Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#48
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#49
Pace69.4#185
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#28
First Shot+3.5#80
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#8
Layup/Dunks+2.8#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-2.1#325

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#102
First Shot+1.7#119
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#126
Layups/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#309
Freethrows+1.3#95
Improvement+1.9#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 6.1% 2.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.6% 40.8% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.0% 40.1% 19.2%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 9.0
.500 or above 77.6% 77.8% 49.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.4% 35.5% 23.1%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 8.7% 18.6%
First Four6.6% 6.7% 5.4%
First Round37.1% 37.3% 18.2%
Second Round18.2% 18.3% 5.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.5% 4.5% 0.8%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 99.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 45 - 11
Quad 25 - 310 - 14
Quad 31 - 011 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 361 St. Francis (PA) W 102-66 99%     1 - 0 +17.6 +15.5 +0.1
  Sat, Nov 8 6 @Gonzaga L 68-83 10%     1 - 1 +9.5 +2.0 +8.3
  Tue, Nov 11 352 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95-69 98%     2 - 1 +10.2 +16.0 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 15 25 Nebraska L 99-105 34%     2 - 2 +8.9 +30.6 -21.6
  Thu, Nov 20 299 Oral Roberts W 95-71 96%     3 - 2 +13.5 +15.5 -2.1
  Sun, Nov 23 339 Alcorn St. W 72-53 98%     4 - 2 +5.0 -5.5 +10.9
  Fri, Nov 28 105 Marquette W 75-74 73%     5 - 2 +5.3 +13.5 -8.1
  Tue, Dec 2 61 @Wake Forest W 86-68 46%     6 - 2 +29.6 +16.5 +12.6
  Sat, Dec 6 72 Arizona St. L 70-86 61%     6 - 3 -8.3 -3.4 -4.2
  Sat, Dec 13 57 Oklahoma St. W 85-76 56%     7 - 3 +18.2 +12.5 +5.4
  Tue, Dec 16 344 UMKC W 89-67 98%     8 - 3 +7.3 +12.0 -4.7
  Mon, Dec 22 345 Stetson W 89-64 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93-56 100.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 63 Mississippi W 77-72 69%    
  Wed, Jan 7 81 @Mississippi St. W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 44 @Texas A&M L 80-84 35%    
  Tue, Jan 13 11 Florida L 76-80 35%    
  Sat, Jan 17 16 Alabama L 86-90 37%    
  Tue, Jan 20 90 @South Carolina W 75-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 24 46 @Missouri L 78-81 39%    
  Tue, Jan 27 23 Arkansas L 82-83 45%    
  Sat, Jan 31 40 Texas W 79-78 56%    
  Wed, Feb 4 19 @Kentucky L 73-82 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 9 @Vanderbilt L 75-87 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 21 Georgia L 85-87 43%    
  Wed, Feb 18 15 @Tennessee L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Feb 21 44 Texas A&M W 83-81 57%    
  Tue, Feb 24 33 Auburn W 80-79 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 38 @LSU L 76-81 33%    
  Tue, Mar 3 46 Missouri W 81-78 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 40 @Texas L 76-81 34%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.0 3rd
4th 0.4 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.2 0.1 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 2.9 0.2 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.5 0.9 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.6 2.6 0.1 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.1 0.6 9.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 5.4 2.2 0.1 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.5 3.9 0.3 0.0 9.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.5 1.1 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.1 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.4 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.8 6.8 10.0 12.9 14.5 14.4 12.2 9.7 6.3 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 81.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 47.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 13.2% 86.8% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 8.5% 91.5% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.1% 99.5% 7.0% 92.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-6 3.9% 99.6% 5.6% 94.0% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
11-7 6.3% 97.5% 2.9% 94.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.5%
10-8 9.7% 91.7% 1.4% 90.3% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.8 91.5%
9-9 12.2% 78.6% 1.0% 77.6% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.1 3.0 0.9 0.0 2.6 78.4%
8-10 14.4% 43.3% 0.6% 42.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 2.9 0.1 8.2 42.9%
7-11 14.5% 15.8% 0.1% 15.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 0.2 12.2 15.7%
6-12 12.9% 2.2% 0.1% 2.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 12.6 2.2%
5-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.1%
4-14 6.8% 6.8
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 40.6% 1.1% 39.6% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.3 5.6 8.1 7.6 6.9 5.9 0.3 59.4 40.0%