Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   27 - 2 17 - 1 +27.0      +13.2 5 +13.8 2 77.4 16 +29.1 3 +30.7 1
5 Illinois 100.0%   3   22 - 7 13 - 5 +22.3      +15.3 1 +7.0 31 65.2 270 +20.1 13 +20.2 4
7 Purdue 100.0%   3   22 - 7 12 - 6 +20.5      +14.0 3 +6.6 33 63.9 305 +19.6 16 +18.0 6
9 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   24 - 5 14 - 4 +20.2      +8.7 32 +11.5 6 65.3 264 +22.0 6 +21.3 3
12 Nebraska 100.0%   2   25 - 4 14 - 4 +19.4      +7.7 43 +11.8 5 67.7 203 +22.7 5 +22.1 2
26 Wisconsin 98.1%   7   20 - 9 12 - 6 +15.3      +10.3 19 +4.9 48 72.3 79 +15.7 27 +18.1 5
28 Iowa 92.4%   8   20 - 9 10 - 8 +15.2      +8.7 31 +6.5 35 60.0 359 +14.6 34 +13.9 9
30 Ohio St. 81.6%   11   18 - 11 10 - 8 +14.7      +9.8 21 +4.9 51 66.8 226 +13.9 39 +15.5 8
36 UCLA 85.5%   10   19 - 10 11 - 7 +13.8      +9.4 23 +4.4 61 63.3 319 +14.0 38 +15.5 7
42 Indiana 34.4%   17 - 12 8 - 10 +12.8      +8.6 34 +4.2 65 66.5 238 +12.2 47 +12.0 10
52 Washington 0.9%   14 - 15 6 - 12 +10.7      +5.5 63 +5.3 44 67.9 195 +8.2 72 +8.4 13
57 Minnesota 0.5%   14 - 15 7 - 11 +10.0      +5.4 64 +4.5 58 59.5 363 +7.6 79 +10.1 11
60 USC 8.8%   17 - 11 7 - 11 +9.1      +3.3 94 +5.9 41 75.2 28 +12.3 46 +9.7 12
66 Northwestern 0.0%   13 - 16 5 - 13 +8.7      +4.8 73 +3.9 74 65.2 267 +7.4 83 +6.8 14
81 Oregon 0.0%   11 - 18 4 - 14 +7.1      +2.5 105 +4.6 57 65.6 257 +5.0 97 +4.7 16
104 Maryland 0.0%   11 - 18 4 - 14 +4.1      +1.8 123 +2.3 107 67.4 212 +5.3 95 +4.2 17
109 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 17 3 - 15 +3.6      +4.6 77 -0.9 207 68.9 168 +4.4 105 +3.4 18
110 Rutgers 0.0%   12 - 17 5 - 13 +3.6      +1.9 119 +1.7 123 66.2 245 +4.7 101 +6.4 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Fri, Feb 27 5 Illinois 70 2 Michigan 84   
Sat, Feb 28 57 Minnesota 78 36 UCLA 73   
Sat, Feb 28 28 Iowa 69 109 Penn St. 71   
Sat, Feb 28 66 Northwestern 63 81 Oregon 62   
Sat, Feb 28 12 Nebraska 82 60 USC 67   
Sat, Feb 28 52 Washington 73 26 Wisconsin 90   
Sun, Mar 1 30 Ohio St. 82 7 Purdue 74   
Sun, Mar 1 42 Indiana 64 9 Michigan St. 77   
Sun, Mar 1 104 Maryland 65 110 Rutgers 69   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 12 Nebraska 73 36 UCLA 70 60%   
Tue, Mar 3 5 Illinois 83 81 Oregon 65 94%   
Wed, Mar 4 42 Indiana 73 57 Minnesota 67 71%   
Wed, Mar 4 60 USC 74 52 Washington 78 67%   
Wed, Mar 4 66 Northwestern 69 7 Purdue 78 80%   
Wed, Mar 4 104 Maryland 71 26 Wisconsin 85 90%   
Wed, Mar 4 30 Ohio St. 83 109 Penn St. 75 78%   
Thu, Mar 5 28 Iowa 70 2 Michigan 78 80%   
Thu, Mar 5 9 Michigan St. 80 110 Rutgers 60 96%   
Sat, Mar 7 7 Purdue 84 26 Wisconsin 76 78%   
Sat, Mar 7 42 Indiana 74 30 Ohio St. 79 68%   
Sat, Mar 7 57 Minnesota 70 66 Northwestern 66 66%   
Sat, Mar 7 60 USC 75 36 UCLA 77 57%   
Sat, Mar 7 81 Oregon 71 52 Washington 72 52%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Nebraska 2.3 81.7 9.0 9.3
Michigan St. 2.4 61.2 36.8 2.0
Illinois 2.8 40.1 43.0 16.7 0.2
Purdue 5.1 0.0 1.1 13.3 65.7 18.8 1.1
Wisconsin 5.6 0.0 0.3 4.2 31.0 62.6 1.9
UCLA 6.8 0.0 4.3 25.3 55.2 14.5 0.7
Ohio St. 7.5 4.8 47.1 43.4 4.6
Iowa 8.6 0.5 8.0 22.6 68.9
Indiana 10.0 3.3 12.5 69.4 12.8 2.1
Minnesota 11.1 25.6 46.7 24.0 3.8
USC 11.4 14.9 48.5 21.5 15.2
Washington 12.0 2.4 35.1 23.3 37.6 1.5 0.0
Rutgers 14.1 0.1 0.6 10.6 66.8 21.4 0.5 0.0
Northwestern 14.2 0.9 4.0 8.7 52.0 33.5 1.0
Oregon 15.7 0.7 10.6 24.5 52.1 11.3 0.8
Maryland 16.3 0.1 3.8 7.6 42.7 42.0 3.9
Penn St. 17.1 4.6 4.6 17.9 21.3 51.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 3.8 30.8 65.5
