Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Florida 100.0%   1   22 - 6 13 - 2 +24.1      +11.4 10 +12.7 3 74.0 43 +20.6 11 +24.3 1
15 Arkansas 100.0%   5   21 - 7 11 - 4 +18.8      +13.3 4 +5.5 47 74.9 29 +18.8 17 +18.7 4
16 Vanderbilt 99.9%   5   22 - 6 9 - 6 +18.7      +10.9 14 +7.9 24 72.3 80 +18.2 21 +15.7 8
17 Alabama 100.0%   4   21 - 7 11 - 4 +18.7      +14.0 3 +4.7 56 82.0 2 +19.7 15 +19.5 2
19 Tennessee 99.9%   5   20 - 8 10 - 5 +18.4      +8.3 36 +10.1 13 65.1 273 +18.3 20 +19.3 3
23 Kentucky 95.3%   6   18 - 10 9 - 6 +15.8      +7.9 42 +7.9 23 69.8 138 +15.9 27 +17.3 5
28 Texas 76.8%   10   16 - 11 8 - 7 +14.7      +12.7 6 +2.0 114 66.7 234 +13.4 41 +14.7 9
29 Georgia 90.9%   8   19 - 9 7 - 8 +14.6      +10.7 17 +3.9 70 78.3 10 +14.8 35 +14.2 10
34 Texas A&M 86.3%   9   19 - 9 9 - 6 +14.2      +8.6 31 +5.6 43 75.7 26 +14.5 36 +17.2 6
38 Auburn 58.2%   11   15 - 13 6 - 9 +13.9      +11.1 11 +2.8 99 68.8 173 +13.7 39 +12.2 11
47 Missouri 66.8%   10   19 - 9 9 - 6 +11.4      +8.0 40 +3.4 83 67.0 228 +15.1 32 +16.6 7
51 Oklahoma 2.1%   14 - 14 4 - 11 +11.0      +9.6 20 +1.4 131 66.9 230 +9.6 57 +8.1 13
53 LSU 1.0%   15 - 13 3 - 12 +10.6      +7.8 43 +2.7 101 67.4 215 +9.0 65 +5.1 16
79 Mississippi 0.0%   11 - 17 3 - 12 +7.3      +3.7 85 +3.6 79 65.8 255 +5.3 96 +6.2 14
81 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 15 5 - 10 +7.2      +3.6 90 +3.6 76 71.4 100 +7.9 76 +9.8 12
91 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 16 3 - 12 +6.0      +2.5 111 +3.5 82 66.9 231 +4.3 103 +5.9 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 24 47 Missouri 73 19 Tennessee 69   
Tue, Feb 24 23 Kentucky 72 91 South Carolina 63   
Tue, Feb 24 38 Auburn 79 51 Oklahoma 91   
Wed, Feb 25 4 Florida 84 28 Texas 71   
Wed, Feb 25 53 LSU 106 79 Mississippi 99   
Wed, Feb 25 29 Georgia 80 16 Vanderbilt 88   
Wed, Feb 25 15 Arkansas 99 34 Texas A&M 84   
Wed, Feb 25 17 Alabama 100 81 Mississippi St. 75   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 28 17 Alabama 81 19 Tennessee 84 60%   
Sat, Feb 28 15 Arkansas 80 4 Florida 88 78%   
Sat, Feb 28 23 Kentucky 79 16 Vanderbilt 78 50%   
Sat, Feb 28 28 Texas 82 34 Texas A&M 85 60%   
Sat, Feb 28 53 LSU 80 51 Oklahoma 78 60%   
Sat, Feb 28 81 Mississippi St. 77 47 Missouri 78 54%   
Sat, Feb 28 38 Auburn 82 79 Mississippi 72 82%   
Sat, Feb 28 29 Georgia 87 91 South Carolina 75 86%   
Tue, Mar 3 23 Kentucky 79 34 Texas A&M 81 56%   
Tue, Mar 3 17 Alabama 96 29 Georgia 95 54%   
Tue, Mar 3 47 Missouri 77 51 Oklahoma 80 60%   
Tue, Mar 3 38 Auburn 83 53 LSU 77 73%   
Tue, Mar 3 79 Mississippi 72 16 Vanderbilt 80 79%   
Tue, Mar 3 91 South Carolina 65 19 Tennessee 75 81%   
Tue, Mar 3 4 Florida 88 81 Mississippi St. 68 96%   
Wed, Mar 4 15 Arkansas 89 28 Texas 82 75%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 99.9 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 2.5 4.1 53.5 31.8 7.9 2.2 0.5 0.0
Vanderbilt 5.4 2.7 8.9 16.7 25.9 21.0 15.0 6.8 2.6 0.5
Alabama 2.5 1.4 61.5 22.1 12.2 2.4 0.3 0.0
Tennessee 3.3 0.0 33.7 25.3 25.9 10.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0
Kentucky 6.3 0.7 3.5 10.8 20.8 18.9 20.1 14.9 8.5 1.8
Texas 7.9 0.4 2.6 5.9 12.8 17.3 19.4 25.2 15.1 1.3
Georgia 8.7 0.7 6.9 13.9 18.3 27.1 28.2 4.8 0.0
Texas A&M 5.6 1.7 7.9 16.9 28.2 18.9 13.5 6.1 5.2 1.7
Auburn 10.5 0.4 2.6 8.1 22.2 65.6 1.1 0.1
Missouri 6.1 1.6 5.2 8.5 18.6 22.8 23.1 12.5 6.5 1.2
Oklahoma 12.7 0.1 3.5 42.5 35.8 13.8 4.2 0.1
LSU 13.8 1.1 15.0 24.3 30.6 23.6 5.5
Mississippi 14.3 0.6 6.3 14.7 36.9 21.4 20.1
Mississippi St. 12.1 0.0 0.7 8.3 70.9 18.9 1.2 0.0
South Carolina 14.9 0.0 3.0 8.2 24.6 22.2 42.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 15 - 3 24 - 7 0.2 8.0 38.5 53.3
Arkansas 13 - 5 23 - 8 7.3 34.3 46.8 11.6
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 24 - 7 6.7 33.7 42.8 16.8
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 7.0 32.5 43.0 17.5
