Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
2 Michigan 100.0%   1   29 - 2 19 - 1 +26.9      +13.3 4 +13.6 2 77.4 15 +29.8 1 +31.4 1
6 Illinois 100.0%   2   24 - 7 15 - 5 +22.0      +15.0 1 +7.0 29 65.2 268 +20.2 11 +20.5 4
8 Purdue 100.0%   3   23 - 8 13 - 7 +20.0      +14.5 2 +5.5 41 63.7 310 +19.0 16 +17.6 6
10 Michigan St. 100.0%   2   25 - 6 15 - 5 +19.8      +9.4 26 +10.4 11 65.7 257 +21.8 7 +21.1 2
11 Nebraska 100.0%   3   26 - 5 15 - 5 +18.8      +7.0 48 +11.9 5 67.6 201 +21.8 8 +21.1 3
22 Wisconsin 99.9%   6   22 - 9 14 - 6 +16.3      +11.5 14 +4.8 53 71.5 100 +16.9 24 +19.5 5
25 Ohio St. 83.8%   10   20 - 11 12 - 8 +15.6      +10.5 18 +5.1 46 66.8 225 +14.6 34 +16.2 8
27 Iowa 86.7%   8   20 - 11 10 - 10 +15.4      +8.6 32 +6.9 30 60.0 361 +14.3 36 +13.5 9
28 UCLA 91.3%   7   21 - 10 13 - 7 +15.4      +10.4 19 +5.0 51 63.0 322 +15.3 31 +16.9 7
39 Indiana 37.8%   18 - 13 9 - 11 +13.4      +8.6 31 +4.8 54 66.5 236 +12.3 44 +12.1 10
50 Washington 0.1%   15 - 16 7 - 13 +11.0      +5.9 58 +5.1 49 68.2 184 +8.3 70 +8.5 13
63 Minnesota 0.1%   15 - 16 8 - 12 +9.2      +4.9 73 +4.3 65 59.2 363 +8.2 74 +10.4 11
66 Northwestern 0.0%   13 - 18 5 - 15 +9.0      +5.4 68 +3.6 78 64.5 287 +6.9 84 +6.2 15
73 USC 2.9%   17 - 13 7 - 13 +8.1      +3.1 96 +5.0 50 75.3 27 +11.5 49 +8.8 12
83 Oregon 0.0%   12 - 19 5 - 15 +7.2      +2.7 105 +4.5 58 65.8 254 +5.8 91 +5.9 16
105 Rutgers 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 14 +4.6      +2.4 109 +2.3 112 66.8 226 +5.2 101 +6.7 14
106 Maryland 0.0%   11 - 20 4 - 16 +4.1      +2.0 119 +2.1 117 66.3 241 +5.5 97 +4.2 17
122 Penn St. 0.0%   12 - 19 3 - 17 +2.7      +3.6 87 -0.9 201 68.9 165 +3.8 114 +2.6 18


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Mar 7 8 Purdue 93 22 Wisconsin 97   
Sat, Mar 7 63 Minnesota 67 66 Northwestern 66   
Sat, Mar 7 39 Indiana 78 25 Ohio St. 91   
Sat, Mar 7 73 USC 68 28 UCLA 89   
Sat, Mar 7 83 Oregon 85 50 Washington 79   
Sun, Mar 8 2 Michigan 90 10 Michigan St. 80   
Sun, Mar 8 6 Illinois 78 106 Maryland 72   
Sun, Mar 8 27 Iowa 75 11 Nebraska 84   
Sun, Mar 8 122 Penn St. 62 105 Rutgers 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 10 106 Maryland 69 83 Oregon 72 62%   
Tue, Mar 10 66 Northwestern 78 122 Penn St. 72 73%   
Wed, Mar 11 73 USC 76 50 Washington 79 61%   
Wed, Mar 11 63 Minnesota 71 105 Rutgers 66 67%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th
Michigan 1.0 100.0
Nebraska 2.0 100.0
Illinois 2.0 100.0
Michigan St. 2.0 100.0
Wisconsin 5.0 100.0
UCLA 6.0 100.0
Purdue 6.0 100.0
Ohio St. 8.0 100.0
Iowa 9.0 100.0
Indiana 10.0 100.0
Minnesota 11.0 100.0
USC 12.0 100.0
Washington 12.0 100.0
Rutgers 14.0 100.0
Northwestern 15.0 100.0
Oregon 15.0 100.0
Maryland 17.0 100.0
Penn St. 18.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Michigan 19 - 1 29 - 2 100.0
Nebraska 15 - 5 26 - 5 100.0
Illinois 15 - 5 24 - 7 100.0
Michigan St. 15 - 5 25 - 6 100.0
Wisconsin 14 - 6 22 - 9 100.0
UCLA 13 - 7 21 - 10 100.0
Purdue 13 - 7 23 - 8 100.0
Ohio St. 12 - 8 20 - 11 100.0
Iowa 10 - 10 20 - 11 100.0
Indiana 9 - 11 18 - 13 100.0
Minnesota 8 - 12 16 - 16 100.0
USC 7 - 13 17 - 14 100.0
Washington 7 - 13 16 - 16 100.0
Rutgers 6 - 14 13 - 19 100.0
Northwestern 5 - 15 14 - 18 100.0
Oregon 5 - 15 13 - 19 100.0
Maryland 4 - 16 11 - 21 100.0
Penn St. 3 - 17 12 - 20 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska
Illinois
Michigan St.
Wisconsin
UCLA
Purdue
Ohio St.
Iowa
Indiana
Minnesota
USC
Washington
Rutgers
Northwestern
Oregon
Maryland
Penn St.


