Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +8.1 68
Expected Predictive Rating +6.8 81
Pace 69.7 151
Improvement -2.3 275

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #73 B+ C+ C+ C C+
Defense B- #75 A- C- B C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 61 64% 59 +5.6 22
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 192 40% 99 +0.2 168
Three Pointers 37% 267 37% 53 -0.3 190
1st FG Attempt 1.13 47 +5.4 47
Second Chance 31.7% 147 1.04 154 0.33 133
Turnovers 15.9% 109
Freethrows 0.34 79 66% 354 0.22 174
Total Offense +4.4 73

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 103 51% 34 +1.1 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 123 29% 4 +1.4 83
Three Pointers 36% 310 31% 65 +4.0 37
1st FG Attempt 0.89 24 +6.4 22
Second Chance 30.4% 179 1.08 266 0.33 227
Turnovers 19.5% 46
Freethrows 0.30 171 73% 252 0.22 177
Total Defense +3.7 75

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.4 132 +0.1 178
Shot Type Accuracy +4.9 43 -6.3 11
Possession Length 16.0 61 17.9 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 42 0.17 168
Improvement +1.4 #110 -3.7 #335

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 11.1
.500 or above 56.2% 71.1% 31.9%
.500 or above in Conference 6.1% 9.4% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.1% 2.4%
First Four0.9% 1.4% 0.2%
First Round0.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Home) - 61.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 11
Quad 22 - 44 - 14
Quad 35 - 29 - 16
Quad 47 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 361 Binghamton W 85 - 47 99% +19  99% 1 - 0 A +18 C +2 D+ A- A A+ +17 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 359 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 98% +23  99% 2 - 0 A +22 C+ +3 B+ B- C- A+ +19 A+ D- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 215 Drexel W 80 - 50 85% +10  77% 3 - 0 A+ +27 A +13 A- B A A+ +17 A+ B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 207 Monmouth W 78 - 73 90% +5  76% 4 - 0 C -1 C +1 C+ C+ B C- -2 C+ B C
 Mon, Nov 24 5 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 10% -2  26% 4 - 1 A +18 B- +4 A- C A+ A+ +15 A+ D A
 Tue, Nov 25 11 Kansas L 60 - 71 16% -7  3% 4 - 2 B- +8 C -0 D- B+ A+ B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 7 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 11% -11  9% 4 - 3 D -9 D+ -2 B- D D- D -6 F+ A- D
 Tue, Dec 2 16 Tennessee W 62 - 60 26% +2  67% 5 - 3 A- +17 D -5 B D F A+ +22 A+ A- A+
 Thu, Dec 11 129 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 81% +2  69% 6 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 B- D B- A- +8 A+ C+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 116 Hofstra L 69 - 70 78% -0  49% 6 - 4 C -1 B +7 B A- C- D- -8 F+ D+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 301 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 95% +13  99% 7 - 4 C+ +3 D -4 C- A+ F B+ +7 B D A
 Sat, Dec 20 268 Northeastern W 91 - 83 94% +7  81% 8 - 4 C -1 A- +9 A- C+ B- F+ -10 C- F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 330 Stonehill W 77 - 48 97% +12  98% 9 - 4 A- +15 A- +11 B+ C+ A- A- +8 A+ F B+
