Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Florida 100.0%   3   16 - 6 7 - 2 +21.8      +10.8 12 +10.9 7 73.1 69 +17.4 22 +20.2 2
13 Vanderbilt 99.9%   4   19 - 3 6 - 3 +18.6      +10.3 16 +8.3 18 73.8 55 +20.3 11 +17.3 5
17 Tennessee 99.7%   4   16 - 6 6 - 3 +17.9      +8.8 28 +9.1 15 65.2 272 +18.1 19 +19.6 3
20 Alabama 98.2%   5   14 - 7 4 - 4 +17.4      +12.2 3 +5.1 53 82.4 2 +17.1 24 +14.2 9
24 Arkansas 98.5%   6   16 - 6 6 - 3 +16.5      +11.7 7 +4.8 62 75.5 31 +17.5 21 +17.0 6
26 Kentucky 96.4%   6   15 - 7 6 - 3 +15.8      +8.1 37 +7.7 20 69.4 164 +16.4 29 +19.0 4
27 Texas A&M 95.9%   7   17 - 4 7 - 1 +15.6      +8.5 34 +7.1 27 77.0 19 +16.5 27 +25.0 1
28 Auburn 94.3%   7   14 - 8 5 - 4 +15.5      +10.6 13 +4.9 56 69.6 159 +16.5 28 +15.7 7
30 Texas 74.8%   8   13 - 9 5 - 5 +14.6      +11.4 8 +3.1 87 68.2 200 +12.5 49 +14.1 10
35 Georgia 75.7%   10   16 - 6 4 - 5 +14.1      +8.5 33 +5.6 44 81.9 3 +13.5 39 +12.2 11
49 LSU 16.0%   14 - 8 2 - 7 +11.2      +7.6 42 +3.7 76 68.4 192 +9.8 61 +4.3 15
54 Missouri 31.7%   15 - 7 5 - 4 +10.1      +6.7 51 +3.3 82 68.0 207 +12.9 44 +14.7 8
55 Oklahoma 1.5%   11 - 11 1 - 8 +9.7      +7.1 47 +2.6 98 68.4 194 +6.6 81 +1.0 16
60 Mississippi 2.1%   11 - 11 3 - 6 +9.0      +4.2 79 +4.8 61 64.8 287 +7.8 72 +10.8 12
74 Mississippi St. 1.2%   11 - 11 3 - 6 +7.8      +3.0 97 +4.8 63 70.6 130 +7.6 75 +9.8 13
87 South Carolina 0.0%   11 - 12 2 - 8 +6.2      +3.5 87 +2.7 97 65.5 267 +4.3 97 +6.6 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 31 24 Arkansas 77 26 Kentucky 85   
Sat, Jan 31 55 Oklahoma 69 30 Texas 79   
Sat, Jan 31 49 LSU 92 87 South Carolina 87   
Sat, Jan 31 28 Auburn 69 17 Tennessee 77   
Sat, Jan 31 60 Mississippi 68 13 Vanderbilt 71   
Sat, Jan 31 35 Georgia 77 27 Texas A&M 92   
Sat, Jan 31 74 Mississippi St. 79 54 Missouri 84   
Sun, Feb 1 20 Alabama 77 5 Florida 100   
Tue, Feb 3 87 South Carolina 75 30 Texas 84   
Tue, Feb 3 60 Mississippi 66 17 Tennessee 84   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 4 20 Alabama 93 27 Texas A&M 88 68%   
Wed, Feb 4 26 Kentucky 81 55 Oklahoma 72 81%   
Sat, Feb 7 26 Kentucky 73 17 Tennessee 72 54%   
Sat, Feb 7 20 Alabama 88 28 Auburn 89 55%   
Sat, Feb 7 5 Florida 83 27 Texas A&M 80 62%   
Sat, Feb 7 35 Georgia 83 49 LSU 84 51%   
Sat, Feb 7 60 Mississippi 71 30 Texas 80 79%   
Sat, Feb 7 55 Oklahoma 74 13 Vanderbilt 86 87%   
Sat, Feb 7 54 Missouri 74 87 South Carolina 73 53%   
Sat, Feb 7 24 Arkansas 84 74 Mississippi St. 78 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.7 64.9 18.0 8.6 4.3 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Vanderbilt 3.8 13.1 20.8 18.0 14.1 12.0 8.9 5.6 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 3.8 12.8 21.2 17.8 14.5 12.0 8.6 6.4 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
Alabama 5.1 7.0 11.9 13.8 12.8 12.8 11.8 9.8 8.1 6.0 3.4 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 4.3 11.9 15.6 15.5 14.5 13.0 10.0 8.0 4.9 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0
