Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
10 Vanderbilt 99.2%   3   11 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 12 - 6 +18.2      +10.5 11 +7.8 16 74.6 54 +22.9 10 0.0 1
13 Florida 93.7%   4   7 - 4 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.8      +8.2 33 +9.6 10 74.1 64 +13.4 40 0.0 1
15 Tennessee 93.7%   5   8 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +17.5      +8.2 32 +9.3 12 66.8 257 +14.6 33 0.0 1
16 Alabama 96.6%   3   8 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.4      +12.9 2 +4.5 58 83.2 6 +19.1 14 0.0 1
19 Georgia 88.2%   6   10 - 1 0 - 0 23 - 8 11 - 7 +15.9      +9.3 19 +6.6 28 84.7 3 +14.6 34 0.0 1
20 Kentucky 74.1%   7   7 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 13 10 - 8 +15.7      +7.7 35 +8.0 15 73.2 80 +9.8 64 0.0 1
21 Arkansas 90.8%   5   9 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +15.6      +9.2 20 +6.5 30 74.2 63 +18.6 15 0.0 1
28 Auburn 80.1%   6   8 - 3 0 - 0 19 - 12 10 - 8 +14.4      +10.1 13 +4.2 64 69.7 178 +18.5 16 0.0 1
35 LSU 66.4%   9   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 10 9 - 9 +12.8      +7.2 42 +5.6 37 70.4 161 +16.3 25 0.0 1
40 Texas 44.6%   11   7 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 14 8 - 10 +12.4      +8.2 31 +4.1 67 68.7 202 +8.2 73 0.0 1
45 Texas A&M 31.6%   8 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.2      +6.7 51 +4.5 60 76.1 40 +7.1 88 0.0 1
47 Oklahoma 45.3%   10   8 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.0      +8.5 25 +2.5 96 69.4 185 +12.5 50 0.0 1
50 Missouri 37.8%   10 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +10.9      +8.3 29 +2.6 94 70.3 164 +9.3 68 0.0 1
60 Mississippi 13.4%   7 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 16 6 - 12 +9.0      +4.6 72 +4.4 61 65.6 283 +4.9 102 0.0 1
85 Mississippi St. 4.1%   6 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 18 5 - 13 +6.6      +4.0 81 +2.6 95 70.0 171 +4.2 113 0.0 1
86 South Carolina 2.4%   7 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 17 5 - 13 +6.3      +2.5 112 +3.8 70 65.4 289 +1.5 146 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 16 14 Louisville 62 15 Tennessee 83   
Tue, Dec 16 37 Clemson 68 86 South Carolina 61   
Tue, Dec 16 201 LIU Brooklyn 83 85 Mississippi St. 87   
Tue, Dec 16 21 Arkansas 108 211 Queens 80   
Tue, Dec 16 316 Le Moyne 53 40 Texas 95   
Tue, Dec 16 343 UMKC 67 47 Oklahoma 89   
Wed, Dec 17 76 Memphis 70 10 Vanderbilt 77   
Wed, Dec 17 16 Alabama 104 83 South Florida 93   
Wed, Dec 17 281 Alabama A&M 66 60 Mississippi 80   
Wed, Dec 17 13 Florida 102 363 St. Francis (PA) 61   
Thu, Dec 18 19 Georgia 112 301 Western Carolina 82   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Dec 19 35 LSU 82 272 SE Louisiana 61 97%   
Sat, Dec 20 20 Kentucky 78 18 St. John's 80 56%   
Sat, Dec 20 21 Arkansas 69 8 Houston 73 66%   
Sat, Dec 20 28 Auburn 73 7 Purdue 79 72%   
Sat, Dec 20 76 Memphis 74 85 Mississippi St. 76 58%   
Sun, Dec 21 29 North Carolina St. 78 60 Mississippi 73 70%   
Sun, Dec 21 10 Vanderbilt 82 52 Wake Forest 77 69%   
Sun, Dec 21 16 Alabama 101 156 Kennesaw St. 84 94%   
Sun, Dec 21 179 Colgate 64 13 Florida 86 97%   
Sun, Dec 21 298 East Texas A&M 67 45 Texas A&M 88 97%   
Sun, Dec 21 362 Gardner-Webb 57 15 Tennessee 93 100%   
Mon, Dec 22 12 Illinois 84 50 Missouri 77 75%   
Mon, Dec 22 19 Georgia 96 312 West Georgia 69 99%   
Mon, Dec 22 35 LSU 90 327 Prairie View 65 98%   
Mon, Dec 22 47 Oklahoma 89 346 Stetson 63 98%   
Mon, Dec 22 40 Texas 82 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 55 99%   
Mon, Dec 22 86 South Carolina 83 360 South Carolina St. 59 98%   
Tue, Dec 23 274 Bellarmine 64 20 Kentucky 89 98%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Vanderbilt 3.9 26.0 17.0 13.1 10.2 8.1 6.5 5.1 4.2 3.2 2.3 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
