Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +7.8 72
Results Rating +8.0 77
Consistency 0.14 115
Pace 69.7 140
Improvement -2.1 263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 72 B+ C+ B- C C+
Defense B- 88 A- D+ B- C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 46 B 64% 56 +5.6 21
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 165 B- 41% 74 +0.1 173
Three Pointers 37% 267 B 37% 60 -0.4 195
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 112 B+ +4.7 46
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 45
Second Chance C+ 32.1% 133 C 1.03 172 C+ 0.33 121
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 204
Other Turnovers B+ 5.9% 41
Turnovers B- 15.6% 106
Freethrows B- 0.34 69 F+ 66% 353 C 0.22 168
Total Offense B- +4.5 72

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 195 B+ 7.9% 37
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 285 C+ 4.7% 160
Three Pointers C- 82% 230 B 0.4% 55
Total C- 52% 253 B 4.5% 55

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 96 B+ 51% 31 -0.8 144
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 121 A+ 29% 4 -1.4 75
Three Pointers 36% 319 B 31% 64 -4.1 31
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 173 A- -6.2 13
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 24
Second Chance C 30.6% 195 D 1.13 313 D+ 0.35 269
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 166
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 21
Turnovers B- 18.8% 67
Freethrows C+ 0.30 164 C 72% 168 C+ 0.21 160
Total Defense B- +3.3 88

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 100 A 19.6% 9
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 332 A+ 14.8% 2
Three Pointers D+ 86% 259 C+ 1.3% 92
Total C 55% 179 A+ 12.0% 1

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 60 17.9 277
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 40 0.17 175
Consistency 0.09 13 0.13 265
Improvement +1.7 103 -3.8 337

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 89 76 61
Results Rating Rank 98 75 61
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 14 12 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 1% 0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.3
.500 or above 83% 100% 74%
.500 or above in Conference 3% 7% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 10
Quad 23 - 35 - 14
Quad 35 - 210 - 16
Quad 47 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 358 Binghamton W 85 - 47 99% +19  99% 1 - 0 A +19 C +1 D+ A- A A+ +18 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 361 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 99% +23  99% 2 - 0 A +20 C +1 B+ C+ D+ A+ +18 A+ D- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 216 Drexel W 80 - 50 85% +10  77% 3 - 0 A+ +27 A +13 A B A A+ +17 A+ B- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 199 Monmouth W 78 - 73 88% +5  76% 4 - 0 C -0 C +1 C+ C B C -1 B- B- C-
 Mon, Nov 24 6 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 11% -2  26% 4 - 1 A- +17 B- +4 A C+ A+ A+ +14 A+ D A
 Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60 - 71 16% -7  3% 4 - 2 B- +7 C- -0 F+ B+ A+ A- +7 A F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 8 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 11% -11  9% 4 - 3 D -10 C- -2 B- D F+ D- -7 F+ A- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 17 Tennessee W 62 - 60 23% +2  67% 5 - 3 A- +17 D+ -4 B D+ F A+ +21 A+ A A+
 Thu, Dec 11 133 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 80% +2  69% 6 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 B- D C+ A- +8 A+ C+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 106 Hofstra L 69 - 70 74% -0  49% 6 - 4 C +0 B+ +7 B+ A C- D- -8 F+ D C+
