Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#162
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#152
Pace68.7#204
Improvement+1.7#52

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#75
First Shot+3.4#83
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#145
Layup/Dunks+0.3#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#189
Freethrows+4.4#8
Improvement-0.2#196

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#288
First Shot-2.8#269
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#241
Layups/Dunks+0.8#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#258
Freethrows-1.1#246
Improvement+1.8#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.4% 14.2% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 85.4% 88.7% 70.2%
.500 or above in Conference 77.6% 79.7% 67.6%
Conference Champion 17.3% 18.5% 11.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 1.3% 2.5%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round13.2% 14.0% 9.5%
Second Round1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 82.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 414 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 84   @ Davidson L 71-93 20%     0 - 1 -12.7 +1.9 -15.0
  Nov 13, 2021 306   @ Siena W 83-63 70%     1 - 1 +14.9 +12.3 +3.5
  Nov 17, 2021 243   La Salle W 85-82 OT 76%     2 - 1 -4.1 +1.6 -6.0
  Nov 22, 2021 172   Appalachian St. W 75-68 53%     3 - 1 +6.8 +10.8 -3.3
  Nov 23, 2021 248   Fordham W 81-71 69%     4 - 1 +5.3 +7.6 -2.4
  Nov 24, 2021 122   Oakland L 73-81 41%     4 - 2 -5.2 +2.6 -7.7
  Nov 27, 2021 148   @ Temple L 74-75 35%     4 - 3 +3.3 +3.3 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 281   LIU Brooklyn W 83-73 82%    
  Dec 02, 2021 356   @ Delaware St. W 87-71 94%    
  Dec 05, 2021 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-72 70%    
  Dec 08, 2021 276   Lafayette W 80-70 82%    
  Dec 21, 2021 106   Iona L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 29, 2021 282   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-69 63%    
  Dec 31, 2021 202   @ College of Charleston L 83-84 48%    
  Jan 03, 2022 164   James Madison W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 05, 2022 169   Towson W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 11, 2022 168   @ Drexel L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 15, 2022 131   @ Hofstra L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 17, 2022 149   @ Northeastern L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 20, 2022 333   William & Mary W 81-66 91%    
  Jan 22, 2022 268   Elon W 80-71 79%    
  Jan 27, 2022 169   @ Towson L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 29, 2022 164   @ James Madison L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 168   Drexel W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 10, 2022 149   Northeastern W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 12, 2022 131   Hofstra W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 17, 2022 268   @ Elon W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 19, 2022 333   @ William & Mary W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 24, 2022 202   College of Charleston W 86-81 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 282   UNC Wilmington W 76-66 80%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 3.7 5.4 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 17.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.8 5.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.9 5.2 1.5 0.1 14.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.0 4.9 1.0 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.1 4.3 0.9 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.0 3.8 6.5 8.8 11.6 13.5 13.7 13.3 10.4 7.8 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 99.0% 2.0    1.9 0.1
15-3 89.4% 3.8    3.0 0.8 0.0
14-4 69.5% 5.4    3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 35.1% 3.7    1.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
12-6 9.6% 1.3    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.3% 17.3 10.4 5.1 1.4 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 41.7% 41.7% 12.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.0% 36.5% 36.5% 13.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3
15-3 4.3% 32.4% 32.4% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 2.9
14-4 7.8% 29.2% 29.2% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.5
13-5 10.4% 21.0% 21.0% 14.3 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.1 8.2
12-6 13.3% 16.2% 16.2% 14.7 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 11.2
11-7 13.7% 11.5% 11.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 12.1
10-8 13.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 12.3
9-9 11.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 10.8
8-10 8.8% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.4
7-11 6.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 6.4
6-12 3.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 3.7
5-13 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.4% 13.4% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.2 4.7 1.9 86.6 0.0%