Florida 4.2 23.0 16.4 12.6 10.4 8.6 7.1 6.0 4.4 3.5 2.8 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
Tennessee 4.9 16.7 13.7 12.2 10.8 9.4 8.1 7.0 5.8 4.8 3.7 3.0 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
Alabama 4.5 19.3 15.4 12.6 10.8 9.4 8.0 6.3 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
Georgia 5.5 12.6 11.9 11.2 10.6 9.3 8.6 7.7 6.9 5.8 4.7 3.6 2.7 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3
Kentucky 6.5 8.1 8.4 8.8 8.9 9.2 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.3 6.7 5.4 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.1 0.5
Arkansas 5.8 11.2 10.8 10.7 10.1 9.5 8.7 7.6 6.9 6.1 5.4 4.4 3.4 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.4
Auburn 7.1 6.3 7.2 7.9 8.2 8.6 8.4 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.4 6.4 5.2 4.2 3.0 1.8 0.9
LSU 8.0 3.6 5.1 6.2 6.7 7.5 8.1 8.4 8.5 8.1 8.2 7.4 6.9 5.9 4.6 3.1 1.5
Texas 8.7 2.5 3.7 4.6 5.5 6.6 7.4 8.0 8.4 8.6 8.9 8.6 8.1 7.4 5.9 4.0 2.0
Texas A&M 9.7 1.2 2.2 3.2 3.9 5.2 6.0 6.9 7.8 8.5 9.4 9.8 9.7 9.0 8.2 6.1 3.1
Oklahoma 9.7 1.6 2.4 3.5 4.2 5.1 5.9 6.7 7.3 8.2 8.9 9.3 9.4 9.1 8.3 6.4 3.8
Missouri 9.8 1.4 2.4 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.7 6.6 7.3 8.1 8.9 9.5 9.8 9.4 8.4 6.2 4.2
Mississippi 11.6 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.9 5.1 6.5 7.7 9.1 10.9 12.1 13.2 12.7 9.3
Mississippi St. 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.8 6.4 8.4 11.4 14.8 19.8 22.6
South Carolina 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.9 5.3 7.8 10.5 15.4 22.0 27.2




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.4 7.0 10.2 13.3 15.2 15.6 13.1 9.1 5.3 2.0 0.5
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.9 7.8 11.5 14.0 15.2 14.4 12.1 8.2 4.6 1.8 0.4
Tennessee 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.1 6.9 10.0 12.8 15.3 15.1 12.8 9.5 5.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.2 5.6 8.9 12.8 14.5 15.5 14.0 11.0 7.2 3.4 1.1 0.2
Georgia 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.4 8.7 11.7 13.8 14.9 14.1 11.1 7.7 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
Kentucky 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 5.0 8.0 11.1 13.7 15.1 14.1 11.5 8.3 5.1 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0
Arkansas 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.7 6.4 9.3 12.3 13.9 14.3 13.3 10.4 7.1 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
Auburn 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.5 6.2 9.6 12.4 14.4 14.3 12.5 10.5 6.9 4.0 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
LSU 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 5.7 8.3 11.5 13.4 14.6 13.5 11.1 8.0 5.0 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Texas 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.9 7.0 10.3 13.0 14.7 14.3 12.7 9.4 6.1 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 5.9 9.2 12.6 14.6 15.2 13.8 10.2 6.9 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.3 6.1 9.5 12.5 14.4 14.0 12.8 10.3 7.1 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Missouri 8 - 10 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 6.4 9.7 12.5 14.6 14.3 12.7 9.7 6.8 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 6 - 12 0.2 1.4 3.6 7.3 11.4 14.9 15.2 14.5 12.0 8.6 5.4 2.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 1.1 4.2 9.4 13.6 16.4 16.1 13.7 10.4 7.0 4.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 5 - 13 1.6 5.6 11.2 15.7 17.5 16.3 12.9 8.9 5.3 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vanderbilt 26.0% 15.9 6.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida 23.0% 13.7 6.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 16.7% 9.3 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama 19.3% 10.9 5.7 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgia 12.6% 6.6 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 8.1% 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas 11.2% 5.7 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
