Oregon
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.1 91
Expected Predictive Rating +3.0 117
Pace 65.5 262
Improvement -1.9 265

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 102 C B+ C B- B-
Defense B- 80 B- B C B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 172 C- 57% 203 -0.3 194
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 291 B- 42% 65 -1.3 255
Three Pointers 46% 78 C 34% 182 +2.4 99
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 96 C +0.1 170
1st FG Attempt C 1.04 147
Second Chance B 35.7% 43 B 1.12 58 B+ 0.40 36
Turnovers C 16.9% 182
Freethrows B- 0.33 91 C+ 74% 143 B- 0.25 116
Total Offense C+ +2.8 102

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 60% 29 B 8.5% 53
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 32 A 0.9% 6
Three Pointers C 85% 178 F 2.2% 355
Total B+ 65% 27 B 4.4% 53

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 329 B+ 51% 35 -6.0 23
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 43 D 43% 325 +3.3 358
Three Pointers 42% 140 C+ 33% 150 +0.3 195
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.1 27 C+ -1.3 123
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 102
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 135 A- 0.87 16 B 0.25 46
Turnovers C 16.9% 174
Freethrows B 0.27 60 D- 76% 339 B- 0.20 105
Total Defense B- +3.3 80

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 25 B+ 15.8% 40
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 233 C 5.3% 139
Three Pointers B 79% 44 B+ 2.0% 36
Total B 49% 57 B 7.2% 65

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 189 18.2 308
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 202 0.16 139
Improvement -1.9 #277 -0.1 #198

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 105 91 75
Conference Record 2 - 18 3 - 17 5 - 15
Conference Finish 18 17 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 49% 22% 58%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 13
Quad 21 - 61 - 19
Quad 33 - 15 - 21
Quad 46 - 010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 117 Hawaii W 60 - 59 72% +3  62% 1 - 0 C +1 F -16 F A- F A+ +17 A+ B- A
 Fri, Nov 7 233 Rice W 67 - 63 88% +0  45% 2 - 0 C- -3 F -10 F B D A- +8 B B+ B+
 Wed, Nov 12 206 South Dakota St. W 83 - 69 86% +5  88% 3 - 0 B +8 B- +4 C+ B B- B +4 B- B C-
 Mon, Nov 17 160 Oregon St. W 87 - 75 81% +7  97% 4 - 0 B +9 A +13 A- A- C D+ -3 B- C- C
 Mon, Nov 24 33 Auburn L 73 - 84 21% -3  13% 4 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 D- A+ F B- +3 A C F
 Tue, Nov 25 43 San Diego St. L 80 - 97 29% -10  9% 4 - 2 D+ -5 A +14 A+ C A- F -19 F F+ A
 Thu, Nov 27 60 Creighton L 66 - 76 38% -6  5% 4 - 3 C -1 D -5 F+ B B B- +3 A- A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 53 USC L 77 - 82 45% +1  46% 4 - 4 0 - 1 C+ +2 B+ +8 A A D D -6 D C- A
 Sat, Dec 6 39 @UCLA L 63 - 74 17% -8  4% 4 - 5 0 - 2 B- +5 B- +4 F A+ B- C -1 C+ C- C+
 Sat, Dec 13 179 UC Davis W 104 - 62 83% +30  99% 5 - 5 A+ +38 A+ +23 A+ A+ B A+ +13 A+ B+ B-
 Wed, Dec 17 219 Portland W 94 - 69 87% +11  95% 6 - 5 A +19 B +6 A+ C+ D A +10 B+ B+ B
