Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
3 Florida 100.0%   2   24 - 6 15 - 2 +25.6      +12.4 8 +13.2 4 75.0 30 +21.3 9 +25.0 1
13 Tennessee 99.9%   5   21 - 9 11 - 6 +18.6      +8.3 38 +10.2 13 64.3 293 +17.7 22 +18.3 4
15 Alabama 100.0%   4   22 - 8 12 - 5 +18.5      +14.0 2 +4.5 58 80.9 4 +19.8 13 +19.6 2
17 Vanderbilt 100.0%   5   23 - 7 10 - 7 +18.0      +10.9 15 +7.1 31 72.3 81 +18.0 20 +15.7 9
18 Arkansas 100.0%   5   21 - 8 11 - 5 +18.0      +13.0 6 +5.1 46 75.6 24 +18.7 17 +18.4 3
22 Kentucky 98.3%   6   19 - 11 10 - 7 +15.9      +8.6 32 +7.3 28 69.9 138 +16.0 25 +17.1 5
25 Georgia 98.2%   7   21 - 9 9 - 8 +15.6      +11.5 10 +4.1 69 77.3 16 +15.8 26 +15.4 10
27 Texas 91.6%   7   17 - 11 9 - 7 +15.3      +12.5 7 +2.8 96 66.6 234 +14.5 37 +16.0 8
33 Texas A&M 88.5%   8   20 - 10 10 - 7 +14.5      +8.6 35 +5.9 41 75.9 23 +14.4 38 +16.8 6
37 Auburn 37.7%   16 - 14 7 - 10 +13.7      +11.2 13 +2.4 106 68.7 173 +13.0 42 +11.4 11
44 Oklahoma 8.6%   16 - 14 6 - 11 +12.5      +10.1 20 +2.3 107 66.7 233 +10.9 55 +10.2 12
46 Missouri 70.2%   11   20 - 10 10 - 7 +11.7      +7.8 41 +3.9 74 66.8 228 +14.9 32 +16.2 7
59 LSU 0.0%   15 - 15 3 - 14 +9.6      +7.3 45 +2.3 113 67.3 214 +8.1 74 +4.0 16
74 Mississippi 0.0%   12 - 18 4 - 13 +8.0      +4.3 81 +3.7 76 65.8 257 +6.2 90 +7.6 14
93 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 17 5 - 12 +6.0      +3.1 97 +3.0 89 71.8 95 +7.3 86 +8.9 13
97 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 18 3 - 14 +5.5      +2.6 105 +3.0 90 66.1 245 +3.9 109 +5.3 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 27 Texas 76 33 Texas A&M 70   
Sat, Feb 28 15 Alabama 71 13 Tennessee 69   
Sat, Feb 28 37 Auburn 79 74 Mississippi 85   
Sat, Feb 28 59 LSU 67 44 Oklahoma 83   
Sat, Feb 28 25 Georgia 87 97 South Carolina 68   
Sat, Feb 28 22 Kentucky 91 17 Vanderbilt 77   
Sat, Feb 28 18 Arkansas 77 3 Florida 111   
Sat, Feb 28 93 Mississippi St. 64 46 Missouri 88   
Tue, Mar 3 74 Mississippi 86 17 Vanderbilt 89   
Tue, Mar 3 15 Alabama 88 25 Georgia 98   
Tue, Mar 3 37 Auburn 88 59 LSU 74   
Tue, Mar 3 22 Kentucky 85 33 Texas A&M 96   
Tue, Mar 3 46 Missouri 64 44 Oklahoma 80   
Tue, Mar 3 97 South Carolina 59 13 Tennessee 78   
Tue, Mar 3 3 Florida 108 93 Mississippi St. 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 18 Arkansas 89 27 Texas 83 71%   
Sat, Mar 7 13 Tennessee 76 17 Vanderbilt 73 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 15 Alabama 94 37 Auburn 86 77%   
Sat, Mar 7 3 Florida 82 22 Kentucky 75 74%   
Sat, Mar 7 44 Oklahoma 78 27 Texas 83 71%   
Sat, Mar 7 18 Arkansas 85 46 Missouri 81 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 59 LSU 80 33 Texas A&M 82 57%   
Sat, Mar 7 74 Mississippi 74 97 South Carolina 69 70%   
Sat, Mar 7 25 Georgia 88 93 Mississippi St. 81 74%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.1 89.7 10.3
Arkansas 2.5 54.9 37.8 7.3
Tennessee 3.5 8.3 37.2 54.5
Texas A&M 5.2 2.3 22.9 41.5 17.8 11.9 3.3 0.3
Missouri 5.6 4.0 17.0 26.0 24.9 20.4 6.8 0.8
Vanderbilt 5.5 4.0 32.9 9.7 25.2 20.6 6.7 0.9
Kentucky 6.0 1.1 10.9 24.8 27.1 25.3 9.5 1.3
Texas 6.7 3.0 10.2 15.3 21.0 20.1 8.3 6.9 15.3
Georgia 7.6 6.9 22.8 26.0 13.8 9.3 21.2
Auburn 11.0 100.0
Oklahoma 11.8 22.4 77.6
Mississippi St. 12.8 18.5 81.5
Mississippi 13.5 50.7 49.3
LSU 15.0 13.1 69.3 17.7
South Carolina 15.0 30.7 39.5 29.8

