likely In 0 1 0 0 0 0
19 - 14 17 - 13 1% 2% 89% 89% 10 Likely In 0 0 0 0
18 - 15 16 - 14 1% 1% 82% 82% 11 Likely In 0 0 0 0
17 - 16 15 - 15 0% 0% 34% 34% 11 Bubble - Out 0 0
16 - 17 14 - 16 0% 0% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out 0 0
15 - 18 13 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 0
14 - 18 12 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 0
13 - 19 11 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
12 - 20 10 - 19 0% 0% Negligible 0
11 - 21 9 - 20 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 99% 26% 99% 3 Likely In 20 24 19 12 8 6 4 3 1 1 1 1


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
34 - 1 32 - 0 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 16 - 1 9 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
33 - 2 31 - 1 18 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 1 1 1 14 - 2 10 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
32 - 3 30 - 2 17 - 1 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 1 1 1 13 - 3 9 - 0 4 - 0 6 - 0
31 - 4 29 - 3 16 - 2 2% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 1 1 13 - 4 9 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
30 - 5 28 - 4 16 - 2 5% 97% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 2 2 12 - 4 9 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
29 - 6 27 - 5 15 - 3 7% 92% 100% 100% 1 Lock 3 3 3 11 - 5 9 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
28 - 7 26 - 6 15 - 3 10% 85% 100% 100% 2 Lock 4 5 4 10 - 6 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
27 - 7 25 - 6 14 - 4 13% 75% 100% 100% 2 Lock 4 7 5 10 - 6 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
26 - 8 24 - 7 14 - 4 13% 62% 100% 100% 3 Lock 6 10 8 9 - 7 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
25 - 9 23 - 8 13 - 5 13% 49% 100% 100% 3 Lock 7 13 10 8 - 8 7 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
24 - 10 22 - 9 13 - 5 12% 35% 100% 100% 4 Lock 9 17 13 8 - 8 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
23 - 11 21 - 10 12 - 6 9% 23% 100% 100% 5 Lock 11 23 16 7 - 9 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
22 - 12 20 - 11 11 - 7 6% 15% 100% 99% 6 Lock 13 28 20 6 - 9 7 - 2 4 - 0 5 - 0
21 - 13 19 - 12 11 - 7 4% 9% 99% 97% 7 Likely In 15 34 23 6 - 10 6 - 3 4 - 0 5 - 0
20 - 14 18 - 13 10 - 8 2% 5% 98% 78% 9 Likely In 18 40 28 5 - 10 6 - 3 4 - 0 5 - 0
19 - 14 17 - 13 10 - 8 1% 2% 89% 43% 10 Likely In 22 48 33 4 - 11 6 - 3 4 - 0 5 - 0
18 - 15 16 - 14 9 - 9 1% 1% 82% 32% 11 Likely In 23 55 38 4 - 11 5 - 4 4 - 0 5 - 0
17 - 16 15 - 15 8 - 10 0% 0% 34% 3% 11 Bubble - Out 28 63 43 4 - 12 4 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 0
16 - 17 14 - 16 7 - 11 0% 0% 3% 0% 11 Likely Out 33 69 49 3 - 12 4 - 4 4 - 1 5 - 0
15 - 18 13 - 17 6 - 12 0% 0% Negligible 45 75 55 3 - 12 4 - 6 2 - 0 6 - 0
14 - 18 12 - 17 6 - 12 0% 0% Negligible 33 82 55 2 - 14 4 - 4 3 - 0 5 - 0
13 - 19 11 - 18 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 40 96 69 2 - 12 4 - 6 1 - 1 6 - 0
12 - 20 10 - 19 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 43 101 68 1 - 13 5 - 3 0 - 4 6 - 0
