Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Vanderbilt 100.0%   2   14 - 0 1 - 0 26 - 5 13 - 5 +20.4      +11.7 7 +8.7 14 74.3 53 +25.3 8 +24.9 7
12 Alabama 99.2%   3   11 - 3 1 - 0 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18.6      +13.8 2 +4.9 58 81.5 8 +20.5 14 +27.8 4
14 Florida 91.1%   5   9 - 5 0 - 1 20 - 11 11 - 7 +17.6      +8.1 30 +9.6 9 73.1 77 +12.3 47 -2.8 15
17 Tennessee 91.3%   6   10 - 4 0 - 1 20 - 11 10 - 8 +17.0      +7.6 37 +9.4 10 67.6 230 +13.7 37 +4.0 11
20 Georgia 93.4%   6   13 - 1 1 - 0 23 - 8 11 - 7 +16.2      +9.7 18 +6.6 33 85.2 2 +17.3 23 +26.6 5
21 Arkansas 94.4%   4   11 - 3 1 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +16.2      +10.2 15 +6.0 37 76.3 37 +17.8 19 +29.2 3
23 Kentucky 76.0%   7   9 - 5 0 - 1 18 - 13 9 - 9 +15.6      +7.8 35 +7.8 22 71.6 116 +12.2 48 +6.4 9
29 Auburn 73.1%   7   9 - 5 0 - 1 18 - 13 9 - 9 +14.4      +10.5 14 +3.9 73 69.6 177 +15.9 29 +4.0 10
38 LSU 65.9%   9   12 - 2 0 - 1 20 - 11 8 - 10 +13.1      +7.7 36 +5.4 51 69.7 171 +14.7 34 +0.1 13
43 Texas A&M 49.4%   11   11 - 3 1 - 0 19 - 12 9 - 9 +12.3      +6.8 49 +5.5 48 79.2 15 +10.3 62 +25.3 6
44 Oklahoma 55.7%   10   11 - 3 1 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.9      +9.4 22 +2.6 95 68.4 214 +12.5 44 +20.4 8
46 Texas 25.6%   8 - 5 0 - 1 15 - 15 7 - 11 +11.6      +8.6 26 +3.0 88 70.8 141 +4.9 98 -9.6 16
56 Missouri 28.1%   11 - 3 1 - 0 17 - 14 7 - 11 +9.4      +7.5 41 +2.0 107 69.6 178 +12.4 45 +29.8 1
64 Mississippi St. 15.1%   9 - 5 1 - 0 15 - 16 7 - 11 +8.6      +4.9 71 +3.7 76 70.6 149 +8.3 78 +29.8 2
70 Mississippi 4.4%   8 - 6 0 - 1 13 - 18 5 - 13 +8.2      +3.3 95 +4.9 57 65.4 287 +4.1 107 -0.3 14
88 South Carolina 1.6%   9 - 5 0 - 1 13 - 18 4 - 14 +6.7      +3.7 87 +3.0 89 64.4 307 +1.7 138 +2.2 12




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Jan 3 21 Arkansas 86 17 Tennessee 75   
Sat, Jan 3 29 Auburn 100 20 Georgia 104   
Sat, Jan 3 14 Florida 74 56 Missouri 76   
Sat, Jan 3 64 Mississippi St. 101 46 Texas 98   
Sat, Jan 3 38 LSU 72 43 Texas A&M 75   
Sat, Jan 3 44 Oklahoma 86 70 Mississippi 70   
Sat, Jan 3 12 Alabama 89 23 Kentucky 74   
Sat, Jan 3 88 South Carolina 71 7 Vanderbilt 83   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Jan 6 12 Alabama 87 7 Vanderbilt 92 68%   
Tue, Jan 6 14 Florida 87 20 Georgia 83 67%   
Tue, Jan 6 29 Auburn 86 43 Texas A&M 81 69%   
Tue, Jan 6 17 Tennessee 80 46 Texas 72 79%   
Tue, Jan 6 38 LSU 78 88 South Carolina 68 81%   
Wed, Jan 7 64 Mississippi St. 77 44 Oklahoma 78 51%   
Wed, Jan 7 23 Kentucky 83 56 Missouri 74 81%   
Wed, Jan 7 21 Arkansas 79 70 Mississippi 74 68%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Vanderbilt 2.5 45.9 19.5 11.6 7.7 5.1 3.6 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Alabama 3.5 26.3 20.4 15.1 10.7 7.9 6.0 4.3 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida 5.2 11.4 13.6 13.0 11.7 10.3 9.1 8.0 6.2 5.1 3.8 3.0 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.2
Tennessee 6.0 7.6 9.4 10.4 11.5 10.5 10.0 9.1 7.9 6.5 5.3 4.3 3.1 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3
Georgia 4.9 13.1 14.5 13.4 12.2 9.8 8.7 6.9 5.9 4.6 3.8 2.8 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
Arkansas 4.9 13.2 14.5 13.9 12.1 10.2 8.2 7.2 5.7 4.5 3.3 2.6 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
Kentucky 7.2 4.0 5.9 7.8 8.5 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.0 8.5 7.6 6.6 5.0 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.7
Auburn 7.7 3.3 4.9 6.5 7.9 8.5 9.1 9.3 9.1 9.0 7.9 7.2 5.9 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.0
