Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.9 #71
Expected Predictive Rating +6.4 #85
Pace 69.7 #159
Improvement -1.9 #271

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #82 B C B- C C+
Defense #72 A- D+ B- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #59 1.29 #59 +5.7 #22
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #207 0.72 #226 -1.0 #235
Three Pointers 38% #244 1.12 #52 +0.3 #166
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #54 +5.0 #54
Freethrows 0.35 #58 66% #352 0.23 #154
Second Chance 31.9% #145 1.05 #178 0.33 #142
Turnovers 15.0% #90
Total Offense +4.0 #82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #108 1.00 #24 +1.5 #125
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #105 0.55 #4 +1.5 #78
Three Pointers 36% #309 0.92 #62 +4.3 #33
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #13 +7.4 #13
Freethrows 0.29 #141 74% #258 0.21 #153
Second Chance 30.0% #156 1.20 #335 0.36 #280
Turnovers 18.6% #66
Total Defense +3.9 #72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #106 -0.1% #156
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.5% #58 -14.4% #8
Possession Length 16.3 #80 18.0 #283
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #34 0.17 #184
Improvement +1.7 #94 -3.5 #343

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 8.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.9% 8.2% 1.9%
Average Seed 10.4 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 55.5% 81.1% 50.6%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 29.3% 8.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 0.5% 4.1%
First Four1.8% 4.6% 1.2%
First Round2.0% 5.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 10
Quad 23 - 46 - 14
Quad 34 - 29 - 16
Quad 47 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 362 Binghamton W 85 - 47 99% +19  1 - 0 +19 +4 D+ B+ A +15 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 356 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 98% +23  2 - 0 +23 +5 B+ C+ C +17 A+ D B-
 Sat, Nov 15 200 Drexel W 80 - 50 84% +10  3 - 0 +27 +15 A- B- A +15 A+ B- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 187 Monmouth W 78 - 73 88% +5  4 - 0 +0 +4 B- B- C+ -4 C+ B- C
 Mon, Nov 24 4 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 11% -2  4 - 1 +17 +6 A- D+ A+ +11 A+ F+ A-
 Tue, Nov 25 17 Kansas L 60 - 71 17% -7  4 - 2 +7 +1 D- B+ A+ +5 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 8 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 12% -11  4 - 3 -10 +0 B- D D- -10 F+ A- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 20 Tennessee W 62 - 60 27% +2  5 - 3 +16 -2 B D+ F +18 A+ A- A+
 Thu, Dec 11 149 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 83% +2  6 - 3 +6 +0 C C+ B- +6 A+ D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 13 127 Hofstra L 69 - 70 80% -0  6 - 4 -2 +7 B B D+ -10 D- F+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 304 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 95% +13  7 - 4 +3 -1 C A+ F +4 B D- A
 Sat, Dec 20 261 Northeastern W 91 - 83 93% +7  8 - 4 -0 +12 A- C B -12 D+ F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 339 Stonehill W 77 - 48 97% +12  9 - 4 +15 +11 B+ C+ B+ +7 A+ F B
 Wed, Dec 31 33 Clemson L 61 - 64 38% -4  9 - 5 0 - 1 +8 -1 B- F F+ +9 B B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 6 113 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 56% +9  10 - 5 1 - 1 +16 +8 C A+ F+ +8 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 93 @Pittsburgh W 83 - 72 47% +11  11 - 5 2 - 1 +20 +18 A+ A- C +2 B+ C- B
 Tue, Jan 13 107 Florida St. W 94 - 86 74% +1  12 - 5 3 - 1 +9 +17 A+ B B- -8 C F A
 Sat, Jan 17 133 @Boston College L 73 - 81 OT 62% +2  12 - 6 3 - 2 -3 +0 A- F F -3 C+ C F
 Wed, Jan 21 59 Virginia Tech L 74 - 76 55% +2  12 - 7 3 - 3 +5 +4 C+ C- D+ +1 A- A- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 39 Miami (FL) L 76 - 85 43% -6  12 - 8 3 - 4 +1 +9 A- F A+ -8 D- F A+
 Tue, Jan 27 27 @North Carolina St. L 72 - 82 16%
 Sat, Jan 31 84 Notre Dame W 73 - 69 65%
 Mon, Feb 2 29 @North Carolina L 73 - 83 18%
 Sat, Feb 7 19 @Virginia L 67 - 79 13%
 Wed, Feb 11 65 California W 75 - 73 59%
 Sat, Feb 14 36 SMU L 77 - 80 40%
 Mon, Feb 16 3 @Duke L 66 - 84 5%
 Sat, Feb 21 29 North Carolina L 76 - 80 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 66 @Wake Forest L 74 - 78 38%
 Tue, Mar 3 14 @Louisville L 73 - 86 11%
 Sat, Mar 7 93 Pittsburgh W 75 - 70 68%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +8 +4 B C B- +4 A- D+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.2 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.6 0.8 3.9 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 2.9 0.1 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 2.5 6.3 1.3 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.8 7.8 4.8 0.2 13.5 11th
12th 0.1 5.0 8.9 1.4 0.0 15.4 12th
13th 1.7 9.6 4.1 0.1 15.6 13th
14th 0.3 5.5 6.8 0.6 0.0 13.2 14th
15th 0.0 1.5 6.5 1.3 0.0 9.4 15th
16th 0.2 2.5 2.3 0.1 5.1 16th
17th 0.4 1.6 0.3 2.3 17th
18th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 18th
Total 1.0 6.1 16.4 23.5 24.2 16.8 7.9 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 62.1% 3.4% 58.6% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 60.7%
11-7 0.8% 57.8% 1.9% 55.9% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 57.0%
10-8 3.0% 37.8% 1.2% 36.6% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.9 37.0%
9-9 7.9% 11.4% 0.5% 10.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 7.0 11.0%
8-10 16.8% 2.2% 0.2% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 16.4 2.0%
7-11 24.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.1 0.1 0.0 24.1 0.1%
6-12 23.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 23.5 0.0%
5-13 16.4% 16.4
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 0.2% 2.9% 10.4 96.9 2.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%