Missouri
Southeastern
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#188
Pace69.5#173
Improvement+1.9#41

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#196
First Shot-1.6#219
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#111
Layup/Dunks+4.2#57
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#307
Freethrows-0.6#229
Improvement-0.6#243

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#82
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#169
Layups/Dunks+1.2#151
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows+3.2#21
Improvement+2.5#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Average Seed 9.8 9.8 9.8
.500 or above 4.9% 7.9% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.0% 8.1% 4.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 33.5% 28.7% 38.1%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 49.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 13
Quad 23 - 54 - 18
Quad 32 - 27 - 20
Quad 44 - 110 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 302   Central Michigan W 78-68 89%     1 - 0 -0.9 -0.6 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2021 215   UMKC L 66-80 77%     1 - 1 -19.3 -12.5 -6.1
  Nov 18, 2021 310   Northern Illinois W 54-37 90%     2 - 1 +5.7 -14.6 +22.7
  Nov 21, 2021 100   SMU W 80-75 OT 41%     3 - 1 +9.9 -0.8 +10.1
  Nov 22, 2021 26   Florida St. L 58-81 16%     3 - 2 -9.8 -5.1 -5.5
  Nov 26, 2021 53   Wichita St. L 55-61 39%     3 - 3 -0.6 -11.2 +10.5
  Dec 02, 2021 174   @ Liberty L 62-63 49%    
  Dec 07, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 77-58 97%    
  Dec 11, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 65-83 6%    
  Dec 18, 2021 56   Utah L 67-70 41%    
  Dec 22, 2021 30   Illinois L 66-76 17%    
  Dec 29, 2021 12   @ Kentucky L 62-78 7%    
  Jan 05, 2022 38   Mississippi St. L 63-68 32%    
  Jan 08, 2022 13   Alabama L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 12, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 66-80 10%    
  Jan 15, 2022 82   Texas A&M L 64-65 45%    
  Jan 18, 2022 77   @ Mississippi L 60-67 25%    
  Jan 22, 2022 13   @ Alabama L 67-83 7%    
  Jan 25, 2022 21   Auburn L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 58   @ Iowa St. L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 02, 2022 14   Florida L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 82   @ Texas A&M L 61-68 26%    
  Feb 08, 2022 75   @ Vanderbilt L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 12, 2022 77   Mississippi L 63-64 46%    
  Feb 15, 2022 25   Arkansas L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 38   @ Mississippi St. L 60-71 16%    
  Feb 22, 2022 23   Tennessee L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 26, 2022 10   @ LSU L 63-80 7%    
  Mar 01, 2022 99   @ South Carolina L 69-75 32%    
  Mar 05, 2022 159   Georgia W 73-68 68%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 2.4 0.9 0.1 4.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.9 1.9 0.2 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.0 1.1 0.1 12.9 11th
12th 0.3 2.1 6.5 6.5 2.2 0.1 17.6 12th
13th 0.7 4.5 9.1 7.3 2.1 0.1 23.7 13th
14th 1.8 5.5 7.7 4.7 1.4 0.1 21.3 14th
Total 1.8 6.2 12.5 16.0 16.6 15.2 12.1 8.0 5.8 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 10.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 70.0% 3.3% 66.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 69.0%
11-7 0.7% 46.4% 46.4% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 46.4%
10-8 1.8% 21.2% 1.1% 20.1% 10.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5 20.3%
9-9 3.1% 3.8% 0.3% 3.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.5%
8-10 5.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7 0.7%
7-11 8.0% 8.0
6-12 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-13 15.2% 15.2
4-14 16.6% 16.6
3-15 16.0% 16.0
2-16 12.5% 12.5
1-17 6.2% 6.2
0-18 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.8 1.1%