Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#82
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#40
Pace63.6#309
Improvement+0.1#160

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#128
First Shot+2.1#118
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#225
Layup/Dunks+2.9#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#222
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement-0.7#260

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#51
First Shot+5.9#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#242
Layups/Dunks+3.3#65
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows+1.6#95
Improvement+0.8#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.8% 1.9% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 17.7% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.3% 17.1% 5.8%
Average Seed 9.4 9.3 10.0
.500 or above 79.9% 81.6% 58.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 31.8% 19.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 7.6% 12.1%
First Four4.6% 4.8% 2.3%
First Round14.4% 15.1% 5.2%
Second Round6.3% 6.6% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 93.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 36 - 12
Quad 35 - 211 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 287   North Florida W 64-46 93%     1 - 0 +8.2 -15.8 +23.8
  Nov 12, 2021 143   Abilene Christian W 81-80 2OT 77%     2 - 0 -0.3 +0.2 -0.7
  Nov 14, 2021 318   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 86-65 95%     3 - 0 +9.2 +14.9 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2021 353   Houston Baptist W 73-39 98%     4 - 0 +15.2 -9.8 +25.9
  Nov 22, 2021 31   Wisconsin L 58-69 29%     4 - 1 +1.3 -3.1 +3.8
  Nov 23, 2021 103   Butler W 57-50 59%     5 - 1 +11.3 -3.8 +16.1
  Nov 24, 2021 64   Notre Dame W 73-67 46%     6 - 1 +13.4 -0.7 +14.0
  Nov 30, 2021 274   New Orleans W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 11, 2021 90   TCU W 65-64 53%    
  Dec 14, 2021 163   Tulane W 68-59 80%    
  Dec 18, 2021 127   @ Oregon St. W 63-62 54%    
  Dec 21, 2021 343   Northwestern St. W 81-58 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 340   Central Arkansas W 80-58 98%    
  Jan 04, 2022 159   @ Georgia W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 25   Arkansas L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 11, 2022 77   Mississippi W 63-60 60%    
  Jan 15, 2022 128   @ Missouri W 65-64 55%    
  Jan 19, 2022 12   Kentucky L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 22, 2022 25   @ Arkansas L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 26, 2022 10   @ LSU L 62-75 13%    
  Jan 29, 2022 99   South Carolina W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 01, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 61-71 18%    
  Feb 05, 2022 128   Missouri W 68-61 74%    
  Feb 08, 2022 10   LSU L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 21   @ Auburn L 64-74 18%    
  Feb 15, 2022 14   Florida L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 19, 2022 75   @ Vanderbilt L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 22, 2022 159   Georgia W 72-63 79%    
  Feb 26, 2022 77   @ Mississippi L 60-63 39%    
  Mar 02, 2022 13   @ Alabama L 65-77 15%    
  Mar 05, 2022 38   Mississippi St. L 63-64 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.1 0.2 3.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.3 2.0 0.2 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.8 0.5 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 5.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 5.2 6.2 1.7 0.1 14.2 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 4.4 5.8 1.9 0.1 13.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.5 1.7 0.2 10.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.3 0.1 7.3 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 4.0 14th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.2 8.0 11.3 13.9 15.4 13.7 11.5 8.2 5.4 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 72.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 40.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 7.0% 93.0% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.8% 96.0% 7.9% 88.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.7%
12-6 3.2% 90.1% 5.6% 84.5% 8.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 89.5%
11-7 5.4% 73.0% 2.0% 70.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 1.5 72.4%
10-8 8.2% 45.2% 0.9% 44.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 4.5 44.7%
9-9 11.5% 23.0% 0.3% 22.7% 10.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.9 22.8%
8-10 13.7% 7.3% 0.6% 6.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 12.7 6.8%
7-11 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 11.4 0.1 0.0 15.3 0.7%
6-12 13.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.1%
5-13 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 11.3
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 16.9% 0.7% 16.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.0 4.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 83.1 16.3%