LSU 8.7 1.6 3.2 4.7 6.0 6.9 8.2 8.4 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.8 7.9 6.4 5.2 3.3 2.1
Texas A&M 8.2 2.0 3.7 5.3 6.6 7.5 8.8 8.9 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.0 7.4 5.7 4.4 2.6 1.1
Oklahoma 8.7 2.0 3.5 4.7 5.9 6.7 7.9 8.2 8.8 8.5 8.7 8.6 8.1 7.1 5.7 3.8 1.7
Texas 10.7 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.5 5.7 6.4 7.4 8.7 9.8 10.8 10.9 11.5 8.9 5.8
Missouri 10.6 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.7 3.6 4.8 5.5 6.8 8.0 8.7 9.7 10.9 11.1 10.6 8.5 5.3
Mississippi St. 11.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.8 4.6 5.8 7.1 8.2 10.0 11.4 11.8 11.6 10.7 7.5
Mississippi 12.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1 3.1 3.9 5.7 7.0 9.7 12.5 15.5 18.8 18.1
South Carolina 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.3 3.7 4.6 6.9 10.1 14.5 21.2 32.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vanderbilt 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.3 9.5 13.3 16.8 17.6 15.6 10.6 5.1 1.3
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.8 9.6 13.9 16.6 17.0 14.7 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.4
Florida 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.4 11.3 15.0 16.5 15.3 12.5 8.2 4.1 1.4 0.2
Tennessee 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.5 6.5 10.1 13.9 16.3 16.3 13.3 9.2 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
Georgia 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.2 7.3 10.5 14.0 15.6 15.9 12.8 9.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
Arkansas 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.9 6.7 10.4 13.9 16.1 15.5 13.3 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
Kentucky 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 5.9 9.6 13.6 15.9 16.3 13.9 9.6 5.9 2.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
Auburn 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.2 7.3 11.1 14.4 15.6 15.4 12.2 8.8 4.8 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0
LSU 8 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.2 6.2 9.8 14.1 15.3 15.7 13.1 10.0 6.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 5.0 9.1 13.3 15.8 15.9 14.5 10.8 6.6 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.6 6.6 10.8 13.3 15.2 14.6 13.3 9.4 5.9 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
Texas 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.6 8.4 12.4 15.2 15.9 14.1 11.0 7.5 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Missouri 7 - 11 0.3 1.4 4.1 7.9 12.3 15.5 16.1 14.3 11.4 7.7 4.7 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 0.4 2.2 5.5 10.1 13.9 16.5 16.0 13.4 9.5 6.4 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 5 - 13 0.5 2.3 6.7 11.7 15.8 18.0 15.9 12.3 8.2 4.7 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 1.5 5.8 11.3 16.8 18.3 17.0 12.7 8.1 4.7 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vanderbilt 45.9% 31.5 10.7 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
Alabama 26.3% 15.6 7.6 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
Florida 11.4% 5.5 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Tennessee 7.6% 3.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Georgia 13.1% 6.9 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 13.2% 6.7 4.4 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Kentucky 4.0% 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Auburn 3.3% 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
LSU 1.6% 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 2.0% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 2.0% 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0