11 - 21 9 - 20 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 60 111 85 1 - 13 2 - 7 4 - 0 4 - 1
Total 13 - 5 100% 99% 98% 3 Likely In 7 14 10 9 - 7 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 1% 100% 100% 100% 1 1
17-1 4% 99% 100% 98% 2% 4 4
16-2 10% 95% 97% 83% 14% 0% 10 0 10
15-3 16% 85% 82% 56% 24% 3% 0% 13 3 0 16
14-4 19% 69% 52% 20% 21% 9% 1% 10 8 1 0 19
13-5 18% 50% 17% 2% 6% 6% 3% 3 9 5 1 0 18
12-6 14% 32% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0 2 5 4 2 0 0 14
11-7 9% 17% 0% 0 0 1 3 3 2 0 0 9
10-8 5% 8% 0 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 5
9-9 2% 3% 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2
8-10 1% 1% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
7-11 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
6-12 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0
5-13 0% 0% 0 0 0
4-14 0% 0% 0 0 0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 42% 27% 10% 3% 1% 42 22 13 9 6 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B+ D+ C B 49% 14% 44% A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ C- A- C+ A- A+ A- C+ B+ A- 33% 24% 44% B A- A A+ A+ B+ B+ C B
1.26 66% 32% 33% +4 +3 1.13 44% 1.2 .50 18% .39 71% .28 0.92 49% 35% 28% -6 -1 0.86 23% 0.7 .16 21% .25 70% .28
Nov
2
Army C+ A- F F D 52% 6% 42% A D+ A+ A+ A+ D- A A+ A+ A+ A D- A- B 25% 17% 58% B+ B+ C+ C C+ A+ B- C B-
1.19 69% 0% 19% -5 +3 0.96 44% 1.4 .63 18% .45 85% .38 0.71 42% 38% 25% -11 -1 0.77 30% 0.9 .27 34% .19 67% .13
Nov
5
Coastal Car. A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 64% 4% 32% A+ A+ A+ C A F A+ D- A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ 41% 24% 35% D+ A+ A A+ A+ B+ C- A C+
1.42 68% 50% 53% +17 +4 1.42 47% 0.9 .43 19% .63 63% .40 0.65 45% 23% 21% -14 0 0.70 22% 0.4 .08 21% .27 59% .16
Nov
10
Mich St. B D F D D+ 40% 10% 50% A C A+ B- A C+ A+ B A+ A+ B- F+ C- B- 34% 26% 40% B B- A+ A+ A+ C+ D- F+ F
1.00 45% 20% 28% -10 +1 0.82 38% 0.8 .30 18% .62 70% .43 1.08 59% 46% 35% +4 -1 1.06 29% 0.7 .19 18% .47 79% .37
Nov
13
SIUE 1.27 69% 41% 33% +7 43% 9% 48% +2 1.14 46% 1.2 .53 17% .45 74% .33 0.79 47% 37% 24% -7 29% 33% 37% -2 0.80 21% 2.0 .14 22% .19 64% .12
13-19 2-4 7-21 12 rb 14 pt 12 to 23-31 7-14 6-16 4-18 7 rb 5 pt 15 to 7-11
Nov
17
Illinois 1.11 66% 23% 28% -1 40% 14% 46% +1 0.98 38% 1.1 .42 15% .27 76% .20 1.06 64% 42% 29% +1 35% 13% 52% +1 1.01 35% 1.2 .34 18% .23 68% .15
16-24 2-9 8-27 14 rb 15 pt 12 to 17-22 13-21 3-7 9-30 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 12-18
Nov
21
WA St. 1.25 68% 50% 37% +11 48% 10% 41% +2 1.22 43% 1.1 .49 19% .41 71% .29 0.91 51% 39% 32% -1 33% 19% 48% 0 0.94 26% 1.4 .18 22% .18 74% .14
15-22 2-5 7-19 11 rb 12 pt 13 to 19-28 8-16 4-9 8-24 8 rb 6 pt 15 to 9-11
Nov
25
Uconn 1.06 61% 25% 29% -1 46% 13% 41% +2 0.99 42% 1.0 .42 23% .39 73% .29 1.03 60% 42% 31% +2 34% 19% 47% 0 1.00 32% 1.3 .26 20% .29 73% .21
12-20 1-6 5-18 12 rb 12 pt 16 to 19-26 10-17 4-9 7-23 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 14-19
Dec
1
