Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#59
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#71
Pace70.1#147
Improvement-0.4#224

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#20
First Shot+7.4#17
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#140
Layup/Dunks+1.1#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#78
Freethrows+1.9#71
Improvement-1.0#264

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#176
First Shot-0.1#166
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#183
Layups/Dunks+4.4#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#167
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#346
Freethrows+1.4#109
Improvement+0.6#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.9% 2.4% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 8.7% 2.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.0% 51.1% 26.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.7% 48.7% 24.6%
Average Seed 9.0 8.5 9.2
.500 or above 72.4% 88.2% 69.1%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 74.6% 62.6%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.9% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.1% 2.2%
First Four5.2% 6.6% 4.9%
First Round28.2% 47.7% 24.1%
Second Round12.9% 22.4% 10.9%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 6.9% 3.0%
Elite Eight1.2% 2.6% 0.9%
Final Four0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Neutral) - 17.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 25 - 48 - 12
Quad 35 - 314 - 14
Quad 44 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 294   Lafayette W 97-63 95%     1 - 0 +23.4 +15.4 +7.1
  Nov 14, 2021 161   Drexel W 75-60 83%     2 - 0 +12.5 +4.9 +8.7
  Nov 20, 2021 116   Colgate L 85-100 76%     2 - 1 -14.5 +5.5 -19.4
  Nov 24, 2021 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 55-67 56%     2 - 2 -5.7 -8.0 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2021 105   Arizona St. W 92-84 63%     3 - 2 +12.4 +19.6 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2021 16   Auburn L 68-89 25%     3 - 3 -6.0 +2.4 -8.5
  Nov 30, 2021 31   Indiana W 112-110 2OT 46%     4 - 3 +10.9 +16.2 -5.8
  Dec 04, 2021 38   @ Florida St. W 63-60 28%     5 - 3 1 - 0 +16.9 -0.7 +17.6
  Dec 07, 2021 7   Villanova L 67-77 18%    
  Dec 11, 2021 147   @ Georgetown W 79-76 62%    
  Dec 18, 2021 316   Lehigh W 86-66 97%    
  Dec 21, 2021 188   Cornell W 88-76 87%    
  Dec 29, 2021 99   Georgia Tech W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 01, 2022 44   Virginia W 64-63 55%    
  Jan 05, 2022 100   @ Miami (FL) W 77-76 51%    
  Jan 08, 2022 51   @ Wake Forest L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 11, 2022 179   Pittsburgh W 76-65 85%    
  Jan 15, 2022 38   Florida St. L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 18, 2022 56   Clemson W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 22, 2022 8   @ Duke L 72-84 13%    
  Jan 25, 2022 179   @ Pittsburgh W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 29, 2022 51   Wake Forest W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 02, 2022 74   @ North Carolina St. L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 05, 2022 37   Louisville L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 08, 2022 113   @ Boston College W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 12, 2022 36   @ Virginia Tech L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 113   Boston College W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 22, 2022 84   @ Notre Dame L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 26, 2022 8   Duke L 75-81 28%    
  Feb 28, 2022 24   @ North Carolina L 77-86 22%    
  Mar 05, 2022 100   Miami (FL) W 80-74 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.6 1.1 0.1 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.6 1.3 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.2 2.0 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 4.3 1.5 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.6 2.2 0.2 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.1 6.8 9.4 11.7 13.5 13.7 12.3 9.9 7.1 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 93.9% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 81.0% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 53.4% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 24.8% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.5% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 19.0% 81.0% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.0% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.4% 98.9% 14.1% 84.8% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
15-5 4.4% 95.3% 10.5% 84.8% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 94.7%
14-6 7.1% 87.6% 8.1% 79.5% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 86.6%
13-7 9.9% 68.8% 4.7% 64.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.1 67.2%
12-8 12.3% 44.2% 3.3% 41.0% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.9 0.6 0.0 6.8 42.4%
11-9 13.7% 23.1% 2.2% 20.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 10.6 21.4%
10-10 13.5% 8.2% 1.3% 6.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 12.4 7.0%
9-11 11.7% 1.8% 0.6% 1.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5 1.1%
8-12 9.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4 0.1%
7-13 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 6.8
6-14 4.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.1
5-15 2.1% 2.1
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 31.0% 3.1% 27.8% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.7 3.0 4.5 5.5 5.9 6.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 69.0 28.7%