Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.6 #78
Expected Predictive Rating +6.0 #90
Pace 69.7 #177
Improvement -1.9 #294

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #101 B- C C+ B+ C+
Defense #62 A+ B D+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #104 1.24 #89 +3.6 #74
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.74 #181 -0.5 #208
Three Pointers 39% #224 1.03 #157 -0.7 #204
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #112 +2.4 #114
Freethrows 20.0 #64 62% #354 12.5 #183
Second Chance 32.4% #124 1.06 #161 0.34 #135
Turnovers 14.5% #61
Total Offense +2.9 #101

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 0.96 #17 +2.8 #85
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #116 0.52 #6 +1.8 #67
Three Pointers 37% #286 0.92 #75 +3.7 #51
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #11 +8.4 #11
Freethrows 15.1 #83 71% #114 10.7 #71
Second Chance 30.6% #174 1.18 #318 0.36 #278
Turnovers 19.6% #48
Total Defense +4.7 #62

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #139 -0.1% #152
Shot Type Make % Effect 3.9% #123 -16.3% #7
Possession Length 16.3 #100 18.1 #303
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #72 0.15 #98
Improvement +0.0 #191 -1.9 #313

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 8.4% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.0% 8.1% 3.4%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.2
.500 or above 57.1% 68.8% 43.2%
.500 or above in Conference 23.7% 32.7% 13.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 3.4% 11.5%
First Four2.9% 3.8% 1.8%
First Round4.5% 6.2% 2.5%
Second Round1.5% 2.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 46 - 14
Quad 33 - 29 - 16
Quad 48 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 361 Binghamton W 85-47 98%     18.9   1 - 0 +19.2 +3.5 +16.3
  Sat, Nov 8 346 Delaware St. W 83-43 97%     22.7   2 - 0 +24.9 +5.2 +18.9
  Sat, Nov 15 271 Drexel W 80-50 89%     9.7   3 - 0 +23.9 +11.9 +14.6
  Tue, Nov 18 233 Monmouth W 78-73 91%     4.5   4 - 0 -2.2 +1.0 -3.3
  Mon, Nov 24 11 Houston L 74-78 OT 13%     -1.7   4 - 1 +15.6 +5.8 +10.0
  Tue, Nov 25 16 Kansas L 60-71 17%     -7.0   4 - 2 +6.5 +2.5 +3.2
  Wed, Nov 26 3 Iowa St. L 64-95 9%     -11.4   4 - 3 -8.4 +0.8 -8.3
  Tue, Dec 2 15 Tennessee W 62-60 24%     1.8   5 - 3 +16.8 -1.5 +18.3
  Thu, Dec 11 192 Saint Joseph's W 71-63 88%     2.2   6 - 3 +3.0 -2.2 +5.2
  Sat, Dec 13 111 Hofstra L 69-70 74%     -0.4   6 - 4 -0.1 +10.4 -10.7
  Wed, Dec 17 331 Mercyhurst W 76-62 96%     12.5   7 - 4 +0.5 -3.3 +3.6
  Sat, Dec 20 202 Northeastern W 91-83 89%     7.1   8 - 4 +2.2 +14.3 -12.1
  Mon, Dec 22 350 Stonehill W 77-48 97%     12.3   9 - 4 +13.2 +10.2 +6.9
  Wed, Dec 31 40 Clemson L 61-64 42%     -4.0   9 - 5 0 - 1 +6.5 -2.9 +9.3
  Tue, Jan 6 116 @Georgia Tech W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 84 @Pittsburgh L 70-72 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 112 Florida St. W 82-75 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 154 @Boston College W 70-66 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 64 Virginia Tech W 75-73 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 36 Miami (FL) L 73-76 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 25 @North Carolina St. L 70-81 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 60 Notre Dame W 70-68 56%    
  Mon, Feb 2 22 @North Carolina L 67-78 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 31 @Virginia L 69-78 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 76 California W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 35 SMU L 75-78 40%    
  Mon, Feb 16 6 @Duke L 66-82 7%    
  Sat, Feb 21 22 North Carolina L 70-75 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 62 @Wake Forest L 72-76 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 13 @Louisville L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 84 Pittsburgh W 73-69 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 1.2 0.1 2.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.6 0.4 4.1 7th
8th 0.4 2.8 1.9 0.1 5.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 4.1 0.7 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.9 4.8 2.3 0.1 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.2 3.7 4.7 0.6 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.6 6.5 2.1 0.1 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 4.9 4.7 0.4 10.8 13th
14th 0.2 3.1 5.7 1.4 0.0 10.5 14th
15th 0.1 1.5 5.3 2.9 0.1 9.9 15th
16th 0.0 1.0 3.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 8.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.3 17th
18th 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 18th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.5 8.5 13.1 15.8 17.5 14.6 11.0 7.1 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 3.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 3.1% 96.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 82.4% 2.0% 80.4% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 82.0%
12-6 1.5% 70.4% 2.0% 68.4% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 69.8%
11-7 3.4% 46.3% 1.8% 44.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.8 45.3%
10-8 7.1% 24.5% 1.0% 23.6% 10.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.0 5.4 23.8%
9-9 11.0% 8.6% 0.3% 8.3% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.0 10.1 8.3%
8-10 14.6% 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.4 1.4%
7-11 17.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.4 0.2%
6-12 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 15.8
5-13 13.1% 13.1
4-14 8.5% 8.5
3-15 4.5% 4.5
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.2% 0.3% 5.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.9 2.5 0.1 93.8 6.0%