Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.3 #139
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 #121
Pace 69.5 #165
Improvement +7.3 #5

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #215 C- C C C- B-
Defense #87 B- C C- A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #186 1.19 #139 +0.4 #162
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #319 0.65 #329 -3.4 #333
Three Pointers 48% #45 0.89 #334 +0.4 #157
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #249 -2.5 #249
Freethrows 0.27 #269 76% #78 0.21 #215
Second Chance 32.3% #133 1.03 #199 0.33 #142
Turnovers 16.6% #191
Total Offense -1.8 #215

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #272 1.09 #90 +3.1 #79
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #41 0.73 #130 -1.8 #319
Three Pointers 39% #250 1.02 #196 +1.1 #138
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #100 +2.4 #101
Freethrows 0.23 #18 70% #61 0.16 #15
Second Chance 31.9% #245 1.03 #154 0.33 #213
Turnovers 15.2% #254
Total Defense +3.1 #87

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.7% #69 -1.9% #45
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.6% #290 -3.0% #128
Possession Length 17.4 #173 17.4 #185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #123 0.17 #176
Improvement +2.2 #70 +5.0 #4

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.1 12.6
.500 or above 80.9% 91.6% 68.8%
.500 or above in Conference 80.3% 91.2% 68.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 36 - 48 - 12
Quad 49 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 316 Lafayette W 85 - 76 89% +6  1 - 0 -3 +6 D- A+ A- -9 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 8 201 Drexel W 76 - 65 75% +1  2 - 0 +5 +1 D D- C+ +4 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 59 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 15% -20  2 - 1 -23 -11 F C+ F -10 D D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 194 @Penn L 74 - 83 52% -1  2 - 2 -8 -4 C- F D -4 D- A- B
 Thu, Nov 20 125 @UNLV L 85 - 99 36% -4  2 - 3 -9 +4 C F B+ -11 C D- C-
 Sun, Nov 30 212 Princeton W 60 - 58 67% +1  3 - 3 -1 -6 F A+ F +5 C- D+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 147 Temple W 70 - 69 52% +2  4 - 3 +2 +4 D- B+ F+ -2 C- B- A-
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 98% +14  5 - 3 -1 +6 C- C- C+ -6 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 76 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 19% -2  5 - 4 +3 -4 F+ C C- +7 B+ C- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 357 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 95% +12  6 - 4 -1 -7 F+ C+ D +6 B+ D B-
 Mon, Dec 22 236 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 79% -2  6 - 5 -13 -14 F+ D- F+ +1 B- D C+
 Wed, Dec 31 26 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 7% -12  6 - 6 0 - 1 -5 +21 B- A+ A+ -28 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 136 Davidson L 56 - 62 60% +5  6 - 7 0 - 2 -7 -8 F+ C+ C- -0 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 122 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 57% -0  7 - 7 1 - 2 +6 +11 A C+ B -5 C- D C
 Sun, Jan 11 117 @Richmond W 67 - 65 33% +8  8 - 7 2 - 2 +8 -4 C- D+ C+ +11 A+ B F
 Wed, Jan 14 141 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 62% +4  9 - 7 3 - 2 +2 -4 D F D- +6 A+ B C
 Mon, Jan 19 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 13% -0  9 - 8 3 - 3 +6 +1 A- D+ F +6 A- C C-
 Sat, Jan 24 85 Dayton W 81 - 74 41% +3  10 - 8 4 - 3 +11 +7 C C+ A+ +3 B+ D- A-
 Tue, Jan 27 280 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 70% +20  11 - 8 5 - 3 +17 +14 A- A+ C +4 B- B- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 202 @La Salle W 69 - 68 53%
 Wed, Feb 4 65 George Washington L 75 - 79 35%
 Sat, Feb 7 86 @George Mason L 66 - 74 22%
 Tue, Feb 10 195 Fordham W 70 - 64 72%
 Wed, Feb 18 141 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 74 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 280 Loyola Chicago W 77 - 66 86%
 Wed, Feb 25 86 George Mason L 69 - 71 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 109 @Rhode Island L 67 - 72 31%
 Wed, Mar 4 136 @Davidson L 66 - 69 38%
 Sat, Mar 7 202 La Salle W 72 - 65 74%
Totals 16 - 13 10 - 8 +1 -2 C- C C +3 B- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.0 0.1 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.1 5.7 2.0 0.3 11.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 9.3 3.5 0.2 0.0 16.9 4th
5th 0.0 2.2 10.4 6.0 0.3 19.0 5th
6th 0.7 7.9 7.5 0.8 17.0 6th
7th 0.1 3.5 7.7 1.7 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.8 2.4 0.1 9.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 2.6 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.4 1.7 0.2 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 0.4 1.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 1.5 5.2 12.9 20.5 23.6 19.5 10.8 4.5 1.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 4.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 3.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 4.0% 4.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 1.3% 4.4% 4.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.2
13-5 4.5% 3.1% 3.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.4
12-6 10.8% 1.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.7
11-7 19.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 19.3
10-8 23.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.4
9-9 20.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.5
8-10 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 5.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 5.2
6-12 1.5% 1.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 12.3 99.2 0.0%