Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +17.8 12 59%
INCC Stats Results Rating +3.3 149 0%
Consistency 0.21 350
Pace 73.1 81
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 18 A B B- C B+
Defense A 14 A- B C+ B A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 187 A 70% 6 +5.0 37
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 360 B+ 42% 31 -3.3 337
Three Pointers 53% 8 C+ 34% 127 +6.5 15
Selection / Accuracy B+ +1.5 25 A- +6.5 14
1st FG Attempt A 1.15 7
Second Chance B+ 37.3% 18 C 1.01 181 B 0.38 49
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.3% 134
Other Turnovers B- 7.1% 94
Turnovers B- 16.4% 93
Freethrows C 0.31 187 C- 69% 215 C 0.22 191
Total Offense A- +9.3 18

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 101 B- 9.5% 103
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 8% 354 C+ 5.0% 178
Three Pointers C- 84% 240 C+ 0.7% 165
Total B- 62% 98 B 4.4% 52


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 347 C 56% 163 -5.4 35
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 7 A 25% 8 +0.4 222
Three Pointers 41% 203 C+ 32% 141 -1.0 139
Selection / Accuracy A -2.0 8 B+ -4.2 41
1st FG Attempt A- 0.87 19
Second Chance A- 24.2% 16 D+ 1.06 261 B 0.26 59
Turnovers from Steals B- 11.2% 71
Other Turnovers C- 7.5% 224
Turnovers C+ 18.7% 110
Freethrows B 0.27 56 B 66% 47 B 0.17 44
Total Defense A +8.5 14

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 65 C- 10.6% 191
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 121 B+ 9.5% 35
Three Pointers C- 87% 198 B- 1.4% 77
Total C+ 55% 120 C+ 6.5% 113

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.6 16 18.5 348
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 242 0.07 3
Consistency 0.16 347 0.05 203

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Likely In (94%)
Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 17 - 14 22 - 9 27 - 5
Predictive Rating Rank 38 13 3
Results Rating Rank 54 16 2
Conference Record 8 - 10 13 - 5 16 - 2
Conference Finish 10 3 1
NCAA Tourney Seed 12 4 1
NCAA Tourney Finish Opening Round 2nd Round Champ Game

Last Game Change
Predictive Rank 14 → 12 ▲ 2
Results Rank 99 → 149 ▼ 50
At-Large Chance 90% → 94% ▲ 5%
Opening Round Bye 89% → 93% ▲ 4%
Projected Seed 4 → 3 ▲ 1
W, 107 - 57 vs 337 Morehead St.

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 3% 4% 2%
#1 Seed 14% 17% 8%
Top 2 Seed 28% 31% 19%
Top 4 Seed 54% 57% 44%
Top 6 Seed 72% 75% 63%
Opening Round Bye 93% 94% 90%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 96% 92%
At-Large Status Likely In Likely In Likely In
At-Large Bid 94% 96% 90%
Average Seed 4.6 4.4 5.2
.500 or above 99% 99% 97%
.500 or above in Conf 95% 95% 93%
Conference Champion 24% 25% 21%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Opening Round7% 6% 9%
First Round92% 93% 88%
Second Round74% 76% 67%
Sweet Sixteen43% 45% 37%
Elite Eight24% 25% 20%
Final Four12% 13% 10%
Championship Game6% 7% 5%
National Champion3% 3% 2%
Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 75% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance		 Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 0 30 - 0 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
31 - 1 29 - 1 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 2 28 - 2 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 3 27 - 3 1% 99% 100% 1 Lock
28 - 4 26 - 4 3% 98% 100% 1 Lock
27 - 5 25 - 5 5% 95% 100% 1 Lock
26 - 6 24 - 6 7% 91% 100% 2 Lock
25 - 6 23 - 6 9% 84% 100% 2 Lock
24 - 7 22 - 7 11% 75% 100% 3 Lock
23 - 8 21 - 8 12% 63% 100% 4 Lock
22 - 9 20 - 9 12% 51% 100% 5 Lock
21 - 10 19 - 10 11% 39% 100% 6 Lock
20 - 11 18 - 11 9% 28% 100% 7 Lock
19 - 12 17 - 12 7% 19% 98% 8 Likely In
18 - 13 16 - 13 5% 12% 90% 10 Likely In
17 - 14 15 - 14 3% 7% 72% 11 Bubble - In
16 - 14 14 - 14 2% 4% 35% 11 Bubble - Out
15 - 15 13 - 15 1% 2% 3% 11 Likely Out
14 - 16 12 - 16 0% 1% Negligible
13 - 17 11 - 17 0% 1% Negligible
12 - 17 10 - 17 0% 0% Negligible
11 - 18 9 - 18 0% 0% Negligible
10 - 19 8 - 19 0% 0% Negligible
9 - 20 7 - 20 0% 0% Negligible
8 - 21 6 - 21 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 7
Quad 27 - 214 - 9
Quad 33 - 018 - 9
Quad 45 - 022 - 9


