Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#30
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#40
Pace66.0#269
Improvement-0.3#202

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#45
First Shot-0.1#181
After Offensive Rebound+6.0#2
Layup/Dunks+3.0#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#308
Freethrows+3.8#26
Improvement-0.9#252

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#20
First Shot+8.5#9
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#277
Layups/Dunks+6.6#24
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#131
Freethrows+0.2#176
Improvement+0.6#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.3% 2.1% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 4.3% 6.7% 2.3%
Top 4 Seed 18.2% 25.2% 12.3%
Top 6 Seed 37.0% 47.1% 28.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71.6% 81.1% 63.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.9% 80.4% 62.7%
Average Seed 6.6 6.2 7.0
.500 or above 84.8% 92.2% 78.3%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 58.7% 47.5%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.6% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.6% 5.9%
First Four7.8% 6.8% 8.6%
First Round68.0% 78.0% 59.4%
Second Round44.9% 53.5% 37.5%
Sweet Sixteen20.2% 25.1% 16.0%
Elite Eight8.1% 10.3% 6.3%
Final Four3.3% 4.3% 2.4%
Championship Game1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
National Champion0.5% 0.6% 0.4%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Neutral) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 11
Quad 26 - 213 - 13
Quad 31 - 015 - 13
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 83   @ Central Florida L 61-64 63%     0 - 1 +6.5 -3.1 +9.4
  Nov 08, 2024 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +15.7 +10.2 +6.8
  Nov 11, 2024 280   Lamar W 97-71 97%     2 - 1 +16.6 +17.4 -1.4
  Nov 15, 2024 29   Ohio St. W 78-64 61%     3 - 1 +24.0 +12.6 +12.0
  Nov 20, 2024 234   Southern W 71-54 96%     4 - 1 +10.1 +2.6 +8.7
  Nov 26, 2024 22   Oregon L 70-80 45%     4 - 2 +4.3 +5.4 -1.3
  Nov 27, 2024 40   Creighton W 77-73 55%     5 - 2 +15.7 +8.8 +6.8
  Nov 30, 2024 58   Rutgers W 81-77 63%     6 - 2 +13.5 +5.7 +7.5
  Dec 03, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 57-44 83%     7 - 2 +16.0 -5.0 +22.5
  Dec 08, 2024 24   Texas Tech L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 14, 2024 21   Purdue L 69-71 45%    
  Dec 20, 2024 351   Houston Christian W 85-56 99.6%   
  Dec 28, 2024 178   Abilene Christian W 78-61 94%    
  Jan 04, 2025 34   Texas W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 08, 2025 41   @ Oklahoma L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 5   Alabama L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 14, 2025 9   @ Kentucky L 72-80 24%    
  Jan 18, 2025 47   LSU W 75-69 70%    
  Jan 22, 2025 26   @ Mississippi L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 34   @ Texas L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 41   Oklahoma W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 69   @ South Carolina W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 63   @ Missouri W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 11, 2025 38   Georgia W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 33   Arkansas W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 18, 2025 15   @ Mississippi St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 4   Tennessee L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 67   Vanderbilt W 77-70 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 10   @ Florida L 72-79 25%    
  Mar 04, 2025 3   Auburn L 73-77 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 47   @ LSU L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.7 2.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 4.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.2 3.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.5 4.7 1.1 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.5 0.1 8.7 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 3.9 0.5 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 4.2 1.4 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.4 2.7 0.2 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 5.8 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 5.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.4 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.6 6.2 9.6 11.9 13.6 13.7 12.7 10.0 7.5 4.6 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.7% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 71.1% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
14-4 38.3% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.6% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 2.6 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.6% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 3.3 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 7.5% 100.0% 7.1% 92.9% 4.2 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 10.0% 99.9% 4.3% 95.6% 5.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 3.0 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
10-8 12.7% 99.6% 2.2% 97.4% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.5 3.4 2.9 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6%
9-9 13.7% 97.7% 1.5% 96.2% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 97.6%
8-10 13.6% 84.2% 0.5% 83.7% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.6 0.2 2.2 84.1%
7-11 11.9% 50.7% 0.2% 50.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.9 0.5 5.9 50.6%
6-12 9.6% 17.6% 0.2% 17.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.9 17.4%
5-13 6.2% 2.8% 0.1% 2.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.1 2.7%
4-14 3.6% 3.6
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 71.6% 2.6% 69.0% 6.6 1.3 3.0 6.1 7.8 9.2 9.5 8.6 6.7 5.8 5.4 7.2 1.1 0.0 28.4 70.9%