Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Florida 100.0%   2   20 - 6 11 - 2 +23.2      +10.9 15 +12.3 4 73.5 59 +19.5 16 +23.1 1
11 Vanderbilt 100.0%   3   21 - 4 8 - 4 +19.2      +11.0 14 +8.2 20 73.3 63 +20.1 13 +17.5 6
17 Arkansas 99.9%   4   19 - 6 9 - 3 +18.5      +12.1 6 +6.4 35 75.5 28 +18.9 17 +18.9 3
18 Alabama 99.8%   5   18 - 7 8 - 4 +18.2      +13.2 4 +5.1 51 83.0 1 +18.9 18 +18.0 4
19 Tennessee 99.7%   5   18 - 7 8 - 4 +18.0      +8.4 32 +9.6 14 65.3 270 +18.2 20 +19.2 2
25 Kentucky 95.2%   6   17 - 9 8 - 5 +15.7      +9.0 27 +6.7 33 69.1 164 +16.2 27 +17.9 5
27 Texas 86.5%   8   16 - 9 8 - 5 +15.3      +12.2 5 +3.1 87 68.2 192 +14.0 40 +15.9 8
28 Auburn 74.2%   10   14 - 11 5 - 7 +15.0      +11.3 12 +3.7 73 68.8 174 +14.7 35 +13.2 11
33 Texas A&M 81.7%   9   17 - 8 7 - 5 +14.6      +8.8 30 +5.8 42 75.8 26 +13.7 43 +16.8 7
37 Georgia 85.6%   9   18 - 8 6 - 7 +14.1      +9.4 23 +4.7 57 79.7 8 +14.5 36 +13.7 10
50 Oklahoma 5.5%   13 - 12 3 - 9 +11.0      +9.4 24 +1.6 130 67.6 213 +9.3 59 +7.5 14
55 Missouri 42.5%   17 - 8 7 - 5 +10.6      +7.3 47 +3.3 79 67.1 227 +13.7 42 +15.2 9
56 LSU 1.2%   14 - 12 2 - 11 +10.1      +7.3 46 +2.8 97 67.5 216 +8.3 72 +2.8 16
74 Mississippi St. 0.3%   12 - 13 4 - 8 +7.7      +2.8 103 +4.9 53 71.1 113 +7.8 78 +9.9 12
75 Mississippi 0.1%   11 - 14 3 - 9 +7.7      +3.7 87 +4.0 66 65.2 271 +6.4 85 +8.0 13
92 South Carolina 0.0%   11 - 15 2 - 11 +5.6      +2.5 107 +3.1 84 66.0 252 +3.3 109 +4.9 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 14 33 Texas A&M 69 11 Vanderbilt 82   
Sat, Feb 14 55 Missouri 68 27 Texas 85   
Sat, Feb 14 56 LSU 63 19 Tennessee 73   
Sat, Feb 14 4 Florida 92 25 Kentucky 83   
Sat, Feb 14 37 Georgia 78 50 Oklahoma 94   
Sat, Feb 14 17 Arkansas 88 28 Auburn 75   
Sat, Feb 14 18 Alabama 89 92 South Carolina 75   
Sat, Feb 14 74 Mississippi St. 90 75 Mississippi 78   
Tue, Feb 17 17 Arkansas 0 18 Alabama 0   
Tue, Feb 17 37 Georgia 86 25 Kentucky 78   
Tue, Feb 17 56 LSU 85 27 Texas 88   
Tue, Feb 17 4 Florida 76 92 South Carolina 62   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Feb 18 18 Alabama 95 17 Arkansas 92 60%   
Wed, Feb 18 50 Oklahoma 70 19 Tennessee 80 83%   
Wed, Feb 18 55 Missouri 76 11 Vanderbilt 82 71%   
Wed, Feb 18 75 Mississippi 72 33 Texas A&M 82 82%   
Wed, Feb 18 28 Auburn 80 74 Mississippi St. 76 66%   
Sat, Feb 21 19 Tennessee 73 11 Vanderbilt 78 66%   
Sat, Feb 21 28 Auburn 81 25 Kentucky 78 59%   
Sat, Feb 21 37 Georgia 88 27 Texas 86 57%   
Sat, Feb 21 50 Oklahoma 82 33 Texas A&M 83 52%   
Sat, Feb 21 17 Arkansas 87 55 Missouri 76 85%   
Sat, Feb 21 18 Alabama 90 56 LSU 85 69%   
Sat, Feb 21 74 Mississippi St. 72 92 South Carolina 73 54%   
Sat, Feb 21 4 Florida 80 75 Mississippi 68 88%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.1 89.5 9.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 3.9 2.0 18.5 27.1 20.3 14.6 8.5 4.9 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2
Arkansas 2.6 18.8 40.1 19.9 11.7 5.3 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama 3.2 8.5 33.8 20.5 18.2 10.0 5.1 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1
Tennessee 3.9 2.1 19.4 25.4 19.6 16.4 9.5 4.3 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
Kentucky 6.1 0.2 2.1 6.6 12.3 17.8 19.0 18.0 11.9 7.2 3.6 1.3
Texas 6.5 0.1 1.6 4.6 9.1 15.1 18.7 20.2 14.7 9.5 4.7 1.7 0.0
Auburn 9.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 6.6 11.2 15.5 19.9 19.3 19.3 3.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
Texas A&M 6.3 0.1 2.2 6.1 12.1 17.3 18.2 15.8 13.7 8.2 4.5 1.8 0.1
Georgia 8.8 0.1 1.1 3.3 6.4 11.7 15.9 20.9 21.4 17.4 1.7 0.2 0.0
Oklahoma 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 6.7 35.1 27.0 17.9 7.6 1.9
Missouri 8.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.8 7.5 11.6 16.1 20.1 19.0 15.1 1.1 0.1
LSU 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 11.4 17.1 21.5 31.6 17.5
Mississippi St. 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.0 10.1 45.2 24.7 11.0 2.3 0.3
Mississippi 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.7 21.7 27.7 27.5 13.4 6.3
South Carolina 15.0 0.0 0.2 4.4 8.5 15.2 29.9 41.7

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 15 - 3 24 - 7 0.0 0.7 5.8 22.2 40.4 30.9
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 25 - 6 0.3 2.6 10.2 23.6 31.7 23.8 7.9