Stat Type Preseason Nov 8 Current
Predictive Rank 11 12 12
Results Rank 149 149
Projected Overall Record 22 - 9 22 - 9 22 - 9
Projected Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Champion 24% 24% 24%
Conference Finish 3 3 3
NCAA Tournament Seed 4 3 3
Opening Round Bye 91% 93% 93%
At-Large Tourney Chance 91% 94% 94%
At Large Status Likely In Likely In Likely In



Game Schedule and Ratings

Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 238 Chattanooga W 84 - 70 98% +18  99% 1 - 0 B- +7 C +1 B+ D+ C+ B+ +5 C+ F A+
Sat, Nov 7 337 Morehead St. W 107 - 57 99% +21  80% 2 - 0 A+ +36 A+ +24 A A+ A- A+ +12 A A- F
Sun, Nov 15 80 Memphis W 83 - 76 75%
Thu, Nov 19 290 Stetson W 89 - 61 100%
Tue, Nov 24 15 Texas Tech W 74 - 73 52%
Tue, Dec 1 10 Texas W 76 - 74 62%
Sat, Dec 5 23 Michigan W 80 - 78 57%
Sat, Dec 12 28 Kentucky W 78 - 77 53%
Wed, Dec 16 244 LIU Brooklyn W 87 - 61 99%
Sat, Dec 19 186 Eastern Michigan W 84 - 61 98%
Wed, Dec 30 46 Virginia Tech W 77 - 74 57% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 74 Stanford W 80 - 67 85% ✓
Tue, Jan 5 40 North Carolina W 80 - 72 73% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 65 SMU W 82 - 77 65% ✓
Wed, Jan 13 91 California W 83 - 68 89% ✓
Sat, Jan 16 60 Syracuse W 77 - 72 64% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 20 Miami (FL) W 77 - 73 71% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 31 Baylor W 85 - 81 62%
Wed, Jan 27 97 Boston College W 76 - 67 75% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 110 Georgia Tech W 85 - 74 78% ✓
Tue, Feb 2 71 Pittsburgh W 81 - 69 82% ✓
Sat, Feb 6 95 Wake Forest W 82 - 67 87% ✓
Mon, Feb 8 40 North Carolina W 77 - 75 51% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 65 SMU W 85 - 74 80% ✓
Mon, Feb 15 8 Virginia L 73 - 77 36% ✓
Sun, Feb 21 54 Florida St. W 81 - 77 58% ✓
Wed, Feb 24 1 Duke L 75 - 79 52% ✓
Tue, Mar 2 53 North Carolina St. W 81 - 77 59% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 59 Clemson W 77 - 66 79% ✓
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18 A- +9 C A- B+ A +9 C+ C- C
Stat History After Each Game