Kentucky 5.7 5.0 7.3 9.4 12.3 13.1 13.8 13.4 10.7 8.3 4.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 3.3 23.8 20.0 16.6 13.0 9.5 7.1 5.0 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Auburn 6.5 1.5 5.0 7.8 9.4 12.5 13.8 13.6 13.6 11.0 6.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Texas 8.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.4 7.2 10.0 14.4 17.6 16.9 13.0 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2 0.1
Georgia 9.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.5 6.3 10.0 11.9 15.8 20.4 15.7 7.1 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
LSU 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 2.8 5.9 11.2 20.3 21.8 19.1 10.7 5.8
Missouri 9.4 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.2 4.6 7.4 10.4 14.4 21.0 20.6 9.5 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 5.5 11.5 18.0 27.6 33.8
Mississippi 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.8 3.8 7.4 14.1 26.4 21.3 15.0 6.7 2.3
Mississippi St. 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.3 2.8 6.8 12.3 21.4 24.2 18.3 8.7 3.3
South Carolina 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 6.4 12.9 20.6 32.5 24.5

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 14 - 4 23 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 10.7 21.2 29.2 24.3 9.9
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 25 - 6 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.3 11.2 20.7 25.2 22.2 12.1 3.1
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 0.2 1.2 4.2 11.2 19.4 26.4 22.7 12.0 2.8
Alabama 11 - 8 21 - 11 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.9 10.8 17.8 22.5 20.9 13.7 6.0 1.3
Arkansas 12 - 7 22 - 10 0.1 0.4 2.3 7.3 14.4 21.8 23.3 18.2 8.9 2.8 0.5
Kentucky 11 - 7 20 - 11 0.2 1.7 6.5 15.2 22.8 24.4 17.7 8.5 2.7 0.4
Texas A&M 12 - 6 22 - 9 0.1 0.7 3.2 9.1 17.0 23.5 21.6 14.9 7.4 2.3 0.4
Auburn 10 - 8 19 - 12 0.1 1.0 3.5 9.6 18.9 24.2 22.3 14.6 4.9 0.9
Texas 9 - 9 17 - 13 0.2 2.2 8.1 18.6 27.1 24.3 14.1 4.7 0.7
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 0.2 2.2 7.4 16.6 24.2 22.7 16.2 8.1 2.2 0.2
LSU 6 - 12 18 - 13 1.5 6.8 16.3 24.5 22.9 16.5 8.3 2.7 0.6 0.0
Missouri 8 - 10 18 - 13 2.7 10.0 20.8 24.7 21.5 12.2 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
Oklahoma 4 - 14 14 - 17 3.9 13.8 24.1 26.2 18.9 9.2 3.0 0.9 0.1
Mississippi 6 - 12 14 - 17 2.1 10.8 23.4 28.5 20.1 10.4 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 14 - 17 4.0 15.7 24.6 26.3 17.6 8.4 2.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 18 8.9 25.8 31.3 21.5 9.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 64.9% 42.9 15.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.0
Vanderbilt 13.1% 4.3 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
Tennessee 12.8% 3.9 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0
Alabama 7.0% 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
Arkansas 11.9% 4.3 4.3 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.0
Kentucky 5.0% 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Texas A&M 23.8% 11.7 7.4 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
Auburn 1.5% 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
Texas 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
LSU