 Wed, Dec 17 288 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 95% +13  99% 7 - 4 C+ +3 D -5 C- A+ F A- +8 B D- A
 Sat, Dec 20 290 Northeastern W 91 - 83 95% +7  81% 8 - 4 C- -3 B+ +9 A- B- B- F -11 D+ F B-
 Mon, Dec 22 341 Stonehill W 77 - 48 97% +12  98% 9 - 4 B+ +14 A- +10 B+ C A A- +7 A+ F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 41 Clemson L 61 - 64 42% -4  12% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B- +7 D -4 C+ F F+ A +11 B A- A-
 Tue, Jan 6 141 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 64% +9  85% 10 - 5 1 - 1 B+ +14 B- +4 C- A+ F+ A +9 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 98 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 72 49% +11  96% 11 - 5 2 - 1 A +19 A+ +16 A+ A C+ B +4 A- D+ B-
 Tue, Jan 13 82 Florida St. W 94 - 86 64% +1  51% 12 - 5 3 - 1 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ C+ C+ D+ -4 C+ F A
 Sat, Jan 17 139 @Boston College L 73 - 81 OT 64% +2  75% 12 - 6 3 - 2 C- -4 D+ -3 B+ F F C +0 B- C+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 55 Virginia Tech L 74 - 76 54% +2  69% 12 - 7 3 - 3 B- +5 C +1 C+ C D B- +3 A- A- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 38 Miami (FL) L 76 - 85 39% -6  0% 12 - 8 3 - 4 C +2 B +6 B+ F A+ D+ -4 F+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 27 28 @North Carolina St. L 68 - 88 17% -7  0% 12 - 9 3 - 5 C- -2 C -0 F A A C- -2 C F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 90 Notre Dame W 86 - 72 68% +8  91% 13 - 9 4 - 5 A- +17 A+ +15 A+ D+ A+ B- +2 B- A+ D+
 Mon, Feb 2 26 @North Carolina L 77 - 87 16% -14  1% 13 - 10 4 - 6 B +8 B +7 A+ D C+ C+ +2 C B- B
 Sat, Feb 7 20 @Virginia L 59 - 72 11% -6  6% 13 - 11 4 - 7 B +8 C+ +2 A C+ F+ B +5 A C+ C+
 Wed, Feb 11 70 California W 107 - 100 2OT 59% -0  37% 14 - 11 5 - 7 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ C+ B+ C+ +1 A- F B+
 Sat, Feb 14 31 SMU W 79 - 78 35% -5  4% 15 - 11 6 - 7 B+ +13 A- +11 A+ F+ A+ C+ +2 A+ F F
 Mon, Feb 16 2 @Duke L 64 - 101 4% -16  7% 15 - 12 6 - 8 D -8 B+ +9 B A+ B+ F -21 D- F F
 Sat, Feb 21 26 North Carolina L 64 - 77 33% -4  21% 15 - 13 6 - 9 C -1 D -5 C- C- C B +4 C- A+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 69 @Wake Forest L 76 - 80 36%
 Tue, Mar 3 14 @Louisville L 73 - 87 9%
 Sat, Mar 7 98 Pittsburgh W 75 - 69 70%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +8 B- +5 C B+ C+ B- +3 B F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B B- B B+ 44% 39% 37% C+ B+ C+ C C+ B- B- F+ C B- B+ A+ B A- 42% 22% 36% C A- C D D+ B- C+ C C+
1.15 64% 41% 37% +5 +1 1.13 32% 1.0 .33 16% .34 66% .22 1.04 51% 29% 31% -6 0 0.89 31% 1.1 .35 19% .30 72% .24
Nov
3		 Binghamton C B- A+ F D+ 50% 18% 32% C+ D+ C A+ A- A F D+ F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 47% 18% 34% F+ A+ C- F F A+ F B- F
1.23 64% 80% 17% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 7% .25 69% .17 0.68 28% 57% 8% -24 +1 0.55 21% 1.6 .32 32% .47 73% .34
Nov
8		 Delaware St. C A+ F C+ B 49% 10% 41% B B+ F+ A+ C+ D+ B- F D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 41% 24% B A+ F C- D- B- C- F F+
1.16 83% 0% 35% +9 +2 1.24 25% 1.6 .39 20% .37 52% .19 0.60 28% 10% 8% -31 -3 0.33 33% 0.8 .25 21% .30 82% .25
Nov
15		 Drexel A A F+ A+ A 42% 25% 33% C A B+ C B A D- D+ D- A+ A+ D+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% B- A+ F A+ B- A+ B+ A- A-
1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19 0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13
Nov
