Auburn
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.5 37
Results Rating +12.8 43
Consistency 0.18 315
Pace 68.4 178
Improvement -3.6 308

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 15 B+ A- B A+ B
Defense C+ 115 C+ C+ B C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 77 B 64% 59 +4.8 32
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 294 A- 46% 20 -0.9 233
Three Pointers 43% 149 B- 36% 88 +2.3 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 58 B+ +4.9 41
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 32
Second Chance A 39.6% 7 C+ 1.07 116 A- 0.42 20
Opponents' Steals B- 8.7% 111
Other Turnovers A- 5.5% 17
Turnovers B 14.2% 37
Freethrows A 0.40 4 B 76% 64 A+ 0.30 4
Total Offense A +11.3 15

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 158 C 11.0% 182
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 177 B 2.9% 43
Three Pointers F+ 74% 344 C- 1.2% 266
Total C- 54% 215 C 5.6% 191


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 246 B- 54% 80 -2.4 100
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 108 C+ 37% 151 +0.6 235
Three Pointers 41% 184 D+ 36% 262 +1.0 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 107 C -0.5 155
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 145
Second Chance B- 28.4% 107 C 1.03 174 C+ 0.29 124
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.1% 26
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 274
Turnovers B 18.7% 64
Freethrows B- 0.28 107 C- 73% 234 C+ 0.20 113
Total Defense C+ +2.2 115

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 41% 44 A- 17.2% 26
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 186 B 7.2% 58
Three Pointers B 78% 41 C+ 1.1% 116
Total B- 51% 84 A- 8.4% 22

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 54 18.7 343
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 37 0.14 69
Consistency 0.10 19 0.13 226
Improvement -0.8 229 -2.8 309

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Longshot
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 43 39 32
Results Rating Rank 51 43 36
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25% 31% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24% 30% 3%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 11.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four22% 27% 3%
First Round15% 19% 2%
Second Round6% 7% 0%
Sweet Sixteen2% 2% 0%
Elite Eight0% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 13
Quad 24 - 28 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 239 Bethune-Cookman W 95 - 90 OT 96% +1  61% 1 - 0 C- -3 B +6 C- B B- F+ -9 F A- D
 Thu, Nov 6 171 Merrimack W 95 - 57 93% +18  92% 2 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +23 B A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ B- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 245 Wofford W 93 - 62 97% +19  95% 3 - 0 A +23 A- +10 B- A+ C A+ +13 A- A- A-
 Sun, Nov 16 5 Houston L 72 - 73 21% -3  11% 3 - 1 A +21 A- +11 C+ B+ A+ A +10 B+ A B+
 Wed, Nov 19 346 Jackson St. W 112 - 66 99% +26  94% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +19 A+ C- A- A- +7 D+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 83 Oregon W 84 - 73 73% +3  75% 5 - 1 A +18 A +13 C+ A+ A+ B +5 A F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 2 Michigan L 72 - 102 11% -21  3% 5 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 B C+ A+ F -12 B F D
 Wed, Nov 26 19 St. John's W 85 - 74 34% +0  45% 6 - 2 A+ +29 A+ +24 A+ A+ B+ B +5 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 36 North Carolina St. W 83 - 73 60% +5  82% 7 - 2 A +21 A- +10 A+ C F A +11 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 4 @Arizona L 68 - 97 9% -15  6% 7 - 3 C -1 B- +4 D B+ D C- -2 F C B+
 Sat, Dec 13 295 Chattanooga W 92 - 78 96% +7  95% 8 - 3 B- +6 A- +11 A A+ F D+ -5 C C F
 Sat, Dec 20 8 Purdue L 60 - 88 27% -13  3% 8 - 4 D+ -8 D -5 D+ F+ B D+ -5 D+ F A