Missouri 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 33.0% 67.0% 3   12.5 25.5 29.0 20.0 8.5 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 14.4% 85.6% 4   2.6 10.9 23.7 24.9 19.5 11.6 4.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Tennessee 99.7% 11.5% 88.1% 4   1.1 4.7 14.9 22.0 22.9 17.9 10.1 4.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 99.6%
Alabama 98.2% 9.7% 88.5% 5   0.7 3.1 10.4 15.6 21.1 19.6 12.6 6.8 4.0 2.5 1.7 0.1 1.8 98.0%
Arkansas 98.5% 7.8% 90.7% 6   0.2 1.1 6.2 13.4 21.1 21.5 17.2 9.9 4.8 2.1 1.1 0.0 1.5 98.4%
Kentucky 96.4% 5.8% 90.6% 6   0.1 0.9 4.2 10.1 18.3 20.2 18.0 11.2 6.1 4.0 3.1 0.1 3.6 96.1%
Texas A&M 95.9% 7.1% 88.8% 7   0.1 0.4 2.3 6.2 13.9 16.4 21.6 17.2 11.1 5.2 1.6 4.1 95.6%
Auburn 94.3% 4.8% 89.5% 7   0.0 0.5 2.5 5.9 13.3 18.5 19.2 13.8 9.4 6.3 4.8 0.2 5.7 94.0%
Texas 74.8% 2.8% 72.0% 8   0.0 0.3 1.0 3.2 6.7 11.8 14.3 12.6 12.1 12.2 0.6 25.2 74.1%
Georgia 75.7% 2.0% 73.7% 10   0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 5.2 9.9 14.8 15.4 14.9 11.9 0.3 24.4 75.2%
LSU 16.0% 0.3% 15.7% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 3.7 8.3 0.4 84.0 15.7%
Missouri 31.7% 0.5% 31.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 6.1 9.6 11.9 0.4 68.3 31.4%
Oklahoma 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.1 98.5 1.4%
Mississippi 2.1% 0.2% 2.0% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 0.1 97.9 2.0%
Mississippi St. 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.1 98.8 1.1%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.9 0.2 4.2 27.8 47.0 18.7 2.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.6 0.0 0.6 8.6 36.3 42.2 11.8 0.6 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 8.9 21.5 33.6 23.9 9.0 1.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.2 0.4 5.2 21.2 33.5 26.2 10.8 2.5 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 82.4% 1.4 17.6 39.7 31.3 9.9 1.4 0.1 0.0
Final Four 49.4% 0.6 50.6 39.8 8.9 0.7 0.0
Final Game 24.1% 0.3 75.9 22.8 1.3
Champion 10.9% 0.1 89.1 10.9

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.7% 70.1% 40.7% 21.8% 11.5% 6.0%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.1% 99.9% 89.8% 52.3% 23.0% 10.1% 4.0% 1.7%
Tennessee 99.7% 0.2% 99.6% 84.2% 44.1% 18.1% 7.6% 2.8% 1.1%
Alabama 98.2% 1.8% 97.4% 77.1% 36.8% 14.9% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Arkansas 98.5% 1.1% 97.9% 73.0% 30.3% 10.6% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Kentucky 96.4% 3.2% 95.0% 66.7% 25.0% 8.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Texas A&M 95.9% 1.5% 95.2% 62.5% 21.1% 7.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Auburn 94.3% 4.7% 92.4% 60.0% 21.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Texas 74.8% 12.3% 69.8% 38.5% 10.6% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgia 75.7% 11.5% 70.6% 36.4% 9.4% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
LSU 16.0% 8.5% 11.6% 4.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 31.7% 11.9% 25.2% 8.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 1.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 2.1% 1.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%