West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#48
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#56
Pace67.3#236
Improvement-1.4#289

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#37
First Shot+2.9#98
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#46
Layup/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#273
Freethrows+1.0#109
Improvement+1.2#62

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#68
First Shot+4.2#57
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#212
Layups/Dunks-0.5#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#132
Freethrows+2.5#41
Improvement-2.7#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.7% 6.2% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 14.2% 15.2% 6.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.5% 46.6% 27.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42.9% 45.0% 26.1%
Average Seed 7.7 7.7 8.5
.500 or above 70.3% 73.2% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 34.9% 36.2% 23.8%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 12.4% 20.5%
First Four6.2% 6.2% 5.7%
First Round41.3% 43.4% 23.4%
Second Round22.6% 23.9% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen8.6% 9.2% 4.0%
Elite Eight3.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Final Four1.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 89.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 24 - 39 - 14
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 45 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 122   Oakland W 60-53 82%     1 - 0 +6.8 -11.7 +18.4
  Nov 12, 2021 214   Pittsburgh W 74-59 91%     2 - 0 +9.8 +1.0 +9.1
  Nov 18, 2021 268   Elon W 87-68 92%     3 - 0 +13.2 +5.5 +6.6
  Nov 19, 2021 71   Marquette L 71-82 60%     3 - 1 -4.0 +2.3 -6.3
  Nov 21, 2021 47   Clemson W 66-59 49%     4 - 1 +16.7 +4.0 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2021 161   Eastern Kentucky W 80-77 87%     5 - 1 +0.4 +10.6 -9.9
  Nov 30, 2021 177   Bellarmine W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 04, 2021 247   Radford W 74-57 95%    
  Dec 08, 2021 15   Connecticut L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 12, 2021 137   Kent St. W 74-63 84%    
  Dec 18, 2021 52   UAB W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 22, 2021 278   Youngstown St. W 81-62 96%    
  Jan 01, 2022 11   @ Texas L 60-69 20%    
  Jan 03, 2022 90   @ TCU W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 08, 2022 91   Kansas St. W 70-63 72%    
  Jan 11, 2022 33   Oklahoma St. W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 15, 2022 9   @ Kansas L 70-80 17%    
  Jan 18, 2022 3   Baylor L 68-74 29%    
  Jan 22, 2022 18   @ Texas Tech L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 26, 2022 35   Oklahoma W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 29, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 31, 2022 3   @ Baylor L 65-77 14%    
  Feb 05, 2022 18   Texas Tech L 68-70 42%    
  Feb 08, 2022 58   Iowa St. W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 12, 2022 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 14, 2022 91   @ Kansas St. W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 19, 2022 9   Kansas L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 23, 2022 58   @ Iowa St. L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 26, 2022 11   Texas L 63-66 40%    
  Mar 01, 2022 35   @ Oklahoma L 66-71 33%    
  Mar 05, 2022 90   TCU W 72-65 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.1 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 4.9 6.4 3.4 0.5 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.5 5.7 2.5 0.2 14.4 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 4.4 4.0 1.6 0.2 12.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 8.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.7 7.8 10.0 13.0 13.5 13.3 11.8 9.0 6.2 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.7% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.6% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.1% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.4% 100.0% 13.2% 86.8% 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 3.9% 99.7% 8.0% 91.7% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 6.2% 99.5% 6.6% 92.9% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
10-8 9.0% 96.3% 5.2% 91.1% 7.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 96.1%
9-9 11.8% 85.0% 3.3% 81.7% 8.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.2 2.0 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.8 84.5%
8-10 13.3% 57.0% 2.4% 54.6% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.0 5.7 56.0%
7-11 13.5% 23.2% 1.1% 22.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.1 10.4 22.3%
6-12 13.0% 6.7% 0.5% 6.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.1 6.2%
5-13 10.0% 1.3% 0.2% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.9 1.1%
4-14 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 44.5% 2.8% 41.7% 7.7 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.8 3.8 4.7 6.2 6.1 5.5 4.3 5.1 2.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 55.5 42.9%