Oklahoma
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#41
Expected Predictive Rating+20.4#8
Pace67.9#216
Improvement+1.1#119

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#40
First Shot+5.7#41
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#141
Layup/Dunks+1.9#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#91
Freethrows+3.4#39
Improvement+1.3#83

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#52
First Shot+4.7#51
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#158
Layups/Dunks-1.6#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#121
Freethrows+3.4#20
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 11.9% 12.0% 2.4%
Top 6 Seed 27.2% 27.3% 7.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.9% 65.0% 42.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.5% 64.6% 42.6%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.3
.500 or above 92.8% 92.9% 70.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 37.6% 19.1%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 9.1% 22.3%
First Four7.6% 7.6% 6.8%
First Round60.9% 61.1% 38.2%
Second Round36.0% 36.1% 16.3%
Sweet Sixteen13.9% 14.0% 4.4%
Elite Eight5.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Final Four1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 10
Quad 25 - 211 - 12
Quad 32 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 354   Lindenwood W 93-60 99%     1 - 0 +16.7 +8.6 +6.6
  Nov 11, 2024 297   Northwestern St. W 73-57 97%     2 - 0 +5.9 -2.5 +8.7
  Nov 16, 2024 329   Stetson W 85-64 98%     3 - 0 +8.4 +4.7 +3.7
  Nov 21, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 84-56 99%     4 - 0 +11.7 +4.6 +7.4
  Nov 27, 2024 79   Providence W 79-77 66%     5 - 0 +9.1 +10.2 -1.1
  Nov 28, 2024 23   Arizona W 82-77 40%     6 - 0 +19.0 +15.5 +3.6
  Nov 29, 2024 43   Louisville W 69-64 51%     7 - 0 +16.0 +10.1 +6.6
  Dec 03, 2024 111   Georgia Tech W 76-61 84%     8 - 0 +15.6 +8.9 +7.9
  Dec 07, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 83-56 99%    
  Dec 14, 2024 81   Oklahoma St. W 77-72 67%    
  Dec 18, 2024 16   Michigan L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 22, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 83-58 99%    
  Dec 29, 2024 357   Prairie View W 94-65 99.5%   
  Jan 04, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 76-86 17%    
  Jan 08, 2025 30   Texas A&M W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 38   @ Georgia L 71-74 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 34   Texas W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 18, 2025 69   South Carolina W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 33   @ Arkansas L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 28, 2025 30   @ Texas A&M L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 67   Vanderbilt W 79-74 69%    
  Feb 04, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 71-83 14%    
  Feb 08, 2025 4   Tennessee L 67-73 30%    
  Feb 12, 2025 63   @ Missouri L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 47   LSU W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 18, 2025 10   @ Florida L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 22, 2025 15   Mississippi St. L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 9   Kentucky L 77-80 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 26   @ Mississippi L 71-76 32%    
  Mar 05, 2025 63   Missouri W 78-73 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 34   @ Texas L 69-73 35%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.2 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.4 4.3 0.8 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.3 2.1 0.1 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.0 0.5 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 5.4 1.6 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.4 3.2 0.2 8.7 12th
13th 0.3 2.8 4.2 0.8 0.0 8.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.8 1.5 0.1 7.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.6 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.8 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.5 5.9 9.6 12.6 14.5 14.2 12.0 9.9 7.1 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 76.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 42.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.0% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.5% 100.0% 8.1% 91.9% 3.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.4% 100.0% 4.4% 95.6% 3.9 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 7.1% 100.0% 2.9% 97.1% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 9.9% 99.7% 1.7% 98.0% 5.9 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.4 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
9-9 12.0% 98.4% 0.9% 97.5% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 3.0 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 98.4%
8-10 14.2% 90.0% 0.4% 89.5% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.0 3.2 2.4 1.2 0.0 1.4 89.9%
7-11 14.5% 67.3% 0.3% 67.0% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.1 3.1 0.2 4.8 67.2%
6-12 12.6% 33.7% 0.1% 33.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.4 33.6%
5-13 9.6% 8.0% 8.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 8.8 8.0%
4-14 5.9% 0.8% 0.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.8%
3-15 3.5% 3.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 64.9% 1.2% 63.7% 7.1 0.8 1.6 4.1 5.4 7.4 7.9 7.8 7.4 7.4 7.0 7.4 0.8 0.0 35.1 64.5%