 Mon, Dec 29 192 Queens W 106 - 65 95% +30  99% 9 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +18 A+ B- B- A+ +16 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 26 @Georgia L 100 - 104 OT 31% -1  26% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B+ +15 A+ +15 B+ B+ A- C+ +0 D+ B C-
 Tue, Jan 6 31 Texas A&M L 88 - 90 58% +0  43% 9 - 6 0 - 2 B +10 A +14 C+ A+ B- D+ -4 D- F A
 Sat, Jan 10 16 Arkansas W 95 - 73 42% +15  93% 10 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +37 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A+ +16 A+ A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 47 @Missouri L 74 - 84 46% -4  25% 10 - 7 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +6 C- A B C -1 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 96 South Carolina W 71 - 67 84% +5  88% 11 - 7 2 - 3 B- +7 C- -2 D+ F+ C A +9 B+ C A+
 Tue, Jan 20 76 @Mississippi W 78 - 66 61% +5  86% 12 - 7 3 - 3 A +23 A +13 D A+ A A +10 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 24 3 @Florida W 76 - 67 9% +8  93% 13 - 7 4 - 3 A+ +38 A+ +21 A+ C+ A- A+ +18 A A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 33 Texas W 88 - 82 58% -3  26% 14 - 7 5 - 3 A- +17 A+ +22 A+ C+ A+ D+ -4 F A B
 Sat, Jan 31 17 @Tennessee L 69 - 77 23% -8  0% 14 - 8 5 - 4 B+ +13 B +7 D+ A A- B+ +7 B A A
 Sat, Feb 7 14 Alabama L 92 - 96 41% +2  60% 14 - 9 5 - 5 B+ +12 A +14 A+ B+ A+ C- -2 D+ D A+
 Tue, Feb 10 18 Vanderbilt L 76 - 84 43% -7  1% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +7 A +13 C- A+ A+ D- -7 B F D
 Sat, Feb 14 16 @Arkansas L 75 - 88 22% -8  10% 14 - 11 5 - 7 B +8 A- +10 C- B A+ C- -2 D C+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 93 @Mississippi St. L 85 - 91 67% -7  12% 14 - 12 5 - 8 C+ +3 A+ +17 C A+ B F -14 F B F
 Sat, Feb 21 24 Kentucky W 75 - 74 52% -0  45% 15 - 12 6 - 8 B+ +14 B- +5 B B+ B- A +9 B+ C+ A
 Tue, Feb 24 42 @Oklahoma L 79 - 91 41% -9  1% 15 - 13 6 - 9 C+ +4 A +12 B+ A+ F F+ -9 F+ C C
 Sat, Feb 28 76 Mississippi L 79 - 85 80% -1  35% 15 - 14 6 - 10 C -1 A- +10 A+ C D- F -12 D- F C
 Tue, Mar 3 60 LSU W 88 - 74 75% +6  71% 16 - 14 7 - 10 A +21 A+ +17 A A+ B B +4 F+ B+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 14 @Alabama L 84 - 96 22% -16  0% 16 - 15 7 - 11 B +10 A +13 A+ C- F+ D+ -3 B F D+
 Wed, Mar 11 93 Mississippi St. W 85 - 77 77%
Totals 17 - 15 7 - 11 +13 A +11 A- B+ B C+ +2 B- B A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B A- B- B+ 42% 28% 43% B B+ A C+ A- B A B A+ C+ B- C+ D+ C 37% 23% 41% C+ C+ B- C C+ B B- C- C+
1.25 64% 46% 36% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .42 14% .40 76% .30 1.06 54% 37% 36% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .29 19% .28 73% .29
Nov
3		 Bethune-Cookman B D+ A+ F+ D 54% 7% 39% A- C- B+ C- B B- A+ C- A+ F+ D A+ F F 44% 21% 35% C- F B+ A- A- D A+ F A+
1.19 52% 50% 29% -6 +3 0.96 40% 1.1 .44 14% .55 71% .39 1.13 64% 23% 50% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.9 .21 16% .14 89% .12
Nov
6		 Merrimack A+ B+ A+ D- B+ 34% 21% 45% C- B A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ C+ B B- C+ F A D
1.41 63% 60% 29% +3 0 1.06 60% 1.2 .74 12% .62 73% .45 0.84 47% 17% 25% -14 +1 0.76 23% 0.9 .20 16% .42 71% .30
Nov
11		 Wofford A- C A+ B- B+ 35% 22% 44% D- B- A+ D- A+ C C- F D- A+ C+ C A+ A- 40% 20% 40% B A- A- B+ A- A- A+ F A+
1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20 0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14
Nov
16		 Houston A- D+ D+ C- C+ 36% 22% 42% C+ C+ A- C B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A B- F A B+ 28% 33% 39% B- B+ C A+ A B+ B+ F+ B
1.08 50% 30% 32% -6 0 0.89 35% 0.9 .33 12% .56 64% .36 1.09 60% 50% 29% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 15% .21 83% .18
Nov
19		 Jackson St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 5% 51% A- A+ D B- C- A- F+ B D A- B- F+ C+ D- 26% 39% 35% A+ D+ F+ A- C A+ F+ B- D-
