Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.8 109
Expected Predictive Rating +4.5 99
Pace 65.8 256
Improvement +4.1 41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 111 D+ B B- B F+
Defense C+ 129 C+ C C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 320 D+ 54% 280 -4.3 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 42 C+ 40% 96 +4.9 15
Three Pointers 35% 298 C- 33% 228 -3.5 306
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 345 C- -1.1 215
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 272
Second Chance B- 34.0% 80 B 1.14 48 B 0.39 49
Turnovers B- 15.2% 80
Freethrows B 0.35 49 C+ 73% 153 B 0.26 56
Total Offense C+ +2.3 111

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 185 D+ 12.9% 287
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 24% 195 C+ 4.5% 147
Three Pointers B- 89% 79 B- 0.5% 76
Total D+ 52% 262 C 5.9% 212

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 228 C 57% 169 -1.1 137
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 103 B 34% 39 -0.2 175
Three Pointers 40% 207 C- 35% 229 +0.3 196
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 105 C -0.6 157
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 142
Second Chance C- 32.0% 245 B- 0.96 80 C 0.31 167
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 133
Freethrows B 0.25 38 D+ 74% 289 B 0.19 52
Total Defense C+ +1.5 129

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 191 C+ 12.3% 119
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 114 B- 6.9% 68
Three Pointers C 83% 156 C- 0.7% 198
Total C 56% 174 C+ 6.4% 115

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 160 18.2 311
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 78 0.16 137
Improvement +3.2 #47 +0.9 #132

