Utah
Pac-12
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#51
Expected Predictive Rating+12.5#42
Pace67.8#226
Improvement-0.6#242

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#60
First Shot+1.0#144
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#19
Layup/Dunks-2.4#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#147
Freethrows+1.1#106
Improvement-0.3#220

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+1.9#107
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#45
Layups/Dunks+0.6#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#146
Freethrows+1.4#106
Improvement-0.3#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 3.2% 5.4% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 8.4% 13.1% 4.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.4% 49.8% 29.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.9% 47.2% 26.9%
Average Seed 8.5 8.2 9.0
.500 or above 86.0% 92.3% 80.9%
.500 or above in Conference 63.5% 69.9% 58.2%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.0% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.2% 3.3%
First Four7.1% 8.1% 6.3%
First Round34.6% 45.3% 25.9%
Second Round17.4% 23.8% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.3% 9.1% 4.0%
Elite Eight2.4% 3.3% 1.6%
Final Four0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: BYU (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 23 - 7
Quad 25 - 37 - 10
Quad 38 - 215 - 12
Quad 45 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 147   Abilene Christian W 70-56 83%     1 - 0 +12.5 -1.7 +14.2
  Nov 13, 2021 284   Sacramento St. W 89-56 95%     2 - 0 +23.3 +8.8 +13.0
  Nov 15, 2021 346   Bethune-Cookman W 86-55 98%     3 - 0 +14.3 +8.5 +7.2
  Nov 20, 2021 133   Boston College W 68-61 73%     4 - 0 +9.4 +0.0 +9.7
  Nov 21, 2021 135   Tulsa W 72-58 73%     5 - 0 +16.4 +6.6 +11.1
  Nov 27, 2021 26   BYU L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 01, 2021 14   @ USC L 63-72 20%    
  Dec 05, 2021 129   California W 69-60 81%    
  Dec 07, 2021 89   TCU W 70-67 61%    
  Dec 11, 2021 251   Manhattan W 74-57 94%    
  Dec 18, 2021 127   @ Missouri W 69-66 63%    
  Dec 21, 2021 121   Fresno St. W 71-62 80%    
  Dec 30, 2021 128   @ Oregon St. W 68-65 62%    
  Jan 01, 2022 56   @ Oregon L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 06, 2022 131   Washington W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 08, 2022 48   Washington St. W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 13, 2022 96   @ Arizona St. W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 15, 2022 6   @ Arizona L 67-79 15%    
  Jan 20, 2022 5   UCLA L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 22, 2022 14   USC L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 26, 2022 48   @ Washington St. L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 29, 2022 131   @ Washington W 72-69 63%    
  Feb 03, 2022 128   Oregon St. W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 56   Oregon W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 12, 2022 75   @ Colorado L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 17, 2022 97   @ Stanford W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 129   @ California W 66-63 62%    
  Feb 24, 2022 6   Arizona L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 96   Arizona St. W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 05, 2022 75   Colorado W 71-66 66%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 10.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.1 5.3 4.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 4.3 5.9 4.1 1.1 0.1 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.8 5.6 2.7 0.6 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.6 2.3 0.3 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.4 1.4 0.2 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 2.8 4.8 6.6 9.2 10.9 13.2 12.3 11.6 9.8 7.0 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 92.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
17-3 62.8% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.0
16-4 35.4% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
18-2 0.4% 100.0% 22.0% 78.0% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.4% 100.0% 20.4% 79.6% 3.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-4 2.7% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.9% 97.3% 13.3% 84.0% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.9%
14-6 7.0% 91.2% 7.0% 84.2% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.6 90.6%
13-7 9.8% 78.0% 5.5% 72.5% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.3 2.2 76.7%
12-8 11.6% 60.5% 4.8% 55.7% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.1 0.8 0.0 4.6 58.5%
11-9 12.3% 37.2% 2.9% 34.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 7.7 35.3%
10-10 13.2% 19.3% 1.5% 17.7% 11.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.7 0.1 10.7 18.0%
9-11 10.9% 5.1% 1.1% 4.0% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 4.1%
8-12 9.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 12.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.0 0.9%
7-13 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 6.5
6-14 4.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 4.8
5-15 2.8% 2.8
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 38.4% 3.9% 34.5% 8.5 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.6 4.9 5.0 5.9 7.3 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 61.6 35.9%