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 3.4 22.3 44.2 30.2
Kentucky 10 - 8 19 - 12 20.8 41.6 30.1 7.6
Texas 9 - 9 17 - 13 12.5 43.8 35.4 8.2
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 2.8 23.4 46.7 27.2
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 9.4 32.2 39.8 18.6
Auburn 8 - 10 17 - 14 4.5 28.2 52.9 14.4
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 19.3 41.3 31.2 8.2
Oklahoma 5 - 13 15 - 16 18.4 43.4 30.9 7.3
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 16.3 41.6 33.5 8.6
Mississippi 4 - 14 12 - 19 22.5 52.5 22.1 2.9
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 14 - 17 35.9 46.2 17.2 0.6
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 18 47.4 40.4 11.2 1.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 99.9% 95.2 4.0 0.7 0.0
Arkansas 4.1% 0.1 3.4 0.7 0.0
Vanderbilt
Alabama 1.4% 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.0
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kentucky
Texas
Georgia
Texas A&M
Auburn
Missouri
Oklahoma
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 43.8% 56.2% 1   34.2 46.6 15.4 3.6 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 5   1.0 4.4 13.7 27.1 33.9 16.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 8.1% 91.8% 5   0.5 3.3 12.1 23.4 36.4 19.6 4.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Alabama 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 4   1.7 7.4 21.0 30.1 27.5 10.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 11.8% 88.1% 5   1.0 3.8 11.0 23.4 34.6 20.2 5.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Kentucky 95.3% 3.0% 92.3% 6   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 12.4 25.7 26.1 13.4 6.6 4.8 3.4 0.0 4.7 95.2%
Texas 76.8% 1.8% 75.0% 10   0.0 0.2 1.3 5.4 11.7 13.4 12.7 14.4 16.7 1.1 23.2 76.4%
Georgia 90.9% 1.5% 89.4% 8   0.1 0.2 1.9 8.6 18.9 22.1 19.3 14.0 5.7 0.1 9.1 90.7%
Texas A&M 86.3% 2.1% 84.3% 9   0.0 0.1 0.2 1.5 6.2 16.2 21.7 20.1 14.7 5.6 0.1 13.7 86.0%
Auburn 58.2% 0.9% 57.4% 11   0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.3 5.0 6.7 9.8 27.9 3.6 0.1 41.8 57.9%
Missouri 66.8% 0.6% 66.2% 10   0.1 0.9 5.8 13.7 19.3 17.6 9.3 0.1 33.2 66.6%
Oklahoma 2.1% 0.2% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 97.9 1.9%
LSU 1.0% 0.1% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 99.0 1.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.0 0.4 6.0 29.3 44.7 19.3 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 9.5 0.0 1.0 11.7 38.1 38.5 10.6 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 6.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 8.6 24.4 34.4 22.1 7.6 1.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.3 0.3 3.8 18.5 34.6 28.3 11.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Elite Eight 88.0% 1.5 12.0 40.3 34.4 11.4 1.8 0.1 0.0
Final Four 58.4% 0.7 41.6 46.6 11.0 0.8 0.0
Final Game 31.4% 0.3 68.6 29.7 1.8
Champion 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.8

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.5% 82.1% 57.2% 34.4% 19.8% 10.5%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.2% 49.2% 19.2% 8.1% 3.1% 1.2%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 88.6% 46.6% 18.0% 7.9% 2.9% 0.9%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.8% 51.1% 19.8% 7.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 87.6% 45.2% 17.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Kentucky 95.3% 3.1% 94.0% 61.0% 20.1% 7.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Texas 76.8% 16.7% 70.1% 37.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Georgia 90.9% 5.0% 88.6% 48.0% 11.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas A&M 86.3% 4.9% 84.0% 44.4% 9.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Auburn 58.2% 31.1% 45.4% 20.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 66.8% 8.2% 62.3% 24.1% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 2.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%