1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23 0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26
Nov
24		 Oregon A A+ B F B- 34% 29% 38% C- C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ B A F A A 24% 11% 64% B- A F B- F A+ F D F
1.20 68% 44% 24% -1 -1 0.98 32% 1.3 .42 9% .36 83% .30 1.04 45% 60% 28% -7 0 0.89 48% 1.1 .52 26% .44 78% .35
Nov
25		 Michigan B+ F F A+ B- 33% 23% 44% B+ B B+ D C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B F D+ B 38% 5% 57% C+ B D- D- F D C+ F C-
1.01 35% 8% 43% -8 -1 0.85 30% 0.9 .26 11% .52 55% .29 1.44 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 44% 1.5 .67 13% .35 82% .29
Nov
26		 St. John's A+ A+ C A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C+ A+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B B A+ A A+ 44% 10% 46% D+ A F D F A+ F C- F
1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38 1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40
Dec
3		 North Carolina St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ C C+ C F A+ A+ A+ A C- B B A- 34% 16% 50% B A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ F A
1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38 1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
6		 Arizona B- F+ F F D 27% 29% 44% C+ D A+ C- B+ D A+ A+ A+ C- D F F F 46% 30% 25% C+ F B- D+ C B+ A+ C A+
0.92 43% 27% 26% -13 -2 0.73 36% 0.8 .29 20% .42 80% .34 1.31 69% 65% 43% +16 -1 1.33 38% 1.1 .41 17% .20 75% .15
Dec
13		 Chattanooga A- A+ A+ A- A+ 16% 26% 58% F A A+ C A+ F A+ A- A+ D+ A+ F D D+ 33% 31% 35% A- C A F C F D- F F
1.31 86% 55% 40% +14 -2 1.26 47% 1.1 .53 19% .65 78% .51 1.11 44% 53% 37% +2 -2 1.02 13% 1.8 .22 9% .31 85% .27
Dec
20		 Purdue D D+ A- F D+ 29% 25% 45% C+ D+ B+ F F+ B A- C B+ D+ F F D D+ 35% 18% 47% D+ D+ C- F F A A+ F B-
0.92 53% 46% 26% -5 -1 0.90 29% 0.5 .13 15% .29 69% .20 1.35 76% 56% 39% +13 0 1.29 39% 1.7 .65 17% .18 100% .18
Dec
29		 Queens A+ A F A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% C+ A+ A D- B- B- A+ D+ A A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 55% 18% 27% D A+ B F C- B+ F D+ F
1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33 0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +2 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35
Jan
3		 Georgia A+ B- A+ F B 47% 14% 40% A- B+ A+ D- B+ A- A+ D A+ C+ B- F D- D 41% 14% 45% C+ D+ A+ F B C- F B+ F
1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35 1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35
Jan
6		 Texas A&M A F A+ D C 41% 12% 47% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ D+ B+ F F F 37% 12% 52% B D- D+ F F A C- A+ B-
1.20 45% 83% 30% -2 +1 1.00 46% 1.3 .59 18% .52 74% .38 1.23 53% 83% 44% +11 +1 1.27 36% 1.3 .48 19% .34 65% .22
Jan
10		 Arkansas A+ A F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A A+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A D- A 35% 27% 38% A A+ A+ A- A+ A- D+ B C
1.33 68% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 2.0 .62 14% .39 71% .28 1.02 56% 29% 40% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.1 .25 15% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Missouri B C- D+ D D 40% 19% 40% B+ C- A- B+ A B A+ C- A+ C F+ D+ F F 49% 12% 40% D F A+ A- A+ C+ F C+ F
1.08 53% 33% 32% -5 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 16% .49 71% .35 1.23 71% 40% 47% +14 +2 1.35 27% 1.0 .27 19% .56 68% .38
Jan
17		 South Carolina C- B B- F F+ 52% 10% 38% A+ D+ C+ F F+ C A+ A- A+ A A C- C+ A 42% 14% 44% D- B+ F+ A C A+ D+ A+ B-
1.02 64% 40% 11% -10 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .16 16% .51 77% .39 0.96 48% 43% 32% -5 +1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 21% .36 65% .24
Jan
20		 Mississippi A A+ D F D- 40% 23% 38% B D A+ B A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- C- A 13% 42% 44% A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ D B