Auburn 6.3% 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
LSU 3.6% 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas 2.5% 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 1.2% 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.6% 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 1.4% 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vanderbilt 99.2% 17.6% 81.6% 3   11.7 21.6 23.0 16.6 11.2 7.0 3.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 99.1%
Florida 93.7% 15.1% 78.6% 4   3.9 9.1 15.3 16.5 15.1 11.9 8.8 5.2 2.9 2.6 2.3 0.1 0.0 6.3 92.6%
Tennessee 93.7% 13.4% 80.3% 5   3.5 8.2 13.5 15.9 15.3 12.9 9.7 5.9 3.5 2.9 2.2 0.1 6.3 92.8%
Alabama 96.6% 13.9% 82.7% 3   5.7 12.6 18.6 18.0 14.9 10.7 6.4 3.4 2.3 2.0 1.8 0.1 3.4 96.0%
Georgia 88.2% 8.9% 79.3% 6   1.3 3.6 8.0 11.4 13.0 13.4 12.2 9.6 6.9 5.4 3.3 0.1 0.0 11.8 87.0%
Kentucky 74.1% 7.7% 66.3% 7   0.7 2.5 5.9 8.7 11.0 10.7 10.0 7.3 5.9 5.5 5.5 0.3 0.0 26.0 71.9%
Arkansas 90.8% 8.1% 82.7% 5   1.9 5.6 11.8 14.2 15.3 13.4 9.9 6.7 4.5 3.8 3.6 0.2 0.0 9.2 90.0%
Auburn 80.1% 5.2% 74.9% 6   0.9 2.9 7.5 10.3 12.3 12.4 9.4 6.6 5.5 5.3 6.5 0.5 0.0 19.9 79.0%
LSU 66.4% 3.0% 63.4% 9   0.2 0.6 2.0 4.0 6.3 8.5 9.9 10.3 9.4 8.4 6.6 0.2 33.6 65.4%
Texas 44.6% 2.3% 42.3% 11   0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.4 5.1 6.9 7.8 6.8 6.1 5.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 55.4 43.3%
Texas A&M 31.6% 1.4% 30.2% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.6 6.2 6.7 5.4 0.2 68.4 30.7%
Oklahoma 45.3% 1.4% 43.9% 10   0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.6 4.4 6.9 9.0 8.0 6.7 5.8 0.2 54.8 44.5%
Missouri 37.8% 1.3% 36.6% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.4 5.1 6.9 7.1 6.9 5.3 0.2 62.2 37.0%
Mississippi 13.4% 0.5% 12.9% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 86.6 13.0%
Mississippi St. 4.1% 0.1% 3.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.0 96.0 3.9%
South Carolina 2.4% 0.1% 2.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 97.6 2.3%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vanderbilt 99.2% 0.6% 99.0% 87.9% 55.2% 26.9% 12.0% 5.2% 2.0%
Florida 93.7% 2.5% 92.8% 76.9% 43.4% 19.7% 8.7% 3.7% 1.4%
Tennessee 93.7% 2.6% 92.8% 75.2% 41.5% 18.7% 8.2% 3.5% 1.4%
Alabama 96.6% 2.1% 95.8% 80.4% 46.2% 20.5% 8.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Georgia 88.2% 3.9% 86.6% 62.9% 29.8% 12.1% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Kentucky 74.1% 6.2% 71.7% 51.6% 23.1% 9.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
Arkansas 90.8% 4.1% 89.1% 67.0% 32.2% 12.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Auburn 80.1% 7.4% 76.9% 53.4% 22.9% 8.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
LSU 66.4% 7.4% 62.9% 37.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas 44.6% 6.6% 41.6% 24.0% 7.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas A&M 31.6% 6.1% 28.6% 14.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 45.3% 6.5% 42.0% 21.4% 5.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 37.8% 6.0% 34.8% 17.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 13.4% 3.2% 11.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 4.1% 1.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 2.4% 0.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.6 0.1 1.9 11.7 31.7 34.9 16.5 3.0 0.2 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.0 0.3 3.5 17.4 36.0 30.1 11.0 1.6 0.1 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.1 11.4 25.5 31.4 20.4 6.5 1.1 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.5% 3.3 0.5 5.1 19.5 32.7 27.5 11.7 2.5 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 82.9% 1.4 17.1 39.8 31.1 10.3 1.6 0.1 0.0
Final Four 47.9% 0.6 52.1 39.1 8.2 0.7 0.0
Final Game 21.8% 0.2 78.2 20.8 1.1
Champion 8.5% 0.1 91.5 8.5