Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   28 - 2 18 - 1 +26.8      +12.9 6 +13.9 2 77.3 17 +29.5 1 +31.2 1
5 Illinois 100.0%   2   23 - 7 14 - 5 +22.5      +15.1 1 +7.4 27 65.5 261 +20.1 11 +20.2 4
8 Purdue 100.0%   3   23 - 7 13 - 6 +20.4      +14.0 3 +6.4 37 63.7 309 +19.9 13 +18.6 5
10 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   25 - 5 15 - 4 +19.7      +9.0 27 +10.7 10 65.7 258 +22.1 5 +21.4 2
15 Nebraska 100.0%   3   25 - 5 14 - 5 +18.6      +7.0 48 +11.6 5 67.4 207 +21.5 8 +20.8 3
24 Wisconsin 98.8%   6   21 - 9 13 - 6 +15.8      +10.5 17 +5.3 46 71.6 98 +15.9 27 +18.3 6
27 Iowa 93.0%   8   20 - 10 10 - 9 +15.6      +8.8 29 +6.8 33 59.9 361 +14.5 35 +13.7 9
29 Ohio St. 86.6%   10   19 - 11 11 - 8 +15.3      +10.2 21 +5.1 49 66.7 233 +14.2 39 +15.7 8
30 UCLA 95.0%   8   20 - 10 12 - 7 +14.8      +9.7 22 +5.1 50 63.3 320 +14.9 32 +16.5 7
39 Indiana 43.5%   11   18 - 12 9 - 10 +13.6      +8.7 31 +5.0 52 66.4 243 +12.5 44 +12.4 10
49 Washington 1.3%   15 - 15 7 - 12 +11.3      +5.7 61 +5.6 44 68.3 183 +8.7 69 +9.1 13
63 Minnesota 0.1%   14 - 16 7 - 12 +9.2      +4.7 76 +4.4 64 59.5 363 +7.6 81 +9.9 11
66 Northwestern 0.0%   13 - 17 5 - 14 +8.9      +5.1 69 +3.8 76 64.8 277 +7.2 83 +6.6 14
70 USC 2.6%   17 - 12 7 - 12 +8.7      +3.0 98 +5.6 42 75.7 25 +11.9 47 +9.3 12
82 Oregon 0.0%   11 - 19 4 - 15 +7.0      +2.2 112 +4.8 53 65.8 253 +5.1 100 +4.7 16
105 Rutgers 0.0%   12 - 18 5 - 14 +4.3      +2.7 103 +1.5 132 66.7 234 +4.8 101 +6.2 15
110 Maryland 0.0%   11 - 19 4 - 15 +3.6      +1.4 132 +2.2 113 66.6 238 +5.5 96 +4.3 17
119 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 18 3 - 16 +2.9      +4.3 81 -1.4 212 68.7 174 +4.1 106 +3.1 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Mar 3 30 UCLA 72 15 Nebraska 52   
Tue, Mar 3 5 Illinois 80 82 Oregon 54   
Wed, Mar 4 66 Northwestern 66 8 Purdue 70   
Wed, Mar 4 70 USC 72 49 Washington 91   
Wed, Mar 4 110 Maryland 45 24 Wisconsin 78   
Wed, Mar 4 39 Indiana 77 63 Minnesota 47   
Wed, Mar 4 29 Ohio St. 94 119 Penn St. 62   
Thu, Mar 5 27 Iowa 68 2 Michigan 71   
Thu, Mar 5 10 Michigan St. 91 105 Rutgers 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 8 Purdue 83 24 Wisconsin 75 77%   
Sat, Mar 7 39 Indiana 74 29 Ohio St. 79 67%   
Sat, Mar 7 63 Minnesota 70 66 Northwestern 66 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 70 USC 74 30 UCLA 77 62%   
Sat, Mar 7 82 Oregon 71 49 Washington 72 55%   
Sun, Mar 8 2 Michigan 81 10 Michigan St. 71 83%   
Sun, Mar 8 27 Iowa 65 15 Nebraska 71 72%   
Sun, Mar 8 119 Penn St. 75 105 Rutgers 79 66%   
Sun, Mar 8 5 Illinois 83 110 Maryland 67 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 100.0
Illinois 2.3 77.4 18.1 4.5
Nebraska 2.7 59.5 14.2 26.3
Purdue 5.0 1.5 23.9 51.7 22.9
Wisconsin 5.7 0.4 6.9 15.6 77.1
UCLA 6.4 61.8 38.2
Ohio St. 7.7 25.5 74.5
Iowa 8.9 9.1 90.9
Indiana 9.8 24.1 75.9
Minnesota 11.4 73.0 18.7 8.3
Washington 11.5 65.3 24.0 10.7
USC 11.7 48.7 30.1 21.2
Rutgers 14.1 86.9 13.1
Northwestern 14.4 58.8 41.2
Oregon 15.6 9.3 25.1 62.1 3.5
Maryland 16.4 1.5 3.4 52.9 42.3
Penn St. 17.5 17.7 15.6 66.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 17.3 82.8
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 82.8 17.3
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 6.4 93.6