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 130 112 96
Conference Record 4 - 16 6 - 14 7 - 13
Conference Finish 15 14 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 1% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 2%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 23.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 90 - 9
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 13
Quad 22 - 42 - 17
Quad 35 - 17 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Rider W 81 - 53 97% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 F B+ A- A +11 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 346 Maine W 72 - 60 95% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -4 C +0 C+ A F+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 305 Lehigh W 84 - 72 92% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +0 B- +4 C+ A- B- D+ -3 C+ C F
 Tue, Nov 18 251 American W 80 - 71 86% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +1 C +1 F+ A+ B+ C +0 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 292 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 90% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -23 F -22 F F+ F+ D+ -4 C+ B+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 16 Tennessee L 60 - 85 9% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ B- D- D -5 D+ F+ B-
 Tue, Nov 25 84 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 38% -8  6% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C- -2 D A+ F B- +3 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 125 UNLV W 80 - 65 55% +3  58% 5 - 3 A- +18 B- +4 F A- B+ A+ +14 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 8 Purdue L 65 - 81 9% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C+ +2 C +1 B+ D A C+ +0 B+ C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D -11 D+ -2 D+ A+ F+ D- -7 F C C
 Sat, Dec 13 56 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 19% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -9 D+ -3 F A+ D- D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 172 Penn W 70 - 69 77% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -3 D -5 F+ F A+ B- +2 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 98% +9  90% 7 - 6 C- -5 F -13 F A+ F A +9 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 34 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 23% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 C+ +4 A- +10 C A+ A D- -7 D+ B- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 91 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 53% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +6 A- +10 C D+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 5 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -0 D- -6 D C B B +4 D+ A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 11 67 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 44% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +7 C+ +2 C+ D+ A+ B +5 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 29 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 10% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +9 A+ +15 A A B D -5 B F C
 Tue, Jan 20 26 @Iowa L 62 - 68 9% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +13 C +0 B- D F A+ +12 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 37 Indiana L 59 - 82 25% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -12 C- -2 D- C+ A+ F -15 F B F
 Tue, Jan 27 11 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 12% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B- +7 A +11 B B- A+ D+ -4 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 53 @USC L 75 - 78 18% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B +10 B +7 D- A+ A+ B +3 F+ A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 39 @UCLA L 66 - 98 12% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 F+ -16 B- +5 B- C A+ F -24 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 13 Nebraska L 68 - 80 13% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +4 B- +4 A B D+ C -1 B B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 107 Maryland W 68 - 57 61% +4  80% 10 - 15 3 - 11 B+ +12 C- -2 F A- B- A+ +15 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 18 115 @Penn St. W 85 - 72 41% +13  100% 11 - 15 4 - 11 A +19 A +12 A- C- B- A- +7 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 66 @Minnesota L 63 - 71 23%
 Tue, Feb 24 44 Washington L 71 - 76 33%
 Sun, Mar 1 107 @Maryland L 71 - 74 38%
 Thu, Mar 5 11 @Michigan St. L 61 - 80 4%
 Sun, Mar 8 115 Penn St. W 78 - 74 64%
Totals 13 - 18 6 - 14 +4 C+ +2 B C- F+ C+ +2 C- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C+ C- C- 33% 51% 35% F+ D+ B- B B B- B C+ B C+ C B C- C 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ C- B- C C+ B D+ B
1.12 54% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.96 34% 1.1 .39 15% .35 73% .26 1.06 57% 34% 35% -1 0 1.00 32% 1.0 .31 18% .25 74% .26
Nov
5		 Rider C F C- B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A C- B+ A- A+ D- A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D+ A+ F A D+ A- F F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10		 Maine C B- F+ A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ A- B A F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F C- A C+ A+ B A+ A-
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14		 Lehigh B- C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D+ C+ A- B- A- B- A+ D A+ D+ C C- C+ C 29% 27% 44% B- C+ B- F C F C B- C+
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18		 American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D+ F+ C- A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ C A+ A+ D A 39% 15% 46% C A- C C C F B D+ B-
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21		 Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F F+ F+ F F F D+ B- B+ F C+ 31% 37% 33% B- C+ F+ A+ B+ F C A- B-
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Tennessee D+ C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D D+ B C B- D- A+ C A+ D B A+ F D 39% 17% 43% C D+ C F F+ B- B+ C B+
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25		 Notre Dame C- F F A D+ 16% 30% 53% F D A- A+ A+ F A- D B+ B- B C+ F C 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +4 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27		 UNLV B- F C+ F+ F+ 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A A A+ A A F A+ A A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2		 Purdue C F+ B A+ A- 33% 37% 29% D+ B+ D+ F D A C- D+ C- C+ D A+ D+ A- 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C+ C+ C+ B- F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6		 Michigan D+ C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D+ F D+ B- C C A+ A- A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Seton Hall D+ F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A D+ A- D- F B C F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C F A+ A+ D A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20		 Penn D F A+ F D- 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ B- D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ D- F F A- F D+ F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29		 Delaware St. F F D+ F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ D B- 30% 39% 30% B B- B+ F C B D- A C-
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2		 Ohio St. A- C A F C 33% 29% 38% C+ C A+ C A+ A B- B B D- F+ A+ F C- 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ B- A- F D- F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5		 Oregon A- F A B+ B- 27% 44% 29% F C C- D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B- A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% C+ C+ F+ F F A+ B+ C- B-
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8		 Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D C- B C B C- F F+ B B- F D D 31% 16% 53% B D+ A A+ A+ D+ D- F+ F
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11		 Northwestern C+ D+ B B- B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C- D+ D+ A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ F A- A 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ B+ C+ B+ F+ F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -6 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17		 Wisconsin A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B A B B A A- D D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B+ F F C F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20		 Iowa C A+ F+ C- B 33% 28% 40% D- B- A- F D F A+ A- A+ A+ C B- B- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- A+ A+ A+ A- B- D- C+
0.96 77% 27% 31% +2 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23		 Indiana C- F C F D 33% 37% 29% D- D- D+ A C+ A+ D A+ C F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan St. A C B- B- A- 24% 29% 47% D B D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ B- B 40% 23% 38% D+ B- D F F A- F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31		 USC B F+ D F+ D 31% 38% 31% F D- A A A+ A+ F C F B F D- D F 49% 32% 20% B- F+ F A+ A A+ F C- F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3		 UCLA B- D- A+ C- B 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C+ C- C A+ A F C F D D- F F 33% 33% 33% B F C- F F+ F B F C-
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7		 Nebraska B- A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A C A+ B D+ C F D+ C B+ F C- B+ 41% 14% 45% C B B B+ B+ F A- F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +2 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18
Feb
15		 Maryland C- F C F+ F+ 22% 41% 37% F F C A+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ 31% 20% 49% B- A+ D+ A+ A D A+ A+ A+
1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35 0.88 56% 10% 28% -10 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11
Feb
18		 Penn St. A A A+ D+ A 42% 27% 31% D+ A- D+ B- C- B- A+ A+ A+ A- F F A+ F+ 33% 26% 40% A D A- A A A+ F D+ F
1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36 1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.8 5.3 1.9 0.0 8.0 12th
13th 0.5 11.3 8.4 0.3 20.5 13th
14th 2.9 28.0 21.8 1.6 54.3 14th
15th 5.7 6.4 0.2 12.2 15th
16th 3.3 0.3 3.7 16th
17th 0.4 0.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 12.3 35.2 34.1 15.5 2.9 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 2.9% 2.9
7-13 15.5% 15.5
6-14 34.1% 34.1
5-15 35.2% 35.2
4-16 12.3% 12.3
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.1%