Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
4 Florida 100.0%   1   25 - 6 16 - 2 +25.8      +12.6 7 +13.1 4 75.0 31 +21.9 7 +25.7 1
13 Alabama 100.0%   4   23 - 8 13 - 5 +18.8      +14.4 3 +4.4 62 80.6 4 +20.0 13 +19.9 2
14 Tennessee 99.7%   5   22 - 10 11 - 7 +18.6      +8.2 38 +10.4 12 64.5 286 +17.4 21 +17.3 4
15 Arkansas 99.9%   4   23 - 8 13 - 5 +18.5      +13.1 5 +5.4 42 76.0 23 +19.3 14 +19.4 3
16 Vanderbilt 100.0%   5   24 - 7 11 - 7 +18.4      +11.4 12 +7.0 28 72.6 69 +18.7 17 +16.8 7
24 Kentucky 97.5%   7   21 - 12 10 - 8 +15.9      +8.9 29 +7.0 27 69.9 134 +16.3 26 +16.8 6
26 Georgia 98.0%   7   22 - 9 10 - 8 +15.6      +12.0 9 +3.6 80 77.8 12 +16.0 28 +15.6 8
31 Texas A&M 91.8%   8   21 - 10 11 - 7 +14.6      +8.2 39 +6.4 38 75.8 24 +14.9 34 +17.2 5
36 Texas 59.9%   11   17 - 14 9 - 9 +13.7      +11.0 15 +2.8 100 67.4 210 +12.5 43 +14.6 10
37 Auburn 15.1%   17 - 16 7 - 11 +13.6      +10.7 17 +2.9 94 68.3 182 +12.8 42 +11.3 11
41 Oklahoma 27.8%   18 - 14 7 - 11 +13.1      +10.7 19 +2.4 106 66.5 232 +12.0 46 +11.3 12
47 Missouri 74.4%   10   20 - 12 10 - 8 +11.5      +7.5 44 +4.0 73 66.5 231 +13.8 39 +15.5 9
59 LSU 0.0%   15 - 17 3 - 15 +9.7      +7.3 46 +2.3 112 67.1 219 +7.5 79 +3.6 16
72 Mississippi 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 +8.2      +3.5 92 +4.7 53 65.9 252 +6.4 89 +6.1 15
94 South Carolina 0.0%   13 - 19 4 - 14 +5.7      +2.5 107 +3.2 85 66.0 247 +5.0 101 +7.0 14
95 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 19 5 - 13 +5.6      +2.8 101 +2.8 96 72.3 79 +6.7 86 +8.5 13


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 11 24 Kentucky 87 59 LSU 82   
Wed, Mar 11 37 Auburn 79 95 Mississippi St. 61   
Wed, Mar 11 72 Mississippi 76 36 Texas 66   
Wed, Mar 11 41 Oklahoma 86 94 South Carolina 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 12 41 Oklahoma 81 31 Texas A&M 83 56%   
Thu, Mar 12 26 Georgia 85 72 Mississippi 77 76%   
Thu, Mar 12 37 Auburn 62 14 Tennessee 72   
Thu, Mar 12 24 Kentucky 78 47 Missouri 72   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Arkansas 2.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 4.0 100.0
Texas A&M 4.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Georgia 7.0 100.0
Missouri 7.0 100.0
Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Texas 10.0 100.0
Oklahoma 11.0 100.0
Auburn 11.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 13.0 100.0
Mississippi 14.0 100.0
South Carolina 14.0 100.0
LSU 16.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 16 - 2 25 - 6 100.0
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 23 - 8 100.0
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 24 - 7 100.0
Texas A&M 11 - 7 22 - 10 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 22 - 10 100.0
Georgia 10 - 8 23 - 9 100.0
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 12 100.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 21 - 12 100.0
Texas 9 - 9 17 - 14 100.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 18 - 15 100.0
Auburn 7 - 11 17 - 16 100.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 19 100.0
Mississippi 4 - 14 13 - 20 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 19 100.0
LSU 3 - 15 15 - 17 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Tennessee
Georgia
Missouri
Kentucky
Texas
Oklahoma
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Mississippi
South Carolina
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 50.2% 49.8% 1   41.5 53.4 4.9 0.2 100.0%
Alabama 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 4   1.0 13.3 31.3 32.1 18.5 3.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 99.7% 8.1% 91.6% 5   0.1 1.0 7.4 18.3 33.8 28.8 9.8 0.6 0.0 0.3 99.6%
Arkansas 99.9% 12.6% 87.3% 4   0.4 5.8 17.7 28.0 30.0 15.4 2.5 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 7.2% 92.8% 5   0.1 2.9 15.0 29.9 36.0 15.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 97.5% 2.9% 94.6% 7   0.2 0.7 5.8 19.2 42.9 23.7 4.6 0.4 0.0 2.5 97.4%
Georgia 98.0% 4.1% 93.9% 7   0.1 0.8 5.3 17.4 38.8 27.8 7.3 0.6 2.0 97.9%
Texas A&M 91.8% 1.5% 90.3% 8   0.0 0.2 1.3 3.7 16.2 30.5 27.5 11.4 1.1 8.2 91.7%
Texas 59.9% 0.0% 59.9% 11   0.5 3.9 20.4 34.4 0.6 40.1 59.9%
Auburn 15.1% 0.0% 15.1% 0.0 8.4 6.2 0.5 84.9 15.1%
Oklahoma 27.8% 0.7% 27.1% 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.4 18.1 3.3 0.1 72.2 27.2%
Missouri 74.4% 0.0% 74.4% 10   0.2 3.5 16.9 34.8 18.9 0.1 25.6 74.4%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.6 0.3 7.9 34.4 43.0 13.5 0.8
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.8 15.0 44.2 33.4 6.6 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.2 1.9 9.7 25.7 35.4 21.3 5.4 0.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.4 0.1 3.4 16.8 33.3 30.5 12.8 2.7 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 90.8% 1.6 9.3 40.9 35.4 12.4 1.8 0.2 0.0
Final Four 63.6% 0.8 36.4 51.2 11.6 0.8
Final Game 35.1% 0.4 64.9 33.6 1.5
Champion 17.6% 0.2 82.4 17.6

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.8% 87.1% 66.8% 44.9% 26.7% 14.7%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.0% 55.7% 21.0% 8.4% 2.7% 0.8%
Tennessee 99.7% 0.0% 99.7% 85.0% 44.6% 16.6% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Arkansas 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 88.9% 48.9% 17.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.7%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.7% 48.8% 16.1% 6.1% 2.0% 0.7%
Kentucky 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 62.1% 18.9% 7.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Georgia 98.0% 0.0% 98.0% 60.5% 16.5% 5.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 91.8% 0.8% 91.5% 49.1% 9.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 59.9% 32.3% 47.2% 19.0% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 15.1% 15.1% 10.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 27.8% 20.8% 19.9% 7.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 74.4% 15.1% 66.6% 23.8% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%