Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

Predictive Rating +8.3 70
Results Rating +9.0 66
Consistency 0.16 217
Pace 71.1 110
Improvement -1.0 225

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 65 B+ C- B+ B- C+
Defense B- 91 C+ B- C C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 73 B 64% 57 +5.0 27
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 164 B- 42% 59 +0.8 134
Three Pointers 37% 273 B 37% 63 -0.6 205
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 152 B+ +4.8 42
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 52
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 148 D+ 0.95 294 C- 0.30 200
Opponents' Steals B 8.0% 49
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 53
Turnovers B+ 14.1% 34
Freethrows B- 0.33 101 B- 75% 79 B- 0.25 74
Total Offense B +5.4 65

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 54% 87 B 8.6% 55
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 78 C+ 4.2% 127
Three Pointers A- 95% 7 A- 0.0% 2
Total B 61% 64 B 4.5% 59


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 203 B- 54% 77 -1.8 114
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 52 C- 39% 236 +2.0 331
Three Pointers 37% 296 C 34% 171 -2.2 87
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 74 C+ -1.3 130
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 120
Second Chance B 26.5% 52 C 1.04 189 B- 0.27 73
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 181
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 190
Turnovers C 16.7% 182
Freethrows C 0.30 183 C+ 72% 145 C 0.22 177
Total Defense B- +3.0 91

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 70 C+ 12.9% 94
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 85 C- 4.2% 209
Three Pointers C 84% 175 C+ 1.1% 114
Total B 50% 61 C+ 6.4% 119

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 60 17.7 256
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 19 0.14 84
Consistency 0.11 82 0.12 182
Improvement -5.4 353 +4.4 20

