Colorado
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#74
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#86
Pace65.2#281
Improvement-0.2#187

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#55
First Shot+4.7#44
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks+5.7#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#303
Freethrows+5.1#4
Improvement-0.6#247

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#107
First Shot+2.0#107
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#204
Layups/Dunks+2.5#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#278
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement+0.5#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 4.0% 0.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 33.7% 12.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.4% 32.1% 11.4%
Average Seed 9.6 9.0 9.7
.500 or above 74.0% 90.6% 72.2%
.500 or above in Conference 33.4% 60.3% 30.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 2.7% 8.6%
First Four4.0% 6.6% 3.7%
First Round12.4% 30.2% 10.5%
Second Round5.1% 13.3% 4.3%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 9.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 45 - 11
Quad 36 - 211 - 14
Quad 47 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 184   Montana St. W 94-90 OT 85%     1 - 0 -0.1 +7.8 -8.3
  Nov 13, 2021 230   New Mexico W 87-76 89%     2 - 0 +4.7 +2.2 +1.6
  Nov 15, 2021 352   Maine W 90-46 98%     3 - 0 +25.3 +13.3 +12.5
  Nov 19, 2021 156   Southern Illinois L 63-67 72%     3 - 1 -3.3 +1.2 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2021 194   Duquesne W 84-76 OT 78%     4 - 1 +6.5 +5.6 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2021 216   Brown W 54-52 81%     5 - 1 -0.4 -13.9 +13.7
  Nov 28, 2021 95   Stanford W 80-76 66%     6 - 1 +6.4 +13.7 -7.1
  Dec 01, 2021 6   @ UCLA L 65-79 10%    
  Dec 04, 2021 23   Tennessee L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 08, 2021 203   Eastern Washington W 80-68 86%    
  Dec 10, 2021 267   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-61 92%    
  Dec 18, 2021 204   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-59 86%    
  Dec 21, 2021 9   Kansas L 71-78 25%    
  Dec 30, 2021 45   @ Oregon L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 01, 2022 127   @ Oregon St. W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 06, 2022 60   Washington St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 09, 2022 144   Washington W 75-67 77%    
  Jan 13, 2022 5   @ Arizona L 67-81 9%    
  Jan 15, 2022 97   @ Arizona St. L 71-73 45%    
  Jan 20, 2022 17   USC L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 22, 2022 6   UCLA L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 27, 2022 144   @ Washington W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 30, 2022 60   @ Washington St. L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 03, 2022 45   Oregon L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 05, 2022 127   Oregon St. W 70-63 75%    
  Feb 12, 2022 56   Utah W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 17, 2022 121   @ California W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 95   @ Stanford L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 24, 2022 97   Arizona St. W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 26, 2022 5   Arizona L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 05, 2022 56   @ Utah L 67-71 35%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.8 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 4.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.2 5.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 14.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.6 4.9 1.6 0.2 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 11.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.5 4.0 1.2 0.1 9.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 2.6 1.0 0.1 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 4.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.3 4.6 7.8 10.7 13.1 13.4 13.5 11.5 9.0 6.2 3.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 76.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 34.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 6.3% 93.8% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.8% 98.8% 16.3% 82.5% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.5%
14-6 1.7% 91.4% 4.6% 86.8% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 91.0%
13-7 3.8% 79.7% 6.4% 73.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.8 78.3%
12-8 6.2% 52.7% 2.1% 50.6% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.4 2.9 51.7%
11-9 9.0% 32.4% 2.6% 29.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 6.1 30.7%
10-10 11.5% 14.2% 1.7% 12.5% 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 9.9 12.7%
9-11 13.5% 5.0% 0.4% 4.5% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 12.8 4.5%
8-12 13.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.4%
7-13 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-14 10.7% 10.7
5-15 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
4-16 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 4.6
3-17 2.3% 2.3
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.4% 1.2% 13.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.5 3.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.6 13.4%