 Wed, Dec 31 33 Clemson L 61 - 64 36% -4  12% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B +9 D+ -3 B- F F+ A +12 B+ A- B+
 Tue, Jan 6 121 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 60% +9  85% 10 - 5 1 - 1 A- +16 B- +5 C A+ F A +10 A+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 98 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 72 50% +11  96% 11 - 5 2 - 1 A +19 A+ +16 A+ A- C+ B +4 B+ C- B-
 Tue, Jan 13 100 Florida St. W 94 - 86 72% +1  51% 12 - 5 3 - 1 B +10 A+ +15 A+ C+ C+ D -6 C F A
 Sat, Jan 17 127 @Boston College L 73 - 81 OT 61% +2  75% 12 - 6 3 - 2 C- -3 C- -2 A F F C -0 B- C F
 Wed, Jan 21 59 Virginia Tech L 74 - 76 57% +2  69% 12 - 7 3 - 3 C+ +4 C +2 C+ C D+ B- +3 B+ A C-
 Sat, Jan 24 42 Miami (FL) L 76 - 85 45% -6  0% 12 - 8 3 - 4 C +0 B +5 A- F A+ D+ -5 F+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 27 24 @North Carolina St. L 68 - 88 14% -7  0% 12 - 9 3 - 5 C -0 C +1 F A A+ C -1 C D- B+
 Sat, Jan 31 84 Notre Dame W 86 - 72 67% +8  91% 13 - 9 4 - 5 A +17 A+ +16 A+ D+ A+ C+ +2 C+ A+ D+
 Mon, Feb 2 27 @North Carolina L 77 - 87 16% -14  1% 13 - 10 4 - 6 B +9 B +6 A+ D C+ B- +3 C B B
 Sat, Feb 7 23 @Virginia L 59 - 72 14% -6  6% 13 - 11 4 - 7 B- +7 C +0 A- C+ F+ B +5 A C+ C+
 Wed, Feb 11 72 California W 76 - 73 62%
 Sat, Feb 14 37 SMU L 78 - 81 39%
 Mon, Feb 16 3 @Duke L 64 - 82 4%
 Sat, Feb 21 27 North Carolina L 76 - 81 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 71 @Wake Forest L 76 - 79 40%
 Tue, Mar 3 17 @Louisville L 73 - 86 12%
 Sat, Mar 7 98 Pittsburgh W 75 - 69 71%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +8 B- +4 B+ C+ C+ B- +4 A- C- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B C+ B B+ 43% 20% 37% C+ B+ C+ C C+ C+ B- F+ C B- B+ A B A- 42% 22% 36% C A- C D+ C- B C+ C- C
1.15 64% 40% 37% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.0 .33 16% .34 66% .22 1.03 51% 29% 31% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.1 .33 19% .30 73% .25
Nov
3		 Binghamton C B A+ F D+ 50% 18% 32% C+ D+ C+ A+ A- A F+ D+ F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 47% 18% 34% D- A+ C- F F A+ F B- F+
1.23 64% 80% 17% +2 +1 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 7% .25 69% .17 0.68 28% 57% 8% -24 +1 0.55 21% 1.6 .32 32% .47 73% .34
Nov
8		 Delaware St. C+ A+ F C+ B+ 49% 10% 41% B B+ D- A+ B- C- B- F D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 41% 24% B A+ F C D- C+ C- F F+
1.16 83% 0% 35% +9 +2 1.24 25% 1.6 .39 20% .37 52% .19 0.60 28% 10% 8% -31 -3 0.33 33% 0.8 .25 21% .30 82% .25
Nov
15		 Drexel A A D- A+ A 42% 25% 33% C A- B C+ B A D C- D- A+ A+ D+ A- A+ 37% 23% 40% C+ A+ F A+ B A+ B B+ B
1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19 0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13
Nov
18		 Monmouth C B- F A- C 53% 12% 35% A- C+ D- A+ C+ B A+ F A+ C- A+ A- D- B- 37% 14% 49% F+ C+ B C+ B C F F+ F
1.10 61% 0% 40% 0 +2 1.07 26% 1.2 .32 17% .56 58% .32 1.03 39% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .43 80% .34
Nov