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 82 71 61
Results Rating Rank 85 67 58
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 12 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 1% 0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 11.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Utah (Away) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 11
Quad 25 - 46 - 14
Quad 37 - 113 - 15
Quad 44 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 148 Montana St. W 84 - 78 84% +1  54% 1 - 0 C+ +4 B+ +9 B+ C B+ D -5 F+ A C
 Sat, Nov 8 169 Eastern Washington W 102 - 97 OT 87% +1  61% 2 - 0 C +1 A +12 A- D+ A F -11 F A F
 Fri, Nov 14 59 Providence W 97 - 88 58% +4  95% 3 - 0 A- +15 B+ +9 B A C+ B+ +5 A A+ D+
 Mon, Nov 17 311 Alabama St. W 94 - 66 96% +19  99% 4 - 0 A- +16 A +13 A- C+ B B- +3 B C+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 176 UC Davis W 95 - 79 87% +6  92% 5 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +18 A+ B- A D -6 C F C-
 Thu, Nov 27 123 San Francisco W 79 - 69 70% +1  50% 6 - 0 B+ +13 B +6 B+ C- B+ A- +7 C+ C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 52 Washington W 81 - 68 41% +9  98% 7 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 A- A- C A+ +12 A+ B- F
 Mon, Dec 1 132 California Baptist W 78 - 70 82% -2  29% 8 - 0 B- +7 B +7 B B+ C C +0 B B C-
 Sat, Dec 6 91 @Colorado St. L 86 - 91 47% -4  15% 8 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +15 A+ C- A+ F -11 F A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 333 Texas San Antonio W 88 - 64 97% +10  85% 9 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 A F C B+ +6 C+ C+ A
 Wed, Dec 17 165 Portland St. W 84 - 73 86% +1  61% 10 - 1 B- +8 A- +10 B+ C- B- C- -2 B F C
 Sat, Dec 20 66 Stanford L 68 - 77 48% -3  35% 10 - 2 C -0 D+ -3 B- C+ F B- +3 A C- D
 Sun, Dec 28 163 Northern Colorado L 81 - 86 86% -2  15% 10 - 3 D -8 C- -0 D C- A+ D- -8 D- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 64 @Arizona St. W 95 - 89 36% +6  86% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A +18 A +12 B+ B B- B +5 B A- B
 Wed, Jan 7 100 Utah W 85 - 73 74% +6  99% 12 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +14 A- +9 B B- C- B +4 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 10 11 Texas Tech L 71 - 73 21% -9  24% 12 - 4 2 - 1 A- +15 B- +4 C+ C- A+ A +11 A A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 42 @Cincinnati L 68 - 77 23% -13  0% 12 - 5 2 - 2 B- +7 C+ +2 B+ C+ F+ B+ +5 C A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 53 @West Virginia L 61 - 72 31% -6  2% 12 - 6 2 - 3 C+ +2 B +7 C- C- A+ D -6 C- F C-
 Tue, Jan 20 18 Kansas L 69 - 75 26% -4  5% 12 - 7 2 - 4 B +9 B- +5 D+ B+ A+ B +4 B D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 49 Central Florida L 86 - 95 49% -3  37% 12 - 8 2 - 5 C -1 A +12 A+ D- A F -12 F A- B
 Thu, Jan 29 9 @Iowa St. L 67 - 97 9% -22  1% 12 - 9 2 - 6 D+ -7 B +6 B- F A+ F -13 F D C-
 Sun, Feb 1 48 TCU W 87 - 61 49% +13  90% 13 - 9 3 - 6 A+ +34 A+ +23 A+ A+ A+ A+ +13 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 47 @Baylor L 67 - 86 27% -17  2% 13 - 10 3 - 7 C- -4 C- -2 C+ F+ B C- -3 C- F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 64 Arizona St. W 78 - 70 59% +5  87% 14 - 10 4 - 7 B+ +14 A- +10 B A+ A B +5 A+ F D+
 Wed, Feb 11 11 @Texas Tech L 44 - 78 10% -17  1% 14 - 11 4 - 8 D- -11 F -18 D F F B- +3 A F A
 Sat, Feb 14 22 @BYU L 86 - 90 OT 15% -2  21% 14 - 12 4 - 9 A- +16 B- +4 B D- A+ A+ +12 C A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 71 Oklahoma St. W 83 - 69 62% +8  93% 15 - 12 5 - 9 A +19 B +6 B B- B- A+ +13 A+ A A+
 Wed, Feb 25 98 Kansas St. W 79 - 70 72% +9  85% 16 - 12 6 - 9 B +11 D -5 B F D A+ +15 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 6 @Houston L 62 - 102 7% -19  16% 16 - 13 6 - 10 F+ -15 C -0 B+ F+ C+ F -15 F C+ D+
 Tue, Mar 3 100 @Utah W 78 - 77 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 4 Arizona L 73 - 87 10%
Totals 17 - 14 7 - 11 +8 B +5 A+ B+ C+ B- +3 B B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B- B B+ 43% 39% 37% C+ B+ C+ D+ C- B+ B- B- B- B- B- C- C C+ 38% 25% 37% B- C+ B C B- C C C+ C