Arkansas 13 - 6 23 - 9 0.2 2.1 9.3 22.1 29.9 24.2 10.5 1.7
Alabama 12 - 7 22 - 10 0.0 1.3 5.9 16.8 26.6 27.7 17.2 4.6
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 0.3 2.4 10.3 24.7 32.3 23.2 6.7
Kentucky 10 - 8 19 - 12 3.9 17.8 31.8 29.7 13.9 2.8
Texas 10 - 8 18 - 12 5.1 22.3 34.8 25.9 10.2 1.7
Auburn 9 - 9 18 - 13 0.3 3.2 12.6 26.7 32.6 20.0 4.4
Texas A&M 10 - 8 20 - 11 0.8 6.0 18.6 30.1 27.8 14.1 2.7
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 1.3 10.4 28.4 35.5 20.5 3.9
Oklahoma 5 - 13 15 - 16 5.0 18.7 30.4 27.4 14.1 3.9 0.5
Missouri 9 - 9 19 - 12 10.3 26.5 31.6 20.7 8.5 2.2 0.2
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 7.5 25.2 33.2 23.9 8.9 1.3
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 14 - 17 10.9 29.3 33.1 19.8 6.1 0.7 0.0
Mississippi 5 - 13 13 - 18 8.4 29.3 36.1 19.6 5.7 0.8 0.1
South Carolina 3 - 15 12 - 19 18.1 37.7 30.2 11.3 2.5 0.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 89.5% 72.3 14.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 2.0% 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
Arkansas 18.8% 7.6 9.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Alabama 8.5% 1.9 5.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 2.1% 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Auburn
Texas A&M 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Georgia
Oklahoma
Missouri 0.0% 0.0
LSU
Mississippi St.
Mississippi
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 39.3% 60.7% 2   26.0 40.2 23.5 8.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 3   3.9 13.3 27.4 26.6 18.6 8.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Arkansas 99.9% 12.9% 87.0% 4   1.4 5.5 18.0 25.6 26.4 15.7 5.6 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Alabama 99.8% 11.4% 88.3% 5   1.4 5.2 15.9 23.9 25.9 17.8 6.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.2 99.7%
Tennessee 99.7% 10.3% 89.4% 5   0.9 3.2 11.1 19.9 27.2 22.2 10.5 3.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 99.6%
Kentucky 95.2% 3.7% 91.5% 6   0.0 0.1 1.0 3.6 13.4 21.4 24.5 15.5 8.0 4.9 2.8 0.0 4.8 95.0%
Texas 86.5% 3.2% 83.3% 8   0.0 0.3 1.1 4.7 11.4 18.5 19.0 13.8 10.2 7.4 0.1 13.5 86.0%
Auburn 74.2% 1.8% 72.3% 10   0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.3 6.4 10.5 12.7 12.3 13.1 15.7 0.5 25.8 73.7%
Texas A&M 81.7% 2.3% 79.4% 9   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.5 11.1 17.5 20.2 17.4 8.8 0.1 18.3 81.3%
Georgia 85.6% 1.3% 84.3% 9   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 5.7 13.1 19.9 20.1 15.8 8.7 0.1 14.4 85.4%
Oklahoma 5.5% 0.1% 5.4% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 3.7 0.2 94.5 5.4%
Missouri 42.5% 0.4% 42.1% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2 4.2 9.0 13.0 14.6 0.2 57.5 42.2%
LSU 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.1 98.8 1.2%
Mississippi St. 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.3%
Mississippi 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.7 0.0 0.5 7.2 30.7 43.6 17.4 0.6
1st Round 100.0% 9.4 0.1 1.1 12.2 37.8 38.4 10.3 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 8.1 23.5 34.0 23.9 7.6 1.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.8% 3.4 0.3 3.6 17.8 33.3 29.6 12.4 2.6 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 87.5% 1.5 12.5 38.7 33.5 13.0 2.2 0.2 0.0
Final Four 56.7% 0.7 43.3 44.5 11.3 0.9 0.0
Final Game 29.2% 0.3 70.8 27.7 1.5
Champion 13.3% 0.1 86.7 13.3

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.1% 78.4% 51.6% 29.7% 16.2% 8.5%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.2% 56.9% 25.3% 11.0% 4.4% 1.6%
Arkansas 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 88.5% 48.2% 19.2% 8.1% 3.1% 1.1%
Alabama 99.8% 0.1% 99.7% 86.7% 46.1% 18.3% 7.5% 2.8% 0.9%
Tennessee 99.7% 0.1% 99.6% 84.0% 42.5% 16.5% 6.7% 2.4% 0.8%
Kentucky 95.2% 2.6% 94.2% 61.9% 20.0% 7.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Texas 86.5% 7.0% 83.8% 49.2% 13.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Auburn 74.2% 15.6% 68.1% 37.9% 10.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 81.7% 8.1% 78.2% 40.7% 9.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Georgia 85.6% 8.0% 82.0% 42.7% 9.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Oklahoma 5.5% 3.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 42.5% 14.0% 34.8% 12.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%