Utah
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#111
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#116
Pace70.9#138
Improvement+0.6#137

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#81
First Shot+5.7#47
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#284
Layup/Dunks+3.3#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#132
Freethrows+2.8#37
Improvement+1.8#59

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#177
First Shot-0.9#199
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#160
Layups/Dunks-6.4#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#105
Freethrows+2.4#45
Improvement-1.2#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 10.1
.500 or above 6.8% 16.4% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 3.1% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 50.9% 43.7% 52.3%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington (Away) - 16.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 23 - 65 - 18
Quad 33 - 17 - 18
Quad 45 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 197 San Jose St. W 84-75 80%     1 - 0 +3.7 +6.8 -3.2
  Sat, Nov 8 223 Weber St. W 92-89 OT 84%     2 - 0 -3.8 -1.8 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 10 326 Holy Cross W 87-69 93%     3 - 0 +5.1 +8.3 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 15 122 Sam Houston St. W 85-79 66%     4 - 0 +5.4 +6.5 -1.4
  Tue, Nov 18 199 Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-77 80%     5 - 0 +2.6 +12.6 -9.6
  Thu, Nov 20 257 Cal Poly L 85-92 87%     5 - 1 -15.4 -6.1 -8.2
  Tue, Nov 25 87 Grand Canyon L 58-68 38%     5 - 2 -3.4 -7.4 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 26 63 Mississippi W 75-74 32%     6 - 2 +9.5 +12.4 -2.8
  Tue, Dec 2 65 @California L 72-79 23%     6 - 3 +4.3 +6.7 -2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 134 California Baptist W 91-85 68%     7 - 3 +4.7 +16.8 -12.1
  Sat, Dec 13 80 Mississippi St. L 74-82 37%     7 - 4 -1.1 +4.7 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 20 258 Eastern Washington W 101-77 87%     8 - 4 +15.6 +20.1 -4.7
  Mon, Dec 29 48 @Washington L 72-82 17%    
  Sat, Jan 3 2 Arizona L 71-88 6%    
  Wed, Jan 7 73 @Colorado L 77-84 25%    
  Sat, Jan 10 11 BYU L 73-86 11%    
  Wed, Jan 14 24 @Texas Tech L 71-86 9%    
  Sat, Jan 17 53 TCU L 72-75 38%    
  Tue, Jan 20 58 @Kansas St. L 80-88 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 11 @BYU L 70-89 4%    
  Sat, Jan 31 55 Oklahoma St. L 83-86 40%    
  Wed, Feb 4 71 Arizona St. L 79-80 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 17 @Kansas L 66-83 6%    
  Tue, Feb 10 8 Houston L 65-79 11%    
  Sun, Feb 15 67 @Cincinnati L 70-78 24%    
  Wed, Feb 18 62 @West Virginia L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 49 Central Florida L 80-84 36%    
  Tue, Feb 24 3 Iowa St. L 70-86 8%    
  Sat, Feb 28 71 @Arizona St. L 76-83 26%    
  Tue, Mar 3 73 Colorado L 80-81 46%    
  Sat, Mar 7 27 @Baylor L 76-90 10%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.2 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.4 2.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 5.1 11th
12th 0.1 2.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.8 5.7 2.1 0.1 9.8 13th
14th 0.1 1.7 6.7 4.8 0.4 0.0 13.5 14th
15th 0.2 2.5 8.3 7.9 1.4 0.0 20.4 15th
16th 2.6 8.3 12.7 9.1 2.3 0.1 35.1 16th
Total 2.6 8.6 15.3 19.2 18.8 14.9 9.8 6.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 66.7% 1.7% 65.0% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 66.1%
10-8 0.4% 39.8% 39.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 39.8%
9-9 1.4% 14.0% 14.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 14.0%
8-10 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.7%
7-11 6.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 6.0 0.2%
6-12 9.8% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 9.8
5-13 14.9% 14.9
4-14 18.8% 18.8
3-15 19.2% 19.2
2-16 15.3% 15.3
1-17 8.6% 8.6
0-18 2.6% 2.6
Total 100% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 99.4 0.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%