Date Opponent Result Stats Rank Projected Record Chances Predicted At-Large Status
Predictive Results Overall Conf Opening Bye Conf
Champ		 NCAA
Seed		 Conf
Finish
Preseason 11 22 - 9 12 - 6 91% 24% 4 3 Likely In 91%
Mon, Nov 2 238 Chattanooga W 84 - 70 13 81 22 - 9 12 - 6 90% 23% 4 3 Likely In 91%
Sat, Nov 7 337 Morehead St. W 107 - 57 11 151 22 - 9 13 - 5 92% 25% 3 3 Likely In 94%
Current 12 149 22 - 9 13 - 5 93% 24% 3 3 Likely In 94%






NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid		 Auto At-Large Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
32 - 0 30 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
31 - 1 29 - 1 0% 100% 100% 95% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 2 28 - 2 0% 100% 100% 83% 100% 1 Lock 0
29 - 3 27 - 3 1% 99% 100% 75% 100% 1 Lock 1
28 - 4 26 - 4 3% 98% 100% 61% 100% 1 Lock 3
27 - 5 25 - 5 5% 95% 100% 50% 100% 1 Lock 4 1
26 - 6 24 - 6 7% 91% 100% 38% 100% 2 Lock 4 2 1
25 - 6 23 - 6 9% 84% 100% 31% 100% 2 Lock 2 4 2 1
24 - 7 22 - 7 11% 75% 100% 19% 100% 3 Lock 0 4 4 2 1
23 - 8 21 - 8 12% 63% 100% 11% 100% 4 Lock 2 3 3 2 1
22 - 9 20 - 9 12% 51% 100% 6% 100% 5 Lock 1 2 3 3 2 1
21 - 10 19 - 10 11% 39% 100% 3% 100% 6 Lock 1 2 3 3 2 1
20 - 11 18 - 11 9% 28% 100% 1% 100% 7 Lock 1 2 2 2 1 0 0
19 - 12 17 - 12 7% 19% 98% 0% 98% 8 Likely In 1 1 2 1 1 1 0
18 - 13 16 - 13 5% 12% 90% 0% 90% 10 Likely In 1 1 1 1 0
17 - 14 15 - 14 3% 7% 72% 72% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 1
16 - 14 14 - 14 2% 4% 35% 35% 11 Bubble - Out 0 0 1
15 - 15 13 - 15 1% 2% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out 0 0 1
14 - 16 12 - 16 0% 1% Negligible 0
13 - 17 11 - 17 0% 1% Negligible 0
12 - 17 10 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 0
11 - 18 9 - 18 0% 0% Negligible 0
10 - 19 8 - 19 0% 0% Negligible 0
9 - 20 7 - 20 0% 0% Negligible 0
8 - 21 6 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 95% 16% 94% 5 Likely In 14 14 13 12 10 8 7 5 3 3 4 5


