Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#51
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#13
Pace70.8#130
Improvement+3.2#24

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#42
First Shot+7.2#18
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#288
Layup/Dunks+6.8#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#123
Freethrows+0.8#135
Improvement+2.1#33

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#72
First Shot+4.1#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#213
Layups/Dunks+1.5#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows+0.6#157
Improvement+1.2#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 2.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 10.0% 10.0% 2.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49.0% 49.2% 25.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.8% 47.0% 23.4%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.4
.500 or above 96.2% 96.3% 85.7%
.500 or above in Conference 66.9% 67.1% 49.9%
Conference Champion 4.8% 4.8% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.2% 3.2%
First Four8.0% 8.0% 5.8%
First Round44.8% 45.0% 21.6%
Second Round21.4% 21.5% 10.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.4% 6.4% 2.8%
Elite Eight2.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Final Four0.7% 0.7% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 25 - 39 - 10
Quad 34 - 113 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 331   William & Mary W 77-59 97%     1 - 0 +3.5 -4.4 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2021 296   Western Carolina W 87-75 95%     2 - 0 +1.4 -0.3 +0.8
  Nov 17, 2021 342   Charleston Southern W 95-59 98%     3 - 0 +19.8 +3.7 +11.7
  Nov 20, 2021 284   N.C. A&T W 87-63 95%     4 - 0 +14.5 +10.6 +3.6
  Nov 23, 2021 283   Kennesaw St. W 92-61 95%     5 - 0 +21.5 +10.2 +9.7
  Nov 26, 2021 149   Oregon St. W 80-77 OT 76%     6 - 0 +4.4 -1.5 +5.6
  Nov 27, 2021 11   LSU L 61-75 23%     6 - 1 +2.6 -6.2 +9.6
  Nov 30, 2021 39   Northwestern W 77-73 OT 55%     7 - 1 +11.7 +4.1 +7.3
  Dec 04, 2021 36   @ Virginia Tech W 80-61 30%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +33.4 +26.8 +9.5
  Dec 11, 2021 335   South Carolina Upstate W 86-61 99%    
  Dec 14, 2021 227   VMI W 82-67 92%    
  Dec 17, 2021 220   Charlotte W 76-65 85%    
  Dec 22, 2021 113   Boston College W 73-65 78%    
  Dec 29, 2021 37   @ Louisville L 68-73 31%    
  Jan 01, 2022 100   @ Miami (FL) W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 04, 2022 38   Florida St. W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 08, 2022 59   Syracuse W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 12, 2022 8   Duke L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 15, 2022 44   @ Virginia L 60-64 36%    
  Jan 19, 2022 99   @ Georgia Tech W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 22, 2022 24   North Carolina L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 29, 2022 59   @ Syracuse L 76-78 43%    
  Feb 02, 2022 179   Pittsburgh W 74-61 87%    
  Feb 05, 2022 38   @ Florida St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 09, 2022 74   @ North Carolina St. L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 100   Miami (FL) W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 15, 2022 8   @ Duke L 69-80 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 84   Notre Dame W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 23, 2022 56   @ Clemson L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 37   Louisville W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 02, 2022 74   North Carolina St. W 76-71 67%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.8 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.8 1.0 0.1 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 4.8 1.2 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.1 2.1 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 4.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 4.1 0.7 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.1 1.4 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.2 0.2 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.5 0.5 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 4.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.0 3.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.6 6.1 9.0 11.8 13.5 13.8 12.8 10.1 7.6 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.2% 0.4    0.3 0.0
17-3 84.9% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.8% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
15-5 25.8% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.5% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 51.1% 48.9% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.1% 100.0% 20.4% 79.6% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.6% 99.8% 15.9% 84.0% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 4.9% 99.5% 11.8% 87.6% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
14-6 7.6% 97.5% 9.9% 87.6% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.3%
13-7 10.1% 91.2% 7.1% 84.1% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.3 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.9 90.5%
12-8 12.8% 75.8% 4.6% 71.2% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.5 2.1 0.4 0.0 3.1 74.7%
11-9 13.8% 54.6% 2.6% 52.1% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.8 1.0 0.0 6.3 53.4%
10-10 13.5% 33.1% 1.2% 31.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 1.2 0.1 9.0 32.3%
9-11 11.8% 11.6% 1.1% 10.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 10.4 10.7%
8-12 9.0% 2.1% 0.5% 1.6% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 1.6%
7-13 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 6.1 0.0%
6-14 3.6% 3.6
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 0.7% 0.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 49.0% 4.1% 44.9% 8.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.9 4.3 5.6 6.9 7.4 7.2 8.4 3.4 0.2 51.0 46.8%