Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.3 113
Expected Predictive Rating +3.2 114
Pace 65.6 261
Improvement +0.2 177

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 161 C+ C D B B-
Defense B- 83 C C A D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 C+ 60% 124 +1.5 115
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 288 B 43% 52 -1.1 244
Three Pointers 44% 118 C- 33% 230 +1.0 144
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 88 C +0.6 143
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 129
Second Chance C+ 32.7% 112 D 0.93 310 C 0.30 188
Turnovers D 19.4% 327
Freethrows B+ 0.36 33 C 73% 175 B 0.26 40
Total Offense C +0.1 161

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 329 C- 12.3% 258
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 211 C+ 4.7% 156
Three Pointers C+ 85% 173 A- -0.1% 1
Total D+ 50% 296 C 5.6% 191

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 128 B 54% 71 -0.6 153
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 261 B 34% 47 -1.7 54
Three Pointers 41% 165 D 36% 292 +1.8 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 258 C+ -1.0 140
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 158
Second Chance C 30.6% 192 C 1.02 167 C 0.31 185
Turnovers A 21.4% 12
Freethrows D 0.35 316 B- 71% 85 D+ 0.25 292
Total Defense B- +3.2 83

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 130 B+ 16.2% 35
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 125 C+ 5.8% 107
Three Pointers C- 85% 204 D 0.1% 340
Total C 56% 204 B 7.7% 48

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 216 17.9 272
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 31 0.15 87
Improvement -0.2 #190 +0.4 #162