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed		 At-Large
Selection Chances		 Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
32 - 0 30 - 0 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 15 - 0 7 - 0 5 - 0 5 - 0
31 - 1 29 - 1 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 1 1 14 - 1 8 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
30 - 2 28 - 2 17 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 2 1 1 13 - 2 9 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
29 - 3 27 - 3 16 - 2 1% 99% 100% 100% 1 Lock 3 1 1 12 - 2 9 - 0 4 - 0 5 - 0
28 - 4 26 - 4 16 - 2 3% 98% 100% 100% 1 Lock 4 2 2 11 - 3 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
27 - 5 25 - 5 15 - 3 5% 95% 100% 100% 1 Lock 5 3 3 11 - 4 8 - 1 4 - 0 5 - 0
26 - 6 24 - 6 15 - 3 7% 91% 100% 100% 2 Lock 7 5 5 10 - 4 8 - 1 3 - 0 5 - 0
25 - 6 23 - 6 14 - 4 9% 84% 100% 100% 2 Lock 8 7 7 9 - 5 7 - 1 3 - 0 5 - 0
24 - 7 22 - 7 13 - 5 11% 75% 100% 100% 3 Lock 10 10 10 9 - 6 7 - 1 3 - 0 5 - 0
23 - 8 21 - 8 13 - 5 12% 63% 100% 100% 4 Lock 12 14 13 8 - 6 7 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 0
22 - 9 20 - 9 12 - 6 12% 51% 100% 100% 5 Lock 15 18 16 7 - 7 7 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 0
21 - 10 19 - 10 12 - 6 11% 39% 100% 99% 6 Lock 18 23 20 7 - 7 6 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 0
20 - 11 18 - 11 11 - 7 9% 28% 100% 94% 7 Lock 21 30 25 6 - 8 6 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 0
19 - 12 17 - 12 10 - 8 7% 19% 98% 76% 8 Likely In 25 36 30 6 - 9 6 - 3 3 - 0 5 - 0
18 - 13 16 - 13 10 - 8 5% 12% 90% 51% 10 Likely In 30 44 36 5 - 9 5 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 0
17 - 14 15 - 14 9 - 9 3% 7% 72% 26% 11 Bubble - In 33 52 41 4 - 10 5 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 0
16 - 14 14 - 14 8 - 10 2% 4% 35% 12% 11 Bubble - Out 38 60 48 4 - 10 5 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 0
15 - 15 13 - 15 8 - 10 1% 2% 3% 0% 11 Likely Out 41 68 53 4 - 11 4 - 4 3 - 1 5 - 0
14 - 16 12 - 16 7 - 11 0% 1% Negligible 46 76 60 3 - 11 4 - 4 2 - 1 5 - 0
13 - 17 11 - 17 6 - 12 0% 1% Negligible 53 84 67 3 - 11 4 - 4 2 - 1 5 - 0
12 - 17 10 - 17 6 - 12 0% 0% Negligible 55 92 73 2 - 12 3 - 5 2 - 1 4 - 0
11 - 18 9 - 18 5 - 13 0% 0% Negligible 63 101 82 2 - 11 2 - 5 2 - 1 4 - 0
10 - 19 8 - 19 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 63 111 86 2 - 12 2 - 5 2 - 1 4 - 0
9 - 20 7 - 20 4 - 14 0% 0% Negligible 78 126 100 1 - 13 1 - 6 3 - 1 5 - 1
8 - 21 6 - 21 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 63 142 97 2 - 12 2 - 7 0 - 3 5 - 1
Total 12 - 6 100% 94% 92% 5 Likely In 16 20 18 8 - 7 7 - 2 3 - 0 5 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 2% 100% 100% 97% 3% 2 2
