Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
3 Florida 100.0%   1   23 - 6 14 - 2 +25.2      +12.0 9 +13.2 3 74.7 33 +21.1 9 +24.8 1
13 Alabama 100.0%   3   22 - 7 12 - 4 +18.9      +14.1 2 +4.9 53 81.4 2 +20.5 11 +20.7 2
16 Tennessee 99.9%   5   20 - 9 10 - 6 +18.3      +8.1 39 +10.2 13 64.4 289 +17.6 22 +18.2 4
17 Vanderbilt 99.9%   5   22 - 7 9 - 7 +18.3      +11.0 15 +7.2 28 72.3 79 +17.8 20 +15.3 9
19 Arkansas 100.0%   5   21 - 8 11 - 5 +18.0      +13.0 5 +5.0 47 75.5 25 +18.7 17 +18.4 3
23 Kentucky 98.9%   6   19 - 10 10 - 6 +16.4      +8.5 34 +7.9 24 69.6 142 +16.5 25 +18.0 5
27 Texas 91.4%   7   17 - 11 9 - 7 +15.2      +12.5 7 +2.7 96 66.6 235 +14.4 37 +15.9 8
29 Georgia 94.0%   7   20 - 9 8 - 8 +15.1      +11.1 13 +4.0 70 77.7 12 +15.1 32 +14.5 10
34 Texas A&M 81.4%   9   19 - 10 9 - 7 +14.0      +8.0 41 +5.9 38 75.7 24 +13.7 39 +16.1 7
40 Auburn 32.6%   15 - 14 6 - 10 +13.4      +11.1 14 +2.3 108 68.8 174 +12.8 43 +11.0 11
44 Missouri 79.3%   9   20 - 9 10 - 6 +12.2      +8.3 36 +4.0 69 67.0 225 +15.4 31 +17.0 6
46 Oklahoma 5.6%   15 - 14 5 - 11 +11.9      +9.9 20 +1.9 121 66.9 229 +10.3 57 +9.4 12
58 LSU 0.0%   15 - 14 3 - 13 +9.9      +7.4 45 +2.5 106 67.4 214 +8.3 70 +4.3 16
74 Mississippi 0.0%   12 - 17 4 - 12 +7.9      +4.2 80 +3.6 78 65.8 256 +6.5 90 +8.1 14
89 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 16 5 - 11 +6.4      +3.1 97 +3.3 84 71.6 101 +7.3 84 +9.0 13
94 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 17 3 - 13 +5.8      +2.6 104 +3.2 85 66.3 245 +4.2 105 +5.7 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 25 3 Florida 84 27 Texas 71   
Wed, Feb 25 58 LSU 106 74 Mississippi 99   
Wed, Feb 25 29 Georgia 80 17 Vanderbilt 88   
Wed, Feb 25 19 Arkansas 99 34 Texas A&M 84   
Wed, Feb 25 13 Alabama 100 89 Mississippi St. 75   
Sat, Feb 28 27 Texas 76 34 Texas A&M 70   
Sat, Feb 28 13 Alabama 71 16 Tennessee 69   
Sat, Feb 28 40 Auburn 79 74 Mississippi 85   
Sat, Feb 28 58 LSU 67 46 Oklahoma 83   
Sat, Feb 28 29 Georgia 87 94 South Carolina 68   
Sat, Feb 28 23 Kentucky 91 17 Vanderbilt 77   
Sat, Feb 28 19 Arkansas 77 3 Florida 111   
Sat, Feb 28 89 Mississippi St. 64 44 Missouri 88   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Mar 3 13 Alabama 96 29 Georgia 95 53%   
Tue, Mar 3 23 Kentucky 79 34 Texas A&M 80 52%   
Tue, Mar 3 44 Missouri 77 46 Oklahoma 80 60%   
Tue, Mar 3 40 Auburn 84 58 LSU 77 74%   
Tue, Mar 3 74 Mississippi 73 17 Vanderbilt 80 76%   
Tue, Mar 3 94 South Carolina 65 16 Tennessee 74 81%   
Tue, Mar 3 3 Florida 89 89 Mississippi St. 68 97%   
Wed, Mar 4 19 Arkansas 89 27 Texas 83 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 0.2 95.3 4.5
Tennessee 3.9 3.0 30.8 48.8 9.7 3.6 3.1 1.0 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.3 1.8 21.2 9.4 17.9 25.6 12.1 8.7 3.2
Arkansas 2.8 29.3 61.3 5.8 3.2 0.4
Kentucky 5.2 0.7 9.6 26.5 26.9 15.5 14.4 5.7 0.6
Texas 6.7 2.2 9.6 12.4 18.7 27.6 13.7 11.4 4.5
Georgia 8.7 0.0 1.4 8.4 14.9 12.0 20.4 42.9
Texas A&M 6.6 1.0 12.3 17.7 17.1 20.7 13.2 13.0 4.9
Auburn 11.0 2.2 93.9 3.8 0.0
Missouri 4.9 1.6 18.3 20.1 24.8 21.1 11.5 2.4 0.1
Oklahoma 11.9 25.5 61.6 11.3 1.6
LSU 14.9 2.1 6.7 13.0 59.8 18.4
Mississippi 13.2 2.9 24.0 36.1 29.8 6.7 0.6
Mississippi St. 12.6 5.9 37.7 48.0 8.3
South Carolina 15.1 1.2 3.5 18.6 40.9 35.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 16 - 2 25 - 6 0.6 29.7 69.7
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 10.5 46.6 42.9
Tennessee 11 - 7 21 - 10 7.9 41.4 50.8
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 23 - 8 15.5 54.6 29.9
Arkansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 12.5 44.6 43.0
Kentucky 11 - 7 20 - 11 37.5 48.3 14.1
Texas 10 - 8 18 - 12 20.1 57.9 22.0
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 16.3 50.3 33.4
Texas A&M 10 - 8 20 - 11 21.9 49.4 28.7
Auburn 7 - 11 16 - 15 21.4 62.9 15.7
Missouri 11 - 7 21 - 10 36.5 46.6 16.8
Oklahoma 6 - 12 16 - 15 29.6 53.5 16.9
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 40.4 46.7 12.9
Mississippi 5 - 13 13 - 18 24.5 58.4 17.1
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 18 69.3 30.0 0.7
South Carolina 3 - 15 12 - 19 56.1 37.8 6.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 99.8 0.2
Alabama 0.2% 0.2
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Kentucky
Texas
Georgia
Texas A&M
Auburn
Missouri
Oklahoma
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1   43.7 47.0 8.4 0.9 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 100.0% 13.8% 86.1% 3   3.3 16.4 34.6 30.2 13.1 2.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 8.6% 91.3% 5   0.3 1.7 7.4 19.8 36.5 25.4 7.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 5.5% 94.5% 5   0.3 1.5 6.9 19.5 38.8 26.2 6.1 0.8 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Arkansas 100.0% 10.6% 89.3% 5   0.4 2.8 10.4 24.8 37.3 19.1 4.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 98.9% 4.2% 94.7% 6   0.0 0.2 1.4 5.2 22.7 34.0 22.7 9.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 1.1 98.9%
Texas 91.4% 2.3% 89.1% 7   0.0 0.1 0.5 4.7 13.1 22.4 20.3 14.1 10.4 5.7 0.1 8.6 91.2%
Georgia 94.0% 1.7% 92.4% 7   0.1 0.4 3.8 13.3 25.1 22.4 16.1 9.3 3.5 0.0 6.0 93.9%
Texas A&M 81.4% 1.3% 80.1% 9   0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 10.5 18.2 21.5 18.6 8.4 0.1 18.6 81.2%
Auburn 32.6% 0.6% 32.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.1 5.3 19.3 3.5 0.1 67.4 32.2%
Missouri 79.3% 1.0% 78.3% 9   0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 10.7 19.8 22.3 17.0 6.8 0.0 20.7 79.1%
Oklahoma 5.6% 0.3% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 94.4 5.3%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.0 0.1 3.8 27.4 50.8 17.4 0.5
1st Round 100.0% 9.6 0.0 0.3 6.6 34.8 47.6 10.5 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 7.1 0.0 0.1 1.3 7.1 20.8 32.8 26.6 10.0 1.2 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.8% 3.4 0.2 3.2 16.4 34.0 29.7 13.0 3.1 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 89.9% 1.6 10.1 39.2 36.1 12.6 1.9 0.1 0.0
Final Four 61.5% 0.8 38.5 48.6 12.0 0.9 0.0
Final Game 34.5% 0.4 65.5 32.7 1.8
Champion 17.3% 0.2 82.7 17.3

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.7% 85.2% 63.1% 40.9% 24.8% 14.0%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 95.0% 58.7% 24.8% 9.8% 3.7% 1.1%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 85.2% 42.8% 15.5% 6.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 86.1% 43.5% 15.5% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 86.9% 44.6% 15.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Kentucky 98.9% 0.1% 98.9% 71.2% 26.5% 9.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Texas 91.4% 5.4% 89.2% 51.2% 13.3% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgia 94.0% 3.2% 92.7% 53.4% 13.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas A&M 81.4% 7.6% 78.1% 39.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Auburn 32.6% 22.7% 23.4% 10.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 79.3% 6.2% 76.0% 32.4% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 5.6% 4.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%