Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
3 Florida 100.0%   1   25 - 6 16 - 2 +25.7      +12.6 7 +13.1 4 75.0 31 +21.8 6 +25.7 1
14 Alabama 100.0%   3   23 - 8 13 - 5 +18.7      +14.2 3 +4.5 58 80.6 4 +20.0 13 +19.8 2
16 Arkansas 100.0%   5   23 - 8 13 - 5 +18.5      +13.0 5 +5.5 42 75.9 23 +19.3 14 +19.4 3
17 Tennessee 99.9%   6   21 - 10 11 - 7 +18.4      +8.4 37 +10.0 14 64.6 283 +17.0 22 +17.4 4
18 Vanderbilt 100.0%   5   24 - 7 11 - 7 +18.3      +11.2 16 +7.1 27 72.6 71 +18.7 17 +16.7 7
24 Kentucky 99.1%   7   19 - 12 10 - 8 +15.9      +8.7 30 +7.3 24 69.7 137 +15.7 29 +16.8 6
26 Georgia 98.8%   7   22 - 9 10 - 8 +15.5      +11.9 9 +3.6 78 77.8 12 +16.0 28 +15.7 8
32 Texas A&M 91.3%   8   21 - 10 11 - 7 +14.5      +8.2 40 +6.3 37 75.7 24 +14.8 33 +17.2 5
33 Texas 79.1%   11   17 - 13 9 - 9 +14.4      +11.7 10 +2.7 101 67.3 211 +13.3 41 +14.5 10
37 Auburn 24.7%   16 - 15 7 - 11 +13.5      +11.3 15 +2.2 115 68.4 179 +12.9 42 +11.2 12
42 Oklahoma 28.3%   17 - 14 7 - 11 +12.9      +10.2 20 +2.7 99 66.7 229 +11.8 47 +11.3 11
47 Missouri 62.2%   10   20 - 11 10 - 8 +11.6      +7.7 42 +4.0 72 66.5 238 +14.3 37 +15.4 9
60 LSU 0.0%   15 - 16 3 - 15 +9.6      +6.9 49 +2.6 102 66.9 220 +7.7 79 +3.6 16
76 Mississippi 0.0%   12 - 19 4 - 14 +7.6      +3.5 90 +4.1 68 65.7 257 +5.2 98 +6.1 15
92 Mississippi St. 0.0%   13 - 18 5 - 13 +6.0      +3.4 93 +2.6 105 72.2 80 +6.9 85 +8.4 13
95 South Carolina 0.0%   13 - 18 4 - 14 +5.9      +2.2 115 +3.7 77 66.1 248 +5.2 99 +6.9 14


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Mar 7 16 Arkansas 88 47 Missouri 84   
Sat, Mar 7 42 Oklahoma 88 33 Texas 85   
Sat, Mar 7 60 LSU 91 32 Texas A&M 94   
Sat, Mar 7 26 Georgia 102 92 Mississippi St. 96   
Sat, Mar 7 17 Tennessee 82 18 Vanderbilt 86   
Sat, Mar 7 76 Mississippi 61 95 South Carolina 64   
Sat, Mar 7 3 Florida 84 24 Kentucky 77   
Sat, Mar 7 14 Alabama 96 37 Auburn 84   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 11 24 Kentucky 80 60 LSU 74 73%   
Wed, Mar 11 76 Mississippi 73 33 Texas 80 74%   
Wed, Mar 11 42 Oklahoma 78 95 South Carolina 71 75%   
Wed, Mar 11 37 Auburn 85 92 Mississippi St. 77 76%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 100.0
Alabama 2.0 100.0
Arkansas 2.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 4.0 100.0
Texas A&M 4.0 100.0
Tennessee 4.0 100.0
Georgia 7.0 100.0
Missouri 7.0 100.0
Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Texas 10.0 100.0
Oklahoma 11.0 100.0
Auburn 11.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 13.0 100.0
Mississippi 14.0 100.0
South Carolina 14.0 100.0
LSU 16.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 16 - 2 25 - 6 100.0
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 100.0
Arkansas 13 - 5 23 - 8 100.0
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 24 - 7 100.0
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 100.0
Tennessee 11 - 7 21 - 10 100.0
Georgia 10 - 8 22 - 9 100.0
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 100.0
Kentucky 10 - 8 20 - 12 100.0
Texas 9 - 9 18 - 13 100.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 18 - 14 100.0
Auburn 7 - 11 17 - 15 100.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 19 100.0
Mississippi 4 - 14 12 - 20 100.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 19 100.0
LSU 3 - 15 15 - 17 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 100.0% 100.0
Alabama
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Tennessee
Georgia
Missouri
Kentucky
Texas
Oklahoma
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Mississippi
South Carolina
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 52.3% 47.7% 1   48.0 48.9 3.0 0.1 100.0%
Alabama 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 3   1.1 14.6 33.1 32.2 16.2 2.7 0.1 100.0%
Arkansas 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 5   0.3 4.5 17.4 28.4 33.3 14.5 1.7 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 99.9% 5.7% 94.2% 6   0.0 1.2 5.6 12.9 28.1 33.8 15.9 2.3 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 5   0.1 2.4 15.5 28.8 36.9 15.1 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 99.1% 2.2% 96.9% 7   0.1 0.6 2.0 8.9 27.8 40.1 16.3 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 99.1%
Georgia 98.8% 2.2% 96.6% 7   0.0 0.2 1.2 7.3 24.9 39.5 20.3 4.9 0.5 0.0 1.2 98.8%
Texas A&M 91.3% 1.8% 89.5% 8   0.0 0.2 0.8 4.4 20.1 34.3 23.6 7.3 0.7 8.7 91.1%
Texas 79.1% 1.2% 77.9% 11   0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.8 9.3 15.3 27.0 18.1 0.4 20.9 78.8%
Auburn 24.7% 0.3% 24.4% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 2.6 17.3 3.6 0.1 75.3 24.5%
Oklahoma 28.3% 0.6% 27.7% 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 4.3 19.2 2.7 0.0 71.7 27.8%
Missouri 62.2% 0.2% 62.0% 10   0.0 0.1 0.8 5.3 16.0 26.6 13.2 0.1 37.8 62.1%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.0 0.2 4.7 28.7 46.0 18.7 1.7
1st Round 100.0% 9.5 0.0 0.5 9.7 40.4 40.1 8.9 0.4
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 8.2 22.7 33.7 25.8 7.1 0.9 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.8% 3.5 0.2 2.9 15.8 33.4 30.5 13.7 3.0 0.4 0.0
Elite Eight 90.9% 1.6 9.1 39.6 36.3 12.8 2.1 0.1 0.0
Final Four 65.2% 0.8 34.8 52.5 12.0 0.7 0.0
Final Game 36.0% 0.4 64.0 34.5 1.5
Champion 18.2% 0.2 81.8 18.2

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.6% 86.8% 65.8% 45.7% 27.0% 15.3%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 94.0% 56.5% 22.1% 7.8% 2.7% 0.8%
Arkansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.9% 49.9% 17.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Tennessee 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 82.2% 41.0% 15.6% 6.0% 2.0% 0.6%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 89.5% 48.5% 16.5% 6.7% 2.1% 0.5%
Kentucky 99.1% 0.0% 99.1% 65.9% 21.6% 7.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Georgia 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 62.6% 18.5% 6.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 91.3% 0.7% 90.9% 48.2% 9.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 79.1% 19.4% 71.2% 34.7% 8.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Auburn 24.7% 21.4% 15.9% 6.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 28.3% 22.3% 17.6% 6.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 62.2% 13.5% 55.0% 20.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%