1.18 69% 33% 13% -8 0 0.85 42% 1.2 .48 14% .69 82% .56 1.00 14% 41% 35% -4 -5 0.85 22% 1.4 .30 9% .25 80% .20
Jan
24		 Florida A+ B A+ D+ A+ 50% 23% 27% A A+ B+ D+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ 43% 13% 45% B- A B- A+ A+ B- F A+ D
1.16 58% 55% 31% +3 +1 1.08 27% 0.6 .17 14% .37 90% .34 1.02 55% 17% 33% -5 +1 0.96 41% 0.6 .27 17% .50 59% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Texas A+ C A+ A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% A A+ C C+ C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ B F F F 31% 16% 53% C+ F A B- A B D D+ D-
1.38 56% 60% 50% +14 +1 1.32 24% 1.0 .24 5% .64 74% .48 1.29 57% 71% 46% +14 0 1.31 29% 1.1 .33 17% .44 78% .34
Jan
31		 Tennessee B C+ F F D- 39% 11% 50% A D+ B A+ A A- B+ B- B+ B+ F A+ D+ C+ 37% 37% 26% A+ B D+ A+ A A F F F
1.01 57% 17% 22% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.3 .37 15% .34 70% .24 1.12 75% 25% 36% +2 -2 1.02 49% 0.8 .37 22% .58 81% .47
Feb
7		 Alabama A A A+ C- A 43% 14% 43% A A+ A D+ B+ A+ A- A+ A C- C A+ F D 44% 17% 39% B- D+ A+ F D A+ D F F
1.23 64% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 38% 0.9 .35 7% .32 77% .24 1.29 63% 33% 48% +9 +1 1.22 25% 1.9 .46 19% .38 87% .33
Feb
10		 Vanderbilt A F F A+ D 51% 14% 35% A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ B A+ D- B- A+ F+ B+ 40% 14% 47% D+ B D+ F F D F F F
1.19 44% 0% 41% -9 +2 0.88 51% 1.2 .60 12% .48 78% .37 1.31 59% 17% 40% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .50 11% .53 87% .46
Feb
14		 Arkansas A- F B- C- C 38% 32% 30% D- C- A F B A+ A A A+ C- F A+ C- D 50% 15% 35% D- D A F C+ F A A A+
1.12 45% 41% 31% -5 -2 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 10% .33 75% .25 1.32 81% 25% 37% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 7% .24 67% .16
Feb
18		 Mississippi St. A+ F D- A+ C- 29% 25% 46% C+ C A+ A+ A+ B A+ A- A+ F F A F F 18% 31% 51% A+ F B B- B F C+ F D+
1.26 33% 31% 42% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.2 .50 12% .52 81% .42 1.35 80% 29% 54% +16 -3 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 9% .28 76% .21
Feb
21		 Kentucky B- C A+ F C 58% 8% 34% A+ B A+ C- B+ B- A+ A+ A+ A B D+ B A- 47% 20% 33% C- B+ F A+ C+ A B F C
1.06 55% 75% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 16% .40 83% .33 1.05 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 20% .30 82% .25
Feb
24		 Oklahoma A B+ D+ A- A- 32% 27% 41% D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F+ A- A+ F F 33% 31% 35% A F+ C C C C F B- F
1.19 64% 33% 39% +4 -1 1.07 45% 1.1 .52 21% .52 78% .40 1.37 50% 27% 71% +13 -2 1.25 34% 1.3 .44 14% .44 72% .31
Feb
28		 Mississippi A- B A+ B A+ 34% 16% 50% B+ A+ A- F C D- A+ C+ A+ F F B- D- D- 30% 28% 42% D D- B- F F C C+ C- C+
1.18 60% 71% 36% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 21% .51 70% .36 1.27 80% 36% 38% +8 -2 1.16 28% 1.8 .48 13% .29 76% .22
Mar
3		 LSU A+ A A+ C- A 41% 18% 41% B A C A+ A+ B A B+ A B D B F F 44% 22% 34% C+ F+ A+ F B+ A+ F B F
1.31 67% 56% 33% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.6 .45 13% .38 73% .27 1.10 67% 33% 50% +11 0 1.24 22% 1.6 .35 24% .51 73% .37
Mar
7		 Alabama A A+ A B- A+ 38% 25% 38% B- A+ C+ D C- F+ A A+ A+ D+ F+ F A+ B+ 53% 9% 38% D- B F D F D+ F+ A+ C-
1.18 70% 46% 35% +7 -1 1.15 28% 0.9 .25 18% .33 84% .27 1.35 71% 60% 20% +1 +2 1.09 50% 1.3 .63 11% .41 65% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 24.7% 0.3% 24.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.4 17.2 3.9 0.2 75.3 24.4%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.7% 0.3% 24.3% 11.0 75.3 24.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 7.0 9.1 18.2 45.5 18.2 6.1 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9% 88.0% 9.5 2.2 14.1 26.1 26.1 19.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.4% 75.3% 10.6 0.5 3.6 22.5 46.7 2.0
Lose Out 22.1% 3.1% 11.3 2.2 0.8 0.1