24		 Houston B- A+ F D A- 37% 10% 53% A A- C+ C- C A+ A+ F D A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ 26% 34% 40% B- A+ B- F D A F A F
0.98 74% 0% 30% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.9 .26 17% .47 41% .19 1.04 64% 11% 33% -8 -3 0.81 37% 1.2 .46 17% .43 70% .30
Nov
25		 Kansas C C F F D- 27% 23% 50% C- D- C- A+ B+ A+ A+ F A- B+ B+ A C+ A+ 47% 26% 28% C A+ F D- F A+ F F F
0.92 53% 15% 21% -16 -1 0.68 23% 1.3 .30 3% .36 57% .21 1.09 55% 27% 33% -4 0 0.93 42% 1.4 .58 23% .40 90% .36
Nov
26		 Iowa St. D+ B- F C C+ 37% 12% 51% A B- B+ F D D- A+ F A- D D- F F D- 56% 11% 33% F F+ A+ D+ A- D C B- C+
0.89 61% 17% 32% -3 +1 0.98 33% 0.6 .19 26% .36 63% .23 1.32 70% 50% 44% +13 +2 1.33 30% 1.1 .33 13% .33 67% .22
Dec
2		 Tennessee D C A D+ B+ 39% 24% 37% C B C+ F D F A+ F+ A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 47% 26% 28% B- A+ A+ D A- A+ A A+ A+
0.90 56% 45% 29% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 23% .42 59% .25 0.87 45% 25% 31% -10 0 0.81 34% 1.2 .39 25% .29 53% .15
Dec
11		 Saint Joseph's C- B- F A+ B- 43% 29% 27% C B- F A+ D B- A+ F A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 20% 44% B A+ C B- C+ B F A+ F
1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25 0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32
Dec
13		 Hofstra B B A+ D+ B 32% 21% 47% C+ B A+ D+ A- C- C+ F D D- B+ A+ F F+ 38% 27% 35% C F+ B+ F D+ C+ A+ F A+
1.19 60% 50% 32% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 15% .33 56% .18 1.20 50% 15% 65% +7 -1 1.15 30% 1.4 .41 17% .12 100% .12
Dec
17		 Mercyhurst D C- A+ F C- 50% 18% 32% C C- B- A+ A+ F F+ B- D- B+ D A+ A- B 34% 38% 28% B- B D D D A B- C+ B-
1.07 56% 56% 25% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.4 .53 22% .29 75% .22 0.87 61% 25% 27% -7 -3 0.83 30% 1.2 .35 21% .18 70% .12
Dec
20		 Northeastern A- F+ A+ A+ A 53% 29% 18% D+ A- A+ F C+ B- A+ D+ A+ F+ B+ F C C 51% 11% 38% F+ C- F B- F C+ F+ B D
1.31 50% 91% 43% +14 0 1.29 53% 0.7 .35 16% .82 71% .58 1.19 50% 83% 33% +1 +2 1.07 46% 0.9 .43 19% .35 65% .23
Dec
22		 Stonehill A- B+ F A+ B+ 45% 14% 41% B B+ B+ D- C+ A- A+ F B+ A- A+ A+ B- A+ 32% 23% 45% B+ A+ D- F F B+ F B+ F
1.24 64% 0% 45% +4 +1 1.12 33% 0.9 .31 8% .51 48% .25 0.78 14% 10% 30% -23 -1 0.55 33% 1.2 .40 24% .36 65% .23
Dec
31		 Clemson D+ C- F+ B B- 40% 26% 33% C+ B- D F F F+ A+ A+ A+ A C B A- A- 56% 16% 28% D B+ A B- A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.92 53% 27% 36% -4 -1 0.93 17% 0.4 .07 23% .47 83% .39 0.96 61% 38% 29% -1 +2 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 18% .22 50% .11
Jan
6		 Georgia Tech B- B F A+ C+ 31% 35% 35% F+ C A- A+ A+ F A+ B A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ 45% 27% 27% C A+ B+ F C F F C F+
1.09 60% 18% 41% -3 -2 0.92 38% 1.4 .51 20% .51 74% .38 0.95 56% 20% 20% -11 0 0.78 27% 1.4 .37 12% .39 69% .27
Jan
10		 Pittsburgh A+ A C A+ A+ 44% 18% 38% B- A+ C+ A+ A- C+ B A B+ B C F A+ B+ 33% 23% 44% B+ B+ D+ C C- B- A F C-
1.25 70% 38% 53% +16 +1 1.36 27% 1.3 .36 17% .32 83% .27 1.08 59% 67% 17% -4 -1 0.92 39% 1.0 .39 18% .20 100% .20
Jan