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Michigan 100.0% 49.7% 50.3% 1   98.6 1.4 100.0%
Illinois 100.0% 17.2% 82.8% 2   7.1 48.9 30.9 11.8 1.3 0.0 100.0%
Purdue 100.0% 7.7% 92.3% 3   1.4 21.1 38.1 29.3 9.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Michigan St. 100.0% 12.4% 87.6% 2   6.2 42.6 35.0 14.1 2.1 0.0 100.0%
Nebraska 100.0% 7.8% 92.2% 3   3.6 33.3 36.7 21.0 5.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Wisconsin 99.9% 1.5% 98.3% 6   0.0 0.2 2.5 7.6 27.6 42.8 17.7 1.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Ohio St. 83.8% 0.9% 82.9% 10   0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 10.3 19.5 24.7 20.6 4.7 0.0 16.2 83.6%
Iowa 86.7% 0.6% 86.1% 8   0.0 0.1 0.8 4.6 15.7 29.0 24.8 10.8 0.9 13.3 86.6%
UCLA 91.3% 1.8% 89.6% 7   0.1 0.2 1.7 8.1 26.6 31.4 17.8 5.1 0.4 8.7 91.2%
Indiana 37.8% 0.3% 37.4% 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.8 4.9 25.0 4.4 0.1 62.2 37.5%
Washington 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
USC 2.9% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0 1.8 1.0 0.1 97.1 2.9%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.0 0.0 1.9 19.0 54.0 24.5 0.5
1st Round 100.0% 8.9 0.1 2.5 24.1 57.0 16.1 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.3 3.5 18.4 37.8 31.2 8.3 0.5
Sweet Sixteen 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.6 4.9 19.4 34.9 29.1 9.8 1.2 0.0 0.0
Elite Eight 97.8% 2.3 2.2 17.5 37.9 31.4 9.8 1.2 0.0
Final Four 83.4% 1.2 16.6 52.7 26.7 3.9 0.1
Final Game 54.9% 0.6 45.1 48.9 6.0
Champion 30.7% 0.3 69.3 30.7

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.9% 89.9% 72.3% 55.7% 36.5% 22.0%
Illinois 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.4% 73.5% 45.2% 21.0% 9.6% 4.1%
Purdue 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.2% 63.1% 29.8% 12.1% 4.7% 1.5%
Michigan St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 97.2% 66.4% 33.8% 13.1% 4.8% 1.7%
Nebraska 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.2% 60.6% 27.4% 9.8% 3.4% 1.1%
Wisconsin 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 75.5% 30.9% 10.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Ohio St. 83.8% 4.9% 82.1% 45.6% 10.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Iowa 86.7% 1.0% 86.3% 49.6% 10.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
UCLA 91.3% 0.4% 91.2% 53.8% 12.8% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Indiana 37.8% 29.7% 26.2% 10.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Washington 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Minnesota 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
USC 2.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oregon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rutgers 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%