16-2 6% 98% 93% 77% 15% 1% 5 0 6
15-3 11% 92% 71% 43% 25% 3% 0% 7 3 0 11
14-4 15% 81% 42% 13% 20% 7% 1% 6 7 2 0 15
13-5 17% 66% 12% 1% 4% 4% 2% 2 7 6 1 0 17
12-6 16% 49% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 6 5 2 0 0 16
11-7 13% 33% 0 1 4 5 3 1 0 0 0 13
10-8 9% 20% 0 0 1 3 3 1 0 0 9
9-9 6% 11% 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 0 6
8-10 3% 5% 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3
7-11 1% 2% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
6-12 0% 1% 0 0 0 0 0 0
5-13 0% 0% 0 0 0 0 0 0
4-14 0% 0% 0 0 0 0
3-15 0% 0% 0 0 0
2-16 0% 0% 0 0
1-17 0%
0-18 0%
Total 100% 24% 14% 7% 2% 1% 24 20 15 11 8 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- A B+ C+ A- 38% 14% 53% B+ A B+ C B B- C C- C A C A C+ B+ 29% 30% 41% A A- A- D+ B C+ B B B
1.22 70% 42% 34% +7 +1 1.15 37% 1.0 .38 16% .31 69% .22 0.96 56% 25% 32% -4 -2 0.87 24% 1.1 .26 19% .27 66% .21
Nov
2		 Chattanooga C A+ B- D B+ 35% 9% 56% B+ B+ B+ F D+ C+ B F D+ B+ F A+ C C 29% 16% 55% B- C+ D- F+ F A+ B- A+ B+
1.17 80% 40% 28% +5 +1 1.11 40% 0.7 .27 14% .42 58% .24 0.98 79% 13% 33% +3 0 1.04 31% 1.2 .37 25% .26 57% .15
Nov
7		 Morehead A+ A+ A+ C- A 30% 9% 61% C+ A A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ A+ C A+ D B 16% 55% 29% A+ A A+ D- A- F B A- B+
1.53 88% 60% 32% +11 +1 1.23 56% 1.4 .78 10% .44 71% .32 0.81 56% 22% 35% -7 -7 0.72 15% 1.0 .15 11% .23 64% .15
Nov
15		 Memphis 1.13 68% 31% 34% +5 36% 11% 54% +1 1.10 36% 0.8 .30 19% .35 71% .25 1.04 59% 25% 36% -1 29% 34% 37% -2 0.91 29% 1.0 .33 17% .34 68% .23
12-18 2-5 9-27 11 rb 9 pt 14 to 18-25 9-15 4-17 7-19 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 17-24
Nov
19		 Stetson 1.28 79% 14% 33% +8 40% 6% 54% +2 1.18 41% 1.2 .50 14% .31 67% .21 0.87 59% 22% 29% -6 26% 28% 45% -2 0.82 21% 1.9 .21 20% .25 54% .14
16-20 0-3 9-28 12 rb 14 pt 10 to 15-22 8-13 3-14 6-22 7 rb 8 pt 14 to 9-16
Nov
24		 Texas Tech 1.07 73% 40% 31% +4 25% 18% 57% -1 1.04 33% 0.9 .30 20% .32 61% .19 1.07 69% 29% 35% +3 22% 27% 50% -2 1.00 27% 1.1 .28 16% .28 62% .17
9-12 3-9 8-27 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 13-21 8-11 4-14 9-25 9 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-19
Dec
1		 Texas 1.09 65% 31% 33% +3 38% 15% 47% +1 1.05 31% 0.9 .28 18% .33 65% .22 1.05 66% 23% 31% -1 35% 29% 35% -1 0.93 31% 1.0 .39 17% .34 65% .22
12-18 2-7 7-23 10 rb 8 pt 12 to 14-22 11-17 3-14 5-17 10 rb 13 pt 12 to 15-23
Dec
5		 Michigan 1.07 60% 32% 31% -1 27% 19% 54% 0 0.95 35% 0.9 .30 17% .29 75% .22 1.05 67% 20% 28% -2 35% 21% 43% 0 0.92 31% 1.2 .45 18% .29 67% .20
9-14 3-10 9-29 12 rb 11 pt 12 to 17-22 13-19 2-11 6-23 11 rb 16 pt 13 to 14-21
Dec
12		 Kentucky 1.09 70% 33% 30% +1 28% 12% 60% +1 1.00 34% 0.8 .29 16% .29 63% .19 1.09 72% 27% 36% +4 26% 29% 45% -2 1.01 30% 1.1 .37 17% .26 70% .18