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 10.7 44.2 45.1
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 2.6 80.1 17.3
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 0.3 11.2 88.5
Purdue 14 - 6 24 - 7 4.6 32.3 63.1
Wisconsin 13 - 7 21 - 10 7.7 72.8 19.6
UCLA 12 - 8 20 - 11 27.0 49.4 23.7
Ohio St. 11 - 9 19 - 12 7.6 39.4 53.1
Iowa 10 - 10 20 - 11 60.2 34.3 5.5
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 13 20.5 56.6 22.9
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 16 24.6 55.5 19.9
USC 8 - 12 18 - 12 38.0 46.7 15.4
Washington 7 - 13 15 - 16 16.7 47.7 35.6
Rutgers 6 - 14 13 - 18 37.4 60.6 2.0
Northwestern 6 - 14 14 - 17 52.9 39.9 7.3
Oregon 5 - 15 12 - 19 50.1 47.7 2.2
Maryland 4 - 16 11 - 20 83.9 15.3 0.8
Penn St. 4 - 16 13 - 18 48.3 42.4 9.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska
Michigan St.
Illinois
Purdue
Wisconsin
UCLA
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 49.8% 50.2% 1   88.8 11.2 0.0 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 15.6% 84.4% 3   9.1 33.4 37.2 17.8 2.4 0.1 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 7.2% 92.8% 3   3.3 16.9 35.5 32.3 10.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 2   11.5 40.7 34.0 12.1 1.6 0.1 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 2   12.3 39.7 32.4 12.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Wisconsin 98.1% 1.3% 96.8% 7   0.0 0.2 1.4 10.3 27.8 36.2 16.2 4.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 98.0%
Iowa 92.4% 0.8% 91.6% 8   0.0 0.2 1.7 7.9 17.2 21.6 20.8 16.9 6.1 0.0 7.6 92.3%
Ohio St. 81.6% 0.6% 81.1% 11   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 4.3 10.4 17.3 26.0 21.5 0.4 18.4 81.5%
UCLA 85.5% 0.7% 84.9% 10   0.0 0.1 0.9 4.0 10.8 18.1 20.3 20.2 11.0 0.1 14.5 85.4%
Indiana 34.4% 0.3% 34.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 3.5 7.3 19.2 2.3 0.0 65.7 34.1%
Washington 0.9% 0.0% 0.8% 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 99.2 0.8%
Minnesota 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 99.5 0.4%
USC 8.8% 0.0% 8.8% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 6.7 0.9 91.2 8.8%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.0 0.1 1.8 19.7 54.4 22.7 1.4
1st Round 100.0% 8.7 0.1 4.4 31.0 51.9 12.2 0.4
2nd Round 100.0% 6.9 0.0 0.6 7.0 27.1 38.5 22.1 4.5 0.2 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.1 0.0 0.7 5.6 21.1 36.4 28.4 7.0 0.7 0.0
Elite Eight 97.6% 2.3 2.4 17.9 38.4 31.4 8.9 0.9 0.0
Final Four 82.7% 1.2 17.3 50.9 27.4 4.2 0.2
Final Game 56.0% 0.6 44.0 49.8 6.2
Champion 31.8% 0.3 68.2 31.8

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.2% 71.2% 53.1% 35.0% 21.4%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 73.8% 43.8% 21.3% 10.1% 4.3%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.8% 65.0% 31.1% 14.2% 6.0% 2.3%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.7% 68.4% 35.6% 14.4% 5.8% 2.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.3% 65.0% 31.5% 12.0% 4.5% 1.5%
Wisconsin 98.1% 0.1% 98.0% 61.1% 18.2% 5.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Iowa 92.4% 5.6% 90.1% 49.9% 11.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Ohio St. 81.6% 20.6% 73.4% 36.6% 8.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
UCLA 85.5% 10.3% 80.9% 39.1% 7.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Indiana 34.4% 21.2% 24.9% 10.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 8.8% 7.5% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%