18		 Monmouth C B- F A- C 53% 12% 35% A- C+ D A+ C B A+ F A+ C A+ A- D B+ 37% 14% 49% F B- B C B- C- F F+ F
1.10 61% 0% 40% 0 +2 1.07 26% 1.2 .32 17% .56 58% .32 1.03 39% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .43 80% .34
Nov
24		 Houston B- A+ F D+ A- 37% 10% 53% A A B- D+ C+ A+ A+ F D A+ C A+ C+ A+ 26% 34% 40% B- A+ C+ F D A F A F
0.98 74% 0% 30% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.9 .26 17% .47 41% .19 1.04 64% 11% 33% -8 -3 0.81 37% 1.2 .46 17% .43 70% .30
Nov
25		 Kansas C- C F F F+ 27% 23% 50% C- F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A A- B+ A C+ A+ 47% 26% 28% C- A F D- F A+ F F F
0.92 53% 15% 21% -16 -1 0.68 23% 1.3 .30 3% .36 57% .21 1.09 55% 27% 33% -4 0 0.93 42% 1.4 .58 23% .40 90% .36
Nov
26		 Iowa St. C- B- F C- C+ 37% 12% 51% A B- A- F D F+ A+ F+ A- D- D- F F D- 56% 11% 33% F F+ A C- A- D+ C C+ C
0.89 61% 17% 32% -3 +1 0.98 33% 0.6 .19 26% .36 63% .23 1.32 70% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.33 30% 1.1 .33 13% .33 67% .22
Dec
2		 Tennessee D+ C A D B 39% 24% 37% C+ B B- F D+ F A+ F A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 47% 26% 28% B- A+ A+ D A A+ A- A+ A+
0.90 56% 45% 29% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 23% .42 59% .25 0.87 45% 25% 31% -11 0 0.81 34% 1.2 .39 25% .29 53% .15
Dec
11		 Saint Joseph's C- B- F A+ B 43% 29% 27% C+ B- F A+ D C+ A+ F A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ 36% 20% 44% B+ A+ C- B- C+ B F A F
1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25 0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32
Dec
13		 Hofstra B+ B A+ D+ B+ 32% 21% 47% C+ B+ A+ C- A C- B- F D D- B+ A+ F F+ 38% 27% 35% C F+ B F D C+ A+ F A+
1.19 60% 50% 32% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 15% .33 56% .18 1.20 50% 15% 65% +7 -1 1.15 30% 1.4 .41 17% .12 100% .12
Dec
17		 Mercyhurst D C- A+ F D+ 50% 18% 32% C+ C- B A+ A+ F F B- F+ A- D A+ A- B 34% 38% 28% C+ B D D D- A B- B- B-
1.07 56% 56% 25% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.4 .53 22% .29 75% .22 0.87 61% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.83 30% 1.2 .35 21% .18 70% .12
Dec
20		 Northeastern B+ F A+ A+ A 53% 29% 18% D+ A- A+ F B- B- A+ D+ A+ F B+ F C C- 51% 11% 38% F D+ F B+ F B- F B D-
1.31 50% 91% 43% +13 0 1.29 53% 0.7 .35 16% .82 71% .58 1.19 50% 83% 33% 0 +2 1.07 46% 0.9 .43 19% .35 65% .23
Dec
22		 Stonehill A- B+ F A+ B 45% 14% 41% B B+ B D- C A A+ F B+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ 32% 23% 45% B A+ D- F F B+ F B F
1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25 0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23
Dec
31		 Clemson D C- F+ B C+ 40% 26% 33% C+ C+ D F F F+ A+ A A+ A C B A A- 56% 16% 28% D B A C+ A- A- A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 27% 36% -4 -1 0.93 17% 0.4 .07 23% .47 83% .39 0.96 61% 38% 29% -1 +2 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 18% .22 50% .11
Jan
6		 Georgia Tech B- B F A C 31% 35% 35% F+ C- A A+ A+ F+ A+ B- A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ 45% 27% 27% C A+ B+ F C F F C+ F+
1.09 60% 18% 41% -3 -2 0.92 38% 1.4 .51 20% .51 74% .38 0.95 56% 20% 20% -12 0 0.78 27% 1.4 .37 12% .39 69% .27
Jan
10		 Pittsburgh A+ A C A+ A+ 44% 18% 38% B- A+ C+ A+ A C+ B+ A A- B C F A+ A- 33% 23% 44% A- A- D C D+ B- A F C-
1.25 70% 38% 53% +16 +1 1.36 27% 1.3 .36 17% .32 83% .27 1.08 59% 67% 17% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.0 .39 18% .20 100% .20
Jan
13		 Florida St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% A- A+ A- D- C+ C+ C- F D- D+ B- A+ D B- 45% 12% 43% D+ C+ F F F A F C- F
