Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#96
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#99
Pace75.3#41
Improvement+3.5#16

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#68
First Shot+4.9#56
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#206
Layup/Dunks+6.6#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#34
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#318
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement+1.0#103

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
First Shot-0.6#191
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#73
Layups/Dunks-0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#206
Freethrows+0.4#161
Improvement+2.4#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 7.6% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.0% 6.8% 2.6%
Average Seed 9.4 9.3 9.7
.500 or above 46.8% 63.7% 37.9%
.500 or above in Conference 36.4% 53.6% 27.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 2.8% 10.2%
First Four1.2% 1.9% 0.8%
First Round3.9% 6.6% 2.6%
Second Round1.7% 2.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 34.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 23 - 55 - 14
Quad 35 - 210 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 334   Le Moyne W 86-82 95%     1 - 0 -9.0 -0.7 -8.7
  Nov 12, 2024 246   Colgate W 74-72 89%     2 - 0 -5.5 -2.4 -3.1
  Nov 16, 2024 229   Youngstown St. W 104-95 2OT 87%     3 - 0 +2.2 +8.9 -8.6
  Nov 21, 2024 34   Texas L 66-70 25%     3 - 1 +8.6 +2.9 +5.6
  Nov 22, 2024 24   Texas Tech L 74-79 21%     3 - 2 +9.0 +9.3 -0.5
  Nov 27, 2024 149   Cornell W 82-72 78%     4 - 2 +7.6 -0.1 +6.9
  Dec 03, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 70-96 6%     4 - 3 -2.8 +9.3 -12.0
  Dec 07, 2024 80   @ Notre Dame L 72-76 34%    
  Dec 10, 2024 237   Albany W 89-76 88%    
  Dec 14, 2024 98   Georgetown W 79-76 62%    
  Dec 21, 2024 19   Maryland L 74-83 20%    
  Dec 28, 2024 260   Bucknell W 81-67 91%    
  Dec 31, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 04, 2025 61   @ Florida St. L 76-83 27%    
  Jan 07, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 83-78 68%    
  Jan 11, 2025 145   @ Boston College W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 14, 2025 43   Louisville L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 80   Notre Dame W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 22, 2025 28   @ Clemson L 70-80 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 36   Pittsburgh L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 93   @ Stanford L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 109   @ California L 81-82 45%    
  Feb 05, 2025 2   Duke L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 08, 2025 145   Boston College W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 11, 2025 87   @ Miami (FL) L 79-83 37%    
  Feb 15, 2025 17   North Carolina L 83-89 29%    
  Feb 18, 2025 36   @ Pittsburgh L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 26, 2025 72   North Carolina St. W 77-76 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 129   @ Virginia Tech W 75-74 53%    
  Mar 04, 2025 62   @ SMU L 79-86 28%    
  Mar 08, 2025 90   Virginia W 68-65 59%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 3.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.1 0.1 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 4.4 1.6 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.5 3.7 3.2 0.3 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 1.1 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.5 0.2 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.5 14th
15th 0.3 1.9 3.8 1.4 0.1 7.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.9 0.3 6.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.7 7.4 10.2 11.5 13.0 12.8 11.4 9.2 6.6 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 89.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
17-3 60.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 28.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 31.0% 69.0% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 93.3% 9.2% 84.2% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.7%
16-4 0.6% 81.8% 6.6% 75.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 80.6%
15-5 1.3% 59.6% 4.4% 55.2% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 57.7%
14-6 2.6% 37.0% 2.9% 34.1% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6 35.1%
13-7 4.4% 21.6% 2.5% 19.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.0 3.5 19.6%
12-8 6.6% 9.3% 1.2% 8.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.0 8.2%
11-9 9.2% 3.9% 0.8% 3.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.8 3.1%
10-10 11.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.3 0.6%
9-11 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8 0.0%
8-12 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 13.0
7-13 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 7.4% 7.4
4-16 4.7% 4.7
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 0.6% 4.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 95.4 4.0%