Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#64
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.7#129
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#45
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#103
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.7% 4.8% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% 23.5% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 21.8% 22.1% 4.9%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 9.2
.500 or above 70.1% 70.9% 34.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 46.2% 20.5%
Conference Champion 1.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 6.5% 14.1%
First Four5.1% 5.2% 1.2%
First Round20.5% 20.8% 4.7%
Second Round11.0% 11.2% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.2%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 98.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 24 - 46 - 12
Quad 34 - 111 - 13
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 331   Binghamton W 82-60 98%    
  Nov 08, 2025 338   Delaware St. W 88-65 98%    
  Nov 15, 2025 227   Drexel W 73-60 88%    
  Nov 18, 2025 211   Monmouth W 81-66 91%    
  Nov 24, 2025 1   Houston L 59-74 8%    
  Nov 25, 2025 13   Kansas L 70-78 23%    
  Dec 02, 2025 16   Tennessee L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 11, 2025 111   Saint Joseph's W 77-69 76%    
  Dec 13, 2025 178   Hofstra W 74-60 88%    
  Dec 17, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 83-55 99%    
  Dec 20, 2025 226   Northeastern W 81-65 91%    
  Dec 22, 2025 340   Stonehill W 82-58 98%    
  Dec 31, 2025 42   Clemson L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 06, 2026 83   @ Georgia Tech L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 10, 2026 77   @ Pittsburgh L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 13, 2026 78   Florida St. W 79-74 66%    
  Jan 17, 2026 100   @ Boston College W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 21, 2026 76   Virginia Tech W 74-69 66%    
  Jan 24, 2026 56   Miami (FL) W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 27, 2026 31   @ North Carolina St. L 68-76 26%    
  Jan 31, 2026 63   Notre Dame W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 02, 2026 25   @ North Carolina L 74-83 23%    
  Feb 07, 2026 46   @ Virginia L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 11, 2026 91   California W 78-72 70%    
  Feb 14, 2026 44   SMU W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 16, 2026 3   @ Duke L 65-81 9%    
  Feb 21, 2026 25   North Carolina L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 28, 2026 67   @ Wake Forest L 72-74 41%    
  Mar 03, 2026 11   @ Louisville L 71-83 16%    
  Mar 07, 2026 77   Pittsburgh W 76-71 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.8 0.1 4.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.8 0.2 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.3 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.1 1.7 0.1 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.9 3.5 0.3 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.4 3.9 1.1 0.0 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 6.8 13th
14th 0.2 2.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.4 14th
15th 0.1 1.2 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.4 16th
17th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.8 17th
18th 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.5 18th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.9 6.0 8.1 10.2 11.2 12.1 11.5 10.3 8.4 6.3 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 90.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 69.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 35.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 17.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 14.4% 85.6% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 22.4% 77.6% 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.8% 94.7% 11.0% 83.7% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.1%
13-5 4.4% 88.8% 6.8% 82.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 88.0%
12-6 6.3% 73.4% 3.8% 69.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 1.7 72.3%
11-7 8.4% 53.1% 2.6% 50.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.9 51.9%
10-8 10.3% 30.4% 1.3% 29.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.0 7.2 29.5%
9-9 11.5% 15.9% 0.6% 15.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.0 9.6 15.4%
8-10 12.1% 3.8% 0.2% 3.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.6 3.6%
7-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.6%
6-12 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.0%
5-13 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 8.1
4-14 6.0% 6.0
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 23.1% 1.7% 21.4% 8.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.4 4.1 5.5 3.1 0.1 0.0 76.9 21.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0