10-14 2-6 9-31 12 rb 10 pt 11 to 13-21 10-14 4-15 8-23 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 13-18
Dec
16		 LIU Brooklyn 1.21 65% 47% 34% +6 46% 5% 49% +3 1.15 39% 1.0 .38 17% .36 68% .25 0.85 54% 27% 27% -7 31% 35% 34% -2 0.80 23% 1.4 .23 21% .24 62% .15
15-23 1-3 8-24 11 rb 11 pt 12 to 18-26 8-16 5-18 5-17 8 rb 8 pt 15 to 9-15
Dec
19		 E. Michigan 1.20 69% 40% 32% +6 45% 9% 46% +2 1.14 38% 1.0 .40 16% .33 67% .22 0.87 49% 24% 31% -8 30% 35% 35% -2 0.78 23% 1.3 .22 21% .25 73% .18
15-22 2-4 7-23 11 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-23 7-15 4-17 5-17 8 rb 8 pt 14 to 12-16
Dec
30		 VA Tech 1.08 68% 45% 29% +3 39% 13% 48% +1 1.06 36% 0.9 .32 20% .30 63% .19 1.04 59% 24% 35% -1 31% 29% 40% -1 0.93 28% 1.2 .35 16% .28 66% .18
13-19 3-6 7-23 11 rb 9 pt 14 to 13-20 9-16 4-15 7-21 10 rb 12 pt 11 to 13-19
Jan
2		 Stanford 1.14 69% 40% 30% +4 39% 14% 47% +1 1.07 35% 1.1 .37 18% .35 72% .25 0.96 59% 15% 30% -4 36% 21% 43% 0 0.88 24% 1.4 .27 18% .27 68% .18
13-19 3-7 7-22 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 17-24 11-18 2-11 7-22 8 rb 9 pt 13 to 12-18
Jan
5		 UNC 1.11 61% 29% 35% +3 34% 16% 50% 0 1.03 34% 0.8 .29 14% .24 70% .17 1.00 59% 23% 31% -3 31% 27% 42% -1 0.88 24% 1.2 .28 15% .33 61% .20
11-19 3-9 9-27 11 rb 10 pt 10 to 12-18 9-16 3-14 7-22 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 14-23
Jan
9		 SMU 1.09 64% 29% 32% +2 34% 12% 54% +1 1.03 35% 1.0 .35 19% .28 70% .20 1.02 63% 32% 39% +5 29% 33% 38% -2 1.02 26% 1.5 .26 20% .29 69% .20
11-18 2-7 9-28 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 14-21 9-15 5-17 8-20 8 rb 8 pt 15 to 14-20
Jan
13		 California 1.16 72% 35% 31% +5 35% 13% 53% +1 1.08 35% 1.1 .38 16% .26 64% .16 0.95 51% 28% 37% -1 25% 30% 45% -2 0.92 19% 1.9 .21 18% .24 63% .15
13-18 2-7 9-28 11 rb 12 pt 11 to 12-18 7-13 4-16 9-23 7 rb 8 pt 13 to 10-16
Jan
16		 Syracuse 1.08 66% 22% 29% 0 39% 13% 49% +1 1.00 34% 1.1 .36 17% .29 64% .18 1.02 64% 24% 33% 0 31% 30% 39% -2 0.93 26% 1.4 .28 16% .31 60% .19
13-20 1-6 7-24 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 13-20 10-16 4-15 7-20 9 rb 10 pt 11 to 13-21
Jan
19		 Miami FL 1.09 75% 23% 34% +5 29% 17% 55% 0 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 18% .29 62% .18 1.03 64% 28% 30% 0 38% 29% 33% -1 0.95 30% 0.9 .33 18% .29 65% .19
11-15 2-8 9-28 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 12-19 12-19 4-15 5-16 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 13-20
Jan
23		 Baylor 1.09 90% 43% 30% +7 19% 28% 53% -2 1.05 36% 1.0 .36 20% .29 66% .19 1.05 79% 32% 30% +2 20% 40% 41% -4 0.93 32% 1.1 .34 17% .29 65% .19
9-10 6-15 8-28 12 rb 12 pt 16 to 14-21 9-11 7-22 7-23 12 rb 13 pt 13 to 14-22
Jan
