Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.4 #78
Expected Predictive Rating +5.8 #92
Pace 69.7 #174
Improvement -2.0 #282

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #104 B- C C B+ C+
Defense #63 A+ B D+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #99 1.25 #85 +3.7 #73
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #199 0.74 #183 -0.5 #202
Three Pointers 39% #223 1.03 #163 -0.7 #208
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #114 +2.4 #114
Freethrows 19.8 #69 62% #357 12.3 #199
Second Chance 32.4% #126 1.04 #178 0.34 #138
Turnovers 14.5% #57
Total Offense +2.8 #104

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #123 0.96 #15 +2.8 #85
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #118 0.51 #4 +2.0 #55
Three Pointers 37% #283 0.92 #72 +3.7 #51
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #9 +8.5 #9
Freethrows 15.1 #75 71% #124 10.7 #74
Second Chance 30.7% #181 1.18 #319 0.36 #280
Turnovers 19.5% #48
Total Defense +4.6 #63

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #138 -0.1% #156
Shot Type Make % Effect 4.0% #122 -16.6% #6
Possession Length 16.3 #89 18.0 #301
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #70 0.15 #91
Improvement -0.2 #198 -1.8 #293

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.7% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.2% 7.4% 2.8%
Average Seed 10.0 9.9 10.3
.500 or above 54.6% 67.2% 41.4%
.500 or above in Conference 22.4% 32.1% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 3.4% 12.6%
First Four2.5% 3.2% 1.7%
First Round4.0% 5.8% 2.1%
Second Round1.6% 2.3% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 46 - 14
Quad 33 - 28 - 16
Quad 48 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 362 Binghamton W 85-47 99%     18.9   1 - 0 +18.5 +2.7 +16.4
  Sat, Nov 8 353 Delaware St. W 83-43 98%     22.7   2 - 0 +23.9 +5.8 +17.3
  Sat, Nov 15 263 Drexel W 80-50 89%     9.7   3 - 0 +24.1 +11.4 +15.3
  Tue, Nov 18 210 Monmouth W 78-73 89%     4.5   4 - 0 -0.9 +2.5 -3.4
  Mon, Nov 24 11 Houston L 74-78 OT 13%     -1.7   4 - 1 +15.5 +5.9 +9.9
  Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60-71 19%     -7.0   4 - 2 +5.7 +1.9 +3.0
  Wed, Nov 26 4 Iowa St. L 64-95 9%     -11.4   4 - 3 -8.3 +0.8 -8.3
  Tue, Dec 2 17 Tennessee W 62-60 26%     1.8   5 - 3 +16.0 -1.8 +17.8
  Thu, Dec 11 199 Saint Joseph's W 71-63 88%     2.2   6 - 3 +2.6 -2.0 +4.7
  Sat, Dec 13 113 Hofstra L 69-70 74%     -0.4   6 - 4 -0.3 +9.9 -10.4
  Wed, Dec 17 332 Mercyhurst W 76-62 96%     12.5   7 - 4 +0.5 -3.2 +3.5
  Sat, Dec 20 223 Northeastern W 91-83 90%     7.1   8 - 4 +1.5 +13.4 -11.9
  Mon, Dec 22 350 Stonehill W 77-48 97%     12.3   9 - 4 +13.3 +10.2 +6.8
  Wed, Dec 31 40 Clemson L 61-64 41%     -4.0   9 - 5 0 - 1 +6.7 -2.7 +9.2
  Tue, Jan 6 109 @Georgia Tech W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 86 @Pittsburgh L 70-72 41%    
  Tue, Jan 13 107 Florida St. W 82-76 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 154 @Boston College W 70-66 66%    
  Wed, Jan 21 60 Virginia Tech W 75-74 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 37 Miami (FL) L 73-76 39%    
  Tue, Jan 27 32 @North Carolina St. L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 59 Notre Dame W 69-68 55%    
  Mon, Feb 2 26 @North Carolina L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Feb 7 24 @Virginia L 67-78 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 76 California W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 30 SMU L 76-80 36%    
  Mon, Feb 16 8 @Duke L 67-83 7%    
  Sat, Feb 21 26 North Carolina L 71-76 34%    
  Sat, Feb 28 58 @Wake Forest L 72-77 34%    
  Tue, Mar 3 13 @Louisville L 71-85 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 86 Pittsburgh W 73-69 62%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.4 0.5 3.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 1.7 0.1 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 3.7 0.6 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.5 2.4 0.1 7.7 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 4.9 0.8 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 1.6 6.1 2.2 0.1 10.0 12th
13th 0.6 4.9 4.6 0.5 10.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 3.1 6.1 1.5 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.1 0.2 10.6 15th
16th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.9 5.1 9.1 13.7 16.4 16.4 14.4 10.6 6.4 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 22.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 85.8% 3.8% 82.1% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 85.3%
12-6 1.4% 61.4% 1.5% 59.9% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 60.8%
11-7 3.3% 42.0% 0.9% 41.1% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.9 41.4%
10-8 6.4% 21.9% 0.8% 21.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.0 5.0 21.3%
9-9 10.6% 8.2% 0.4% 7.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 9.8 7.8%
8-10 14.4% 1.5% 0.2% 1.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 14.2 1.3%
7-11 16.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 16.4 0.1%
6-12 16.4% 16.4
5-13 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 9.1% 9.1
3-15 5.1% 5.1
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 0.2% 5.2% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.3 0.1 94.6 5.2%