1.16 64% 42% 37% +5 0 1.13 32% 1.0 .30 14% .33 75% .25 1.04 54% 39% 34% -1 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .27 17% .30 72% .24
Nov
3
Montana St. B+ A- A+ F B+ 58% 20% 22% B B+ B+ F+ C B+ A+ F+ A+ D D F C F 40% 27% 33% D+ F+ A- A+ A C D D+ D
1.22 65% 56% 20% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.9 .32 13% .65 69% .45 1.13 62% 64% 35% +9 -1 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 16% .29 76% .22
Nov
8
Eastern Washington A D- A+ A+ B+ 52% 13% 36% B A- C D- D+ A A+ F+ A+ F D F F F 43% 29% 28% B F A+ D A F C+ C C+
1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39 1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21
Nov
14
Providence B+ C+ B C- C+ 60% 13% 27% A+ B B+ A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ C A+ A 43% 17% 40% C A A+ B- A+ D+ F C F
1.22 58% 43% 33% 0 +3 1.07 34% 1.3 .43 14% .40 85% .34 1.11 65% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.1 .25 13% .45 77% .35
Nov
17
Alabama St. A A+ A- B A- 44% 20% 36% C A- B+ D C+ B A+ B A+ B- A+ B F B 32% 28% 40% B+ B C+ C+ C+ D A A+ A+
1.33 75% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.24 39% 1.0 .39 16% .60 78% .47 0.93 22% 31% 43% -8 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .24 16% .20 58% .12
Nov
21
UC Davis A+ A- D A+ A+ 51% 22% 27% C A+ D A+ B- A B- A+ A D F B+ A C+ 41% 19% 41% D+ C B F F C- A+ F A+
1.36 68% 33% 60% +15 +1 1.33 27% 1.3 .35 14% .35 86% .30 1.13 73% 30% 27% 0 0 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 17% .16 100% .16
Nov
27
San Francisco B B- D- A+ B+ 45% 22% 33% B- B+ B- F+ C- B+ F F F A- A+ F C- C+ 34% 19% 47% C+ C+ B- C C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.15 62% 31% 42% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.9 .28 10% .13 63% .08 1.01 39% 70% 36% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 19% .23 54% .13
Nov
28
Washington A C F A+ B+ 43% 20% 36% A A- A C+ A- C A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A C+ A+ 40% 28% 32% C- A+ B+ C- B- F B+ F C
1.18 58% 22% 44% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 16% .55 72% .40 0.99 30% 31% 33% -13 -1 0.74 31% 1.1 .36 9% .24 93% .22
Dec
1
California Baptist B D- B+ A+ B 46% 24% 30% C+ B A C B+ C A+ B+ A+ C C A A+ A- 64% 13% 23% F B B+ C+ B C- F D+ F
1.15 48% 45% 43% +1 0 1.04 36% 0.9 .33 15% .53 77% .41 1.03 53% 29% 17% -10 +3 0.87 33% 0.9 .28 16% .42 75% .32
Dec
6
Colorado St. A+ A+ A A- A+ 56% 11% 33% A+ A+ D- A+ C- A+ F+ F F F F B F F 20% 17% 63% A- F A+ B A+ D+ B- C+ B-
1.28 77% 50% 39% +14 +2 1.35 20% 1.4 .28 9% .21 54% .11 1.36 73% 33% 50% +17 -1 1.35 22% 1.0 .22 16% .30 76% .23
Dec
13
Texas San Antonio C+ C A+ A+ A 58% 9% 33% A A A F F C C F C- B+ A C+ D C 38% 31% 31% A- C+ D+ A- C+ A D+ A+ B
1.22 59% 80% 44% +10 +3 1.27 46% 0.5 .22 15% .28 65% .18 0.88 43% 35% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 22% .28 50% .14
Dec
17
Portland St. A- B- A+ F+ B+ 44% 21% 35% C+ B+ B F C- B- A A+ A+ C- C+ C+ A- B- 44% 28% 28% A- B B F F C D- C- D
1.18 61% 55% 28% +1 0 1.06 34% 0.8 .28 17% .44 85% .37 1.02 55% 36% 29% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .48 20% .35 70% .24
Dec
20
Stanford D+ A+ A F B- 41% 27% 33% C B- D+ A C+ F F A+ D+ B- A F B+ A 50% 14% 36% C A C- C C- D F B+ F
0.97 70% 46% 19% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.3 .30 26% .25 92% .23 1.09 45% 50% 31% -6 +2 0.93 36% 1.0 .36 13% .67 68% .46
Dec
28
Northern Colorado C- D F+ C+ C- 38% 29% 32% F+ D B F C- A+ F A+ D- D- A- F F F+ 42% 21% 38% C+ D- B F C- C+ D D+ D-
1.11 52% 32% 33% -5 -1 0.91 32% 0.9 .28 7% .22 93% .21 1.18 50% 55% 50% +9 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .31 18% .28 76% .22
Jan
3
Arizona St. A A+ C- B- A- 36% 34% 30% D- B+ A D B B- A+ A+ A+ B F A- A+ B 35% 23% 42% B B B- A+ A- B D- D+ D-
1.18 71% 38% 36% +5 -2 1.09 41% 0.9 .38 19% .58 84% .49 1.11 75% 31% 25% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 17% .41 78% .32
Jan
7
Utah A- C+ A+ C- B 44% 12% 44% B+ B A D- B- C- A+ A+ A+ B A C+ A+ A+ 53% 30% 17% B A+ D+ D D F D- B D
1.22 59% 67% 32% +2 +2 1.10 38% 0.8 .32 16% .36 90% .32 1.04 46% 38% 22% -9 0 0.83 33% 1.1 .36 10% .37 70% .25
Jan
10
