Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Florida 100.0%   1   21 - 6 12 - 2 +23.7      +11.1 13 +12.6 3 74.3 41 +20.0 13 +23.5 1
15 Vanderbilt 99.9%   5   21 - 6 8 - 6 +18.6      +10.4 16 +8.2 20 73.1 66 +17.9 21 +15.1 9
16 Arkansas 99.9%   5   20 - 7 10 - 4 +18.5      +13.2 4 +5.3 50 74.6 37 +18.5 17 +18.2 4
17 Tennessee 100.0%   5   20 - 8 10 - 5 +18.4      +8.4 34 +10.0 13 64.9 274 +18.3 19 +19.2 3
19 Alabama 100.0%   4   20 - 7 10 - 4 +18.4      +13.8 2 +4.6 59 82.0 2 +19.7 14 +19.3 2
23 Kentucky 95.5%   6   18 - 10 9 - 6 +15.8      +7.9 41 +7.9 24 69.7 141 +15.9 28 +17.2 6
30 Texas 80.2%   9   16 - 10 8 - 6 +15.0      +12.7 6 +2.3 109 67.1 223 +13.7 42 +15.2 8
32 Georgia 91.6%   8   19 - 8 7 - 7 +14.7      +10.3 18 +4.4 64 79.0 9 +15.1 31 +14.5 10
34 Texas A&M 88.9%   8   19 - 8 9 - 5 +14.6      +8.7 30 +5.8 41 75.3 26 +14.8 37 +17.9 5
37 Auburn 55.4%   11   15 - 13 6 - 9 +13.9      +11.2 11 +2.7 98 68.7 172 +13.8 41 +12.3 11
46 Missouri 67.5%   10   19 - 9 9 - 6 +11.4      +8.0 38 +3.4 84 66.9 229 +15.1 32 +16.6 7
51 Oklahoma 2.5%   14 - 14 4 - 11 +11.1      +9.7 20 +1.4 132 66.9 230 +9.6 57 +8.2 13
53 LSU 0.5%   14 - 13 2 - 12 +10.2      +7.3 48 +2.9 95 67.3 218 +8.1 75 +2.7 16
76 Mississippi 0.1%   11 - 16 3 - 11 +7.7      +3.6 89 +4.1 67 65.7 256 +6.1 92 +7.5 14
77 Mississippi St. 0.1%   13 - 14 5 - 9 +7.6      +3.9 82 +3.8 73 71.4 101 +8.0 76 +10.0 12
91 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 16 3 - 12 +6.0      +2.6 108 +3.4 83 66.8 232 +4.2 101 +5.9 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 21 17 Tennessee 69 15 Vanderbilt 65   
Sat, Feb 21 37 Auburn 75 23 Kentucky 74   
Sat, Feb 21 16 Arkansas 94 46 Missouri 86   
Sat, Feb 21 51 Oklahoma 71 34 Texas A&M 75   
Sat, Feb 21 19 Alabama 90 53 LSU 83   
Sat, Feb 21 32 Georgia 91 30 Texas 80   
Sat, Feb 21 77 Mississippi St. 89 91 South Carolina 97   
Sat, Feb 21 4 Florida 94 76 Mississippi 75   
Tue, Feb 24 46 Missouri 73 17 Tennessee 69   
Tue, Feb 24 23 Kentucky 72 91 South Carolina 63   
Tue, Feb 24 37 Auburn 79 51 Oklahoma 91   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 25 32 Georgia 83 15 Vanderbilt 90 75%   
Wed, Feb 25 16 Arkansas 90 34 Texas A&M 83 75%   
Wed, Feb 25 4 Florida 84 30 Texas 78 71%   
Wed, Feb 25 53 LSU 73 76 Mississippi 74 52%   
Wed, Feb 25 19 Alabama 95 77 Mississippi St. 81 90%   
Sat, Feb 28 19 Alabama 81 17 Tennessee 84 62%   
Sat, Feb 28 16 Arkansas 80 4 Florida 88 78%   
Sat, Feb 28 23 Kentucky 79 15 Vanderbilt 78 51%   
Sat, Feb 28 30 Texas 82 34 Texas A&M 85 60%   
Sat, Feb 28 53 LSU 80 51 Oklahoma 78 58%   
Sat, Feb 28 77 Mississippi St. 77 46 Missouri 78 53%   
Sat, Feb 28 37 Auburn 81 76 Mississippi 72 81%   
Sat, Feb 28 32 Georgia 87 91 South Carolina 75 86%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 98.5 1.2 0.3 0.0
Vanderbilt 6.0 2.8 7.7 13.1 19.3 18.4 16.1 10.1 7.0 5.2 0.3
Arkansas 2.8 5.7 43.7 29.4 10.8 6.5 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.1
Tennessee 3.2 0.6 37.5 25.7 22.0 9.6 3.2 1.2 0.4
Alabama 2.6 4.1 56.9 20.7 13.0 4.0 0.9 0.2 0.1
Kentucky 6.3 1.1 4.5 10.8 18.7 17.6 19.7 14.3 10.1 3.3
Texas 7.3 0.7 2.7 5.2 10.6 12.7 17.4 17.4 20.0 12.3 1.0
Georgia 8.3 0.2 2.0 4.6 9.6 15.0 16.5 22.0 26.1 4.0 0.2
Texas A&M 5.0 0.1 8.5 14.2 17.4 24.1 14.4 10.3 5.6 4.1 1.5
Auburn 10.6 0.0 0.4 2.1 7.1 20.9 67.2 2.2 0.1
Missouri 6.2 1.7 5.3 8.8 17.5 20.5 22.4 13.6 8.3 1.9
Oklahoma 12.8 0.1 3.4 37.3 37.4 18.4 3.4 0.1
LSU 14.5 0.5 7.0 15.3 20.4 32.8 24.1
Mississippi 13.7 0.0 2.6 16.8 25.4 31.7 13.7 9.7
Mississippi St. 12.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 10.4 68.4 17.5 2.1
South Carolina 14.8 0.1 2.6 8.0 21.2 37.7 30.3