 Sun, Dec 21 10 Gonzaga L 82 - 91 11% -4  20% 6 - 6 B +10 A+ +19 A- A+ A F+ -9 C+ A F
 Sun, Dec 28 240 Nebraska Omaha W 80 - 57 89% +11  98% 7 - 6 A- +16 B +7 B C B- A +11 A+ C- D-
 Fri, Jan 2 107 @Maryland W 64 - 54 46% +5  92% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A- +17 D+ -3 B- D+ F A+ +21 A+ A+ D
 Mon, Jan 5 109 @Rutgers L 85 - 88 OT 47% +1  50% 8 - 7 1 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +8 C A+ F D+ -4 C- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 34 Ohio St. L 62 - 72 30% -8  1% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C +1 D+ -3 F B A+ B- +3 A D A-
 Tue, Jan 13 13 @Nebraska L 55 - 90 8% -14  4% 8 - 9 1 - 5 D- -13 D+ -2 B C- F F -14 F+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 1 Michigan L 71 - 81 6% -6  5% 8 - 10 1 - 6 B+ +14 A- +11 C+ A+ B B- +3 C+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 11 Michigan St. L 52 - 68 17% -4  16% 8 - 11 1 - 7 C +0 D -4 C+ B+ C+ C+ +2 F+ A- B+
 Sun, Jan 25 44 @Washington L 57 - 72 21% -12  0% 8 - 12 1 - 8 C -0 D- -6 D- F C+ B +5 C- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 39 UCLA L 57 - 73 34% -11  3% 8 - 13 1 - 9 D+ -6 D- -6 C- F A- C -1 A+ F F
 Sun, Feb 1 26 Iowa L 66 - 84 26% -7  4% 8 - 14 1 - 10 D+ -5 B+ +8 D- A+ A+ F -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 8 @Purdue L 64 - 68 5% -3  15% 8 - 15 1 - 11 A +20 C +1 B C D+ A+ +19 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 37 @Indiana L 74 - 92 16% -7  22% 8 - 16 1 - 12 C -1 B+ +9 B A A+ F -11 F A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 115 Penn St. W 83 - 72 72% +5  77% 9 - 16 2 - 12 B +11 A- +11 A+ C- F+ C+ +1 A B C-
 Tue, Feb 17 66 Minnesota L 44 - 61 52% -5  6% 9 - 17 2 - 13 D- -11 F -20 F C D+ B+ +6 B- A A
 Sat, Feb 21 53 @USC L 71 - 78 25%
 Wed, Feb 25 29 Wisconsin L 73 - 79 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 67 @Northwestern L 69 - 74 31%
 Tue, Mar 3 5 @Illinois L 64 - 84 3%
 Sat, Mar 7 44 Washington L 71 - 73 41%
Totals 10 - 21 3 - 17 +6 C+ +3 A+ C B- B- +3 C C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- B- C C 39% 28% 46% B- C B B B+ C B- C+ B- B- B+ D C+ C+ 32% 26% 42% B+ B- C+ A- B C B D- B-
1.13 57% 42% 34% 0 +1 1.04 36% 1.1 .40 17% .33 74% .25 1.04 51% 43% 33% -1 -1 0.97 29% 0.9 .25 17% .27 76% .25
Nov
4		 Hawaii F D- F F F 59% 13% 28% A F A+ D+ A- F A+ F+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 44% A- A+ D+ A- B- A B- A+ B+
0.79 48% 17% 15% -16 +2 0.74 40% 0.9 .37 28% .48 62% .29 0.78 47% 25% 21% -15 0 0.71 33% 0.9 .29 24% .33 63% .21
Nov
7		 Rice F F F F F 26% 18% 55% B F A D B D A+ D- A+ A- A+ B F B+ 25% 30% 45% C+ B B- B+ B+ B+ A D A-
1.01 50% 14% 24% -15 -1 0.71 42% 0.9 .39 18% .70 68% .48 0.95 23% 31% 42% -5 -2 0.87 34% 0.8 .27 21% .21 73% .15
Nov
12		 South Dakota St. B- B+ B C+ B- 16% 16% 67% D C+ D A+ B B- D C+ D+ B B+ F B C 26% 31% 43% A+ B- A+ F B C- B A- B
1.18 67% 44% 35% +4 -1 1.07 24% 1.6 .38 14% .26 75% .20 0.98 50% 53% 30% 0 -2 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 16% .23 64% .15
