Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#66
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#108
Pace77.7#37
Improvement+1.0#49

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#85
First Shot-1.6#231
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#15
Layup/Dunks+4.6#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.8#346
Freethrows+2.1#81
Improvement-0.1#210

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#43
First Shot+6.3#28
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#232
Layups/Dunks+1.2#145
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#49
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#55
Freethrows-1.6#257
Improvement+1.1#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.2% 4.3% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.2% 24.6% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.4% 23.7% 6.4%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 9.5
.500 or above 59.3% 60.0% 25.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 38.9% 19.1%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 7.8% 16.2%
First Four4.9% 5.0% 2.5%
First Round21.6% 22.0% 5.4%
Second Round10.9% 11.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 98.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 25 - 47 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 306 American W 88-74 95%     1 - 0 +3.4 +3.8 -1.4
  Fri, Nov 7 303 Morehead St. W 81-65 95%     2 - 0 +5.7 -6.3 +10.1
  Tue, Nov 11 10 Michigan L 84-85 OT 20%     2 - 1 +16.6 +4.7 +12.1
  Sun, Nov 16 339 Umass Lowell W 88-66 98%    
  Thu, Nov 20 16 Texas Tech L 72-79 25%    
  Tue, Nov 25 186 Campbell W 85-71 90%    
  Fri, Nov 28 201 Northeastern W 82-68 91%    
  Tue, Dec 2 46 Oklahoma W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Dec 6 61 West Virginia L 69-70 48%    
  Sun, Dec 14 206 Queens W 85-70 91%    
  Wed, Dec 17 200 Longwood W 86-72 90%    
  Sun, Dec 21 19 Vanderbilt L 79-83 37%    
  Wed, Dec 31 21 @North Carolina St. L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Jan 3 55 Virginia Tech W 80-79 55%    
  Wed, Jan 7 44 Miami (FL) W 80-79 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 22 @North Carolina L 76-85 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 71 @Florida St. L 79-82 40%    
  Tue, Jan 20 52 SMU W 80-79 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 2 @Duke L 71-87 8%    
  Tue, Jan 27 83 @Pittsburgh L 73-74 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 21 North Carolina St. L 76-79 38%    
  Sat, Feb 7 6 Louisville L 81-88 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 90 @Georgia Tech W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 87 Stanford W 83-77 70%    
  Wed, Feb 18 38 Clemson L 71-72 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 55 @Virginia Tech L 77-82 34%    
  Tue, Feb 24 109 @Boston College W 74-71 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 47 Syracuse W 77-76 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 35 @Virginia L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 81 California W 81-76 66%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 2.5 1.1 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 2.3 0.3 5.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.8 2.0 0.2 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 3.6 0.5 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.2 1.8 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 3.3 3.6 0.4 7.5 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.5 1.7 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.0 0.3 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.2 0.8 0.0 7.5 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 3.4 2.0 0.1 6.7 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.4 16th
17th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.9 17th
18th 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.2 18th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.1 7.2 9.2 11.9 12.7 13.0 11.4 9.7 7.4 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 86.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 53.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
14-4 17.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
13-5 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.7% 100.0% 15.1% 84.9% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-4 1.3% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
13-5 2.9% 95.9% 6.2% 89.7% 6.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.6%
12-6 4.9% 90.6% 4.9% 85.6% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.5 90.1%
11-7 7.4% 73.2% 2.0% 71.2% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 72.7%
10-8 9.7% 51.4% 0.9% 50.5% 9.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.0 4.7 51.0%
9-9 11.4% 26.5% 0.7% 25.8% 10.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.1 8.4 26.0%
8-10 13.0% 8.2% 0.4% 7.9% 10.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 11.9 7.9%
7-11 12.7% 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.5 1.5%
6-12 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.2%
5-13 9.2% 9.2
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 24.2% 1.1% 23.1% 8.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.4 5.0 4.3 0.2 75.8 23.4%