1.29 81% 71% 42% +19 +1 1.43 38% 0.8 .31 19% .25 60% .15 1.18 57% 17% 36% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.4 .55 19% .46 74% .34
Jan
17		 Boston College D+ A F A+ B+ 48% 21% 31% B- B+ D+ F F F A D+ B+ C B+ A+ F B- 35% 32% 33% B B- A- F C+ F F F F
0.95 68% 0% 44% +1 +1 1.06 24% 0.4 .11 23% .38 64% .24 1.06 50% 22% 42% -4 -2 0.91 24% 1.2 .29 10% .42 72% .31
Jan
21		 Virginia Tech C F+ F A+ C 43% 17% 40% B+ C+ C C C D C+ A+ B+ B- C+ C- A+ A 48% 17% 35% D- A- A+ C A- C- F C+ F
1.05 48% 11% 43% -4 +1 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 20% .25 86% .21 1.08 59% 38% 25% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 14% .60 72% .43
Jan
24		 Miami (FL) B C+ A+ C- A- 43% 25% 32% B- B+ F+ F F A+ C- D+ C- D+ C- D- F F 57% 19% 23% D+ F+ A- F F A+ B+ F C+
1.10 58% 57% 33% +5 0 1.11 15% 0.8 .12 9% .24 67% .16 1.23 63% 44% 55% +11 +2 1.28 33% 1.6 .54 23% .28 80% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 North Carolina St. C F+ F F F 46% 18% 36% C+ F B+ A A A D+ F F+ C- D- F A- C+ 50% 12% 38% D- C F A F+ B+ C+ F+ C-
0.97 46% 20% 25% -14 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15 1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25
Jan
31		 Notre Dame A+ A+ A+ A A+ 32% 21% 47% C+ A+ D C D+ A+ B+ F D+ B- F C+ A B- 35% 22% 43% C- B- A+ F A+ D+ D C- D+
1.28 88% 55% 40% +17 0 1.36 20% 1.0 .20 9% .34 57% .20 1.07 78% 36% 27% +2 0 1.06 13% 1.3 .16 15% .35 70% .24
Feb
2		 North Carolina B A+ A B- A+ 28% 41% 31% F A+ C+ F D C+ A+ D+ A C+ C+ A+ F D+ 38% 30% 32% A C D A B- B F D+ F
1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21 1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41
Feb
7		 Virginia C+ D- A+ F A+ 40% 40% 20% D A D A+ C+ F+ F A+ F B A+ F C- A+ 42% 13% 46% C- A D B+ C+ C+ B C+ B
0.95 44% 67% 22% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.2 .26 21% .14 86% .12 1.16 35% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 44% 1.0 .44 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
11		 California A- A+ B+ D A+ 51% 15% 34% B+ A+ B D+ C+ B+ A+ D- A+ C+ B A- C+ A 36% 24% 39% C A- D F F B+ C C+ C+
1.18 74% 44% 29% +6 +2 1.18 33% 0.9 .30 13% .54 60% .32 1.11 54% 31% 35% -3 -1 0.95 32% 1.6 .50 18% .34 76% .26
Feb
14		 SMU A- D- A+ A+ A+ 31% 21% 48% C+ A+ C+ F F+ A+ B+ A A- C+ A+ A- A+ A+ 37% 31% 31% B A+ D+ F F F C+ C C
1.21 50% 55% 44% +8 -1 1.17 31% 0.5 .17 12% .31 78% .24 1.19 40% 35% 24% -12 -1 0.74 40% 1.7 .68 9% .29 76% .22
Feb
16		 Duke B+ C- F B+ B- 39% 18% 43% A- B A A+ A+ B+ D- F F F B- A+ F D- 60% 4% 36% F D- C- F F F C+ A B+
1.00 50% 22% 36% -4 0 0.94 32% 1.1 .34 17% .15 25% .04 1.57 60% 0% 56% +11 +4 1.32 41% 2.0 .81 6% .33 65% .22
Feb
21		 North Carolina D B- B F C- 40% 29% 31% C+ C- C- C C- C A- C- A- B F B+ C+ D+ 44% 25% 31% B- C- A A+ A+ B F A+ D+
0.94 57% 40% 19% -7 -1 0.87 24% 0.9 .21 15% .28 69% .19 1.13 81% 33% 33% +9 0 1.19 26% 0.8 .21 15% .48 54% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.4 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 2.8 1.3 4.2 9th
10th 0.8 11.7 0.8 13.3 10th
11th 9.6 10.7 0.1 20.4 11th
12th 2.4 31.3 3.0 36.7 12th
13th 8.4 8.6 0.1 17.1 13th
14th 7.2 0.5 7.7 14th
15th 0.2 0.2 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 18.2 50.8 28.4 2.6 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.6% 5.0% 5.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5 5.0%
8-10 28.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.8% 11.2 0.2 0.1 28.2 0.8%
7-11 50.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 50.8 0.0%
6-12 18.2% 18.2
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.2 99.6 0.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.3%