13		 Florida St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% B+ A+ A- D- C+ C+ D+ F F+ D B- A+ D C+ 45% 12% 43% D+ C F+ F F A F C- F
1.29 81% 71% 42% +19 +1 1.43 38% 0.8 .31 19% .25 60% .15 1.18 57% 17% 36% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.4 .55 19% .46 74% .34
Jan
17		 Boston College C- A F A+ A 48% 21% 31% B A D+ F F F A C- B+ C B+ A+ F B- 35% 32% 33% B+ B- A- F C F F F+ F
0.95 68% 0% 44% +1 +1 1.06 24% 0.4 .11 23% .38 64% .24 1.06 50% 22% 42% -4 -2 0.91 24% 1.2 .29 10% .42 72% .31
Jan
21		 Virginia Tech C F+ F A+ C 43% 17% 40% B+ C+ C C C D+ C+ A+ B+ B- B- C- A+ A 48% 17% 35% F+ B+ A+ C A C- F C+ F
1.05 48% 11% 43% -4 +1 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 20% .25 86% .21 1.08 59% 38% 25% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 14% .60 72% .43
Jan
24		 Miami (FL) B C+ A+ C- A- 43% 25% 32% B- A- F F F A+ D+ C D+ D+ C D F F+ 57% 19% 23% C- F+ B+ F F A+ B+ F C+
1.10 58% 57% 33% +5 0 1.11 15% 0.8 .12 9% .24 67% .16 1.23 63% 44% 55% +11 +2 1.28 33% 1.6 .54 23% .28 80% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 North Carolina St. C D- F F F 46% 18% 36% C+ F A- A A A+ D+ F D- C D- F A- C+ 50% 12% 38% F+ C F A+ D- B+ C+ F C-
0.97 46% 20% 25% -13 +1 0.77 33% 1.2 .40 16% .27 56% .15 1.26 69% 50% 30% +5 +2 1.15 45% 1.0 .45 16% .30 83% .25
Jan
31		 Notre Dame A+ A+ A+ A A+ 32% 21% 47% C+ A+ D+ C D+ A+ B+ F C- C+ F B- A B- 35% 22% 43% C- C+ A+ F A+ D+ D+ C D+
1.28 88% 55% 40% +17 0 1.36 20% 1.0 .20 9% .34 57% .20 1.07 78% 36% 27% +2 0 1.06 13% 1.3 .16 15% .35 70% .24
Feb
2		 North Carolina B A+ A C+ A+ 28% 41% 31% F+ A+ C+ F D C+ A+ D+ A B- C A+ F C- 38% 30% 32% A C D+ A B B F D+ F
1.06 73% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 28% 0.5 .15 14% .30 68% .21 1.20 61% 29% 53% +8 -1 1.15 38% 0.9 .34 15% .57 71% .41
Feb
7		 Virginia C D- A+ F A 40% 40% 20% D A- D A+ C+ F+ F A+ F B A+ F D+ A+ 42% 13% 46% C- A D+ B C+ C+ B C B
0.95 44% 67% 22% +3 -2 1.02 22% 1.2 .26 21% .14 86% .12 1.16 35% 67% 36% -4 +1 0.96 44% 1.0 .44 16% .27 71% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.2 2.5 8th
9th 0.5 5.0 2.4 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.1 5.4 7.5 0.6 13.7 10th
11th 0.0 2.9 13.1 3.2 0.0 19.3 11th
12th 0.4 10.6 8.6 0.4 20.0 12th
13th 3.1 11.5 1.9 16.5 13th
14th 0.1 6.8 4.3 0.1 11.3 14th
15th 0.9 4.1 0.2 5.3 15th
16th 1.2 0.6 1.9 16th
17th 0.6 0.0 0.6 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 18th
Total 2.9 15.1 29.6 29.7 16.6 5.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.7% 39.3% 0.7% 38.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 38.9%
9-9 5.3% 12.8% 0.3% 12.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 4.6 12.6%
8-10 16.6% 1.5% 0.2% 1.3% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 16.3 1.3%
7-11 29.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.7 0.1%
6-12 29.6% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 29.6
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 15.1
4-14 2.9% 2.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 10.8 98.7 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.8%