Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#75
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#76
Pace69.7#180
Improvement-2.5#321

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#85
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#57
Layup/Dunks+3.1#73
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
Freethrows-1.0#249
Improvement+1.3#86

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#73
First Shot+6.7#21
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#343
Layups/Dunks+2.6#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#97
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement-3.8#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 15.5% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.1% 15.2% 6.0%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.1
.500 or above 65.4% 78.6% 55.2%
.500 or above in Conference 32.4% 46.1% 21.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.8% 7.1%
First Four4.4% 6.2% 3.0%
First Round7.9% 12.2% 4.6%
Second Round2.8% 4.4% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Home) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 10
Quad 24 - 46 - 13
Quad 33 - 29 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 363 Binghamton W 85-47 98%     1 - 0 +19.1 +3.2 +16.4
  Sat, Nov 8 346 Delaware St. W 83-43 97%     2 - 0 +24.9 +4.4 +19.6
  Sat, Nov 15 274 Drexel W 80-50 89%     3 - 0 +24.0 +11.6 +15.0
  Tue, Nov 18 224 Monmouth W 78-73 90%     4 - 0 -1.9 +0.9 -2.8
  Mon, Nov 24 8 Houston L 74-78 OT 12%     4 - 1 +16.3 +6.3 +10.3
  Tue, Nov 25 17 Kansas L 60-71 18%     4 - 2 +6.4 +2.5 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 26 3 Iowa St. L 64-95 9%     4 - 3 -8.8 +1.0 -9.0
  Tue, Dec 2 14 Tennessee W 62-60 25%     5 - 3 +16.6 -1.7 +18.3
  Thu, Dec 11 188 Saint Joseph's W 71-63 87%     6 - 3 +3.2 -1.0 +4.2
  Sat, Dec 13 110 Hofstra L 69-70 75%     6 - 4 -0.3 +10.8 -11.3
  Wed, Dec 17 318 Mercyhurst W 76-62 96%     7 - 4 +1.7 -2.6 +4.1
  Sat, Dec 20 205 Northeastern W 91-83 89%     8 - 4 +2.1 +15.9 -13.7
  Mon, Dec 22 338 Stonehill W 77-48 97%     9 - 4 +14.9 +10.8 +7.9
  Wed, Dec 31 40 Clemson L 69-71 44%    
  Tue, Jan 6 129 @Georgia Tech W 76-73 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 84 @Pittsburgh L 71-73 43%    
  Tue, Jan 13 113 Florida St. W 84-77 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 156 @Boston College W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Jan 21 74 Virginia Tech W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 35 Miami (FL) L 74-77 40%    
  Tue, Jan 27 28 @North Carolina St. L 73-83 17%    
  Sat, Jan 31 64 Notre Dame W 72-70 58%    
  Mon, Feb 2 21 @North Carolina L 69-80 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 26 @Virginia L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 65 California W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 SMU L 77-79 45%    
  Mon, Feb 16 4 @Duke L 66-83 6%    
  Sat, Feb 21 21 North Carolina L 72-77 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 61 @Wake Forest L 74-78 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 13 @Louisville L 73-86 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 84 Pittsburgh W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.2 1.0 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.5 3.6 2.6 0.2 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 4.9 0.9 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.4 2.5 0.1 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.8 0.6 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.1 2.3 6.0 1.9 0.1 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 5.0 3.6 0.3 9.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.5 1.0 0.0 8.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.6 4.2 1.8 0.1 7.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.9 0.3 5.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.2 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.3 6.4 10.6 14.2 16.1 15.4 13.0 9.1 5.7 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 51.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 4.9% 95.1% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 97.3% 2.7% 94.5% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.2%
13-5 1.2% 83.3% 3.8% 79.5% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 82.6%
12-6 2.9% 70.2% 2.4% 67.8% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.9 69.5%
11-7 5.7% 47.3% 0.9% 46.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.0 3.0 46.8%
10-8 9.1% 26.6% 0.5% 26.1% 10.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 26.2%
9-9 13.0% 9.5% 0.3% 9.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 11.7 9.2%
8-10 15.4% 2.4% 0.2% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.0 2.3%
7-11 16.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 16.1 0.3%
6-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 10.6% 10.6
4-14 6.4% 6.4
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.3% 0.3% 10.0% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 3.2 3.7 0.3 0.0 89.7 10.1%