Colorado
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.5 77
Expected Predictive Rating +8.0 70
Pace 69.8 148
Improvement -1.2 237

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 56 B+ C B+ B C+
Defense C+ 129 C+ C+ C- C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 72 B 64% 53 +5.2 26
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 166 B- 42% 66 +1.0 122
Three Pointers 36% 281 B 37% 68 -0.9 218
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 162 B+ +4.9 42
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.12 44
Second Chance B- 32.9% 109 D+ 0.95 289 C 0.31 171
Turnovers B+ 13.9% 30
Freethrows B- 0.33 105 B 76% 66 B 0.25 77
Total Offense B +6.1 56

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 208 B- 54% 83 +1.9 110
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 53 D+ 40% 265 -2.3 338
Three Pointers 37% 285 C+ 33% 144 +2.3 87
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 73 C+ -1.2 131
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 114
Second Chance B 26.9% 59 D+ 1.10 291 C+ 0.30 132
Turnovers C- 16.2% 221
Freethrows C+ 0.29 149 C 72% 148 C+ 0.21 144
Total Defense C+ +1.4 129

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 74 17.9 275
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 23 0.13 54
Improvement -3.3 #327 +2.1 #68

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 3% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 3% 0%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.1
.500 or above 70% 94% 67%
.500 or above in Conference 1% 5% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 1%
First Four0% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 10.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 10
Quad 24 - 45 - 14
Quad 37 - 112 - 16
Quad 44 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 156 Montana St. W 84 - 78 84% +1  54% 1 - 0 C+ +3 B+ +9 B+ C B+ D -6 F A C
 Sat, Nov 8 220 Eastern Washington W 102 - 97 OT 90% +1  61% 2 - 0 C -1 A- +10 B+ D A F -12 F A F
 Fri, Nov 14 59 Providence W 97 - 88 55% +4  95% 3 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 B- A C+ B +6 A A+ D
 Mon, Nov 17 317 Alabama St. W 94 - 66 96% +19  99% 4 - 0 A- +15 A +13 A- C B+ B- +2 B C+ D-
 Fri, Nov 21 186 UC Davis W 95 - 79 87% +6  92% 5 - 0 B+ +11 A+ +19 A+ B- A D -7 C F C-
 Thu, Nov 27 118 San Francisco W 79 - 69 67% +1  50% 6 - 0 B+ +13 B +5 B+ C B+ B+ +8 C B- B+
 Fri, Nov 28 46 Washington W 81 - 68 36% +9  98% 7 - 0 A+ +24 A +12 A- A- C A +12 A+ B F
 Mon, Dec 1 137 California Baptist W 78 - 70 80% -2  29% 8 - 0 B- +7 B +6 B B+ C+ C+ +0 B B D+
 Sat, Dec 6 103 @Colorado St. L 86 - 91 49% -4  15% 8 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +16 A+ C- A+ F -13 F A D
 Sat, Dec 13 349 Texas San Antonio W 88 - 64 97% +10  85% 9 - 1 B +8 C+ +2 A F C B +5 C C A-
 Wed, Dec 17 144 Portland St. W 84 - 73 81% +1  61% 10 - 1 B +9 A- +10 B+ C B- C -1 B+ F C
 Sat, Dec 20 73 Stanford L 68 - 77 49% -3  35% 10 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 C+ C F B- +3 A C- D