Florida 1.04 55% 34% 28% -3 43% 20% 37% +1 0.92 34% 1.1 .37 18% .36 72% .26 1.08 59% 40% 32% +2 32% 20% 48% 0 1.00 38% 0.9 .36 20% .35 71% .25
12-22 3-10 5-19 11 rb 12 pt 14 to 19-26 9-16 4-10 8-23 12 rb 12 pt 15 to 18-26
Dec
4
Harvard 1.22 63% 45% 33% +5 55% 5% 39% +3 1.13 43% 1.2 .50 17% .32 75% .24 0.84 49% 40% 29% -3 30% 24% 46% -1 0.89 18% 2.1 .07 22% .17 79% .14
16-26 1-3 6-18 11 rb 13 pt 11 to 16-22 7-15 5-12 6-22 6 rb 2 pt 14 to 8-10
Dec
8
Georgia 1.17 64% 31% 35% +6 52% 3% 46% +3 1.16 45% 1.0 .43 22% .35 71% .25 1.00 58% 39% 26% -3 34% 18% 47% 0 0.92 30% 1.4 .25 16% .28 72% .20
16-26 0-1 8-23 13 rb 12 pt 17 to 18-26 11-19 4-10 7-26 11 rb 9 pt 12 to 15-21
Dec
15
Campbell 1.29 69% 21% 39% +10 52% 5% 43% +3 1.25 46% 1.1 .51 18% .39 70% .27 0.84 49% 36% 23% -8 35% 24% 41% -1 0.80 23% 1.8 .13 19% .24 74% .17
17-25 0-2 8-21 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 20-28 9-18 5-13 5-22 8 rb 5 pt 14 to 12-16
Dec
17
Grambling 1.29 68% 23% 36% +8 52% 4% 44% +3 1.20 46% 1.2 .53 18% .43 71% .31 0.80 48% 36% 25% -7 33% 26% 41% -1 0.81 20% 2.0 .11 23% .25 70% .17
16-24 0-2 7-20 12 rb 14 pt 13 to 22-31 8-16 5-13 5-20 7 rb 4 pt 17 to 11-15
Dec
21
Texas Tech 1.11 71% 40% 30% +4 36% 15% 49% +1 1.07 38% 1.1 .42 22% .41 64% .26 1.03 57% 44% 34% +3 27% 21% 52% -1 1.02 29% 1.3 .22 19% .29 73% .21
11-16 3-6 6-22 11 rb 12 pt 16 to 17-27 8-13 5-10 8-25 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 14-19
Dec
30
GA Tech 1.16 64% 25% 31% +2 42% 12% 46% +2 1.03 42% 1.1 .47 17% .38 67% .25 0.95 59% 36% 32% +1 33% 28% 40% -1 0.96 27% 1.6 .19 22% .29 76% .22
14-22 1-6 7-24 14 rb 16 pt 13 to 20-30 10-17 5-14 7-21 9 rb 6 pt 17 to 15-20
Jan
2
California 1.20 67% 32% 30% +3 46% 10% 44% +2 1.07 44% 1.2 .53 17% .33 70% .23 0.91 45% 41% 32% -2 32% 22% 46% -1 0.91 20% 2.4 .13 19% .22 71% .16
15-23 2-5 7-22 13 rb 16 pt 12 to 17-24 8-17 5-12 8-24 7 rb 5 pt 14 to 10-15
Jan
5
Syracuse 1.13 65% 21% 29% +1 48% 12% 40% +2 1.02 42% 1.2 .50 19% .37 71% .26 0.99 62% 36% 32% +2 32% 25% 42% -1 0.99 25% 2.0 .19 18% .29 69% .20
15-23 1-6 5-19 13 rb 15 pt 13 to 19-26 10-16 5-13 7-22 8 rb 6 pt 13 to 13-19
Jan
9
Pitt 1.17 65% 30% 35% +6 47% 7% 46% +2 1.14 40% 1.0 .41 21% .41 75% .31 0.93 53% 32% 28% -5 32% 24% 43% -1 0.86 28% 1.2 .20 19% .30 70% .21
14-22 1-3 7-21 11 rb 11 pt 15 to 21-28 9-16 4-12 6-22 10 rb 7 pt 14 to 15-21
Jan
13
Stanford 1.18 65% 43% 28% +3 53% 9% 38% +3 1.08 41% 1.3 .54 20% .43 75% .32 0.92 53% 37% 27% -4 40% 16% 44% +1 0.90 23% 2.0 .21 20% .24 80% .19
15-24 2-4 5-17 11 rb 14 pt 14 to 22-30 11-20 3-8 6-22 8 rb 7 pt 14 to 12-15
Jan
16
Boston Col 1.18 64% 31% 30% +2 49% 12% 39% +2 1.06 43% 1.0 .44 18% .41 69% .29 0.96 53% 34% 28% -5 31% 23% 46% -1 0.87 31% 1.2 .24 19% .26 83% .21
14-21 2-5 5-17 12 rb 12 pt 12 to 20-28 8-15 4-11 6-22 10 rb 7 pt 13 to 14-17
Jan
20
Wake Forest 1.14 60% 23% 33% +2 47% 6% 48% +3 1.06 44% 1.1 .47 21% .35 70% .25 0.94 54% 45% 29% -1 32% 20% 48% 0 0.94 24% 2.0 .16 19% .24 71% .17
13-22 1-3 7-23 13 rb 14 pt 16 to 18-25 9-17 5-10 7-25 8 rb 5 pt 14 to 11-16
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
