Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.3 #65
Expected Predictive Rating +8.3 #75
Pace 69.7 #161
Improvement -1.5 #266

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #83 B+ C+ B- C C+
Defense #66 A+ D B B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #74 1.30 #52 +5.4 #27
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #203 0.71 #253 -1.0 #225
Three Pointers 38% #240 1.11 #64 +0.3 #168
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #58 +4.8 #58
Freethrows 19.7 #78 65% #353 12.9 #163
Second Chance 32.8% #126 1.05 #170 0.34 #124
Turnovers 15.2% #102
Total Offense +4.1 #83

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 0.99 #23 +2.2 #104
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #96 0.53 #2 +1.7 #67
Three Pointers 37% #297 0.91 #59 +4.2 #35
1st FG Attempt 0.86 #10 +8.0 #10
Freethrows 15.2 #77 74% #253 11.3 #104
Second Chance 30.6% #173 1.20 #334 0.37 #292
Turnovers 18.6% #69
Total Defense +4.3 #66

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.9% #126 -0.3% #139
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.3% #60 -15.5% #4
Possession Length 16.3 #83 18.1 #297
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #51 0.15 #121
Improvement +1.2 #110 -2.7 #316

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 13.0% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.2% 12.6% 4.8%
Average Seed 10.1 10.1 10.3
.500 or above 77.8% 88.0% 64.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 46.9% 20.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 1.4%
First Four4.7% 6.5% 2.4%
First Round6.8% 9.3% 3.5%
Second Round2.5% 3.4% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 33 - 210 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 361 Binghamton W 85 - 47 99% +19  1 - 0 +19 +5 D+ A- A+ +15 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 356 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 98% +23  2 - 0 +23 +5 A C C +17 A+ D- B
 Sat, Nov 15 209 Drexel W 80 - 50 86% +10  3 - 0 +27 +15 A B A+ +15 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 205 Monmouth W 78 - 73 90% +5  4 - 0 -1 +3 C+ B- C+ -4 C+ C+ C
 Mon, Nov 24 4 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 11% -2  4 - 1 +18 +8 A+ D+ A+ +10 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 19 Kansas L 60 - 71 20% -7  4 - 2 +6 +1 F A- A+ +5 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 10 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 14% -11  4 - 3 -11 -0 B- D- F -10 F A- D
 Tue, Dec 2 22 Tennessee W 62 - 60 31% +2  5 - 3 +15 -2 B+ D F +18 A+ A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 11 163 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 86% +2  6 - 3 +4 -0 C B- B- +5 A+ D+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 119 Hofstra L 69 - 70 79% -0  6 - 4 -1 +9 A- A- C- -10 F F C
 Wed, Dec 17 314 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 96% +13  7 - 4 +2 -2 C A+ F +3 B- F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 227 Northeastern W 91 - 83 91% +7  8 - 4 +1 +13 A+ C+ A- -12 C- F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 338 Stonehill W 77 - 48 97% +12  9 - 4 +15 +11 A- C A +8 A+ F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 28 Clemson L 61 - 64 38% -4  9 - 5 0 - 1 +8 -1 B F F +9 B+ A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 111 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 57% +9  10 - 5 1 - 1 +17 +8 C A+ F +8 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 91 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 72 47% +11  11 - 5 2 - 1 +20 +18 A+ A C +3 A+ D B+
 Tue, Jan 13 116 Florida St. W 94 - 86 79% +1  12 - 5 3 - 1 +8 +16 A+ B B -8 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 142 @Boston College L 73 - 81 OT 66% +2  12 - 6 3 - 2 -4 -0 A+ F F -3 B- C F
 Wed, Jan 21 58 Virginia Tech W 76 - 74 56%
 Sat, Jan 24 36 Miami (FL) L 76 - 78 43%
 Tue, Jan 27 27 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 18%
 Sat, Jan 31 72 Notre Dame W 73 - 69 63%
 Mon, Feb 2 34 @North Carolina L 73 - 81 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 17 @Virginia L 66 - 78 12%
 Wed, Feb 11 73 California W 76 - 72 63%
 Sat, Feb 14 32 SMU L 77 - 79 41%
 Mon, Feb 16 3 @Duke L 66 - 83 6%
 Sat, Feb 21 34 North Carolina L 76 - 78 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 61 @Wake Forest L 73 - 77 37%
 Tue, Mar 3 14 @Louisville L 72 - 85 12%
 Sat, Mar 7 91 Pittsburgh W 75 - 70 68%
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +8 +4 B+ C+ B- +4 A+ D B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.5 3.5 1.6 0.1 5.8 6th
7th 0.2 3.1 4.4 0.5 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 6.6 2.0 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.3 5.1 5.2 0.3 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 8.3 1.7 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.3 5.7 5.0 0.2 11.2 11th
12th 2.2 7.1 1.4 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.5 5.3 3.9 0.2 9.9 13th
14th 0.1 2.0 4.5 0.8 0.0 7.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.3 0.0 4.9 15th
16th 0.1 1.1 1.4 0.2 2.8 16th
17th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 17th
18th 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 18th
Total 0.4 2.4 6.9 13.8 19.6 21.7 17.4 11.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 90.5% 2.4% 88.1% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.2%
12-6 1.6% 74.8% 3.7% 71.2% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 73.9%
11-7 4.7% 51.5% 1.9% 49.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 2.3 50.5%
10-8 11.1% 29.0% 0.6% 28.4% 10.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 0.0 7.9 28.6%
9-9 17.4% 10.4% 0.3% 10.0% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.1 15.6 10.1%
8-10 21.7% 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 21.4 1.4%
7-11 19.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 19.6 0.2%
6-12 13.8% 13.8
5-13 6.9% 6.9
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.5% 0.3% 9.1% 10.1 90.5 9.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%