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 16 - 2 25 - 6 27.1 72.9
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 23.5 76.5
Arkansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 11.3 44.3 44.5
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 36.9 63.1
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 42.9 57.1
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 62.6 37.4
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 23 - 8 63.1 36.9
Kentucky 10 - 8 19 - 12 72.9 27.1
Texas 10 - 8 18 - 12 21.0 57.7 21.3
Georgia 10 - 8 22 - 9 26.6 73.4
Auburn 7 - 11 16 - 15 76.5 23.5
Oklahoma 6 - 12 16 - 15 70.9 29.1
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 18 73.4 26.6
Mississippi 5 - 13 13 - 18 30.7 69.3
LSU 3 - 15 15 - 16 57.1 42.9
South Carolina 3 - 15 12 - 19 69.3 30.7

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Arkansas
Tennessee
Texas A&M
Missouri
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Texas
Georgia
Auburn
Oklahoma
Mississippi St.
Mississippi
LSU
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 52.4% 47.6% 2   36.3 58.1 5.3 0.4 100.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 9.8% 90.1% 5   0.2 3.4 14.3 25.3 32.0 18.9 5.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Alabama 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 4   0.8 12.3 31.2 31.9 19.3 4.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 4.9% 95.0% 5   0.0 1.9 10.2 19.8 35.7 26.1 5.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 10.0% 90.0% 5   0.3 5.3 16.9 25.7 30.4 16.4 4.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Kentucky 98.3% 2.3% 96.0% 6   0.1 0.9 3.0 13.1 27.1 30.9 16.6 5.4 1.2 0.0 1.7 98.2%
Georgia 98.2% 2.4% 95.9% 7   0.0 0.3 1.0 7.6 24.4 33.8 20.5 8.4 2.0 0.2 1.8 98.2%
Texas 91.6% 2.2% 89.4% 7   0.0 0.3 1.2 6.7 16.7 22.6 17.4 12.2 9.1 5.4 0.1 8.4 91.4%
Texas A&M 88.5% 1.9% 86.6% 8   0.1 0.2 1.3 5.4 15.9 23.5 23.0 15.1 4.1 0.0 11.5 88.2%
Auburn 37.7% 0.8% 36.9% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 6.0 22.5 3.4 0.1 62.3 37.2%
Oklahoma 8.6% 0.5% 8.1% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 6.1 1.3 0.0 91.4 8.1%
Missouri 70.2% 0.5% 69.7% 11   0.1 0.5 3.4 12.1 19.6 22.6 11.9 0.1 29.8 70.1%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.9 0.1 2.8 24.4 50.4 21.4 0.9
1st Round 100.0% 9.7 0.3 5.1 34.2 47.8 12.4 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 7.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 6.3 19.3 32.4 28.3 10.9 1.7 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.9% 3.5 0.2 2.9 14.3 32.1 31.6 14.8 3.6 0.5 0.0
Elite Eight 91.0% 1.6 9.0 38.9 36.3 13.5 2.1 0.2 0.0
Final Four 62.8% 0.8 37.2 49.8 12.1 0.9 0.0
Final Game 34.3% 0.4 65.7 32.6 1.7
Champion 17.1% 0.2 82.9 17.1

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.7% 86.2% 65.7% 43.7% 25.4% 14.2%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 88.6% 48.4% 17.7% 6.8% 2.3% 0.7%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.8% 55.8% 21.6% 8.1% 2.7% 0.8%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 85.9% 44.6% 15.4% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 88.5% 47.9% 16.8% 6.3% 2.2% 0.7%
Kentucky 98.3% 0.0% 98.3% 65.2% 21.2% 7.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Georgia 98.2% 0.2% 98.1% 61.6% 18.3% 6.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas 91.6% 5.6% 89.4% 53.5% 15.3% 5.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 88.5% 4.0% 86.7% 45.1% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Auburn 37.7% 26.6% 26.4% 11.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 8.6% 7.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 70.2% 12.2% 63.8% 24.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%