North Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#329
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#305
Pace68.7#205
Improvement-0.3#204

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#92
Layup/Dunks-0.9#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#199
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement-0.7#256

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#345
First Shot-9.0#357
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#87
Layups/Dunks-3.9#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#267
Freethrows-1.9#287
Improvement+0.4#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 2.0% 5.0% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 12.7% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.8% 23.8% 33.2%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 47 - 118 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 267   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 60-75 41%     0 - 1 -23.6 -18.2 -5.1
  Nov 15, 2021 205   Montana W 79-77 28%     1 - 1 -2.9 +7.2 -10.0
  Nov 19, 2021 242   Troy W 74-72 26%     2 - 1 -2.1 +3.1 -5.1
  Nov 20, 2021 222   @ Florida Atlantic L 79-98 15%     2 - 2 -18.6 +6.0 -25.0
  Nov 21, 2021 345   Tennessee Martin L 72-77 60%     2 - 3 -18.6 -13.4 -4.8
  Nov 24, 2021 225   @ Florida International L 56-65 15%     2 - 4 -8.8 -8.4 -1.4
  Nov 28, 2021 91   @ Kansas St. L 42-84 4%     2 - 5 -33.1 -24.1 -8.7
  Dec 03, 2021 294   @ San Jose St. L 71-78 25%    
  Dec 07, 2021 218   @ California Baptist L 69-81 14%    
  Dec 11, 2021 203   Eastern Washington L 74-80 28%    
  Dec 18, 2021 308   Dixie St. W 80-79 50%    
  Dec 22, 2021 166   @ North Dakota St. L 62-76 10%    
  Dec 30, 2021 233   South Dakota L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 01, 2022 59   South Dakota St. L 73-89 7%    
  Jan 06, 2022 331   @ Nebraska Omaha L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 08, 2022 324   @ Denver L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 13, 2022 190   Western Illinois L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 15, 2022 330   St. Thomas W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 20, 2022 171   @ Oral Roberts L 72-86 11%    
  Jan 22, 2022 215   @ UMKC L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 27, 2022 59   @ South Dakota St. L 70-92 3%    
  Jan 29, 2022 233   @ South Dakota L 69-80 18%    
  Feb 03, 2022 324   Denver W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 331   Nebraska Omaha W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 10, 2022 330   @ St. Thomas L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 12, 2022 190   @ Western Illinois L 70-83 13%    
  Feb 17, 2022 215   UMKC L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 19, 2022 171   Oral Roberts L 75-83 25%    
  Feb 26, 2022 166   North Dakota St. L 65-73 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 3rd
4th 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.6 4th
5th 0.4 1.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.9 1.2 0.2 10.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 6.8 5.4 1.7 0.2 17.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.8 8.6 5.3 1.3 0.1 20.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 6.3 9.0 4.4 0.8 0.0 22.4 9th
10th 1.0 3.7 6.9 5.9 2.6 0.4 0.0 20.4 10th
Total 1.0 3.8 8.7 13.0 16.7 16.6 14.0 10.7 7.4 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 44.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 7.7% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.4
9-9 4.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 4.2
8-10 7.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.4
7-11 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 16.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.5
4-14 16.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.7
3-15 13.0% 13.0
2-16 8.7% 8.7
1-17 3.8% 3.8
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%