 Sun, Dec 28 171 Northern Colorado L 81 - 86 85% -2  15% 10 - 3 D -9 C- -1 D C- A+ D- -8 D- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 68 @Arizona St. W 95 - 89 36% +6  86% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 A +12 B+ B B B +5 B A- B
 Wed, Jan 7 109 Utah W 85 - 73 74% +6  99% 12 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +13 B+ +8 B C+ C- B +5 A+ D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 16 Texas Tech L 71 - 73 23% -9  24% 12 - 4 2 - 1 B+ +13 B- +4 C+ D+ A+ A- +9 A- A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 45 @Cincinnati L 68 - 77 25% -13  0% 12 - 5 2 - 2 B- +6 C+ +2 B B- F+ B- +4 C- A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 54 @West Virginia L 61 - 72 29% -6  2% 12 - 6 2 - 3 C+ +2 B +6 C- C- A+ D -6 C- F C-
 Tue, Jan 20 11 Kansas L 69 - 75 21% -4  5% 12 - 7 2 - 4 B +10 B +5 C- A- A+ B +4 B+ D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 52 Central Florida L 86 - 95 50% -3  37% 12 - 8 2 - 5 C -1 A +11 A+ D A F -13 F A B
 Thu, Jan 29 8 @Iowa St. L 67 - 97 7% -22  1% 12 - 9 2 - 6 D+ -6 B +6 B F+ A+ F -13 F D+ D+
 Sun, Feb 1 50 TCU W 87 - 61 48% +13  90% 13 - 9 3 - 6 A+ +34 A+ +23 A+ A+ A+ A +13 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 42 @Baylor L 67 - 86 22% -17  2% 13 - 10 3 - 7 C- -3 C- -1 C+ D- B C- -3 C- F+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 68 Arizona St. W 78 - 70 59% +5  87% 14 - 10 4 - 7 B+ +13 B+ +9 B A+ A B +5 A+ F D+
 Wed, Feb 11 16 @Texas Tech L 44 - 78 10% -17  1% 14 - 11 4 - 8 D- -13 F -17 D F F C+ +1 A- F A
 Sat, Feb 14 21 @BYU L 77 - 90 11%
 Sat, Feb 21 58 Oklahoma St. W 84 - 83 55%
 Wed, Feb 25 100 Kansas St. W 85 - 80 69%
 Sat, Feb 28 5 @Houston L 63 - 81 4%
 Tue, Mar 3 109 @Utah W 80 - 79 52%
 Sat, Mar 7 2 Arizona L 74 - 88 9%
Totals 16 - 15 6 - 12 +7 F +6 A- B+ C+ C+ +1 B B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B- B B+ 43% 21% 36% C+ B+ B- D+ C B+ B- B B C+ B- D+ C+ C+ 38% 25% 37% B- C+ B D+ C+ C- C+ C C+
1.17 64% 42% 37% +5 0 1.12 33% 1.0 .31 14% .33 76% .25 1.07 54% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .29 72% .24
Nov
3		 Montana St. B+ A- A+ F B+ 58% 20% 22% B B+ B D- C B+ A+ F+ A+ D D F C- F 40% 27% 33% C- F A A A C D D+ D
1.22 65% 56% 20% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.9 .32 13% .65 69% .45 1.13 62% 64% 35% +9 -1 1.19 21% 0.8 .18 16% .29 76% .22
Nov
8		 Eastern Washington A- D- A+ A+ B+ 52% 13% 36% B B+ C- D- D A A+ F+ A+ F D- F F F 43% 29% 28% B- F A+ D- A F C+ C+ C+
1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39 1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21
Nov
14		 Providence B+ C+ B C- C 60% 13% 27% A+ B- B+ A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ B D+ C+ A+ A 43% 17% 40% C A A+ B- A+ D F C F
1.22 58% 43% 33% 0 +3 1.07 34% 1.3 .43 14% .40 85% .34 1.11 65% 40% 25% -2 +1 1.00 23% 1.1 .25 13% .45 77% .35
Nov
17		 Alabama St. A A+ B+ B A 44% 20% 36% C- A- B D- C B+ A+ C+ A+ B- A+ B F B 32% 28% 40% B B B- C C+ D- A A+ A
1.33 75% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.24 39% 1.0 .39 16% .60 78% .47 0.93 22% 31% 43% -7 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .24 16% .20 58% .12
Nov