Nov
17		 Oregon St. A D+ B- A+ A- 45% 11% 45% B A- A+ C A- C A+ D- A+ D+ C+ D B+ B- 36% 15% 49% D+ B- C- C+ C- C F+ F F
1.28 52% 40% 43% +4 +2 1.13 44% 1.0 .44 15% .67 69% .46 1.10 53% 43% 30% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.2 .33 18% .44 84% .37
Nov
24		 Auburn C F+ A+ F D- 24% 11% 64% B- D- A+ B- A+ F A+ B+ A+ B- D- D+ A+ A- 34% 29% 38% A+ A A F C F B F C
1.04 45% 60% 28% -7 0 0.89 48% 1.1 .52 26% .44 78% .35 1.20 68% 44% 24% -1 -1 0.98 32% 1.3 .42 9% .36 83% .30
Nov
25		 San Diego St. A F A+ A+ A+ 36% 12% 52% B+ A+ A- F+ C A- A A+ A+ F F F F F 29% 31% 40% B F F C F+ A A+ F A+
1.14 39% 50% 46% +4 +1 1.12 35% 0.7 .25 18% .38 82% .31 1.38 93% 69% 52% +31 -2 1.60 40% 1.1 .45 21% .16 89% .14
Nov
27		 Creighton D C+ B- F F+ 43% 32% 25% C- F+ A D B B D+ D- D+ B- B- A B A 46% 24% 30% C A- A+ A+ A+ F F+ F F
0.98 58% 39% 7% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .35 13% .19 64% .12 1.12 60% 31% 31% -2 0 0.98 18% 0.7 .12 7% .34 90% .30
Dec
2		 USC B+ F+ A+ A+ A 40% 13% 47% B+ A B A+ A D A+ F A+ D C+ F C+ D- 37% 24% 39% C+ D F A- C- A D C D
1.12 44% 67% 43% +5 +1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 20% .48 65% .31 1.20 59% 73% 33% +8 -1 1.17 45% 0.9 .39 22% .47 72% .34
Dec
6		 UCLA B- F F D- F 27% 16% 57% C+ F A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A+ C B C- F C- 20% 45% 34% A+ C+ F A+ C- C+ F+ F F
1.04 33% 29% 28% -13 0 0.75 43% 1.3 .54 18% .48 71% .34 1.22 56% 40% 47% +7 -4 1.07 47% 0.9 .41 15% .41 86% .35
Dec
13		 UC Davis A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 16% 41% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 27% 23% 50% B A+ A C B+ B- C+ D C
1.44 67% 50% 45% +12 +1 1.29 50% 1.6 .79 17% .45 74% .33 0.86 43% 42% 27% -9 -1 0.83 19% 1.0 .19 19% .33 79% .26
Dec
17		 Portland B A F A+ A+ 34% 14% 52% C+ A+ C- B+ C+ D B+ A+ A A C- A+ A A- 40% 21% 40% C+ B+ B+ B- B+ B A- D- B
1.19 70% 25% 43% +10 +1 1.22 30% 1.2 .36 19% .36 83% .30 0.88 61% 25% 26% -6 0 0.90 25% 1.1 .28 22% .23 79% .18
Dec
21		 Gonzaga A+ B- A+ C A 22% 20% 57% C+ A- B+ A+ A+ A D- A+ B F+ A- B+ F C- 29% 33% 37% A- C+ C+ A+ A F F F F
1.21 58% 55% 32% +2 -1 1.04 29% 1.7 .48 16% .23 100% .23 1.34 53% 35% 53% +8 -2 1.14 35% 0.9 .32 7% .45 82% .37
Dec
28		 Nebraska Omaha B B- F A+ B 32% 13% 55% C+ B A+ F C B- F+ F F A A+ F A+ A+ 27% 25% 47% B+ A+ C D+ C- D- C+ A+ A+
1.26 65% 29% 41% +7 +1 1.17 44% 0.7 .32 13% .23 46% .11 0.90 29% 62% 25% -8 -1 0.82 26% 1.1 .28 14% .27 47% .13
Jan
2		 Maryland D+ B- A+ D C+ 48% 14% 38% B+ B- D+ C- D+ F A+ F A- A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 28% 21% 51% B+ A+ B- A+ A+ D A+ F+ A-
0.99 60% 50% 31% +1 +1 1.07 25% 1.0 .25 22% .41 62% .26 0.83 27% 45% 19% -19 -1 0.62 33% 0.8 .24 15% .26 79% .20
Jan
5		 Rutgers B+ D F A- C 32% 15% 53% B- C A A+ A+ F B- C+ B- D+ A+ F D- D 27% 44% 29% A+ C- A A+ A+ F F F F
1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21 1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45
Jan
8		 Ohio St. D+ F B+ F F 28% 18% 54% B+ F B+ C B A+ A B- A B- D A+ A+ A+ 40% 24% 36% D+ A F B- D A- F C- F
