Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   29 - 2 19 - 1 +27.0      +13.4 4 +13.6 2 77.5 14 +29.8 1 +31.5 1
6 Illinois 100.0%   2   24 - 7 15 - 5 +22.1      +15.1 1 +7.0 28 65.2 266 +20.2 12 +20.5 4
8 Purdue 100.0%   3   23 - 8 13 - 7 +20.0      +14.5 2 +5.5 41 63.7 311 +19.1 15 +17.6 6
10 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   25 - 6 15 - 5 +19.9      +9.4 26 +10.4 11 65.7 257 +21.8 8 +21.1 3
11 Nebraska 100.0%   3   26 - 5 15 - 5 +18.9      +7.0 49 +11.9 6 67.6 200 +21.8 9 +21.1 2
23 Wisconsin 99.7%   6   22 - 9 14 - 6 +16.4      +11.5 12 +4.8 53 71.5 99 +17.0 24 +19.5 5
25 Ohio St. 90.4%   10   20 - 11 12 - 8 +15.7      +10.6 20 +5.1 49 66.8 225 +14.6 36 +16.3 8
26 Iowa 92.1%   9   21 - 11 10 - 10 +15.6      +8.6 32 +7.0 29 60.2 359 +14.5 37 +13.5 9
28 UCLA 92.2%   8   21 - 10 13 - 7 +15.4      +10.4 21 +4.9 51 63.0 322 +15.2 32 +16.8 7
44 Indiana 27.9%   18 - 14 9 - 11 +12.7      +8.3 38 +4.4 59 66.2 244 +11.6 47 +12.1 10
50 Washington 0.2%   16 - 16 7 - 13 +11.1      +5.7 62 +5.3 43 68.2 184 +8.8 70 +8.6 13
57 Northwestern 0.0%   15 - 18 5 - 15 +9.8      +5.7 63 +4.1 71 64.1 298 +8.1 73 +6.1 15
66 Minnesota 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 12 +8.8      +4.7 75 +4.1 68 59.3 363 +7.4 81 +10.5 11
74 USC 0.6%   17 - 14 7 - 13 +8.0      +2.8 100 +5.2 46 75.4 26 +10.8 52 +8.7 12
86 Oregon 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 15 +6.8      +2.4 108 +4.3 65 65.6 260 +5.3 100 +6.0 16
101 Rutgers 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 14 +5.1      +2.7 105 +2.4 109 66.9 222 +6.1 92 +6.7 14
105 Maryland 0.0%   12 - 21 4 - 16 +4.6      +2.1 117 +2.6 103 66.3 240 +6.1 93 +4.2 17
121 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 20 3 - 17 +2.6      +3.5 92 -0.9 200 68.7 167 +3.5 117 +2.6 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sun, Mar 8 2 Michigan 90 10 Michigan St. 80   
Sun, Mar 8 6 Illinois 78 105 Maryland 72   
Sun, Mar 8 26 Iowa 75 11 Nebraska 84   
Sun, Mar 8 121 Penn St. 62 101 Rutgers 74   
Tue, Mar 10 57 Northwestern 76 121 Penn St. 66   
Tue, Mar 10 105 Maryland 70 86 Oregon 60   
Wed, Mar 11 74 USC 79 50 Washington 83   
Wed, Mar 11 66 Minnesota 67 101 Rutgers 72   
Wed, Mar 11 44 Indiana 61 57 Northwestern 74   
Wed, Mar 11 26 Iowa 75 105 Maryland 64   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 12 26 Iowa 71 25 Ohio St. 72 50%   
Thu, Mar 12 50 Washington 77 23 Wisconsin 82 70%   
Thu, Mar 12 57 Northwestern 69 8 Purdue 79 83%   
Thu, Mar 12 101 Rutgers 68 28 UCLA 78 83%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Nebraska 2.0 100.0
Illinois 2.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 100.0
Wisconsin 5.0 100.0
UCLA 6.0 100.0
Purdue 6.0 100.0
Ohio St. 8.0 100.0
Iowa 9.0 100.0
Indiana 10.0 100.0
Minnesota 11.0 100.0
USC 12.0 100.0
Washington 12.0 100.0
Rutgers 14.0 100.0
Northwestern 15.0 100.0
Oregon 15.0 100.0
Maryland 17.0 100.0
Penn St. 18.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 100.0
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 100.0
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 100.0
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 100.0
Wisconsin 14 - 6 23 - 9 100.0
UCLA 13 - 7 22 - 10 100.0
Purdue 13 - 7 24 - 8 100.0
Ohio St. 12 - 8 21 - 11 100.0
Iowa 10 - 10 21 - 12 100.0
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 14 100.0
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 17 100.0
USC 7 - 13 17 - 14 100.0
Washington 7 - 13 16 - 17 100.0
Rutgers 6 - 14 14 - 19 100.0
Northwestern 5 - 15 15 - 19 100.0
Oregon 5 - 15 12 - 20 100.0
Maryland 4 - 16 12 - 21 100.0
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 20 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska
Illinois
Michigan St.
Wisconsin
UCLA
Purdue
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 49.0% 51.0% 1   98.1 1.9 0.0 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 2   6.6 45.0 32.9 13.5 1.9 0.1 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 10.4% 89.6% 3   1.1 14.9 31.3 33.3 16.9 2.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 2   6.4 41.3 34.9 14.9 2.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 3   3.3 26.7 36.4 25.3 7.9 0.5 0.0 100.0%
Wisconsin 99.7% 1.4% 98.3% 6   0.0 0.2 2.1 6.0 23.5 42.2 23.4 2.2 0.1 0.3 99.7%
Ohio St. 90.4% 0.8% 89.6% 10   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 9.3 19.3 26.5 25.2 6.7 0.0 9.6 90.3%
Iowa 92.1% 0.7% 91.4% 9   0.0 0.1 0.6 4.2 13.8 28.6 29.2 14.4 1.3 7.9 92.0%
UCLA 92.2% 1.8% 90.4% 8   0.1 0.2 1.6 6.8 21.5 29.4 23.7 8.3 0.7 7.8 92.0%
Indiana 27.9% 0.0% 27.9% 0.0 0.8 20.8 6.2 0.1 72.1 27.9%
Washington 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.1%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 99.4 0.6%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.0 0.0 1.0 15.8 62.5 20.7 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 8.9 0.0 1.3 20.3 66.4 11.9 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.4 4.0 19.0 38.0 30.6 7.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.7 5.6 20.4 35.5 27.9 8.5 1.3 0.1 0.0
Elite Eight 97.6% 2.3 2.4 18.8 39.3 29.8 8.7 1.0 0.0 0.0
Final Four 82.2% 1.1 17.8 53.2 25.3 3.6 0.1
Final Game 54.0% 0.6 46.0 48.7 5.3
Champion 30.2% 0.3 69.8 30.2

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.4% 71.9% 54.5% 35.2% 21.5%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.3% 73.5% 44.6% 20.9% 10.1% 4.2%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.0% 61.5% 27.1% 11.3% 4.4% 1.6%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.1% 65.5% 33.3% 12.5% 4.8% 1.6%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.2% 59.9% 26.4% 9.2% 3.1% 1.0%
Wisconsin 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 73.3% 29.5% 9.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Ohio St. 90.4% 5.3% 88.4% 49.1% 11.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Iowa 92.1% 1.0% 91.8% 52.0% 10.9% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
UCLA 92.2% 0.5% 92.0% 53.3% 11.9% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Indiana 27.9% 27.2% 16.7% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%