Chicago St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.7#336
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#305
Pace71.0#136
Improvement+1.6#84

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#311
First Shot-4.9#315
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks-4.2#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#351
Freethrows+0.7#123
Improvement-0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#336
First Shot-4.2#319
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#281
Layups/Dunks-0.6#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#356
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement+1.7#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 8.6% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 4.7% 1.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 75.0% 50.6%
Conference Champion 7.5% 12.0% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 3.8% 10.4%
First Four6.7% 8.2% 5.2%
First Round3.0% 3.8% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Home) - 47.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 410 - 1010 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 @DePaul L 62-92 7%     0 - 1 -23.7 -7.9 -14.6
  Thu, Nov 6 37 @Saint Louis L 86-108 1%     0 - 2 -5.9 +5.1 -7.0
  Tue, Nov 11 50 @Butler L 66-98 2%     0 - 3 -18.7 -3.7 -13.6
  Sat, Nov 15 200 Illinois-Chicago L 63-67 31%     0 - 4 -9.4 -6.4 -3.5
  Tue, Nov 18 96 @Minnesota L 54-66 5%     0 - 5 -3.2 -7.9 +3.3
  Thu, Nov 20 18 @Iowa L 54-93 1%     0 - 6 -19.5 -1.5 -23.7
  Tue, Nov 25 199 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-90 15%     0 - 7 -12.4 +5.2 -18.0
  Fri, Nov 28 163 @Youngstown St. L 64-87 11%     0 - 8 -20.4 -6.2 -14.1
  Sat, Dec 6 82 @Illinois St. L 53-95 4%     0 - 9 -32.1 -13.6 -20.4
  Sun, Dec 14 270 @Loyola Chicago W 84-75 23%     1 - 9 +6.1 +5.0 +0.8
  Tue, Dec 16 117 @Bowling Green L 55-76 7%     1 - 10 -14.8 -9.9 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 20 29 @Indiana L 58-78 1%     1 - 11 -2.4 -4.6 +1.9
  Fri, Jan 2 295 Wagner L 73-74 48%    
  Sun, Jan 4 206 LIU Brooklyn L 75-80 32%    
  Thu, Jan 8 357 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 338 @Stonehill L 68-71 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 312 Le Moyne W 80-79 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 340 New Haven W 71-67 63%    
  Fri, Jan 23 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 76-74 57%    
  Sun, Jan 25 318 @Mercyhurst L 67-71 34%    
  Thu, Jan 29 361 St. Francis (PA) W 79-71 76%    
  Sat, Jan 31 318 Mercyhurst W 70-68 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 278 @Central Connecticut St. L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 340 @New Haven L 68-70 42%    
  Thu, Feb 12 338 Stonehill W 71-68 62%    
  Sat, Feb 14 312 @Le Moyne L 77-82 33%    
  Thu, Feb 19 357 Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-73 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 278 Central Connecticut St. L 71-72 44%    
  Thu, Feb 26 206 @LIU Brooklyn L 72-83 16%    
  Sat, Feb 28 295 @Wagner L 70-77 28%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.8 0.8 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.1 4.4 0.7 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 6.0 5.3 0.8 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.5 1.1 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.0 5.4 1.4 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.5 1.5 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.2 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 3.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.1 10.5 13.1 14.5 14.3 12.1 9.5 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-1 95.1% 0.6    0.6 0.0 0.0
14-2 88.1% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
13-3 63.7% 2.3    1.3 0.9 0.1
12-4 32.7% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0
11-5 9.4% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
10-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 40.3% 40.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.1
15-1 0.7% 29.4% 29.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.5
14-2 1.6% 23.9% 23.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 1.2
13-3 3.5% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.7 2.8
12-4 5.9% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 1.0 4.9
11-5 9.5% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 1.1 8.4
10-6 12.1% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.1 11.0
9-7 14.3% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.8 13.5
8-8 14.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 13.8
7-9 13.1% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.7
6-10 10.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.2
5-11 7.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.0
4-12 4.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.0
3-13 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-14 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9 93.1 0.0%