21		 UC Davis A+ A- D A+ A+ 51% 22% 27% C A+ D+ A+ B- A B- A+ A D F B+ A C+ 41% 19% 41% D+ C B- F F C- A+ F A+
1.36 68% 33% 60% +15 +1 1.33 27% 1.3 .35 14% .35 86% .30 1.13 73% 30% 27% 0 0 1.04 24% 2.0 .48 17% .16 100% .16
Nov
27		 San Francisco B B- D- A+ B+ 45% 22% 33% C+ B+ B- D- C B+ F F F B+ A+ F D+ C 34% 19% 47% C+ C B C B- B+ A A+ A+
1.15 62% 31% 42% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.9 .28 10% .13 63% .08 1.01 39% 70% 36% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 19% .23 54% .13
Nov
28		 Washington A C+ F A+ A- 43% 20% 36% A A- A C+ A- C A+ B- A+ A A+ A C+ A+ 40% 28% 32% C- A+ A- C- B F B+ F C
1.18 58% 22% 44% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 16% .55 72% .40 0.99 30% 31% 33% -13 -1 0.74 31% 1.1 .36 9% .24 93% .22
Dec
1		 California Baptist B D- B+ A+ B 46% 24% 30% C B A C- B+ C+ A+ B A+ C+ C A A+ A- 64% 13% 23% F B B+ C+ B D+ F D+ F
1.15 48% 45% 43% +1 0 1.04 36% 0.9 .33 15% .53 77% .41 1.03 53% 29% 17% -10 +3 0.87 33% 0.9 .28 16% .42 75% .32
Dec
6		 Colorado St. A+ A+ A A- A+ 56% 11% 33% A+ A+ D- A C- A+ F+ F F F F B- F F 20% 17% 63% B+ F A+ B- A D C+ C C+
1.28 77% 50% 39% +14 +2 1.35 20% 1.4 .28 9% .21 54% .11 1.36 73% 33% 50% +17 -1 1.35 22% 1.0 .22 16% .30 76% .23
Dec
13		 Texas San Antonio C+ C A+ A+ A 58% 9% 33% A A A- F F C C+ F C- B A C+ D C- 38% 31% 31% A- C D+ B- C A- D+ A+ B
1.22 59% 80% 44% +10 +3 1.27 46% 0.5 .22 15% .28 65% .18 0.88 43% 35% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.8 .26 22% .28 50% .14
Dec
17		 Portland St. A- B- A+ D- B+ 44% 21% 35% C B+ B D- C B- B+ A+ A+ C C+ C+ A- B 44% 28% 28% A- B+ B F F C D+ C D+
1.18 61% 55% 28% +2 0 1.06 34% 0.8 .28 17% .44 85% .37 1.02 55% 36% 29% -4 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .48 20% .35 70% .24
Dec
20		 Stanford D+ A A- F B- 41% 27% 33% C C+ D+ A- C F F A+ D+ B- A F B A 50% 14% 36% C A C- C C- D F B+ F
0.97 70% 46% 19% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.3 .30 26% .25 92% .23 1.09 45% 50% 31% -6 +2 0.93 36% 1.0 .36 13% .67 68% .46
Dec
28		 Northern Colorado C- D F+ C+ D+ 38% 29% 32% F+ D B+ F C- A+ F A+ D- D- A F F F+ 42% 21% 38% C D- B F C- C+ D- D+ D-
1.11 52% 32% 33% -4 -1 0.91 32% 0.9 .28 7% .22 93% .21 1.18 50% 55% 50% +9 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .31 18% .28 76% .22
Jan
3		 Arizona St. A A+ C B- A- 36% 34% 30% D- B+ A D B B A+ A+ A+ B F B+ A+ B 35% 23% 42% B- B B- A A- B D D+ D
1.18 71% 38% 36% +5 -2 1.09 41% 0.9 .38 19% .58 84% .49 1.11 75% 31% 25% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 17% .41 78% .32
Jan
7		 Utah B+ C+ A+ C- B 44% 12% 44% B+ B A- F+ C+ C- A A+ A+ B A C A+ A+ 53% 30% 17% B A+ D+ D D- F D- B D+
1.22 59% 67% 32% +3 +2 1.10 38% 0.8 .32 16% .36 90% .32 1.04 46% 38% 22% -9 0 0.83 33% 1.1 .36 10% .37 70% .25
Jan
10		 Texas Tech B- D+ B D- C 37% 27% 35% B C+ D- B- D+ A+ A A+ A+ A- D A+ D+ A- 32% 23% 46% C+ A- C A+ A+ D+ A A+ A+
1.04 53% 43% 28% -4 -1 0.92 19% 1.0 .19 10% .36 86% .31 1.07 67% 23% 38% +2 -1 1.05 36% 0.6 .22 13% .17 40% .07
Jan
14		 Cincinnati C+ B B- C- B+ 39% 29% 33% C- B B C+ B- F+ C+ B+ B- B- F+ F+ A+ C- 42% 31% 27% B C- A A+ A+ D F C F