27		 Boston Col 1.13 65% 31% 31% +2 39% 13% 49% +1 1.04 38% 0.8 .32 16% .29 67% .20 0.99 59% 25% 28% -5 28% 31% 41% -2 0.83 27% 1.1 .32 16% .27 69% .19
12-19 2-6 7-24 11 rb 10 pt 11 to 13-20 8-14 4-15 6-20 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 12-18
Jan
30		 GA Tech 1.13 66% 28% 32% +2 31% 13% 56% +1 1.01 38% 1.0 .36 16% .31 61% .19 0.99 65% 26% 35% +1 29% 34% 37% -2 0.94 27% 1.4 .29 20% .30 67% .20
11-17 2-7 10-30 13 rb 13 pt 12 to 15-24 10-15 5-18 7-19 9 rb 10 pt 15 to 14-21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Pitt 1.13 69% 37% 35% +7 36% 10% 54% +1 1.14 33% 0.8 .27 19% .33 73% .24 0.96 57% 21% 30% -6 29% 30% 41% -2 0.82 28% 0.8 .28 17% .32 63% .20
12-18 2-5 9-27 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 16-22 8-15 3-15 6-21 10 rb 10 pt 12 to 14-22
Feb
6		 Wake Forest 1.14 64% 37% 33% +4 34% 8% 57% +1 1.07 39% 0.9 .36 18% .26 67% .17 0.93 57% 26% 30% -4 30% 25% 45% -1 0.87 21% 1.8 .20 17% .26 60% .16
11-18 2-4 10-30 12 rb 11 pt 13 to 12-19 9-16 3-13 7-24 8 rb 7 pt 12 to 11-18
Feb
8		 UNC 1.07 58% 26% 34% 0 34% 16% 50% 0 0.98 33% 0.8 .27 15% .24 67% .16 1.04 61% 25% 33% -1 31% 27% 42% -1 0.93 25% 1.2 .30 15% .33 63% .21
11-18 2-9 9-27 11 rb 9 pt 11 to 12-17 10-16 3-14 7-22 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 15-23
Feb
13		 SMU 1.13 66% 34% 33% +4 34% 12% 54% +1 1.07 36% 1.0 .37 18% .28 73% .20 0.98 60% 30% 37% +2 29% 33% 38% -2 0.97 25% 1.5 .24 21% .29 67% .19
12-18 2-7 9-29 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 15-21 9-15 5-17 7-20 8 rb 8 pt 15 to 13-20
Feb
15		 Virginia 1.04 57% 46% 31% +1 31% 17% 52% 0 1.00 32% 0.9 .28 20% .27 70% .19 1.10 63% 27% 36% +3 30% 24% 46% -1 1.00 33% 0.9 .39 17% .25 70% .17
9-15 4-8 8-26 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 13-18 10-15 3-12 9-24 10 rb 12 pt 12 to 12-17
Feb
21		 FL St. 1.09 75% 28% 34% +6 27% 15% 58% 0 1.09 31% 0.8 .26 19% .29 62% .18 1.04 62% 23% 30% -3 29% 23% 48% -1 0.91 29% 0.9 .32 16% .32 69% .22
11-14 2-8 10-31 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-20 10-16 3-12 8-25 11 rb 12 pt 12 to 16-24
Feb
24		 Duke 1.03 67% 36% 30% +2 33% 13% 54% +1 1.03 32% 0.8 .27 20% .23 69% .16 1.08 67% 13% 32% +1 41% 16% 44% +1 1.00 36% 0.8 .44 20% .33 66% .22
11-17 2-7 9-28 10 rb 9 pt 15 to 11-16 13-20 1-8 7-22 11 rb 14 pt 15 to 15-23
Mar
2		 NC St. 1.11 67% 66% 33% +6 33% 7% 59% +2 1.12 33% 0.8 .27 19% .25 64% .16 1.06 62% 23% 38% +2 30% 24% 46% -1 1.00 25% 1.2 .30 16% .25 71% .18
12-17 3-4 10-31 10 rb 8 pt 14 to 11-17 10-16 3-13 9-25 8 rb 10 pt 12 to 13-18
Mar
6		 Clemson 1.14 70% 33% 35% +7 38% 10% 52% +1 1.14 29% 0.9 .26 16% .25 74% .18 0.99 54% 21% 34% -3 31% 25% 44% -1 0.89 20% 1.1 .22 16% .33 66% .22
13-19 2-5 9-26 8 rb 7 pt 11 to 12-16 8-15 3-12 7-21 7 rb 7 pt 11 to 14-21