Texas 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 0.5% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vanderbilt 100.0% 26.4% 73.5% 2   26.5 35.5 21.9 9.4 3.9 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 99.2% 17.4% 81.8% 3   8.3 19.0 25.4 19.2 12.5 6.8 3.5 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.8 99.1%
Florida 91.1% 11.4% 79.7% 5   1.4 5.2 11.9 15.0 15.2 13.6 10.4 6.7 4.6 3.8 3.2 0.2 8.9 90.0%
Tennessee 91.3% 9.2% 82.2% 6   1.3 4.2 10.4 14.2 15.9 14.0 11.3 7.3 4.8 4.1 3.6 0.2 8.7 90.5%
Georgia 93.4% 8.7% 84.7% 6   1.0 3.9 10.9 15.0 15.5 14.3 11.1 8.6 6.0 4.5 2.6 0.1 6.6 92.8%
Arkansas 94.4% 8.4% 86.0% 4   1.3 4.9 13.5 16.6 17.4 14.0 10.4 6.6 4.2 2.9 2.5 0.2 5.7 93.8%
Kentucky 76.0% 6.2% 69.8% 7   0.4 1.4 4.4 7.8 10.5 11.7 11.8 8.4 6.5 6.3 6.5 0.4 0.0 24.0 74.4%
Auburn 73.1% 4.2% 68.9% 7   0.2 1.0 4.2 7.3 10.0 11.0 10.3 7.7 6.5 6.9 7.7 0.5 0.0 26.9 71.9%
LSU 65.9% 2.6% 63.4% 9   0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 5.5 7.5 9.7 10.7 10.2 9.5 7.9 0.3 34.1 65.0%
Texas A&M 49.4% 2.1% 47.4% 11   0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.2 3.9 6.5 9.2 9.7 9.2 7.0 0.2 50.6 48.4%
Oklahoma 55.7% 1.5% 54.2% 10   0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.4 6.0 8.8 11.2 9.8 7.9 6.0 0.3 44.3 55.0%
Texas 25.6% 1.1% 24.5% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.9 3.4 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.6 0.3 74.4 24.8%
Missouri 28.1% 0.5% 27.6% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.3 4.7 5.9 5.9 5.4 0.3 0.0 71.9 27.8%
Mississippi St. 15.1% 0.3% 14.8% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 2.9 3.5 3.8 0.2 84.9 14.8%
Mississippi 4.4% 0.2% 4.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 0.1 95.6 4.3%
South Carolina 1.6% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.0 98.4 1.6%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 99.9% 96.1% 69.4% 40.0% 19.9% 9.2% 4.0%
Alabama 99.2% 0.8% 98.9% 88.7% 55.9% 26.9% 11.6% 4.9% 1.8%
Florida 91.1% 3.8% 89.8% 71.8% 37.9% 16.8% 7.0% 2.7% 1.0%
Tennessee 91.3% 4.2% 89.8% 69.4% 34.7% 14.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.7%
Georgia 93.4% 3.1% 92.1% 68.7% 32.2% 12.0% 4.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Arkansas 94.4% 2.9% 93.0% 71.6% 35.0% 13.2% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Kentucky 76.0% 7.5% 72.9% 51.0% 21.5% 8.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Auburn 73.1% 8.9% 69.4% 46.0% 17.9% 6.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
LSU 65.9% 8.9% 61.6% 34.7% 10.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas A&M 49.4% 8.1% 45.4% 23.7% 6.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 55.7% 6.9% 52.2% 26.9% 7.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Texas 25.6% 5.2% 23.3% 11.9% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 28.1% 6.3% 24.6% 10.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 15.1% 4.3% 12.7% 5.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 4.4% 1.6% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 1.6% 0.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.6 0.1 1.5 11.2 31.4 36.3 16.2 3.1 0.2 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.2 3.3 17.6 36.7 30.5 10.3 1.3 0.0 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.4 2.8 12.1 24.9 31.5 20.5 6.8 0.9 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.5% 3.3 0.5 4.5 18.3 33.2 28.1 12.4 2.8 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 85.8% 1.5 14.2 39.5 32.8 11.7 1.7 0.1
Final Four 51.0% 0.6 49.0 41.3 9.1 0.7 0.0
Final Game 23.6% 0.2 76.4 22.6 1.1
Champion 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2