0.99 36% 44% 22% -15 0 0.72 35% 1.0 .35 11% .36 75% .27 1.15 71% 30% 27% -1 0 1.00 43% 1.0 .43 19% .45 78% .35
Jan
13		 Nebraska D+ B C- D- C+ 33% 14% 52% A+ B D+ C+ C- F A+ F B F F A+ F F 30% 11% 58% B- F+ C F D- F+ A- F+ B+
0.86 64% 33% 27% -4 0 0.95 21% 0.9 .18 25% .35 53% .19 1.40 81% 17% 45% +14 +1 1.32 27% 1.4 .37 9% .19 82% .15
Jan
17		 Michigan A- D+ C- F C 39% 29% 31% B C+ A+ A+ A+ B A- D+ B B- A F F B- 51% 2% 47% D- C+ D- A+ A- A+ F C F
1.05 45% 33% 25% -11 -1 0.78 38% 1.3 .51 16% .28 69% .19 1.20 50% 100% 45% +5 +3 1.19 44% 1.0 .44 21% .56 73% .41
Jan
20		 Michigan St. D F A A C 41% 20% 39% B+ C+ B- A+ B+ C+ D+ F F C+ F F D+ F 25% 32% 43% A F+ A+ F A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.88 32% 44% 39% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.0 .22 17% .22 45% .10 1.15 73% 64% 37% +14 -2 1.25 26% 1.3 .35 20% .19 56% .11
Jan
25		 Washington D- A+ C- F C- 17% 49% 34% F D- F F F C+ A+ A+ A+ B A C+ F D- 17% 42% 42% A+ C- F A+ A+ B- B+ A+ A
0.89 71% 35% 21% -6 -5 0.80 4% 0.0 .00 16% .52 86% .44 1.12 50% 40% 50% +9 -4 1.13 45% 0.6 .25 17% .24 62% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 UCLA D- C- F C- D+ 31% 12% 57% B C- C F F A- F F+ F C B- A+ B- A+ 29% 41% 31% A+ A+ C+ F F F F+ F F
0.93 56% 17% 31% -6 +1 0.92 28% 0.5 .13 16% .17 67% .12 1.19 57% 25% 33% -6 -3 0.84 32% 1.6 .51 6% .40 87% .35
Feb
1		 Iowa B+ F+ A+ F D- 33% 23% 44% D+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B+ F F+ F F F 49% 12% 39% D- F A- A+ A+ F A+ D A+
1.12 50% 50% 21% -8 -1 0.84 41% 1.2 .50 15% .32 88% .28 1.42 71% 67% 53% +21 +2 1.47 28% 0.6 .16 8% .18 80% .15
Feb
7		 Purdue C A+ A+ F B- 29% 19% 52% B+ B C D+ C D+ A B- A A+ C F+ A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% B A+ A+ B- A+ A+ F D+ F
0.97 79% 67% 20% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 20% .30 69% .21 1.03 64% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.1 .31 21% .48 76% .36
Feb
9		 Indiana B+ B+ C- B- B+ 31% 35% 35% D B C- A+ A A+ A+ F+ A- F F F F F 26% 23% 51% A+ F A A+ A+ C- F C F
1.12 60% 35% 35% 0 -2 0.98 25% 1.8 .44 9% .41 68% .28 1.39 83% 82% 42% +23 -1 1.45 23% 0.8 .18 14% .47 78% .37
Feb
14		 Penn St. A- C- F A+ A+ 34% 10% 56% B A+ B+ F C- F+ A+ A A+ C+ B- C- A A- 33% 29% 38% A+ A C- A B C- F F F
1.26 57% 25% 57% +17 +1 1.39 35% 1.0 .35 23% .49 84% .41 1.10 56% 43% 28% -3 -1 0.94 30% 1.0 .30 14% .42 83% .35
Feb
17		 Minnesota F B+ F F F 47% 14% 39% A F F+ A+ C D+ F A+ F B+ F C C C 19% 23% 57% A+ B- F+ A+ A A A+ F A
0.74 65% 29% 5% -15 +1 0.76 19% 1.2 .23 20% .04 100% .04 1.02 78% 36% 33% +3 -2 1.04 37% 0.5 .20 22% .21 80% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 1.0 4.2 1.0 0.0 6.2 14th
15th 0.8 11.9 4.8 0.1 17.5 15th
16th 9.0 11.4 0.4 20.8 16th
17th 9.0 24.4 3.0 0.0 36.3 17th
18th 13.5 5.0 0.0 18.6 18th
Total 22.5 39.1 27.3 9.4 1.5 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14 1.5% 1.5
5-15 9.4% 9.4
4-16 27.3% 27.3
3-17 39.1% 39.1
2-18 22.5% 22.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 22.5%