Maryland
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.7#51
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#90
Pace68.8#198
Improvement+1.0#87

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#96
First Shot+2.1#117
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#107
Layup/Dunks+5.1#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#285
Freethrows+1.3#92
Improvement-0.9#275

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#46
First Shot+5.1#41
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#143
Layups/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#159
Freethrows+2.7#36
Improvement+1.9#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 3.6% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 7.4% 11.4% 4.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.1% 42.4% 23.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.1% 41.3% 23.0%
Average Seed 8.3 8.1 8.6
.500 or above 55.9% 69.8% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.6% 40.8% 29.6%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 7.0% 10.7%
First Four5.0% 5.9% 4.3%
First Round29.5% 39.3% 21.7%
Second Round14.6% 19.8% 10.4%
Sweet Sixteen4.8% 6.8% 3.3%
Elite Eight1.8% 2.5% 1.2%
Final Four0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Home) - 44.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 25 - 38 - 14
Quad 34 - 112 - 16
Quad 44 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 296   Quinnipiac W 83-69 95%     1 - 0 +3.7 +1.2 +1.8
  Nov 11, 2021 266   George Washington W 71-64 94%     2 - 0 -1.6 -7.0 +5.1
  Nov 13, 2021 104   Vermont W 68-57 76%     3 - 0 +12.3 +4.5 +8.7
  Nov 17, 2021 115   George Mason L 66-71 79%     3 - 1 -4.6 +0.0 -5.2
  Nov 19, 2021 131   Hofstra W 69-67 81%     4 - 1 +1.3 -8.4 +9.7
  Nov 25, 2021 80   Richmond W 86-80 58%     5 - 1 +12.6 +6.2 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2021 36   Louisville L 55-63 39%     5 - 2 +3.5 -9.4 +12.9
  Dec 01, 2021 27   Virginia Tech L 66-67 44%    
  Dec 05, 2021 44   Northwestern W 71-69 56%    
  Dec 12, 2021 14   Florida L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 28, 2021 286   Loyola Maryland W 77-58 95%    
  Dec 30, 2021 216   Brown W 73-59 90%    
  Jan 03, 2022 19   @ Iowa L 74-83 21%    
  Jan 06, 2022 30   @ Illinois L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 09, 2022 31   Wisconsin L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 12, 2022 44   @ Northwestern L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 15, 2022 96   Rutgers W 68-62 72%    
  Jan 18, 2022 16   @ Michigan L 63-72 20%    
  Jan 21, 2022 30   Illinois L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 25, 2022 96   @ Rutgers W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 32   Indiana L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 01, 2022 22   Michigan St. L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 06, 2022 29   @ Ohio St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 10, 2022 19   Iowa L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 13, 2022 2   @ Purdue L 65-79 11%    
  Feb 18, 2022 105   @ Nebraska W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 21, 2022 67   Penn St. W 66-62 65%    
  Feb 24, 2022 32   @ Indiana L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 27, 2022 29   Ohio St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 02, 2022 86   Minnesota W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 06, 2022 22   @ Michigan St. L 64-72 23%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.1 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.5 2.8 3.3 0.9 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 4.2 1.7 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.9 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 4.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.5 1.1 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.3 1.5 0.1 11.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.2 3.4 3.9 1.6 0.1 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.9 1.1 0.2 8.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.9 5.3 8.3 10.2 11.7 12.8 12.6 11.2 8.6 6.2 4.2 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
16-4 58.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 32.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 27.3% 72.7% 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 3.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.4% 100.0% 8.0% 92.0% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.3% 100.0% 8.3% 91.7% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 4.2% 99.8% 6.4% 93.3% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 6.2% 93.7% 3.6% 90.1% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.4 93.5%
11-9 8.6% 82.8% 2.2% 80.6% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 82.4%
10-10 11.2% 58.3% 1.1% 57.2% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.7 57.9%
9-11 12.6% 24.4% 0.7% 23.7% 10.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.5 23.9%
8-12 12.8% 6.7% 0.4% 6.3% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 11.9 6.4%
7-13 11.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.7 0.3%
6-14 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 8.3
4-16 5.3% 5.3
3-17 2.9% 2.9
2-18 1.1% 1.1
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 32.1% 1.4% 30.7% 8.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.3 2.7 4.1 4.9 4.6 4.0 4.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 67.9 31.1%