Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.6 #55
Expected Predictive Rating +16.2 #27
Pace 81.1 #8
Improvement -4.7 #356

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #53 B B+ B- B+ A-
Defense #89 C B B+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 50% #3 1.26 #83 +9.3 #5
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #288 0.75 #171 -2.0 #267
Three Pointers 35% #307 0.99 #206 -3.5 #293
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #85 +3.7 #85
Freethrows 20.0 #62 76% #84 15.2 #45
Second Chance 32.1% #141 1.14 #71 0.37 #91
Turnovers 14.4% #56
Total Offense +6.5 #53

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #298 1.18 #190 +2.3 #106
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #307 0.77 #196 +1.6 #78
Three Pointers 50% #20 0.98 #150 -3.6 #301
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #174 +0.3 #167
Freethrows 15.3 #90 68% #41 10.3 #53
Second Chance 26.2% #47 0.98 #113 0.26 #49
Turnovers 17.3% #147
Total Defense +3.1 #89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.2% #24 0.4% #202
Shot Type Make Effect 4% #118 -0.8% #168
Possession Length 15.1 #30 16.3 #52
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #52 0.19 #240
Improvement -0.9 #249 -3.8 #354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 3.8% 9.7% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.8% 57.5% 33.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.7% 57.4% 33.0%
Average Seed 9.0 8.5 9.2
.500 or above 91.4% 97.6% 89.9%
.500 or above in Conference 24.9% 42.5% 20.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 3.4% 11.1%
First Four10.0% 11.4% 9.6%
First Round32.1% 51.1% 27.6%
Second Round13.5% 21.4% 11.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.8% 5.5% 2.2%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 26 - 39 - 13
Quad 33 - 012 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 299 Oral Roberts W 95-71 96%     8.6   1 - 0 +13.0 -0.7 +9.4
  Sun, Nov 9 44 Texas A&M W 87-63 52%     14.0   2 - 0 +33.0 +14.1 +18.0
  Wed, Nov 12 321 Prairie View W 94-67 97%     16.0   3 - 0 +14.3 +4.2 +7.0
  Sun, Nov 16 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 85-69 92%     9.5   4 - 0 +9.8 +2.3 +5.9
  Wed, Nov 19 82 South Florida W 103-95 70%     1.8   5 - 0 +12.0 +16.7 -5.8
  Sat, Nov 22 215 Nicholls St. W 95-81 92%     11.8   6 - 0 +7.6 +6.0 -0.3
  Thu, Nov 27 57 Northwestern W 86-81 51%     1.6   7 - 0 +14.3 +13.3 +0.8
  Tue, Dec 2 124 Sam Houston St. W 93-83 83%     0.1   8 - 0 +9.4 +8.4 -0.1
  Sat, Dec 6 89 Grand Canyon W 84-78 62%     2.4   9 - 0 +12.5 +16.0 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 13 46 Oklahoma L 76-85 44%     -3.5   9 - 1 +2.2 +3.4 -0.9
  Thu, Dec 18 343 UMKC W 91-79 98%     6.2   10 - 1 -3.0 +5.3 -9.5
  Sun, Dec 21 260 Cal St. Fullerton W 94-89 95%     9.9   11 - 1 -3.7 +5.4 -9.7
  Mon, Dec 29 278 Bethune-Cookman W 103-77 95%     12.8   12 - 1 +16.5 +12.6 +0.8
  Sat, Jan 3 23 @Texas Tech L 78-87 19%    
  Tue, Jan 6 52 Central Florida W 88-86 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 4 @Iowa St. L 75-91 7%    
  Tue, Jan 13 27 Baylor L 87-89 42%    
  Sat, Jan 17 68 Kansas St. W 92-88 66%    
  Tue, Jan 20 48 @TCU L 77-81 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 4 Iowa St. L 78-88 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 113 @Utah W 86-83 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 10 BYU L 81-88 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 2 @Arizona L 77-94 6%    
  Tue, Feb 10 72 @Arizona St. L 84-85 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 48 TCU W 80-78 56%    
  Wed, Feb 18 16 Kansas L 77-82 33%    
  Sat, Feb 21 87 @Colorado L 85-86 50%    
  Tue, Feb 24 64 West Virginia W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 58 @Cincinnati L 78-81 41%    
  Tue, Mar 3 52 @Central Florida L 85-89 35%    
  Sat, Mar 7 11 Houston L 72-79 27%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.0 0.1 5.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.6 2.3 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 0.4 3.6 3.9 0.6 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 4.9 1.5 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 6.2 3.2 0.2 10.7 10th
11th 0.4 4.8 4.9 0.7 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.1 2.4 6.5 1.6 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.3 5.0 3.2 0.2 9.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.1 0.5 8.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.2 0.7 0.1 7.2 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.5 5.2 8.9 11.7 16.3 16.2 13.4 10.4 7.1 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 24.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.9% 100.0% 5.9% 94.1% 5.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
12-6 2.2% 99.5% 0.9% 98.6% 6.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5%
11-7 4.0% 97.5% 1.2% 96.3% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.5%
10-8 7.1% 96.0% 0.6% 95.5% 8.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.3 96.0%
9-9 10.4% 87.8% 0.4% 87.5% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.1 2.9 0.7 1.3 87.8%
8-10 13.4% 60.2% 60.2% 10.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.1 3.4 0.1 5.3 60.2%
7-11 16.2% 30.6% 0.1% 30.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 0.1 11.2 30.6%
6-12 16.3% 8.5% 8.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 14.9 8.5%
5-13 11.7% 1.5% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.6 1.5%
4-14 8.9% 8.9
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 37.8% 0.2% 37.6% 9.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.3 3.6 5.6 7.5 8.1 8.8 0.5 62.2 37.7%