Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#147
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#167
Pace67.3#244
Improvement-1.0#249

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#176
First Shot-5.3#326
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#5
Layup/Dunks-5.0#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#297
Freethrows+1.4#96
Improvement-1.4#285

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#123
First Shot+3.1#82
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#302
Layups/Dunks-0.5#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#211
Freethrows+3.5#17
Improvement+0.4#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.6 10.6 n/a
.500 or above 1.5% 1.6% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 46.6% 45.8% 58.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 13
Quad 22 - 62 - 18
Quad 32 - 15 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 344 Rider W 81-53 92%     1 - 0 +13.2 +8.5 +6.1
  Mon, Nov 10 342 Maine W 72-60 92%     2 - 0 -2.5 +2.9 -4.3
  Fri, Nov 14 315 Lehigh W 84-72 88%     3 - 0 +0.0 +5.7 -5.8
  Tue, Nov 18 268 American W 80-71 82%     4 - 0 +0.1 +2.3 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 21 278 Central Connecticut St. L 54-67 83%     4 - 1 -22.3 -15.5 -8.5
  Mon, Nov 24 14 Tennessee L 60-85 7%     4 - 2 -7.4 -0.4 -8.3
  Tue, Nov 25 64 Notre Dame L 63-68 24%     4 - 3 +3.4 +2.5 +0.3
  Thu, Nov 27 133 UNLV W 80-65 47%     5 - 3 +16.7 +8.2 +8.6
  Tue, Dec 2 5 Purdue L 65-81 6%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +2.8 +3.8 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60-101 1%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -11.2 +0.6 -10.3
  Sat, Dec 13 54 @Seton Hall L 59-81 14%     5 - 6 -9.5 -2.2 -8.1
  Sat, Dec 20 240 Penn W 70-69 79%     6 - 6 -6.6 -5.7 -0.9
  Mon, Dec 29 346 Delaware St. W 76-60 94%    
  Fri, Jan 2 31 Ohio St. L 69-79 17%    
  Mon, Jan 5 56 Oregon L 71-76 31%    
  Thu, Jan 8 10 @Illinois L 64-86 2%    
  Sun, Jan 11 57 Northwestern L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 46 @Wisconsin L 68-81 11%    
  Tue, Jan 20 18 @Iowa L 58-77 4%    
  Fri, Jan 23 29 Indiana L 66-77 16%    
  Tue, Jan 27 16 Michigan St. L 62-75 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 38 @USC L 68-83 9%    
  Tue, Feb 3 30 @UCLA L 63-79 7%    
  Sat, Feb 7 25 Nebraska L 67-78 16%    
  Sun, Feb 15 94 Maryland L 72-74 43%    
  Wed, Feb 18 126 @Penn St. L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 96 @Minnesota L 63-71 24%    
  Tue, Feb 24 48 Washington L 68-75 26%    
  Sun, Mar 1 94 @Maryland L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Mar 5 16 @Michigan St. L 59-78 4%    
  Sun, Mar 8 126 Penn St. W 75-73 56%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.3 1.2 0.1 6.7 14th
15th 0.1 2.4 5.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 11.2 15th
16th 0.2 2.8 7.8 5.2 0.8 0.0 16.8 16th
17th 0.4 4.7 10.7 6.9 1.4 0.1 24.0 17th
18th 3.1 9.6 11.9 6.4 1.3 0.1 32.3 18th
Total 3.1 10.0 16.8 19.9 18.6 14.2 8.8 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 16.1% 16.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.1%
10-10 0.3% 0.3
9-11 0.9% 0.9
8-12 2.4% 2.4
7-13 4.9% 4.9
6-14 8.8% 8.8
5-15 14.2% 14.2
4-16 18.6% 18.6
3-17 19.9% 19.9
2-18 16.8% 16.8
1-19 10.0% 10.0
0-20 3.1% 3.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%