Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
1 Michigan 100.0%   1   29 - 2 19 - 1 +27.0      +13.3 4 +13.6 3 77.5 14 +29.7 1 +31.5 1
7 Illinois 100.0%   2   24 - 7 15 - 5 +22.1      +15.1 1 +7.0 27 65.3 265 +20.2 12 +20.6 4
9 Purdue 100.0%   3   24 - 8 13 - 7 +20.1      +14.8 2 +5.3 44 63.6 311 +19.3 15 +17.6 6
10 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   25 - 6 15 - 5 +19.8      +9.4 27 +10.5 11 65.7 257 +21.7 9 +21.1 3
11 Nebraska 100.0%   3   26 - 5 15 - 5 +19.0      +7.0 49 +12.0 6 67.7 198 +21.8 8 +21.1 2
23 Wisconsin 100.0%   6   23 - 9 14 - 6 +16.3      +11.9 9 +4.4 64 71.3 103 +17.2 22 +19.5 5
25 Ohio St. 94.7%   8   21 - 11 12 - 8 +15.8      +10.8 16 +4.9 53 66.5 235 +15.2 32 +16.2 8
26 UCLA 93.5%   8   22 - 10 13 - 7 +15.5      +10.0 22 +5.5 41 63.3 317 +15.4 30 +16.8 7
27 Iowa 91.7%   9   21 - 12 10 - 10 +15.5      +8.8 31 +6.7 32 59.9 361 +14.0 37 +13.5 9
44 Indiana 24.8%   18 - 14 9 - 11 +12.7      +8.3 37 +4.5 58 66.2 242 +11.6 49 +12.1 10
50 Washington 0.0%   16 - 17 7 - 13 +11.2      +6.1 58 +5.0 51 68.0 191 +8.6 71 +8.5 13
57 Northwestern 0.0%   15 - 19 5 - 15 +9.7      +5.9 61 +3.8 76 63.8 304 +8.0 72 +6.1 15
68 Minnesota 0.0%   15 - 17 8 - 12 +8.8      +4.7 75 +4.1 70 59.3 363 +7.4 81 +10.4 11
75 USC 0.6%   17 - 14 7 - 13 +8.0      +2.8 103 +5.2 45 75.4 25 +10.9 52 +8.8 12
86 Oregon 0.0%   12 - 20 5 - 15 +6.7      +2.4 108 +4.3 66 65.5 259 +5.3 100 +6.0 16
101 Rutgers 0.0%   14 - 19 6 - 14 +5.0      +2.2 114 +2.8 100 67.1 216 +5.9 93 +6.7 14
104 Maryland 0.0%   12 - 21 4 - 16 +4.6      +2.1 117 +2.6 105 66.3 239 +6.1 92 +4.2 17
122 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 20 3 - 17 +2.6      +3.5 90 -0.9 200 68.7 168 +3.5 117 +2.6 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Mar 10 57 Northwestern 76 122 Penn St. 66   
Tue, Mar 10 104 Maryland 70 86 Oregon 60   
Wed, Mar 11 75 USC 79 50 Washington 83   
Wed, Mar 11 68 Minnesota 67 101 Rutgers 72   
Wed, Mar 11 44 Indiana 61 57 Northwestern 74   
Wed, Mar 11 27 Iowa 75 104 Maryland 64   
Thu, Mar 12 27 Iowa 69 25 Ohio St. 72   
Thu, Mar 12 50 Washington 82 23 Wisconsin 85   
Thu, Mar 12 101 Rutgers 59 26 UCLA 72   
Thu, Mar 12 57 Northwestern 68 9 Purdue 81   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 13 11 Nebraska 73 9 Purdue 74 54%   
Fri, Mar 13 10 Michigan St. 74 26 UCLA 69 66%   
Fri, Mar 13 7 Illinois 84 23 Wisconsin 79 71%   
Fri, Mar 13 1 Michigan 86 25 Ohio St. 75 85%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Nebraska 2.0 100.0
Illinois 2.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 100.0
Wisconsin 5.0 100.0
UCLA 6.0 100.0
Purdue 6.0 100.0
Ohio St. 8.0 100.0
Iowa 9.0 100.0
Indiana 10.0 100.0
Minnesota 11.0 100.0
USC 12.0 100.0
Washington 12.0 100.0
Rutgers 14.0 100.0
Northwestern 15.0 100.0
Oregon 15.0 100.0
Maryland 17.0 100.0
Penn St. 18.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 30 - 2 100.0
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 6 100.0