23
Notre Dame 1.17 67% 33% 33% +4 41% 9% 50% +2 1.10 37% 1.3 .49 20% .42 74% .31 0.94 49% 33% 38% +2 27% 23% 50% -1 0.98 22% 1.8 .13 20% .23 66% .15
13-19 1-4 8-23 10 rb 14 pt 15 to 22-29 7-14 4-12 10-26 8 rb 4 pt 15 to 10-15
Jan
30
Clemson 1.15 63% 10% 37% +5 49% 8% 44% +2 1.11 35% 1.0 .37 17% .31 72% .22 1.00 54% 39% 34% +1 37% 17% 45% 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .14 18% .32 76% .25
15-23 0-4 8-21 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-20 10-18 3-8 7-21 7 rb 4 pt 13 to 16-20
Feb
1
Miami FL 1.12 65% 18% 35% +3 43% 15% 42% +1 1.05 36% 1.2 .43 19% .35 67% .24 0.99 58% 41% 27% -1 43% 22% 36% 0 0.96 31% 1.2 .25 20% .25 73% .19
14-21 1-7 7-20 11 rb 13 pt 14 to 16-25 13-22 5-11 5-18 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-17
Feb
6
Virginia 1.08 56% 44% 31% 0 42% 13% 45% +1 1.00 40% 1.1 .43 22% .35 73% .25 1.06 58% 44% 33% +3 34% 18% 48% 0 1.02 34% 1.2 .32 20% .22 78% .17
11-20 3-6 7-21 12 rb 13 pt 16 to 18-24 10-18 4-9 8-25 11 rb 10 pt 14 to 12-15
Feb
9
SMU 1.13 62% 22% 32% +1 44% 11% 45% +2 1.02 42% 1.2 .51 20% .35 74% .26 0.99 58% 46% 34% +4 33% 25% 42% -1 1.04 26% 2.1 .19 21% .29 77% .22
14-22 1-5 7-23 13 rb 16 pt 16 to 19-26 10-17 6-13 7-22 8 rb 6 pt 16 to 15-20
Feb
13
UNC 1.15 60% 26% 33% +1 44% 14% 42% +1 1.02 42% 1.0 .42 16% .29 83% .24 0.96 53% 35% 31% -2 35% 21% 44% 0 0.92 24% 1.8 .19 17% .29 64% .18
14-23 2-7 7-22 13 rb 13 pt 12 to 18-21 10-18 4-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 13 to 13-20
Feb
16
FL St. 1.16 70% 27% 35% +6 36% 13% 50% +1 1.11 39% 1.1 .42 20% .40 72% .28 0.96 58% 40% 26% -3 34% 19% 48% 0 0.90 27% 1.3 .22 19% .30 74% .22
12-18 2-7 9-25 12 rb 13 pt 15 to 21-29 10-18 4-10 6-25 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 16-21
Feb
20
Gonzaga 1.11 66% 36% 29% +3 45% 12% 43% +2 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .39 75% .30 1.05 65% 37% 34% +5 36% 29% 36% -1 1.04 29% 1.4 .22 17% .30 72% .21
14-21 2-6 6-20 11 rb 12 pt 16 to 20-27 12-19 6-15 6-19 9 rb 7 pt 13 to 15-21
Feb
24
Louisville 1.08 66% 12% 31% -1 40% 17% 44% +1 0.97 37% 1.2 .44 20% .35 66% .23 1.04 66% 42% 31% +3 33% 13% 54% +1 1.04 31% 1.3 .24 20% .25 71% .18
13-20 1-8 7-22 12 rb 14 pt 15 to 17-25 11-17 3-7 9-29 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 12-18
Feb
27
NC St. 1.19 61% 79% 33% +6 46% 6% 48% +3 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 20% .35 68% .24 0.99 56% 34% 34% +1 35% 19% 46% 0 0.99 26% 1.6 .20 19% .23 76% .17
14-23 2-3 8-23 12 rb 13 pt 15 to 17-25 10-18 3-10 8-25 9 rb 7 pt 14 to 12-16
Mar
1
Virginia 1.12 58% 48% 32% +3 42% 13% 45% +1 1.05 41% 1.1 .45 22% .35 75% .26 1.02 55% 41% 32% 0 34% 18% 48% 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .30 20% .22 75% .16
11-20 3-6 7-21 12 rb 13 pt 16 to 18-24 10-18 4-9 8-25 11 rb 10 pt 15 to 11-15
Mar
6
UNC 1.11 59% 22% 32% -1 44% 14% 42% +1 0.98 41% 1.0 .40 17% .29 80% .23 1.00 55% 38% 32% 0 35% 21% 44% 0 0.97 25% 1.7 .21 17% .29 67% .19
13-23 2-7 7-22 13 rb 13 pt 12 to 17-21 10-18 4-11 7-23 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 13-20