Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#73
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#55
Pace70.6#150
Improvement-0.9#239

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#50
First Shot+8.5#17
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#307
Layup/Dunks+7.3#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#290
Freethrows+3.4#20
Improvement-2.5#339

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot+1.4#123
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#145
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement+1.6#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.2% 17.5% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.1% 17.4% 8.3%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 9.8
.500 or above 77.2% 80.5% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 20.0% 21.0% 13.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 12.1% 17.9%
First Four5.9% 6.3% 3.2%
First Round12.8% 13.8% 6.3%
Second Round4.7% 5.1% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Home) - 86.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 25 - 57 - 14
Quad 35 - 112 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 168 Montana St. W 84-78 85%     1 - 0 +2.4 +11.6 -9.1
  Sat, Nov 8 258 Eastern Washington W 102-97 OT 93%     2 - 0 -3.4 +11.1 -15.0
  Fri, Nov 14 78 Providence W 97-88 64%     3 - 0 +13.1 +11.6 +0.4
  Mon, Nov 17 281 Alabama St. W 94-66 94%     4 - 0 +18.5 +13.6 +4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 176 UC Davis W 95-79 86%     5 - 0 +11.8 +20.4 -8.5
  Thu, Nov 27 95 San Francisco W 79-69 57%     6 - 0 +15.8 +9.8 +6.2
  Fri, Nov 28 48 Washington W 81-68 38%     7 - 0 +23.8 +15.1 +9.0
  Mon, Dec 1 134 California Baptist W 78-70 80%     8 - 0 +6.7 +7.0 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 91 @Colorado St. L 86-91 45%     8 - 1 +4.1 +16.6 -12.7
  Sat, Dec 13 287 Texas San Antonio W 88-64 94%     9 - 1 +14.3 +9.9 +3.6
  Wed, Dec 17 173 Portland St. W 84-73 86%     10 - 1 +7.0 +11.1 -4.4
  Sat, Dec 20 81 Stanford L 68-77 53%     10 - 2 -2.1 -1.6 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 28 171 Northern Colorado W 84-73 86%    
  Sat, Jan 3 71 @Arizona St. L 78-81 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 111 Utah W 84-77 75%    
  Sat, Jan 10 24 Texas Tech L 76-81 34%    
  Wed, Jan 14 67 @Cincinnati L 73-77 37%    
  Sat, Jan 17 62 @West Virginia L 70-74 36%    
  Tue, Jan 20 17 Kansas L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 49 Central Florida W 83-82 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 3 @Iowa St. L 70-87 5%    
  Sun, Feb 1 53 TCU W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Feb 4 27 @Baylor L 78-88 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 71 Arizona St. W 81-78 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 24 @Texas Tech L 73-84 17%    
  Sat, Feb 14 11 @BYU L 72-87 9%    
  Sat, Feb 21 55 Oklahoma St. W 86-84 56%    
  Wed, Feb 25 58 Kansas St. W 85-83 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 8 @Houston L 64-80 8%    
  Tue, Mar 3 111 @Utah W 81-80 54%    
  Sat, Mar 7 2 Arizona L 73-86 13%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.9 0.2 6.1 7th
8th 0.5 3.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.1 1.3 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.8 3.0 0.2 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.6 4.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.5 1.6 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.2 5.7 3.1 0.2 0.0 10.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.5 0.6 0.0 9.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.3 1.0 0.0 9.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.7 16th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.9 6.2 10.7 14.2 16.4 15.5 13.1 9.4 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 12.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 95.9% 8.2% 87.8% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.6%
13-5 0.4% 99.2% 1.7% 97.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
12-6 1.3% 95.3% 0.3% 95.1% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.3%
11-7 3.1% 86.8% 0.3% 86.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.4 86.7%
10-8 5.6% 71.4% 0.2% 71.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.6 71.4%
9-9 9.4% 46.1% 0.1% 46.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 1.7 0.1 5.0 46.0%
8-10 13.1% 19.4% 0.1% 19.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 0.1 10.5 19.3%
7-11 15.5% 4.5% 0.0% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 14.8 4.4%
6-12 16.4% 0.7% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.2 0.7%
5-13 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 14.2 0.1%
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 2.9% 2.9
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 16.2% 0.1% 16.1% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.1 4.6 5.1 0.3 83.8 16.1%