Illinois 15 - 5 25 - 7 100.0
Michigan St. 15 - 5 26 - 6 100.0
Wisconsin 14 - 6 23 - 10 100.0
UCLA 13 - 7 22 - 11 100.0
Purdue 13 - 7 25 - 8 100.0
Ohio St. 12 - 8 21 - 12 100.0
Iowa 10 - 10 21 - 12 100.0
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 14 100.0
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 17 100.0
USC 7 - 13 17 - 14 100.0
Washington 7 - 13 16 - 17 100.0
Rutgers 6 - 14 14 - 19 100.0
Northwestern 5 - 15 15 - 19 100.0
Oregon 5 - 15 12 - 20 100.0
Maryland 4 - 16 12 - 21 100.0
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 20 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska
Illinois
Michigan St.
Wisconsin
UCLA
Purdue
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1   98.1 1.9 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 16.9% 83.1% 2   7.4 43.8 31.7 14.9 2.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 3   1.1 16.5 34.5 34.9 12.1 0.9 0.0 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 2   7.5 41.5 34.9 14.4 1.6 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 3   4.4 31.5 38.2 21.7 4.2 0.1 100.0%
Wisconsin 100.0% 2.0% 98.0% 6   0.1 1.9 7.2 30.2 41.1 18.2 1.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ohio St. 94.7% 1.3% 93.4% 8   0.0 0.1 1.2 5.0 14.1 30.7 28.8 13.3 1.4 5.3 94.6%
UCLA 93.5% 2.1% 91.5% 8   0.1 0.4 3.3 9.9 22.7 31.4 19.6 5.6 0.5 6.5 93.4%
Iowa 91.7% 0.0% 91.7% 9   0.0 0.2 2.2 9.0 27.3 33.6 17.4 2.0 8.3 91.7%
Indiana 24.8% 0.0% 24.8% 0.0 0.7 20.0 4.0 0.0 75.3 24.8%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 0.3 0.2 0.1 99.4 0.6%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.1 0.0 0.7 13.3 66.3 19.7 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 9.0 0.0 0.9 15.6 70.9 12.5 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 7.3 0.0 0.3 3.6 17.5 36.2 32.9 9.2 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.8 5.4 19.2 35.3 29.0 9.0 1.3 0.1
Elite Eight 97.2% 2.3 2.8 18.2 38.4 30.8 9.0 0.8 0.1
Final Four 81.9% 1.2 18.1 52.0 26.2 3.6 0.2
Final Game 54.0% 0.6 46.1 48.5 5.4
Champion 30.9% 0.3 69.1 30.9

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 89.5% 72.1% 54.2% 35.5% 22.5%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 74.3% 44.7% 20.6% 9.7% 3.9%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.3% 62.0% 27.2% 11.3% 4.4% 1.6%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.2% 66.1% 33.4% 13.1% 4.8% 1.4%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.0% 61.2% 27.6% 10.2% 3.5% 1.2%
Wisconsin 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 74.5% 29.3% 9.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Ohio St. 94.7% 0.7% 94.4% 55.0% 12.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
UCLA 93.5% 0.3% 93.4% 54.3% 13.1% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Iowa 91.7% 1.2% 91.2% 50.3% 9.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Indiana 24.8% 23.8% 15.7% 5.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%