0.93 58% 43% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 23% .27 73% .20 1.06 70% 47% 23% +3 -1 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 14% .56 69% .38
Jan
17		 West Virginia B A- F F D+ 41% 12% 47% B+ C- C D- C- A+ B- C- C+ D F F A D 33% 23% 44% A- C- F F F C- F B F+
1.03 65% 17% 22% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .22 10% .26 71% .19 1.22 71% 60% 26% +4 -1 1.09 46% 1.5 .71 15% .44 64% .28
Jan
20		 Kansas B D C F C- 25% 25% 49% D+ C- C A+ A- A+ B D C+ B D A D- B- 28% 33% 39% A+ B+ B- F D+ A- F D+ F
1.02 47% 33% 24% -11 -2 0.76 25% 1.3 .31 4% .25 63% .16 1.11 69% 27% 39% +2 -2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 18% .43 79% .34
Jan
24		 Central Florida A C+ B A+ A+ 33% 31% 37% D- A+ F A D A B+ B+ A- F F D- F F 28% 26% 46% A- F A+ D+ A B F+ A D+
1.22 59% 44% 53% +12 -2 1.23 14% 1.3 .17 13% .36 77% .28 1.35 71% 46% 61% +24 -1 1.48 27% 1.3 .35 17% .36 67% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Iowa St. B A+ F F+ B 31% 24% 45% C+ B F C F+ A+ A B A F F D F F 36% 24% 40% B+ F B+ F D+ D+ F+ D+ F+
0.98 80% 25% 27% -1 -1 0.98 15% 1.0 .15 15% .33 74% .24 1.42 83% 42% 50% +20 -1 1.40 35% 1.3 .46 13% .41 71% .29
Feb
1		 TCU A+ A D+ A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% C- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ F F A A C+ A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% A A+ C+ A+ A+ C- B- F C-
1.32 67% 36% 50% +11 -1 1.23 34% 1.5 .53 12% .22 46% .10 0.92 47% 36% 26% -9 -1 0.82 33% 0.6 .20 15% .30 82% .25
Feb
4		 Baylor C- A+ C- A+ B+ 9% 62% 30% F C+ D F+ D- B A+ D A+ C- F F D D- 9% 47% 45% A+ C- A+ F F+ D+ F F+ F
0.99 75% 38% 43% +5 -7 0.98 24% 0.8 .18 15% .40 70% .28 1.27 75% 55% 38% +12 -6 1.15 25% 2.2 .54 13% .42 80% .34
Feb
7		 Arizona St. B+ A A+ F B+ 31% 29% 39% D- B A A+ A+ A D D+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 16% 38% D- A+ A+ F F D+ B F C
1.19 69% 67% 20% +4 -2 1.06 42% 1.3 .55 15% .25 71% .18 1.07 43% 25% 26% -13 +1 0.78 23% 2.3 .51 14% .32 89% .28
Feb
11		 Texas Tech F D+ F D- D- 28% 26% 47% B- D B F F F D- F+ F+ C+ D A- C A- 24% 24% 51% B+ A- F F F A C- C+ C
0.69 54% 25% 27% -9 -1 0.81 30% 0.0 .00 25% .21 60% .13 1.22 67% 33% 36% +3 -2 1.04 50% 1.2 .62 20% .28 71% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.4 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 2.5 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 1.3 10.0 1.6 12.9 10th
11th 0.3 11.0 10.3 0.3 21.8 11th
12th 3.7 17.0 2.0 0.0 22.7 12th
13th 0.6 12.7 7.9 0.1 21.3 13th
14th 4.5 8.5 0.8 13.8 14th
15th 1.0 0.1 1.1 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 16th
Total 6.1 25.3 38.0 24.5 5.5 0.6 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.6% 25.2% 25.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 25.2%
8-10 5.5% 4.3% 4.3% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 4.3%
7-11 24.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.2 0.1 0.0 24.3 0.5%
6-12 38.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 38.0 0.0%
5-13 25.3% 25.3
4-14 6.1% 6.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 11.0 99.4 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.2%