Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +8.8 #63
Expected Predictive Rating +8.6 #72
Pace 70.2 #163
Improvement -4.6 #355

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #45 B+ C A+ D+ B-
Defense #114 C C+ C+ C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #71 1.29 #59 +5.4 #34
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #214 0.79 #135 -0.3 #194
Three Pointers 38% #234 1.07 #114 -0.3 #191
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #66 +4.8 #65
Freethrows 18.0 #143 67% #320 12.0 #212
Second Chance 36.8% #32 1.28 #10 0.47 #9
Turnovers 18.3% #268
Total Offense +7.1 #45

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #352 1.11 #118 +6.6 #22
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #121 0.76 #188 -0.8 #243
Three Pointers 49% #24 1.06 #245 -5.4 #340
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #164 +0.4 #163
Freethrows 16.1 #130 73% #186 11.7 #136
Second Chance 28.4% #109 1.07 #222 0.30 #149
Turnovers 17.6% #133
Total Defense +1.7 #114

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #110 -2% #40
Shot Type Make Effect 8.2% #66 1.2% #205
Possession Length 16.5 #116 18.0 #302
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #64 0.16 #146
Improvement -2.7 #342 -1.9 #316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 2.0% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 27.2% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.2% 26.9% 10.7%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 58.6% 76.5% 51.7%
.500 or above in Conference 17.7% 31.1% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 20.1% 10.6% 23.8%
First Four4.1% 5.7% 3.5%
First Round13.0% 23.8% 8.9%
Second Round5.1% 10.0% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.7% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 13
Quad 23 - 36 - 15
Quad 32 - 08 - 16
Quad 49 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 267 @Howard W 88-67 86%     13.5   1 - 0 +18.0 +13.6 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 7 224 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 92%     1.8   2 - 0 -1.7 +4.8 -7.0
  Sun, Nov 9 331 VMI W 106-68 97%     11.4   3 - 0 +24.3 +16.5 +5.0
  Wed, Nov 12 95 Minnesota W 83-60 72%     3.4   4 - 0 +25.9 +23.6 +5.4
  Mon, Nov 17 321 Prairie View W 91-73 97%     18.8   5 - 0 +5.3 +4.7 -0.9
  Thu, Nov 20 293 South Dakota W 102-68 95%     13.6   6 - 0 +23.6 +16.0 +5.7
  Tue, Nov 25 359 South Carolina St. W 98-66 99%     23.6   7 - 0 +13.6 +16.5 -2.9
  Fri, Nov 28 325 Cleveland St. W 86-59 97%     19.1   8 - 0 +14.1 +2.6 +11.2
  Tue, Dec 2 60 @Notre Dame L 71-76 38%     1.5   8 - 1 +7.1 +7.0 +0.0
  Sun, Dec 7 16 @Kansas L 60-80 14%     -8.0   8 - 2 +0.5 +3.5 -4.3
  Thu, Dec 11 294 Alabama St. W 85-77 95%     10.7   9 - 2 -2.5 +15.9 -17.5
  Sun, Dec 14 278 Bethune-Cookman W 82-60 95%     14.6   10 - 2 +12.5 +7.7 +5.8
  Mon, Dec 22 8 Illinois L 48-91 14%     -16.6   10 - 3 -22.6 -11.4 -16.5
  Sat, Jan 3 13 Florida L 76-82 28%    
  Wed, Jan 7 20 @Kentucky L 73-84 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 61 @Mississippi L 73-76 38%    
  Wed, Jan 14 31 Auburn L 78-81 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 38 @LSU L 76-83 25%    
  Tue, Jan 20 21 Georgia L 84-88 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 46 Oklahoma W 80-79 53%    
  Tue, Jan 27 14 @Alabama L 82-94 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 71 Mississippi St. W 80-76 64%    
  Sat, Feb 7 85 @South Carolina L 74-75 46%    
  Wed, Feb 11 44 @Texas A&M L 81-87 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 43 Texas L 79-80 49%    
  Wed, Feb 18 9 Vanderbilt L 77-85 22%    
  Sat, Feb 21 24 @Arkansas L 78-88 18%    
  Tue, Feb 24 15 Tennessee L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 71 @Mississippi St. L 77-79 42%    
  Tue, Mar 3 46 @Oklahoma L 77-82 31%    
  Sat, Mar 7 24 Arkansas L 81-85 36%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.4 2.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 1.3 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.6 3.6 1.7 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 5.2 1.7 0.1 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 5.3 4.0 0.4 10.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 4.4 5.3 1.1 11.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.9 1.9 0.1 12.8 14th
15th 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.0 2.7 0.3 13.7 15th
16th 0.3 1.7 3.3 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 16th
Total 0.3 1.8 4.3 8.3 12.9 14.6 15.0 14.1 11.0 7.9 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 47.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.5% 98.0% 2.0% 96.1% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.0%
12-6 1.3% 96.9% 3.1% 93.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 96.7%
11-7 2.9% 86.1% 1.7% 84.4% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 85.8%
10-8 4.8% 76.6% 0.2% 76.4% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.4 1.1 76.6%
9-9 7.9% 53.2% 0.6% 52.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.2 3.7 52.9%
8-10 11.0% 21.0% 0.4% 20.7% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 0.1 8.7 20.7%
7-11 14.1% 4.5% 0.1% 4.5% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 13.5 4.5%
6-12 15.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 14.9 0.3%
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 12.9
3-15 8.3% 8.3
2-16 4.3% 4.3
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 15.4% 0.3% 15.2% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.6 0.1 84.6 15.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%