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 28.2 71.8
Purdue 14 - 6 24 - 7 22.9 77.1
Wisconsin 13 - 7 21 - 10 77.1 22.9
UCLA 13 - 7 21 - 10 38.2 61.8
Ohio St. 12 - 8 20 - 11 33.1 66.9
Iowa 10 - 10 20 - 11 71.8 28.2
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 13 66.9 33.1
Minnesota 8 - 12 15 - 16 37.5 62.5
Washington 8 - 12 16 - 15 45.2 54.8
USC 7 - 13 17 - 13 61.8 38.2
Rutgers 6 - 14 13 - 18 34.3 65.7
Northwestern 5 - 15 13 - 18 62.5 37.5
Oregon 4 - 16 11 - 20 54.8 45.2
Maryland 4 - 16 11 - 20 93.6 6.4
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 19 65.7 34.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Michigan St.
Illinois
Nebraska
Purdue
Wisconsin
UCLA
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
Washington
USC
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 49.6% 50.4% 1   97.3 2.7 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 18.0% 82.0% 2   6.6 48.0 32.0 12.1 1.2 0.1 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 3   2.3 28.3 39.6 23.2 6.2 0.4 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 2   8.0 48.3 31.7 10.7 1.4 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 3   2.8 23.4 35.2 27.0 10.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Wisconsin 98.8% 1.9% 96.9% 6   0.1 1.2 3.8 16.5 31.9 31.3 11.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 98.8%
Iowa 93.0% 0.9% 92.1% 8   0.0 0.2 1.8 7.9 16.8 23.0 22.8 16.9 3.7 7.0 93.0%
Ohio St. 86.6% 0.7% 86.0% 10   0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 6.9 13.4 21.6 27.7 13.9 0.0 13.4 86.5%
UCLA 95.0% 1.1% 93.9% 8   0.1 0.4 2.7 11.0 21.9 26.8 19.8 10.3 1.9 5.0 95.0%
Indiana 43.5% 0.5% 43.0% 11   0.0 0.2 0.7 2.8 5.8 11.3 21.1 1.6 0.0 56.5 43.2%
Washington 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 98.7 1.2%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 0.1 2.2 0.3 97.4 2.6%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.2 0.0 0.6 11.1 55.8 31.7 0.8 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.0 0.0 1.0 17.6 60.7 20.5 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 7.2 0.4 4.1 19.4 38.6 29.2 7.8 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.7 5.1 20.4 35.1 28.8 8.7 1.2 0.0 0.0
Elite Eight 97.5% 2.3 2.6 16.7 39.2 30.8 9.4 1.3 0.0
Final Four 82.6% 1.2 17.4 52.0 26.5 3.9 0.2
Final Game 55.1% 0.6 44.9 49.5 5.6
Champion 30.5% 0.3 69.5 30.5

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.3% 71.4% 53.2% 34.4% 20.8%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.5% 75.6% 47.1% 22.7% 11.5% 4.8%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.2% 66.1% 33.7% 14.2% 5.6% 2.1%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.5% 66.4% 34.3% 13.1% 5.0% 1.7%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.2% 58.3% 23.8% 8.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Wisconsin 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 67.0% 23.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Iowa 93.0% 3.8% 91.5% 52.3% 12.7% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Ohio St. 86.6% 14.3% 81.4% 42.7% 10.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
UCLA 95.0% 1.8% 94.2% 52.2% 11.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Indiana 43.5% 23.3% 33.4% 14.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%