Wisconsin
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#46
Expected Predictive Rating+9.3#65
Pace72.8#88
Improvement-2.3#314

Offense
Total Offense+6.1#57
First Shot+5.1#59
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#107
Layup/Dunks-0.3#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#14
Freethrows+1.6#89
Improvement-2.8#347

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#51
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#27
Layups/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#226
Freethrows+1.6#76
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.1% 3.2% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.3% 32.0% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 31.0% 31.7% 17.8%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 73.6% 74.9% 48.2%
.500 or above in Conference 41.3% 41.8% 31.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.9% 1.9%
First Four7.7% 7.7% 5.9%
First Round27.5% 28.2% 14.8%
Second Round13.6% 14.0% 6.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.1% 1.1%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 24 - 27 - 14
Quad 34 - 011 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 225 Campbell W 96-64 94%     1 - 0 +25.0 +17.9 +6.6
  Fri, Nov 7 328 Northern Illinois W 97-72 98%     2 - 0 +12.1 +12.1 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 11 306 Ball St. W 86-55 97%     3 - 0 +19.8 +11.0 +9.5
  Mon, Nov 17 249 SIU Edwardsville W 94-69 95%     4 - 0 +17.0 +25.4 -7.0
  Fri, Nov 21 11 BYU L 70-98 21%     4 - 1 -8.4 +1.1 -7.8
  Thu, Nov 27 78 Providence W 104-83 65%     5 - 1 +28.1 +16.5 +8.6
  Fri, Nov 28 53 TCU L 63-74 55%     5 - 2 -1.1 -6.0 +5.5
  Wed, Dec 3 57 Northwestern W 85-73 69%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +18.0 +14.9 +3.2
  Sat, Dec 6 105 Marquette W 96-76 82%     7 - 2 +21.4 +14.7 +4.5
  Wed, Dec 10 25 @Nebraska L 60-90 25%     7 - 3 1 - 1 -11.9 -4.2 -7.8
  Fri, Dec 19 32 Villanova L 66-76 OT 39%     7 - 4 +4.0 +0.8 +3.0
  Mon, Dec 22 323 Central Michigan W 88-61 98%     8 - 4 +14.2 +11.7 +3.7
  Tue, Dec 30 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88-71 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 5 Purdue L 72-80 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 30 UCLA L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 1 @Michigan L 71-90 4%    
  Tue, Jan 13 96 @Minnesota W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 147 Rutgers W 81-68 89%    
  Thu, Jan 22 126 @Penn St. W 82-76 70%    
  Sun, Jan 25 38 USC W 81-79 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 96 Minnesota W 74-66 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 31 Ohio St. W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 29 @Indiana L 73-80 27%    
  Tue, Feb 10 10 @Illinois L 73-85 14%    
  Fri, Feb 13 16 Michigan St. L 71-74 38%    
  Tue, Feb 17 31 @Ohio St. L 75-81 30%    
  Sun, Feb 22 18 Iowa L 71-73 41%    
  Wed, Feb 25 56 @Oregon L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 48 @Washington L 75-78 40%    
  Wed, Mar 4 94 Maryland W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 5 @Purdue L 69-83 11%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 2.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.7 1.7 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 5.7 3.4 0.3 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 12.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.8 1.7 0.1 11.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 2.4 0.2 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 3.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 6.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.4 8.0 12.1 15.6 16.2 14.8 11.6 7.8 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0%
17-3 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 15.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 5.6% 94.4% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.7% 100.0% 2.7% 97.3% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.1% 98.4% 4.0% 94.4% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.3%
13-7 4.0% 96.9% 1.8% 95.0% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.8%
12-8 7.8% 88.1% 0.7% 87.3% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.9 88.0%
11-9 11.6% 72.6% 0.3% 72.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.0 3.2 72.5%
10-10 14.8% 43.1% 0.2% 42.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.0 0.1 8.4 43.0%
9-11 16.2% 14.2% 0.2% 14.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 0.2 13.9 14.0%
8-12 15.6% 2.2% 0.1% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 15.3 2.2%
7-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
6-14 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 8.0
5-15 4.4% 4.4
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.6% 0.6
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 31.3% 0.4% 30.9% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.5 5.1 5.9 6.6 6.6 0.4 68.7 31.0%