Texas Tech B- D+ B D- C 37% 27% 35% B C+ D- B C- A+ A A+ A+ A D+ A+ D+ A 32% 23% 46% C+ A C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 53% 43% 28% -4 -1 0.92 19% 1.0 .19 10% .36 86% .31 1.07 67% 23% 38% +2 -1 1.05 36% 0.6 .22 13% .17 40% .07
Jan
14
Cincinnati C+ B B- C- B+ 39% 29% 33% C- B+ B- C C+ F+ C+ B C+ B+ F+ F+ A+ C- 42% 31% 27% B C A A+ A+ D+ F C+ F
0.93 58% 43% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 23% .27 73% .20 1.06 70% 47% 23% +3 -1 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 14% .56 69% .38
Jan
17
West Virginia B A F F D 41% 12% 47% B+ C- C D+ C- A+ C+ C- C+ D F F A+ D 33% 23% 44% A C- F F F C- F B+ F+
1.03 65% 17% 22% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .22 10% .26 71% .19 1.22 71% 60% 26% +4 -1 1.09 46% 1.5 .71 15% .44 64% .28
Jan
20
Kansas B- D C- F C- 25% 25% 49% D+ D+ C- A+ B+ A+ B- D- C+ B D A D- B- 28% 33% 39% A B B- F D+ A- F C- F
1.02 47% 33% 24% -11 -2 0.76 25% 1.3 .31 4% .25 63% .16 1.11 69% 27% 39% +2 -2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 18% .43 79% .34
Jan
24
Central Florida A C+ B- A+ A+ 33% 31% 37% D- A+ F A D- A A- B A F F F+ F F 28% 26% 46% A- F A+ D A- B F+ A+ D+
1.22 59% 44% 53% +12 -2 1.23 14% 1.3 .17 13% .36 77% .28 1.35 71% 46% 61% +24 -1 1.48 27% 1.3 .35 17% .36 67% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29
Iowa St. B A+ F F+ B- 31% 24% 45% C+ B- F D+ F A+ A B A F F D F F 36% 24% 40% B+ F B F D C- F+ D+ F+
0.98 80% 25% 27% -1 -1 0.98 15% 1.0 .15 15% .33 74% .24 1.42 83% 42% 50% +20 -1 1.40 35% 1.3 .46 13% .41 71% .29
Feb
1
TCU A+ A D+ A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% D+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ D+ F F A+ A C+ A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% A A+ B- A+ A+ C B F C
1.32 67% 36% 50% +11 -1 1.23 34% 1.5 .53 12% .22 46% .10 0.92 47% 36% 26% -9 -1 0.82 33% 0.6 .20 15% .30 82% .25
Feb
4
Baylor C- A+ C- A+ B+ 9% 62% 30% F C+ D F F+ B A+ D- A+ C- F F D D- 9% 47% 45% A+ C- A+ F F D+ F F+ F
0.99 75% 38% 43% +5 -7 0.98 24% 0.8 .18 15% .40 70% .28 1.27 75% 55% 38% +12 -6 1.15 25% 2.2 .54 13% .42 80% .34
Feb
7
Arizona St. A- A A+ F B+ 31% 29% 39% D B A A+ A+ A D C- D B A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 16% 38% D A+ A+ F F D+ B F C-
1.19 69% 67% 20% +4 -2 1.06 42% 1.3 .55 15% .25 71% .18 1.07 43% 25% 26% -13 +1 0.78 23% 2.3 .51 14% .32 89% .28
Feb
11
Texas Tech F C- F F+ D- 28% 26% 47% B- D B+ F F F F+ F F+ B- D+ A C A 24% 24% 51% B+ A F F+ F A C C+ C
0.69 54% 25% 27% -9 -1 0.81 30% 0.0 .00 25% .21 60% .13 1.22 67% 33% 36% +2 -1 1.04 50% 1.2 .62 20% .28 71% .20
Feb
14
BYU B- A A D- B+ 25% 33% 42% C- B D- D D- A+ C F D+ A+ C A+ F C- 30% 32% 39% A C A+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F
1.05 71% 45% 29% +2 -3 1.01 19% 1.0 .19 9% .24 61% .15 1.10 65% 28% 50% +8 -2 1.14 21% 0.8 .16 19% .41 78% .32
Feb
21
Oklahoma St. B D- B+ A+ B+ 39% 17% 44% C B C+ B- B- B- B A- B+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% C A+ D- A+ A A+ F B- F+
1.15 48% 44% 42% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.2 .35 17% .30 78% .23 0.96 59% 20% 24% -8 +2 0.90 37% 0.5 .20 21% .44 72% .31
Feb
25
Kansas St. D D- C A+ B 41% 16% 43% B B F F F D A+ C A+ A+ A- D A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C- C- C-
0.98 48% 38% 41% 0 +1 1.04 23% 0.9 .20 21% .44 71% .32 0.87 52% 41% 25% -5 -1 0.90 20% 0.6 .11 17% .27 72% .20
Feb
28
Houston C A+ F+ F B+ 47% 26% 28% B- B+ F D F+ C+ C B+ B- F C F F F 46% 24% 30% F F B D+ C+ D+ F C+ F
0.90 68% 25% 23% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.8 .13 22% .33 72% .24 1.48 65% 50% 67% +21 0 1.44 35% 1.1 .38 10% .50 77% .39




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.5 0.5 9th
10th 3.0 3.0 10th
11th 24.6 50.2 2.0 76.8 11th
12th 16.5 1.3 17.8 12th
13th 1.8 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 43.0 51.5 5.5 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 5.5% 5.5% 0.2% 5.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.2 5.4%
7-11 51.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 51.4 0.3%
6-12 43.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 43.0 0.0%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.0 99.5 0.5%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 21.2% 10.7 6.1 15.2
Lose Out 23.7%