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 15 - 3 24 - 7 0.2 3.2 17.6 42.3 36.7
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 23 - 8 2.4 14.5 34.9 35.2 13.0
Arkansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 2.4 14.8 37.1 37.2 8.6
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 3.3 21.5 44.7 30.6
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 0.9 10.4 34.2 39.4 15.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 19 - 12 20.2 41.5 30.6 7.7
Texas 10 - 8 18 - 12 9.2 34.1 36.1 17.5 3.2
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 2.4 18.2 40.3 31.8 7.4
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 6.7 25.9 37.3 24.7 5.3
Auburn 8 - 10 17 - 14 4.4 28.1 52.6 14.9
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 19.3 41.8 31.0 7.9
Oklahoma 5 - 13 15 - 16 18.0 43.8 30.7 7.5
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 10.0 30.1 35.8 20.1 4.1
Mississippi 5 - 13 13 - 18 10.9 35.4 37.4 14.4 1.9
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 14 - 17 30.4 45.3 21.4 2.8 0.1
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 18 48.5 39.3 11.2 1.1

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 98.5% 91.3 5.8 1.3 0.2
Vanderbilt
Arkansas 5.7% 0.9 3.6 1.1 0.1
Tennessee 0.6% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2
Alabama 4.1% 0.4 2.5 1.1 0.2
Kentucky
Texas
Georgia
Texas A&M 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Auburn
Missouri
Oklahoma
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 42.2% 57.8% 1   28.1 42.8 21.0 7.0 1.0 0.1 100.0%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 8.4% 91.5% 5   0.8 3.2 11.3 21.4 31.6 23.1 6.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Arkansas 99.9% 12.2% 87.7% 5   1.0 3.8 12.0 24.3 31.7 20.1 5.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Tennessee 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 5   1.0 4.0 12.1 24.4 31.9 20.0 5.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 4   1.9 6.9 19.6 28.4 27.3 13.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 95.5% 3.2% 92.2% 6   0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 10.8 23.2 27.4 15.3 7.4 4.9 3.3 0.1 4.6 95.3%
Texas 80.2% 2.4% 77.8% 9   0.0 0.1 0.4 2.6 8.0 14.7 15.3 12.6 12.9 12.8 0.7 19.8 79.7%
Georgia 91.6% 2.1% 89.5% 8   0.0 0.2 0.4 3.0 10.2 20.1 21.8 18.5 12.1 5.2 0.1 8.5 91.4%
Texas A&M 88.9% 2.7% 86.2% 8   0.1 0.1 0.5 2.5 8.0 18.4 22.6 19.1 12.7 5.0 0.0 11.1 88.6%
Auburn 55.4% 1.1% 54.3% 11   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.1 4.7 6.4 9.5 26.9 3.1 0.1 44.6 54.9%
Missouri 67.5% 0.5% 67.0% 10   0.0 0.1 0.8 5.0 13.7 19.7 17.9 10.1 0.1 32.5 67.3%
Oklahoma 2.5% 0.2% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 97.6 2.3%
LSU 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.4%
Mississippi 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.0 0.4 5.2 28.1 44.8 21.1 0.3
1st Round 100.0% 9.5 0.0 0.9 10.0 36.3 41.0 11.8 0.1
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 8.1 23.9 33.3 24.1 7.9 0.9 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.3 0.3 4.6 18.4 34.2 28.2 11.7 2.4 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 87.0% 1.5 13.0 39.1 33.8 11.9 2.1 0.1 0.0
Final Four 56.9% 0.7 43.1 44.9 11.0 0.9 0.0
Final Game 30.7% 0.3 69.3 29.0 1.7
Champion 14.4% 0.1 85.6 14.4

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.4% 79.6% 53.8% 32.4% 18.6% 9.8%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 87.0% 46.3% 19.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.2%
Arkansas 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 87.9% 46.3% 18.7% 7.9% 3.1% 1.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 88.0% 46.3% 17.8% 7.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.6% 49.9% 19.7% 8.3% 3.1% 1.0%
Kentucky 95.5% 3.1% 94.3% 60.3% 19.6% 7.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Texas 80.2% 13.2% 75.2% 42.2% 11.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgia 91.6% 4.9% 89.3% 49.8% 11.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas A&M 88.9% 4.6% 86.9% 47.2% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Auburn 55.4% 29.8% 43.2% 20.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 67.5% 9.4% 62.5% 24.1% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%