Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#198
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#232
Pace68.2#179
Improvement-0.4#240

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#256
First Shot-3.2#283
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#131
Layup/Dunks-2.0#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#331
Freethrows+2.4#36
Improvement+0.0#193

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#139
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#242
Layups/Dunks-1.5#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#66
Freethrows+0.5#140
Improvement-0.4#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.7% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.7% 3.1% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 13.9% 35.2% 10.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 2.2% 10.0%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 33 - 84 - 14
Quad 47 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 133   Quinnipiac L 62-67 48%     0 - 1 -5.9 -13.3 +7.6
  Nov 12, 2022 209   Texas St. L 66-70 63%     0 - 2 -8.7 -8.2 -0.5
  Nov 15, 2022 313   Stony Brook W 74-64 81%     1 - 2 -0.9 -0.1 -0.2
  Nov 21, 2022 28   Kansas St. L 57-77 10%     1 - 3 -7.2 -10.4 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2022 77   Tulane L 75-78 21%     1 - 4 +3.9 +6.0 -2.1
  Nov 23, 2022 234   Illinois St. W 57-44 59%     2 - 4 +9.3 -5.9 +17.7
  Nov 27, 2022 144   @ Boston College L 49-53 29%     2 - 5 +0.3 -17.7 +17.9
  Dec 03, 2022 25   Providence L 74-88 14%     2 - 6 -3.8 +5.0 -8.9
  Dec 07, 2022 207   Brown L 58-59 62%     2 - 7 -5.5 -9.6 +4.0
  Dec 10, 2022 237   Army W 77-67 69%     3 - 7 +3.4 +0.3 +3.2
  Dec 13, 2022 177   Umass Lowell W 77-75 OT 56%     4 - 7 -1.0 -2.7 +1.6
  Dec 18, 2022 231   @ Georgia St. L 66-75 48%     4 - 8 -9.9 -1.9 -8.4
  Dec 31, 2022 126   @ Duquesne L 61-72 27%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -5.9 -8.3 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2023 132   Fordham W 82-79 47%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +2.2 +10.6 -8.4
  Jan 07, 2023 230   @ La Salle L 75-77 OT 48%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -2.8 +0.7 -3.5
  Jan 11, 2023 147   St. Bonaventure W 68-67 51%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -0.6 -2.4 +1.9
  Jan 14, 2023 143   @ Massachusetts L 65-75 29%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -5.7 -10.0 +5.1
  Jan 17, 2023 125   @ Richmond L 57-64 26%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -1.9 -8.2 +5.8
  Jan 21, 2023 122   George Mason L 72-79 45%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -7.1 -4.2 -2.5
  Jan 25, 2023 68   Dayton W 75-70 25%     7 - 13 3 - 5 +10.5 +12.1 -1.2
  Jan 28, 2023 230   La Salle W 72-70 68%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -4.3 -2.8 -1.5
  Feb 01, 2023 162   @ Saint Joseph's L 50-64 33%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -11.0 -20.5 +9.4
  Feb 07, 2023 79   @ Saint Louis L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 11, 2023 122   @ George Mason L 63-70 25%    
  Feb 15, 2023 74   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 18, 2023 143   Massachusetts L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 22, 2023 191   George Washington W 74-72 60%    
  Feb 25, 2023 132   @ Fordham L 65-71 27%    
  Mar 01, 2023 220   @ Loyola Chicago L 65-67 43%    
  Mar 04, 2023 123   Davidson L 66-67 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 4th
5th 0.7 1.4 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 0.8 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 1.0 3.8 0.2 4.9 7th
8th 0.1 4.3 2.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.9 7.6 0.5 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 5.1 5.5 0.1 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 10.8 1.6 13.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 7.3 8.1 0.2 15.9 12th
13th 0.2 4.4 11.1 2.0 0.0 17.7 13th
14th 1.5 6.5 3.5 0.1 11.7 14th
15th 1.2 1.2 0.1 2.5 15th
Total 2.9 12.5 23.3 27.1 20.2 10.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 13.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 8.7% 8.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-8 3.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.1
9-9 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.8
8-10 20.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 19.9
7-11 27.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.3 26.8
6-12 23.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 23.1
5-13 12.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.4
4-14 2.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 8.7% 14.5 4.3 4.3
Lose Out 2.9% 0.3% 16.0 0.3