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 138 116 98
Conference Record 7 - 11 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 10 7 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 12.1
.500 or above 99% 100% 96%
.500 or above in Conference 63% 78% 39%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 1
Quad 23 - 65 - 8
Quad 36 - 311 - 11
Quad 48 - 319 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 327 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  97% 1 - 0 A- +17 B- +5 C+ A+ F+ A +11 B A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 77 Tulsa L 65 - 82 34% -9  5% 1 - 1 D -9 D -6 C- B F D -5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 345 Stonehill W 80 - 57 95% +12  88% 2 - 1 B- +7 C+ +2 C+ C- F+ B+ +5 B+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 14 316 Albany W 80 - 61 92% +6  64% 3 - 1 B- +6 C+ +2 F+ A- C+ B+ +5 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 18 81 @Yale W 86 - 77 26% +0  42% 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +15 A B D+ B +4 A F A
 Mon, Nov 24 167 Towson L 55 - 62 64% -2  34% 4 - 2 D+ -7 F -11 F A+ F B- +2 C B+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 229 Vermont W 80 - 65 75% +7  83% 5 - 2 B +11 A- +10 B A- F B- +3 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 152 Temple W 90 - 75 62% +7  81% 6 - 2 A- +15 A +14 A+ C- A+ C+ +2 C+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 268 Brown W 66 - 56 87% +4  80% 7 - 2 C +1 D -5 F+ B D+ A- +7 A+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 64 @Providence L 71 - 90 21% -5  18% 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 A+ F F D+ -4 F C- A+
 Tue, Dec 9 83 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 47% -2  6% 7 - 4 C+ +2 F+ -8 B D- F A +10 B- A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 343 Canisius W 62 - 45 95% +3  45% 8 - 4 C +2 F -12 F+ F F A+ +15 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 289 Northeastern W 85 - 77 89% +6  89% 9 - 4 C- -2 B+ +9 B+ A C+ F -11 F B+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 277 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 89% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -19 F C- F B +5 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 105 @George Mason L 50 - 61 34% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C- -4 F -16 D+ F F A +11 C+ A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 212 La Salle L 72 - 79 81% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 D- -13 C+ +2 B- B- F F -16 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 112 @Davidson W 70 - 45 38% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A+ +31 B+ +9 A+ F B- A+ +26 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 48 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 31% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 B- +5 A+ F D D -6 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 129 @Richmond W 69 - 68 43% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 B- +6 D+ -3 D+ C- F A +9 D+ B A-
 Sat, Jan 24 105 George Mason W 74 - 65 57% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 B +10 A +12 C+ C+ A+ C +0 B F+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 88 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 28% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +14 B +7 C+ D B A- +8 F A A+
 Sun, Feb 1 110 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 37% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 D -8 D- -6 C- D+ D D+ -3 D D A-
 Sat, Feb 7 129 Richmond W 82 - 77 66% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 C- A+ C+ D+ -4 D+ A- B+
 Tue, Feb 10 80 @George Washington L 70 - 75 26% -7  0% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 C- C- D+ B+ +6 D A- A
 Sat, Feb 14 158 Fordham L 66 - 70 OT 73% +6  85% 14 - 11 5 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D D+ C -0 C+ D+ C+
 Tue, Feb 17 23 Saint Louis W 81 - 76 17% +4  91% 15 - 11 6 - 7 A +18 B+ +8 A+ F+ D- A +11 A+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 212 @La Salle W 68 - 65 62%
 Wed, Feb 25 143 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 72 47%
 Sat, Feb 28 130 Saint Joseph's W 70 - 65 67%
 Wed, Mar 4 110 Duquesne W 75 - 72 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 158 @Fordham W 65 - 64 52%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +3 C +0 D- C B- B- +3 C- C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ B C- C 40% 28% 44% B- C+ C+ D C D B+ C B B- B B D C+ 41% 18% 41% D+ C C C C A D B- D+
1.09 60% 43% 33% +1 +1 1.05 33% 0.9 .30 19% .36 73% .26 1.04 54% 34% 36% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .31 21% .35 71% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B- A+ A F C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ A- A+ A A D- B B+ 38% 15% 48% F+ B D+ A+ A- A+ F A+ D+
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D C+ F D D+ 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B+ C B F A+ A- A+ D C A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C F F F A+ F A+ D
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C+ B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ C+ F+ C- F+ A A+ A+ B+ A A+ B+ A- 28% 14% 58% C B+ D- C- D A+ F D+ F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D F F 51% 12% 37% B+ F+ A- C+ A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A D C+ D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A A D- B D+ A B A B B C- A- A+ 52% 15% 33% F+ A F D F A F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F B- A+ A+ F A- F B- B- F B D- D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C C+ A B+ B F C F
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont A- A- F D+ C+ 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ B- C- F A- B+ 29% 9% 62% D+ B D F F A+ F B F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C- A+ F A+ C- A+ A- F C C+ D+ A C C+ 39% 22% 39% C C+ A+ F B- B F C F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ F+ F F 44% 20% 36% C+ F+ B- B B D+ A C- A- A- A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C C+ F+ F F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D F A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B A+ C F F F C- F F D+ F F F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F C+ D C- A+ C B C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. F+ A- A+ D- B 42% 11% 47% B+ B F A+ D- F A+ A+ A+ A A D+ D+ B 51% 14% 35% F+ B- B A+ A+ B D A+ C+
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F D- F D F 37% 8% 56% B F+ A F F F D- A+ C A+ A+ B- C A- 43% 29% 29% C B+ C+ A+ A- A+ D C- D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern B+ C A+ C A- 36% 24% 40% D- B+ A+ C A C+ D D D- F B- A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F D- A+ B+ B F F F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F C F F 38% 21% 40% C F B+ F C- F B- F+ C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D F F B+ D- A+ A- F C-
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F B+ F D D+ 26% 19% 55% C D+ D- F F F F+ F F A B A+ F C 38% 24% 38% C+ C+ A+ F A D+ F A+ C-
0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C+ B+ F A B 24% 11% 64% C B- A+ F B- F A+ C- A F D- B+ F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B F B+ F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B+ A+ F C F B- F B F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B F
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- B+ A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% B- A+ D+ F F D A+ F A D C- A+ D- C 42% 4% 54% D- C- A+ F D+ F F+ A+ C
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C F D- 48% 17% 35% A D+ A- F C- F A+ A- A+ A C C- D- C- 31% 21% 48% D- D+ A- C B A- C- A+ A-
1.00 59% 38% 19% -8 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A B+ F D- C 48% 14% 39% A C+ D A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ C A F A- B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F F+ C- F F+ F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B F B A+ C+ 43% 26% 30% C+ C+ C+ F D B A+ A A+ A- F+ B- F F 44% 18% 38% B- F C+ A+ A A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D- B- F B- C 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D D+ D C F F D+ B+ A+ F D 41% 2% 56% D- D F+ C D A- F F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B+ D+ F C- D 43% 19% 38% A- C- B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ F F D 21% 30% 49% B+ D+ B A+ A- B+ B+ F B-
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -2 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23
Feb
10		 George Washington C- A+ C F+ C+ 27% 29% 44% F+ C- B- F C- D+ B- F C- B+ F A+ C+ D- 43% 9% 48% C+ D F A+ A- A F+ B D
1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18 1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27
Feb
14		 Fordham D- F B+ C C- 24% 28% 48% D+ D+ F+ B- D D+ A+ F A+ C A+ F C- B- 44% 13% 44% F C+ A+ F D+ C+ F A+ F
0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28 1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25
Feb
17		 Saint Louis B+ F A+ A+ A+ 36% 12% 52% B+ A+ C- F F+ D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ F D A+ 54% 4% 42% D A+ A- A- A A+ F D F
1.09 33% 67% 46% +4 +1 1.12 24% 0.4 .11 19% .45 85% .38 1.02 46% 50% 40% -2 +3 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 24% .46 77% .35



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.9 4.2 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 5.6 2.7 8.3 4th
5th 0.9 10.3 0.4 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 5.9 5.8 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.9 13.3 0.9 15.1 7th
8th 0.2 6.9 10.0 0.0 17.2 8th
9th 0.0 3.3 14.0 2.1 19.5 9th
10th 0.9 6.4 2.8 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.8 0.6 1.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 1.8 10.6 24.7 32.2 23.4 7.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 7.4% 2.7% 2.7% 11.4 0.1 0.1 7.2
10-8 23.4% 1.8% 1.8% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 23.0
9-9 32.2% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 31.9
8-10 24.7% 0.4% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 24.6
7-11 10.6% 0.5% 0.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 1.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 11.9 98.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.4 59.3 40.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.0%
Lose Out 0.7%